5-1-13

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Totals 4 You Pro Basketball Selections for Wednesday, May 1st

2013 Pro Basketball Playoffs Game 5 Total of the Year!!!!!
Atlanta/Indiana under 188

NBA Best Bets
New York/Boston under 180
Houston/Oklahoma City under 208

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Total 4 U Baseball

TB/KC OVER
Colo/LAD OVER

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FantasySportsGametime

Hoops Wednesday

100* Play New York -8 over Boston (NBA Top Play)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Boston has lost 25 of the last 41 road games against the spread and
they have also lost 22 of the last 32 games against the spread after
allowing 90 points or less in three straight games. Boston has lost 6
of the last 8 overall games and they are only averaging 80 points a
game in the playoffs this season.


100* Play Indiana -7 over Atlanta (NBA Top Play)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Indiana has covered the spread in 32 of the last 55 games when playing
as a favorite and they have also covered the spread in 25 of the last
41 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game. Indiana has
covered the spread in 15 of the last 22 games coming off a road loss
and they are only allowing an average of 90 points a game at home this
season.


100* Play Oklahoma City -8.5 over Houston (NBA Top Play)
Starts at 9:30 PM EST

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 47 of the last 78 games when
playing as a favorite and they have also covered the spread in 28 of
the last 43 home games. Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 25 of
the last 38 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and
they are averaging 108 points a game at home this season.

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Fantasy Sports Gametime
NHL Hockey

100* Play Pittsburgh -245 over NY Islanders (NHL TOP PLAY)
50* Play Boston -185 over Toronto
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MLB Baseball

100* Play New York -230 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
50* Play Detroit -240 over Minnesota
50* Play New York Mets -125 over Miami

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Online Sports Winners

The MLB Baseball Plays for Wednesday are:

100* Take Detroit -240 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Minnesota has lost 35 of the last 55 games when playing in the month
of May and they have also lost 98 of the last 163 games after having
lost four or five of the last six games. Minnesota has lost 15 of the
last 16 games as an underdog of +200 or higher and they have lost 92
of the last 148 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.


100* Take NY Yankees -230 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Erik Bedard has lost 13 of the last 18 games when the total posted is
between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has lost 13 of the last 16 games as an
underdog of +150 or higher. Erik Bedard has lost 15 of the last 25
road games and he is 0-2 in all starts this season with an ERA of
10.33.


100* Take New York Mets -125 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Wade LeBlanc has lost 8 of the last 9 games after giving up two or
more home runs in his last outing and he has lost 8 consecutive games
when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Wade LeBlanc has lost 20
of the last 30 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150 and
he is 0-4 in all starts this season with an ERA of 6.20.

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Online Sports Winners

The Basketball Plays for Wednesday are:

100* Take Oklahoma City -8.5 over Houston (NBA TOP PLAY)

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 36 of the last 54 games after
scoring 100 points or more in four straight games and they have also
covered the spread in 65 of the last 105 games coming off a road loss.
Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 39 of the last 60 games when
revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent and they are averaging
105 points a game this season.

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50* Take Indiana -7 over Atlanta (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Take New York Knicks -8 over Boston (NBA BONUS PLAY)

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BeatYourBookie

Daily MLB Baseball Plays for Wednesday


10* Play Pittsburgh +140 over Milwaukee (MLB TOP PLAY)
1:10 PM EST

Pittsburgh is 10-4 when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Pittsburgh is 14-9 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs this season


10* Play Oakland -110 over LA Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)
3:30 PM EST

Tom Milone is 5-1 when pitching on a Wednesday the last three seasons
Tom Milone is 14-4 vs. division opponents the last three seasons



10* Play New York Mets -125 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)
12:40 PM EST

Miami is 23-41 in day games the last three seasons
Miami is 32-57 vs. division opponents the last three seasons

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BeatYourBookie

Daily Hoops Plays for Wednesday


10* Play New York -8 over Boston (NBA TOP PLAY)
7:00 PM EST

Boston is 16-25 ATS in road games this season
Boston is 10-22 ATS after allowing 90 points or less in three straight games


10* Play Indiana -7 over Atlanta (NBA TOP PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Indiana is 32-23 ATS when playing as a favorite this season
Indiana is 25-16 ATS coming off an OVER the total in their last game


