4-27-13

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1023-758 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner 12-7 run Sat TEXAS w/Holland

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

KC Royals -150

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Saturday San Diego/San Francisco Under 7 1/2

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Today's MLB Picks

Milwaukee at LA Dodgers

The Brewers look to bounce back from last night's 7-5 loss to LA and build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Milwaukee is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 27 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Pettibone) 14.417; NY Mets (Marcum) 15.199 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.366; Washington (Haren) 15.057 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (4:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 16.822; St. Louis (Westbrook) 16.307 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2 8 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.015; Miami (Sanabia) 14.062 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-135); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-135); Under

Game 909-910: Colorado at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.346; Arizona (Miley) 16.959 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-170); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.590; San Diego (Stults) 15.988 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Over

Game 913-914: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.704; LA Dodgers (Fife) 15.141 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Over

Game 915-916: Baltimore at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.307; Oakland (Griffin) 15.380 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 14.503; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.512 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-170); Under

Game 919-920: Texas at Minnesota (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.083; Minnesota (Hernandez) 15.498 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

Game 921-922: Houston at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 14.202; Boston (Doubront) 13.869 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Boston (-260); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+220); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.517; White Sox (Floyd) 15.386 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Over

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kazmir) 14.435; Kansas City (Santana) 16.267 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Blanton) 13.340; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.911 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-170); Over

Game 929-930: Atlanta at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 16.880; Detroit (Porcello) 15.641 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-125); Over

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ St Louis Cardinals - CARDINALS TO WIN (-118)
Listed Pitchers: Burnett vs Westbrook
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.69 units)

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Cappers Access

Bulls -3
Marlins +135
A's(RL) -1.5(+149)

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Hockey Crusher
Dallas Stars +114 over Detroit
(System Record: 53-3, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 53-38-3

Basketball Crusher
Chicago Bulls -155 over Brooklyn Nets
(System Record: 93-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 93-71-4

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -106 over Cincy Reds
(System Record: 13-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 13-16

Soccer Crusher
San Martin + Union OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 389-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 389-338-47

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ScLiveDogs

Saturday MLB Write-Up of the Day

Why we like the OVER 8 in Saturday's Reds-Nationals matchup.
We know that each of these starting pitchers in this game have not had much success in the early going in 2013, but there is even more that backs this over in this daytime matchup. Mike Leake of the Reds comes into this game with a 3.81 era on the season, but is coming off of his best start against the below average Cubs at home. That game against the Cubs should give us a good read on how Leake's season will go because even against that below average offense, Leake still allowed 2 runs on 8 hits on 1 HR through 7 innings on 2 BBs and 5 Ks. When we take Leake a step further, he has faced this Nationals team four times over the past two seasons, including one time this season, where he allowed a combined 16 runs on 4 HRs through 15 innings. Leake has also been a disappointment during day games over the past two seasons where he has an average era of 5.62 while allowing 17 HRs through 100 innings (which is a red flag for a sinkerballer). Through 80 ABs, this Nationals team has a combined .275 average with 4 HRs off of Leake. On the other side of the field, we have Dan Haren of the Nationals who comes into this game with a 7.36 era where he has allowed 32 hits through 18 innings on 5 HRs. Haren faced this Reds team in his first start of 2013 where he took the L while allowing 6 runs through 4 innings on 4 HRs. During the 2012 season, Haren made 10 daytime starts, while allowing 10 HRs through those 59 innings. The reason we bring that number up is because Saturday's start will be Harens first daytime start of the 2013 season which should continue to allow earned runs against him. Through 80 ABs, this Reds team has a combined .263 average with 6 HRs off of Haren. With the bullpens may being playing a factor in this game, we can't shy away from the fact that the Reds come in with an 8.47 road era where they have allowed 4 HRs through 17 innings while the Nationals come in with a 3.55 home era. A few trends to look at for Sundays game is that the Reds have averaged 7 RPG in games that Leake starts this season. The Reds have 7 Overs compared to 3 Unders with a total of 8 to 8.5. The Reds have 7 Overs compared to 3 Unders in day games. The Nationals have 5 Overs compared to 1 Under with a total of 8 to 8.5. In Reds-Nationals games this season, 4 out of 5 games have gone Over the total while 9 out of 16 games have gone Over the total over the the last three seasons.
Play on the OVER 8 in Saturday's Matchup.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TAMPA BAY at CHI WHITE SOX

Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season
44-20 since 1997. ( 68.8% 25.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at OAKLAND

BALTIMORE is 74-49 (+34.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.1)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA BROOKLYN at CHICAGO

Play Over - All teams where the total is 179.5 or less in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 175 points or less
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

NBA INDIANA at ATLANTA

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
81-49 since 1997. ( 62.3% 38.4 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% 3.5 units )

NBA INDIANA at ATLANTA

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games
62-28 since 1997. ( 68.9% 31.2 units )
8-3 this year. ( 72.7% 4.7 units )

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Chase Diamond

9* NBA ELITE INSIDE INFO

Brooklyn vs. Chicago
Money Line: Chicago -149

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HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

BASEBALL

TAMPA -113 CHICAGO (7PM)

LA DODGERS -130 MILWAUKEE (9PM)

NBA

BROOKLYN +3 CHICAGO (2PM)

NHL

ANAHEIM -160 PHOENIX (10PM)

PERRY (SOCCER PLAYS)

Werder Bremen (GER-1) vs Bayer Leverkusen (GER-1) - OVER 3.5+116

Nurnberg (GER-1) vs Hoffenheim (GER-1) - OVER 2.5+101

West Bromwich (ENG-P) vs Southampton (ENG-P) - OVER 2.5-127

Celta Vigo (ESP-P) vs Levante (ESP-P) - UNDER 2.5-137

Catania (ITA-A) vs AC Milan (ITA-A) - UNDER 2.5+123

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Soulhat Sports

New York Yankees -1.59 ML
MLB
3:05 PM CT
4 units

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JACK JONES

TOP PLAY =-

NBA Apr 27 '13 (9:35p)
OKLAHOMA CITY GM3 vs HOUSTON GM3

HOUSTON GM3
+1½-110 at betus


20* Rockets/Thunder Side & Total Parlay on Houston +1.5/UNDER 207.5

I am backing the Houston Rockets and the UNDER tonight as they host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3. My main reason for taking both plays is that Russell Westbrook will be out due to a torn meniscus in his knee.

The Thunder will be lost without their point guard on the floor tonight. As they struggle, it will prove just how important Westbrook is to this team. He constantly gets bashed in the media for taking too many shots, but the fact of the matter is the Thunder are better when he's being aggressive.

Without Westbrook, the Thunder are going to get much fewer fast break opportunities. They will look to slow it down and run their offense through Kevin Durant almost every time down the floor. The old man Derek Fisher will be running the point guard mostly tonight, and he doesn't have the ability to push the tempo.

The UNDER falls into a system that is 38-10 (79.2%) since 1996. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 3rd game of a playoff series.

Houston is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. In fact, the Rockets are a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Rockets and the UNDER in Game 3 Saturday.


-= TOP PLAY =-


NBA Apr 27 '13 (9:35p)
OKLAHOMA CITY GM3 vs HOUSTON GM3

Total
207½ un-110 at BMaker

20* Rockets/Thunder Side & Total Parlay on Houston +1.5/UNDER 207.5

I am backing the Houston Rockets and the UNDER tonight as they host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3. My main reason for taking both plays is that Russell Westbrook will be out due to a torn meniscus in his knee.

The Thunder will be lost without their point guard on the floor tonight. As they struggle, it will prove just how important Westbrook is to this team. He constantly gets bashed in the media for taking too many shots, but the fact of the matter is the Thunder are better when he's being aggressive.

Without Westbrook, the Thunder are going to get much fewer fast break opportunities. They will look to slow it down and run their offense through Kevin Durant almost every time down the floor. The old man Derek Fisher will be running the point guard mostly tonight, and he doesn't have the ability to push the tempo.

The UNDER falls into a system that is 38-10 (79.2%) since 1996. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 3rd game of a playoff series.

Houston is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. In fact, the Rockets are a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Rockets and the UNDER in Game 3 Saturday.

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Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Atlanta

The Hawks look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games in Atlanta. Atlanta is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 27 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Brooklyn at Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 120.622; Chicago 118.087 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2 1/2; 182 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 178 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+3); Over

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Memphis (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.620; Memphis 128.497 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5; 174 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 177 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Indiana at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.472; Atlanta 121.649 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 190 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Oklahoma City at Houston (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.035; Houston 121.453 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 208 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City; Under