5-5-13

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Today's NHL Picks

Montreal at Ottawa

The Senators look to bounce back from their 3-1 loss in Game 2 and take advantage of a Canadiens team that is 1-4 in its last 5 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Ottawa is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 5 Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.620; NY Islanders 12.042 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+145); Over

Game 3-4: Chicago at Minnesota (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.716; Minnesota 10.384 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-165); Under

Game 5-6: Montreal at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.917; Ottawa 12.751 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-135); Under

Game 7-8: Vancouver at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.135; San Jose 10.522 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+125); Over

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

05/05/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 833-392 (.680)
ATS: 659-597 (.525)
ATS Vary Units: 1654-1535 (.519)
Over/Under: 646-611 (.514)
Over/Under Vary Units: 885-812 (.522)

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game #1
NEW YORK -95, Indiana -99

Western Conference Semifinals
Game #1
OKLAHOMA CITY -95, Memphis -99

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

05/05/13 Predictions

Season: 290-185 (.611)

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game #3
Pittsburgh vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
OTTAWA 3, Montreal 2

Western Conference Quarterfinals
Game #3
Chicago 3, MINNESOTA 2
SAN JOSE 3, Vancouver 2

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Cappers Access

Knicks -5.5
Brewers -110
Giants -135

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Hondo

White Sox
Cardinals

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1025-764 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner Sun Red Sox w/Lester

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NBA

Sunday, May 5

Memphis won last four games of Clipper series, all by 10+ points, with five of those six games going over total; they beat Oklahoma City two of three this year, winning by 10 here in November, losing by 17 (58-34 at half) Jan 31, then winning 90-89 in OT March 20, in OC's only visit to Memphis. Westbrook shot 13-44 from floor in two Memphis wins, 9 of 17 in Thunder's win, but no Westbrook (knee) in this series. Grizzlies are 3-1-1 against the spread in last five games as an underdog. 16 of last 20 Thunder games stayed under the total.

Indiana/New York both won on road Friday to advance here; home side won all four series games this year- Knicks won by 12-10 here, with JR Smith 12-21 from floor in those games (he was 11-36 in two losses, one in which Anthony DNP). Eight of last ten Knick games stayed under the total; 10 of last 14 Indiana games went over. Pacers lost four of last five road games, with all four losses by 10+ points. NY is 9-3 vs spread last 12 games as a home favorite, winning 12 of last 13 at home SU. Carmelo Anthony was 25-67 (37.3%) from floor in three games vs Indiana.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, May 5

Penguins scored three goals in first 7:22 to grab 3-1 lead in Game 2, but never scored again and got upset by Islanders, just third loss in last 12 games for Pitt, which also won 27 of its last 36 games vs Isles, who outshot Pittsburgh 42-33 last game, and had only a couple giveaways, compared to 11 for Penguins. Islanders lost four of last five games overall, but won five of last six home games- this is their first home game in 19 days. Penguins won five of last six visits to Long Island, with last four of those going over total. Seven of last ten series games overall went over total.

Minnesota was outscored 21-7 in losing six of its last seven home games; they're 0-6 on power play, allowed a shorthanded goal in Game 2; they're now 4-8 in their last 12 games after getting drilled 5-2 in Game 2, when Chicago outshot them 48-28 (85-55 for series). Blackhawks won 11 of last 13 games overall, eight of last 11 on road; they won last four games with Wild by combined score of 13-6. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Wild games, 1-5 in last six Chicago games. Minnesota scored total of eleven goals in its last seven games.

Home side won eight of last nine Montreal-Ottawa games; Canadiens lost last three games in this building (2-1ot/5-1/2-1so). Last ten series games went OMOMOMOMOM, so is it Ottawa's turn to win here? Senators are 7-4 in last eleven games overall, with 11 of last 13 staying under the total. Ottawa was outscored 9-3 in losing last three home games in regular season- they're 0-6 on power play in series. All five Montreal goals in this series came in second period; they won last two road games, at Winnipeg/Toronto, after losing five of seven road games before that.

Sharks are underdog in this series, but are 5-0 vs Vancouver this season, allowing total of eight goals in four wins (4-1/3-2so/3-2/3-1/3-2ot). San Jose is now 14-6 in last 20 games overall; they won first round series six of last eight years, are used to success in spring. Canucks are 3-7 in last ten games overall; they're actually 5-3 in last eight visits to Shark Tank. Under is now 6-1-3 in last ten San Jose-Vancouver games. Canucks scored only six goals in last four games overall. San Jose outshot Canucks 25-13 in first period of Games 1-2; Canucks outshot them 28-14 in second period.

