4-19-13

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Hondo

RED SOX

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Cappers Access

Cubs +120
Angels +120

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MARC LAWRENCE

Chicago White Sox

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Dave Essler MLB ML - Friday, Apr 19 2013 8:40PM
ML 912 COL (-130) vs 911 ARI double-dime bet

Dave Essler MLB ML - Friday, Apr 19 2013 7:10PM
ML 918 BOS (-130) vs 917 KAN double-dime bet

Dave Essler MLB ML - Friday, Apr 19 2013 7:05PM
ML 916 TOR (-110) vs 915 NYY double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Edmonton Oilers + Colorado Avalanche OVER 5
(System Record: 49-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 49-35-2

Baseball Crusher
AtlantaBraves -123 over Pittsburgh Pirates
(System Record: 11-1, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 11-11

Soccer Crusher
Velez Sarsfield + Newells Old Boys UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 386-14, lost last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 386-334-47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Philadelphia

The Phillies look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 1-7 in Jaime Garcia's last 8 road starts against a team with a losing record. Philadelphia is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 19 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 16.786; Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 16.029 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 15.255; Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.587 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Under

Game 905-906: Miami at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Slowey) 12.905; Cincinnati (Latos) 16.437 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-230); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-230); Under

Game 907-908: Washington at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 14.776; NY Mets (Harvey) 15.720 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 14.867; Milwaukee (Estrada) 16.077 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Over

Game 911-912: Arizona at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 16.347; Colorado (Chacin) 16.2154 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Under

Game 913-914: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 13.995; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.947 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-220); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-220); Over

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.641; Toronto (Morrow) 14.850 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.637; Boston (Buchholz) 15.298 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

Game 919-920: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 16.333; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.427 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

Game 921-922: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Saunders) 15.065; Texas (Darvish) 14.827 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-210); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+180); Under

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Myers) 14.610; Houston (Harrell) 14.391 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110); Over

Game 925-926: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Worley) 14.136; White Sox (Peavy) 15.734 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-175); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-175); Under

Game 927-928: Detroit at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 14.615; LA Angels (Hanson) 14.997 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 929-930: LA Dodgers at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.989; Baltimore (Hammel) 15.360 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Buffalo

The Sabres look to follow up their 3-2 win at Boston on Wednesday and build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Buffalo is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 19 Time Posted 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.978; Boston 11.151 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+115); Under

Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.419; Buffalo 11.871 Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-125); 5 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+105); Over

Game 5-6: Dallas at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.859; St. Louis 12.679 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-175); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); Under

Game 7-8: Nashville at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 9.846; Chicago 13.189 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-270); 5 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-270); Over

Game 9-10: Anaheim at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.386; Calgary 11.826 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+145); Under

Game 11-12: Edmonton at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.364; Colorado 9.820 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-125); 5 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+125); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

MLB | Apr 19 '13 (7:10p) Washington Nationals vs New York Mets	New York Mets +114 at BetOnline
15* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets +114 Many public bettors are going to jump all over Stephen Strasburg and the Washington Nationals as a small road favorite over the New York Mets tonight. In the worst of Lee Corso, not so fast my friends. New York will be giving the ball to Matt Harvey, who is one of the most underrated starters in the league. After getting swept by Colorado in their last series, I look for the Mets to come out hungry in Game 1 tonight and to get the win behind Harvey. The young right-hander is 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 0.545 WHIP through three starts this season. He has allowed just two earned runs and 12 base runners while striking out 25 batters over 22 innings. He'll be extra motivated to take down Strasburg tonight. The Nationals are 0-7 in their last 7 Friday games. Washington is 2-6 in Strasburg's last 8 starts during game 1 of a series. The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. New York is 10-3 in its last 13 home games overall. Take the Mets Friday.

MLB | Apr 19 '13 (8:05p) Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers	Seattle Mariners +190 at SIA
15* AL Friday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +190 The Seattle Mariners get the nod Friday as nearly a 2-to-1 underdog to the Texas Rangers. This price is simply too good to pass up tonight folks as this is a much more evenly-matched game than this line would indicate. Joe Saunders is one of the most underrated starters in the league. He has gone 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three starts this season. He has gone 13 1/3 innings over his last two starts without allowing a single earned run. One of those starts came against Texas as he continued his dominance against them. Saunders has allowed just 2 earned runs over 19 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rangers for a miniscule 0.92 ERA. There's no question that Yu Darvish is a good starter, but he's being overvalued here. That's especially the case when you consider how poorly he has pitched against the Mariners in the past. Darvish is 2-3 with a 6.21 ERA in five career starts against Seattle, allowing 20 earned runs over 29 innings. Given these numbers, you would think the Mariners were the team that was laying nearly 2-to-1 odds. Saunders is a very profitable 16-5 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. Bet the Mariners Friday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

MLB | Apr 19 '13 (8:40p) Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks +122 at BetOnline
20* NL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona Diamondbacks +122 The price is right on the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight as a road underdog to the Colorado Rockies. I'll take advantage and back the Diamondbacks in a game that they have the edge on the mound in. Colorado comes in overvalued due to its current 6-game winning streak which has come against the likes of the San Diego Padres and New York Mets. It should not be this heavily favored tonight. Ian Kennedy has been the better starter throughout his career over Jhoulys Chacin. He also loves facing the Rockies, going 3-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 career starts. His teams are 9-3 in those 12 outings against Colorado. Kennedy is 24-6 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Kennedy's last 5 road starts. The Rockies are 1-10 in Chacin's last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Diamondbacks Friday.

