4-23-13

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Tuesday

Seattle -125

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Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

5* Twins gm 1 -147

4* Giants-141

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Hondo

METS
OAKLAND

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Tuesday Cleveland/White Sox Under 8

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nets (-4 1/2) Monday.

Tuesday it's the Knicks.The deficit is 462 sirignanos.

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The Philly Godfather
NBA Celtics 100: ML +250
MLB Arizona 100: +140
MLB Toronto: -115

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Hockey Crusher
Minnesota Wild +104 over LA Kings
(System Record: 51-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 51-36-3

Basketball Crusher
Boston Celtics +6.5 over New York Knicks
(System Record: 92-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 92-69-4

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -102 over St. Louis Cardinals
(System Record: 12-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 12-13

Soccer Crusher
Bayern Munchen + Barcelona UNDER 3
This match is happening in UEFA CL
(System Record: 388-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 388-336-47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Milwaukee at Miami

The Heat look to follow up their 110-87 win over Milwaukee in Game 1 and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points in the previous game. Miami is the pick (-14) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 16 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-14). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 23 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 721-722: Milwaukee at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 111.595; Miami 127.922 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 16 1/2; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 14; 197 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-14); Under

Game 723-724: Boston at New York (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.455; New York 125.709 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11 1/2; 189 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 185 Dunkel Pick: New York (-6 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: Golden State at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.735; Denver 129.232 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 10 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 8; 207 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8); Under

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Today's MLB Picks

Seattle at Houston

The Mariners look to follow up last night's 7-1 win and take advantage of a Houston team that is 2-11 in Bud Norris' last 13 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Seattle is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 23 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.082; Washington (Detwiler) 15.398 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 16.203; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.814 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Under

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Villanueva) 15.454; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 14.937 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+140); Over

Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.259; NY Mets (Niese) 15.512 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Under

Game 909-910: Atlanta at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 15.822; Colorado (Garland) 16.732 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 10 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Under

Game 911-912: Milwaukee at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.606; San Diego (Richard) 16.585 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 16.761; San Francisco (Cain) 16.222 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Over

Game 915-916: Oakland at Boston (6:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.799; Boston (Aceves) 16.510 Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davis) 16.149; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.579 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.566; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.565 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Over

Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.050; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.550 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-170); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+150); Under

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 14.598; White Sox (Quintana) 14.874 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.010; Houston (Norris) 13.219 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 15.523; LA Angels (Vargas) 15.949 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Under

Game 929-930: Miami at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 13.407; Minnesota (Correia) 15.688 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-150); Over

Game 931-932: Miami at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 14.512; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 14.205 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Under

Game 933-934: Atlanta at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.768; Colorado (Francis) 16.994 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Minnesota

The Kings look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 0-5 in its last 5 home games. Los Angeles is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 23 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Winnipeg at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.733; Washington 13.003 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-170); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Over

Game 3-4: Montreal at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.385; New Jersey 10.107 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-125); 5 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-125); Under

Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.374; Carolina 10.786 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-140); Over

Game 7-8: Boston at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.894; Philadelphia 10.461 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 9-10: NY Rangers at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.449; Florida 11.834 Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-230); 5 Dunkel Pick: Florida (+190); Over

Game 11-12: Calgary at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.827; Nashville 10.609 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-150); 5 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+130); Under

Game 13-14: Colorado at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.805; St. Louis 11.346 Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-240); 5 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+200); Over

Game 15-16: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.828; Minnesota 11.245 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-120); Under

Game 17-18: Dallas at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.914; San Jose 12.684 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-180); Over

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Rounding the Bases: The Best Bets in the Bigs

Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in major league baseball.

For the week of April 15-21.

Hot Team: Milwaukee Brewers
Last week: 6-0
Season: 9-8
Upcoming schedule: at Padres, at Dodgers

Skinny: The Brewers extended their winning streak to seven games with a 4-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs on Sunday. Milwaukee has cut its team ERA nearly in half during the streak. Brewers pitchers had a 5.20 ERA in their first 10 games and boast a 2.80 ERA over their last seven.

Cold Team: Seattle Mariners
Last week: 1-5
Season: 7-13
Upcoming schedule: at Astros, vs. Angels

Skinny: The Mariners suffered a three-game sweep at the hands of the Texas Rangers over the weekend and were shut out twice in the series.

OVER Team: New York Mets
Last week: 5-1 OVER/U
Season: 13/4 OVER/U
Upcoming schedule: vs. Dodgers, vs. Phillies

Skinny: The Mets had played over the number in five straight before getting blanked 2-0 by the Nationals Sunday. New York is averaging 5.82 runs per game (2nd in MLB) and its pitching staff has a lofty 4.33 team ERA (23rd in bigs).

