5-12-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker | MLB Total - Sunday, May 12 2013 1:10PM
951 MIL / 952 CIN OVER 8.5 single-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI

Baltimore (Chen) (-105) at Minnesota (Diamond) 2:10 PM ET

5* Baltimore (Chen) (-105)

We lost with Baltimore last night when they blew an early 3-0 lead. But as I wrote in yesterday’s analysis, this has been one of the most resilient teams in MLB standing 11-3/loss. Chen has been arguably Baltimore’s most consistent pitcher with a 3.40 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Baltimore has won 3/4 recent Chen starts as they enter with the momentum of winning streaks that are 15-8, 5-2 and 7-3 at this series site. Minnesota counters with Diamond who has made 5 starts since returning from the DL. The numbers look impressive for Diamond with a 3.30 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. But a closer inspection of his home/road splits shows that in 2 starts from this mound, Diamond has lasted just 10 2/3 innings with a 5.59 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. That continues a disturbing trend for Diamond that has now seen him go 0-6 with a 5.15 ERA in his last 8 home starts. Play Baltimore at this value price, a team who has more road wins than any other in the AL.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

4* Milwaukee Brewers ML +150

3* Yankees/Royals - OVER 7.5

3* Golden St Warriors +1.5

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SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +122 over N.Y. RANGERS

How can one explain the Rangers effort in Washington on Friday night? Here’s a team that was just coming off two home wins to tie the series and had momentum and everything else going for them in Game 5, only to come up with the most lame effort in this year’s playoffs. New York scored in the games’ first minute and didn’t come close to scoring the rest of the way in a 2-1 OT loss. An effort like that by the Rangers in the most important game of the series is something we just can’t ignore.

Washington now has a chance to advance and there are plenty of signs that it could happen. First, the Caps scored three times in both games in New York, meaning the Rangers needed four and although they got it, it isn’t likely to happen again. Rick Nash and Brad Richards both have one point through five games, Richards with a goal and Nash with an assist. The Rangers have just two power-play goals in 21 attempts while the Caps have three PP goals in just 14 attempts in this series and that’s a key. The Rangers have avoided the box and if the calls are equal today, and it appears as though the refs have been instructed to make only blatant calls in elimination games, than the Caps chances increase. Braden Holtby has been just as good as Henrik Lundqvist and in a series that has seen every game but one decided by one goal, the Caps taking back a tag offers up more value than the Rangers spotting one. Good night Blue Shirts.

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SPORTS WAGERS

Colorado/ST. LOUIS Under 7½

After a solid run in MLB over the past couple of weeks, we went 0-2 yesterday and will slow down a little today because big runs like that don’t last long. With that, we’ll play one total today. Last week we mentioned the effects of barometric pressure on the flight of the baseball and how it can affect the total. A rising barometer means the air is getting “heavier” and a falling barometer means the air is getting lighter. A heavy pressure system has moved into the Midwest and East suggesting there could be quite a few unders today and we’re going to step into this one. The Rockies have not scored a run in two days. Over that span they have three hits. Prior to that, the Rocks played three games at Coors Field against the Yankees and scored five times in those three games. Over the past six games, Colorado has scored two runs or fewer in all of them and things are going to be just as difficult here against Jaime Garcia. Garcia’s 65% groundball rate leads the majors. His 14% line-drive rate is in the top five in the majors. When hitters make contact off this guy, it’s either on the ground or a lazy infield fly. His ability to locate his pitches to near perfection continues to be a talent you can rely on.

Jorge De La Rosa is much more likely to allow some runs than Garcia but again, the barometric pressure is rising in St. Louis and De La Rosa has not allowed a single earned run in three of his last five starts. This is a guy that shut out both Arizona and the Yanks in two home games over his last four starts. The normal red flags apply for a pitcher coming off Tommy John surgery, but De la Rosa's pre-injury skills are at least intriguing and he appears to be getting stronger with each passing week. Sunday’s are often days that managers give a couple of everyday players a day off. That could apply here but even if it doesn’t, the Rockies are seeing BB’s and even the Cardinals have only scored three times in each of the last two games.

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Hoopsgooroo

[966] Detroit Tigers -130 vs Cleveland Indians
[951] Milwaukee Brewers +145 vs Cincinnati Reds
[955] Chicago Cubs +152 vs Washington Nationals [979] San Diego Padres +135 vs Tampa Bay Rays
[969] New York Yankees +110 vs Kansas City Royals
[971] Baltimore Orioles -108 vs Minnesota Twins
[959] Atlanta Braves -105 vs San Francisco Giants
[963] Philadelphia Phillies +113 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
[976] Seattle Mariners +113 vs Oakland Athletics
[977] Los Angeles Angels +119 vs Chicago White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Z Money Sports

Colorado Rockies +150
Washington Nationals -150
Golden State +2.5

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GOODFELLA

2 Dime White Sox ML

2 Dime Oakland ML

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JACK JONES
NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NBA | May 12 '13 (3:30p) SAN ANTONIO GM4 vs GOLDEN STATE GM4

Total 198 ov-105 at 5dimes

20* Spurs/Warriors ABC Sunday No-Brainer on OVER 198 There is a ton of value on the OVER in Game 4 between the San Antonio and Golden State. The oddsmakers have set this number lower than any of the first three games. The books set the total in the first three games at 203, 204.5 and 201.5. I'll gladly take advantage of this value in Game 4, and you should too. Golden State has been at its best when going small ball, and after losing Game 3, I look for the Warriors to go small ball again. The Spurs are 22-11 to the OVER in road games off a road win over the last 2 seasons. They are combining with their opponents to average 203.3 points/game in this situation. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

5 Dime
Run Line

Cincinnati Reds RL-1.5

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JIM HURLEY SPORTS

Spurs/Warriors Under 199

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GoodFella

Sunday MLB Team Total

CINCINNATI REDS OVER 4.5 RUNS

We cashed our MLB Team Total again yesterday on the ORIOLES OVER 4 runs.
We're rolling along with our MLB Team Totals & have won 8 of our last 10 coming into today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOHN RYAN

25* Seattle +115 over Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Beat The Odds - Vegas Davis Picks

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros
Wager 5 units on Texas Rangers -150

LA Angels at Chicago White Sox
Wager 3 units on under 7.5

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
Wager 3 units on Golden State Warriors +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINEBEATERS

*
Sunday NBA

Warriors +1.5

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Sunday NHL

Ducks -1.5 +225

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Sunday MLB

Brewers +150

Padres +140

Royals -125

Orioles -105