10* Play Oklahoma City -8.5 over Houston (NBA TOP PLAY)
9:30 PM EST

Oklahoma City is 47-31 ATS when playing as a favorite this season
Oklahoma City is 28-15 ATS in home games this season

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SCOTT SPREITZER GOM
Boston@New York OVER

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Sam Martin 20* GOM
On Indiana Pacers

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Scott Delaney

50 Dime
Cleveland Indians

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Gavazzi:

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

MLB

Pittsburgh (Gomez) at Milwaukee (Burgos) (-140) 1:10 PM ET

4% Milwaukee (Burgos) (-140) 5 IP

We won this matchup last night as a 5 IP play and that is exactly how I suggest you make your play this afternoon. This comes out of respect for the Pittsburgh bullpen, which despite their horrendous performance in Milwaukee this week, remains one of the best in baseball, certainly far better than that of Milwaukee. With a pair of victories to begin this series, Milwaukee is now 46-7 and 6-0 in the series at this site. In addition, those victories have now made it 9 consecutive overall in the series over which time the Brewers have totaled 71 runs. No team has played better than Milwaukee ontheir home field in the last 2+Y. The Brewers record is now 115-61 on this field including 8 straight. That is part of a recent 12-3 run by the Brewers (after a 2-8 start) which makes them among the hottest teams in baseball. Burgos has pitched a couple of solid starts recording a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. With Sanchez being suspended and Liriano and Morton still rehabbing, Gomez is forced into this start. He was mediocre at best in several years at Cleveland and has a shaky 7/7 KBB this year. All signs point to Milwaukee again today with the best option being a 5 IP play.



LA Angels (Wilson) at Oakland (Milone) (-115) 3:35 PM ET
4% Oakland (Milone) (-115)

They keep pricing LAA as if they are better than Oakland. That is clearly not the case! The Angels are 9-17 for the season, 3-11 away and have lost 4 consecutive games. Oakland is 16-12 for the year, 9-7 at home with 3 consecutive wins. The last 2 of those are 10-8 and 10-6 wins vs. LAA to begin the week. That extends Oakland’s series dominance to 8-1 overall and 5-0 this year in which they have scored 48 runs. Though Wilson is 2-0, He features a 4.30 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. A solid history vs. Oakland is belied by his lone appearance vs. Oakland d this year in which Wilson allowed 4 runs in 6 IP of a 9-5 loss to the As. Again this season, Milone is pitching outstanding baseball from this mound. Milone is 2-1 with a 1.77 ERA in 3 home starts this season, including allowing no earned runs in 6 2/3 IP of his last outing against Baltimore. Play Oakland as the better team at a value price.



Boston (Buchholz) (-140) vs. Toronto (Buehrle) 7:05 PM ET

4% Boston (Buchholz) (-140)

The (5) 10* games in MLB today make up one of the strongest cards I have seen in more than 2 weeks in MLB. They are joined by all 3 NBA winners tonight. All games are fully analyzed giving you the confidence to maximize your winnings.

We lost this matchup last night when Jon Lester pitched his worst game of the season after a brilliant April. But the Red Sox still have the best record in MLB through April at 18-8. They are on current runs of 13-4 and 5-1 and stand 5-2/loss this season. Buchholz has been spectacular in going 5-0 with a 1.19 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 39/13 KBB. His history from this mound is immaculate with a record of 6-0 and 1.27 ERA. Much less can be said about veteran Buehrle. For the season, Buehrle has posted a 6.35 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. In his previous outing, Buehrle allowed 3 home runs to the Yankees in a 5-3 loss. A mediocre, at best, history vs. Boston finds Buehrle to be 6-8 with a 4.64 lifetime ERA.



Chicago White Sox (Sale) at Texas (Tepesch) (-110) 8:05 PM ET
5% Texas (Tepesch) (-110)

This is today’s perception/reality game. The perception is that CWS starter, Chris Sale, is a highly rated pitcher based on his last season of work. Though Sale has been outstanding at home again this season, he has again struggled on the road where he is among the worst in baseball with a 7.94 road ERA. In his previous outing vs. Texas, Sale allowed 5 runs in 6 1/3 IP vs. the Rangers. We certainly can’t count on the CWS bats who have a .230 BA for the YTD to offer him support. And CWS is just 3-8 away on a 3 game losing streak. Far prefer the incredible value offered by the Rangers in this. Texas is 17-9 for the season, 8-2 on their home field. After scoring just 8 total runs in a 2-2 weekend split at Minnesota, the big Texas bats erupted for a buy sign with 10 runs last night. Tepesch has been outstanding as a replacement starter with a record of 2-1, 2.53 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 14/3 KBB.