UNDER Team: Arizona Diamondbacks
Last week: 0-6 O/UNDER
Season: 6-12 O/UNDER
Upcoming schedule: at Giants, vs. Rockies

Skinny: The Diamondbacks have gone low in seven straight games heading into a three-game set with the Giants beginning Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, April 23

Milwaukee lost 16 of last 22 games; can they even win a game in series? Bucks upset Heat 104-85 at home Dec 29, forcing 20 turnovers (+15), but lost other four meetings by 7-13-11-23 points, with under 3-0-1 in last four series games. Heat shot 55.9% from floor, also went 27-33 on foul line in easy Game 1 win. Bucks were -9 with Jennings on court, -14 in 15:00 he sat out; other than Jennings/Ellis, Milwaukee shot 37% for night, not good enough. Miami's bench was just 3-16 behind arc in Game 1, if they shoot better here, game could be even uglier.

Knicks won last four games with Celtics, by 3-15-19-7 points, making 35-74 behind arc in three games in this arena (16-56 in Boston). Celtics have 4th-best defensive 3-point %age, have more playoff experience on their side, but they're without Rondo, which killed them in second half of Game 1, when they were outscored 18-8 in 4th quarter and scored 25 points in whole second half. Four of five series games this year stayed under the total. You look at the first two Game 2's last night, and both visitors played much better than they did in Game 1. All Celtics really wanted was split in NYC, can still get that here.

Denver won four of five vs Golden State this season, with only loss a game they led 60-51 at half; they're 39-3 at home; they won by 11-11-2 in three home games vs Warriors this season. Golden State is in playoffs for only second time in last 19 years, now Lee is out for season with a torn hip flexor- he had 10 points, 14 boards in opener. Landry will be an able replacement for Lee, but Warriors' problem is who will be sub for Landry on second unit? Denver is 6-1 since Gallinari got hurt; they've got 58 wins because they're very deep. Nugget starters were 0-11 from arc in opener; 37-year old Miller bailed them out with 28 points.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON

Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA >=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
161-105 since 1997. ( 60.5% 60.2 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% -3.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB TORONTO at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 54-36 (+30.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at DENVER

Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
85-44 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% 36.6 units )
15-10 this year. ( 60.0% 4.0 units )

NBA GOLDEN STATE at DENVER

Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in April games
31-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% 20.9 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% -1.1 units )

NBA MILWAUKEE at MIAMI

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, in April games
167-97 since 1997. ( 63.3% 60.3 units )
10-9 this year. ( 52.6% 0.1 units )

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Bob Balfe

April 23rd 2013

Tuesday NBA & MLB

Heat -14 over Bucks
This is the problem with having 8 teams from each conference make the playoffs. The Bucks have no business being in the playoffs and even more so they have no business playing the Heat. Matchups like this actually hurt Miami because the competition is so easy that when they get into the next round they forget they have been playing NBA Basketball. Miami turned the ball over 19 times the other night and still blew the Bucks out. This Milwaukee team just can't rebound against the Heat. There is nothing that they are better at in this series. The only way the Bucks cover this game is if Miami just doesn't want to cover. Its really as simple as that. Take the Heat.

Celtics +6.5 over Knicks
This is just like the Chicago/Brooklyn game yesterday. Are the Knicks ready to be a playoff team? Can they bank on Melo scoring 30 plus points and carrying this team. This Boston team is not that great, but they know how to play playoff basketball and they know what its like to play in a game two when they are down one game. This game means everything. Your chances of coming back down 0-2 are slim. Look for Boston to show flashes of old even if it is just for this one game. The playoffs are a totally different beast and I think this is a game that goes down to the buzzer. Take the Celtics.

Nuggets -8 over Warriors
The Nuggets couldn't hit a three, couldn't get a rebound and they couldn't make a foul shot, but still won Game 1. This team is not going to beat themselves with turnovers. David Lee getting hurt is a horrible blow for the Warriors. Denver played as bad as they possibly could. If the Warriors can't shoot 50 percent from the 3 point line this should be a 20 pt win for Denver. Remember Denver was the best team in the NBA at home. They only lost 3 games all year. The odds they lose this game are about 20/1. I just don't see Golden State or anybody on this team stepping up and taking charge. Take the Nuggets

Brewers -120 over Padres
Gallardo/Richard
The hottest team in baseball are these Brewers. The worst team in baseball would be the Padres. This game is all about confidence and winning. San Diego is in such a slump and its almost impossible to break that streak against a hot team. Until San Diego proves otherwise you have to keep going against them in spots like this against quality teams. Take Milwaukee.