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MLB

Sunday, May 5

Hot pitchers
-- Hudson is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Slowey has a 2.15 RA in six starts, but no wins (0-2).
-- Latos is 2-0, 0.45 in his last three starts, but left his last start early (hip).
-- JGarcia is 2-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Volquez is 2-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Ryu is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.

-- Kluber won his first '13 start, allowing two runs in seven IP @ KC.
-- Quintana is 2-0, 2.28 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 2-1, 2.00 in his last four starts.
-- Darvish is 3-0, 1.89 in his last three starts. Lester is 4-0, 3.35 in six starts (1-0, 6.94 in last two).
-- Hammel is 3-0, 3.91 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 1-2, 7.71 in his last four starts. WRodriguez is 0-1, 10.00 in his last two starts.
-- Halladay is 2-3, 6.75 in six starts this season.
-- Niese is 1-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Jackson is 0-4, 7.64 in six starts this season.
-- Estrada is 1-1, 5.01 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 0-2, 5.28 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 0-1, 7.50 in his last three starts.

-- Cobb is 3-2, 2.58 in five starts this season. Chacin was 3-0, 1.46 in four starts before going on DL; this is his first start coming off the DL.

-- Pettitte is 0-2, 8.71 in his last two starts. Straily has a 6.35 RA in his two starts, but A's won both games, scoring 18 runs.
-- Morrow is 0-1, 7.56 in his last three starts. Saunders is 0-3, 12.51 in his three road starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-3, 9.68 in his last four starts.
-- Davis is 0-2, 16.88 in his last couple starts.
-- Humber is 0-3, 15.55 in his last three starts.
-- JWilliams is making first '13 start; he was 0-6, 8.44 in his last six '12 starts, with last one 9/11/02.

Totals
-- Under is 7-4 in last eleven Cub games.
-- Over is 9-5-1 in Philly's last fifteen home games.
-- Ten of last fourteen Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last six Atlanta home games stayed under total.
-- 13 of 18 games at Miller Park went over the total.
-- Six of last eight San Diego home games went over total.
-- 11 of last 14 Dodger games went over the total; this is a 5:00 local start, so shadows will be an issue.

-- Last five Colorado games went over the total.

-- Four of last five Morrow starts went over the total.
-- Over is 24-6 in last 30 Oakland games, 0-2 in last two.
-- Six of last nine Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Kansas City games.
-- Over is 7-2-2 in last eleven Houston games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Baltimore games.

Hot teams
-- Pirates won seven of their last ten home games.
-- St Louis won nine of its last twelve games.
-- Padres won seven of their last ten games.
-- San Francisco won nine of its last eleven home games.

-- A's won four of their last six games. Bronx won 10 of its last 13 gameas at home.
-- Mariners won last three games, outscoring foes 20-4.
-- Kansas City won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Indians won last six games, outscoring foes 53-14.
-- Boston won seven of its last ten games.
-- Detroit won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Orioles won eleven of their last seventeen games.

Cold teams
-- Washington is 7-8 on the road this year.
-- Milwaukee lost its last four games, allowing 25 runs.
-- Cubs lost 10 of their first 14 home games. Cincinnati lost 10 of its last fourteen on the road, but won last two.
-- Miami lost 11 of its 15 road games. Phillies are 8-11 in their last 19 games overall.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Atlanta lost seven of last nine.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Rockies lost eight of last thirteen games. Tampa Bay is 5-12 on road.

-- Twins are 3-7 in their last ten road games.
-- Blue Jays lost 11 of their last 14 games- they were outscored 25-3 in last four games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
-- Texas is 3-4 in its last seven games.
-- Houston lost 16 of its last 20 games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last eleven games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Chi-- Five of last seven Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- StL-Mil-- Over is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Bucknor games.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Underdogs won five of last six Davidson games.
-- Mia-Phil-- Under is 19-5-2 in last 26 Kellogg games.
-- NY-Atl-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Nauert games.
-- Az-SD-- Home team won 11 of last 14 TBarrett games.
-- LA-SF-- 22 of last 27 Culbreth games stayed under the total.

-- TB-Colo-- Favorites won last four Dreckman games.