Baltimore (Chen) (-125) at Seattle (Harang) 10:10 PM ET

5% Baltimore (Chen) (-125)

Baltimore is proving that their winning season of 2012 was not a mirage. Through April, they stand 16-11 including 9-6 away. Following a 6-2 loss on Monday, the Birds bounced back with a 7-2 win last night to boost their series record against Seattle to 8-1 and 6-1 on this field. Chen comes off 4 quality starts and sports a 2.53 ERA with 1.00 WHIP. In his previous 2 outings, he has allowed just 1 run in 14 IP. His most recent performance was 8 IP of scoreless ball in a 3-0 win vs. Oakland. Harang is trying to pitch himself into shape with horrendous results. For the season, Harang is 0-3 with an 11.37 ERA, 1.97 WHIP with a .362 BAA in 12 2/3 IP. At a short price on the road, we play the series dominator with a dominant pitching matchup.



NBA

Boston at NY Knicks (-8) 7:00 PM ET TNT
3% NY Knicks -8

The suspension of 6th Man of the Year JR Smith negatively impacted the Knicks in their Game #4 OT loss in Boston. Though NY stormed back from 20 points down at half time to force OT, they clearly missed the 18 points of Smith in a 97-90 defeat. Ironically, it was Boston’s 6th man Terry who keyed the Celtics victory with a pair of 3 pointers, timely foul shooting and a closing layup at the buzzer. Nonetheless, the realities are that Boston enters this game on negative runs of 6-14 SU, 6-13 ATS. Their offense clearly misses the leadership of PG Rondo at Playoff time. Garnett Pierce and the emerging Green are simply not enough to lead this offense which averaged 75 PPG in the first 3 games. The Knicks enter on runs of 19-3 SU, 18-4 ATS, lead this series 3 games to 1, but havethe motivation of the previous game loss. Look for the return of Smith to key a more explosive NY offense and the Knicks to emerge with a double digit victory in closing out the Celtics.



Atlanta at Indiana (-7) 8:00 PM ET NBA TV

4% Indiana -7

Atlanta made the necessary adjustments after losing their first 2 games of this series at this site by 17 and 15 points. It resulted in home court victories of 21 and 11 points in the last 2 games. That resulted when the Hawks went with the defense on the interior in starting Petro and moving Josh Smith to the 3. Those victories also lifted Atlanta to 13 straight on their home court vs. Indiana. But the home court is what this series has been all about this year. Including the regular season, the home team is 8-0 SU with Indiana’s victories on this court coming by 11, 6, 17 and 15 points. Returning home following a pair of double digit road losses, is a strong zig-zag situation for quality teams in the NBA Playoffs. Look for Indiana to make defensive adjustments of their own and take control of the series with a double digit home win.



Houston at OKC (-8-) 9:30 PM ET TNT

3% OKC -8-

The last 3 games of this series have looked nothing like Game #1 in which OKC blew out Houston, 120-91. But since the Westbrook injury in Game #2, OKC has survived Games #2 and #3 when Houston stormed back from being down by double digits, then fended off elimination with a 105-103 victory Monday night. Certainly looks as this has the potential to come down to the wire again as Houston’s 3 point shooting has improved each game of the series including 44% from behind the arc on Monday. But the technicals and the situation are enough to push me to the OKC side. Under HC Brooks, OKC has been the most resilient team in the NBA in recent seasons. That includes a record of 17-5 ATS/loss this season. In addition, must note the home court dominance of the Thunder which shows them to be 26-12 ATS as HF -6 or more this season. And the long term record of HC Brooks shows him to be 105-63 ATS when playing with revenge. Lets allow the situation and the strong home court of OKC to overcome the loss of Westbrook.

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Bookieshunter

2* Red Sox
2* Padres

1* Bruins Reg Time
1* Pacers -7
1* Celtics +9.5

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John Ryan 25* MLB Titan (Ryan MLB 21-9 YTD):
Philadelphia Phillies

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Brandon Lang

25 Dime Pacers over the Hawks. The current line on this game is -7 in Vegas and offshore.

10 Dime is on the Rockets over the Thunder. The current line on the game is +8 1/2 in Vegas and offshore.