MLB | Apr 19 '13 (10:15p) San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants

San Diego Padres +216 at 5dimes

15* NL Friday Undervalued Underdog on San Diego Padres +216 The San Diego Padres are showing excellent value as more than a 2-to-1 underdog to the San Francisco Giants tonight. This is one of the most underrated teams in the league, while San Francisco is overvalued coming off its World Series title. San Diego just swept a 3-game series in Los Angeles despite being a +155, +165 and +230 underdog in all three games, respectively. It not only won that series, it dominated it by outscoring the Dodgers 22-7 in the process. Edinson Volquez has allowed two runs or less in each of his last three starts against San Francisco, giving up 6 runs over 17 innings. Madison Bumgarner has allowed 14 runs over 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts against San Diego. As you can see, the recent head-to-head history favors Volquez. The Padres are feeling great after their sweep of the Dodgers, and they tend to keep playing well in this spot. San Diego is 10-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Roll with the Padres Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang 10 dime play....

My 10 Dime selection is on the Red Sox over the Rays. The current line on this game is -140 in Vegas and offshore. Make sure you list Shields and Bucholz at the time of your wager.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions w/write-up

2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - BREWERS TO WIN (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija vs Estrada
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

Chicago enters this game 5-9 on the season and 2-4 on the road. They beat Texas 6-2 last night to snap a three game losing skid. The Brewers were also winners last night and they've won 4 straight games now outscoring their opponents 25-16. They move to 6-8 on the season and 4-5 at home. Tonight's starter for Chicago will be Jeff Samardzija who is 1-2 on the season with a solid 2.75 ERA, .183 OBA and 0.97 WHIP. Last season he was 9-13 with a 3.81 ERA. Take note his road ERA was 4.30 while his home ERA was 3.22. The Brewers counter by sending Marco Estrada to the mound who is 1-0 on the season through 3 starts with a 4.50 ERA, .284 OBA and 1.28 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts with just 2 walks. In 2012 Estrada was 5-7 with a 3.64 ERA, and at home he was a solid 3-2 with a 2.97 ERA, .214 OBA and 0.92 WHIP. Note that the Cubs are just 4-10 in Samardzija's last 14 road starts, while the Brewers are 6-1 in Estrada's last 7 home starts. Dating back to last season the Brewers are a solid 26-11 in their last 37 home games, while the Cubs are 19-52 in their last 71 road games. Milwaukee is 21-7 in these two teams last 28 meetings. With the Brewers winning 4 straight games heading into this one I think they have an edge at home and I like the value with them at -110.

2 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS -1.5 (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Volquez vs Bumgarner
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

San Diego went into Los Angeles and swept the Dodgers this week, which moves them to 5-10 on the season and 4-5 on the road. The San Francisco Giants are 9-7 on the year and 4-2 at home. Tonight's game features one struggling starting pitcher and one who has been stellar. The Padres will have Edinson Volqueez on the mound tonight who is 0-3 on the year with a 11.68 ERA, .356 OBA and 2.27 WHIP. He has allowed 21 hits in 12.1 innings of work. Although he had good home numbers last year, Volquez was just 5-6 on the road with a high 5.60 ERA, .266 OBA and 1.65 WHIP. Southpaw Madison Bumgarner will make his 4th start tonight for San Francisco. He is 3-0 with a 1.77 ERA, .188 OBA and 0.98 WHIP over his three starts. Last year at home Bumgarner was 10-3 at home with a 2.38 ERA, .219 OBA and 1.02 WHIP. The Padres are 0-4 in Volquez's last 4 road starts, while the Giants are 22-7 in Bumgarner's last 29 home starts. The Giants are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs San Diego in San Francisco, and 23-9 in their last 32 meetings overall. With the two pitchers on the mound tonight I think we are getting good value on the run line taking the Giants to win by a few runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Pickin' - April 19

3-3 yesterday

NHL

Nashville/Chicago Under 5 Goals
Pittsburgh/Boston Under 5.5 Goals

MLB

Texas RL
Washington RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

15 Dime Under Value Fav

Boston Red Sox ml

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Sean Michaels

25 Dime Washington Nationals ml

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5Lines

Total Line for 04/19/2013

(Lost last 5 games) Today's Winning Team is: MLB - Los Angeles Angels : u8.5 Cost: -110

Run Line for 04/19/2013

(Lost last game) Today's Winning Team is: MLB - Texas Rangers : -1.5 Cost: -101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Kansas City +125 (moneyline)

The Kansas City Royals have in the past been prone to bad starts, but finally have added some strength at the top of the rotaton, and are off to an 8-6 start on the season. They acquired Jamie Shields to bolster the rotation. He has made two great starts and has pitched to a 3.43 ERA to start the season. Clay Buchholz has certainly opened some eyes at 3-0 with an 0.41 ERA, but he has not pitched like this in his career, and the jury is still out, especially after pitching to a 4.56 ERA a year ago. Shields has the pedigree here, and the Royals have a great track record against pitchers with a WHIP of less than 1.15 where they are 10-3 in their last 13. The Red Sox have lost five straight Buchholz starts vs. a winning team. Play on Kansas City.