-- A's-NY-- 11 of last 14 Meals games went over the total.
-- Min-Clev-- Four of last five Winters games went over total.
-- Sea-Tor-- Home team is 25-8 in last 33 Barksdale games.
-- Chi-KC-- 11 of last 14 Muchlinski games went over the total.
-- Balt-LA-- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Vanover games.
-- Det-Hst-- Five of last seven TWelke games went over the total.
-- Bos-Tex-- Home team won 15 of last 20 Knight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, May 5

MLB weather report: Windy conditions around the league

A lot of wind blowing both out and in around the majors on Sunday, including wind blowing in at Wrigley.

Here's the rest of the notable weather for Sunday's MLB action:

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (+100, 7)
Site: PNC Park

The wind will blow in from left field at 15 mph. The under went 6-1 in 2012 when the wind blew in from left field.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (+141, n/a)
Site: Wrigley Field

The wind will blow in from right field at 12 mph.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-181, 7.5)
Site: Citizens Bank Park

The wind will blow from right field to left field at 11 mph.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (+109, 8)
Site: Petco Park

Skies will be cloudy and forecasts are calling for a 20 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow out to center field at 17 mph.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants (-138, 7)
Site: AT&T Park

Wind will blow out to left field at 20 mph.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians (-138, 9)
Site: Progressive Field

Wind will blow from right field to left field at 14 mph.

Oakland A's vs. New York Yankees (-132, 8.5)
Site: Yankee Stadium

Wind will blow in from center field at 10 mph.

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (-117, 8)
Site: Kauffman Stadium

Wind will blow from left field to right field at 10 mph. Forecasts are calling for a 20 percent chance of rain.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels (-114, 8.5)
Site: Angel Stadium

Skies will be cloudy and there will be a 20 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
New York Islanders +147 over Pittsburgh
(System Record: 56-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 56-41-3

Basketball Crusher
Memphis Grizzlies +3 over OKC
(System Record: 97-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 97-75-4

Baseball Crusher
Colorado Rockies -113 over Tampa Bay Rays
(System Record: 16-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 16-20

Soccer Crusher
Tigre + Independiente OVER 2 - Argentina
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 393-15, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 393-341-48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

May 5th 2013

Sunday NBA & MLB

Grizzles +3 over Thunder
The Thunder did enough to get by Houston, but it was not pretty. Its clear this team is not the same without Westbrook and Durant was two more losses away for being on the hot seat for the rest of his career until he won a championship. This is a totally different matchup. Memphis is not going to hit the 3's or score like Houston, but OKC is not going to drive into the lane and get easy buckets like they could against the Rockets. Memphis already beat this team twice this year and I think the Grizzles are a dangerous team. They look like they are ready to make a run at the finals. This should be a pretty low scoring game and that always favors the underdog. I don't think Oklahoma City can beat a good defense without Westbrook. Take Memphis.

Rangers -145 over Red Sox
Darvish/Lester
We have two great pitchers on the mound today, but watching Darvish this year has been amazing as it seems like he strikes out every batter he faces. Boston is slumping with the bats in this series and I just don't see where it gets easier for them against Darvish today. This teams starting rotation is really getting a name for themselves and are going to be right in the hunt in October if they stay healthy. Take the Rangers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA MEMPHIS at OKLAHOMA CITY

Play Against - Road teams (MEMPHIS) after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games
55-24 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.6% 28.6 units )
9-5 this year. ( 64.3% 3.5 units )

NBA INDIANA at NEW YORK

Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games
70-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.4% 34.6 units )
11-5 this year. ( 68.8% 4.1 units )

NBA MEMPHIS at OKLAHOMA CITY

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
62-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.1% 30.1 units )
6-6 this year. ( 50.0% -0.6 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY METS at ATLANTA

Play Against - Any team (ATLANTA) after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs against opponent with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games
149-100 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% 56.1 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS

BALTIMORE is 79-53 (+35.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.1)

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HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

BASEBALL

CHICAGO/KANSAS CITY UNDER 8 +100 (2PM)

BOSTON/TEXAS UNDER 8 -125 (3PM)

LAA -117 BALTIMORE (4PM)

LA/SF UNDER 7 -110 (8PM)

NBA

MEMPHIS/OKLAHOMA CITY OVER 186.5 (1PM)

NHL

PITTSBURGH/NYI OVER 5.5 -115 (12PM)

PERRY (SOCCER PLAYS)

Augsburg (GER-1) vs Freiburg (GER-1) - OVER 2.5+100