5-14-13

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Beat The Odds - Vegas Davis

3 Knicks +6
3 Redsox +135
2 Tigers -1.5

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Vegas Bookie Plays

11 units Spurs -7

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Hoopsgooroo

[975] Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 -105 vs Philadelphia Phillies
[951] Milwaukee Brewers -116 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
[965] Seattle Mariners +108 vs New York Yankees
[975] Cleveland Indians -125 vs Philadelphia Phillies
[979] San Francisco Giants +129 vs Toronto Blue Jays
[967] Boston Red Sox +129 vs Tampa Bay Rays
[969] Chicago White Sox -107 vs Minnesota Twins
[974] Oakland Athletics +100 vs Texas Rangers
[961] Washington Nationals +167 vs Los Angeles Dodgers

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Pregame's First Preview

Fezzik Best Bet- Miami Dolphins OVER 6.5 WINS says would lay up to -160 .. the line has moved to 7 -120 @ cantor

Byran Leonard Best Bet- NYK-IND UNDER 180

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Allen Eastman

4 Whitesox/Twins Under 8

3 Seattle +105

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Where the action is: Big bets on Pacers spread, Spurs moneyline

Tuesday’s NBA slate has two huge playoff games on tap, with Indiana trying to put New York on the ropes in the East and the Spurs and Warriors fighting for the series lead out West. We talk with sportsbooks both online and in Las Vegas about the betting action heading into Tuesday’s tipoffs:

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers – Open: -4.5, Move: -5.5

The Pacers can take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a win at home Tuesday. Indiana has drawn the early action, jumping a full point to 5.5-point home chalk.

According to Jeff Stoneback at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, the ticket count is even for this game but almost 50 percent more money is riding on the Pacers. Similar betting patterns are showing up at online books as well.

“All the money in the opening game has been on Indiana,” Russ Candler of UWin.com told Covers. “The Knicks are absolutely friendless. I’d be amazed if it doesn’t go to -6 by the tipoff.”

The total for Game 5 opened at 180.5 and has been bet down to 179.5. The Pacers and Knicks have posted a 1-2-1 over/under count in this series so far.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs – Open: -8, Move: -7

Some markets opened with the Spurs as 8-point home favorites while others saw the early move coming and posted -7 instead. Action on the spread is quiet in Las Vegas, but books are bracing for more money on the under Warriors, who have become a favorite of NBA bettors this postseason.

“Just about every game, they’ve been on the Warriors,” says Stoneback. “Outside of the last one, when Curry was questionable, they’ve bet the Warriors. All through the Denver series and in this one against the Spurs.”

“At least they’re fun to watch,” Stoneback says of Golden State’s high-scoring attack. “If you’re going to throw $20 down on a game, they’re a lot more entertaining than that Pacers-Knicks series.”

While the spread isn’t moving much, online books have taken some sharp money on the Spurs’ moneyline odds to win straight up. San Antonio opened as high as -400 for Game 5 and is available between -345 and -310.

“In the late game, we’ve had a high-rolling ‘money buyer’ steam into the -320 on the Spurs winning straight up,” says Candler. “Good luck to him. I think this game is tighter than the 7-point line suggests.”

The total for Tuesday’s Western Conference semifinal opened at 195 and has dropped half a point at some markets to 194.5. The Warriors and Spurs have produced a 1-3 over/under count in this series, with the last three games finishing under the number.

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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

The Toronto Blue Jays are one of the biggest disappointments in all of sports this year, posting a 15-24 record and burning -10.10 units heading into this week, after making so many big-name moves this offseason. However, Toronto took two of three versus the Red Sox over the weekend and can do more damage in the AL East during an upcoming trip to New York.

Before the Blue Jays battle in the Bronx, they host the San Francisco Giants for a two-game interleague set starting Tuesday. It’s not often teams overlook the defending World Series champs but this series means little to the Jays when it comes to climbing the division ladder. Expect Toronto to already have its bags packed for the Big Apple and suffer a lookahead spot versus San Francisco.

Letdown spot

Every sport has its All-Star game and NASCAR is no exception. The Sprint Cup Series heads home to Charlotte Motor Speedway for Sunday’s celebration of stock car racing’s finest. Winners from this year and last season as well as wild cards from the Sprint Showdown race and fan vote compete for a $1 million Grand Prize. While a cool milli would be nice, one driver that isn’t getting up for the All-Star festivities is Sprint Cup points leader Jimmie Johnson.

The No. 48 car holds a hefty 44-point edge over Carl Edwards and is more concerned about protecting that buffer and preparing for the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte the following weekend. Johnson won the All-Star Race last spring and is expected to use this weekend’s event as trial and error for when it really counts as well as a chance to catch his breath before the summer schedule heats up.

Schedule spot

With early game spreads and season win totals already on the board, May is the unofficial start of the NFL season for football bettors. And while there is still four and a half months before the schedule starts, the Philadelphia Eagles will need all that time to learn new head coach Chip Kelly’s high-octane offense and prepare for a busy opening slate.

The Eagles, whose win total is set at seven, kick of 2013 with three games in 10 days. Philadelphia opens at Washington on Monday Night Football in Week 1 (+4.5), hosts the San Diego Chargers in Week 2 (-2.5), and welcomes the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football (-3) in Week 3. Philadelphia faced a similar run last year, playing four games in 18 days between Weeks 12 and 15, going 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS. The frantic start to the 2013 schedule leaves the Eagles little time to ease into a revamped game plan.

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NHL Eastern Conference playoff preview: Round 2

The opening round of the Eastern Conference playoffs were nothing short of dramatic and featured the Ottawa Senators' upset of the Montreal Canadiens in five games and the Boston Bruins' Game 7 comeback victory that seemed to fly off the pages of a Hollywood screenplay.

The top-seeded Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Senators with the Matt Cooke/Erik Karlsson subplot looming large ahead of Game 1 Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Bruins and New York Rangers will renew acquaintances in a battle of Original Six franchises.

Here's our Eastern Conference Round 2 playoff betting preview:

No.1 Pittsburgh Penguins vs. No. 7 Ottawa Senators

Season series: Penguins won 3-0 SU, 1-2 over/under

Series prices: Penguins -280, Senators +220

Why bet the Penguins: Scoring is never a problem for the Penguins, who led all teams with 25 goals in the first round of the playoffs. Pittsburgh displayed its scoring depth in its opening round series with the Islanders, boasting seven players that registered two goals or more. The Penguins also showed off their depth in goal. Although Marc-Andre Fleury dropped the ball in Round 1, veteran netminder Tomas Vokoun stepped in and stopped 66 of 69 shots in two outings for a sparkling 1.41 GAA and .957 save percentage.

Why bet the Senators: The Senators are well rested after dispatching the Montreal Canadiens in five games. They also won’t be road weary after making the short hour-long trip to Montreal for Games 1, 2 and 5. Stud forward Jason Spezza (back) is on the mend and could make a return at some point in the series. The center hasn’t played since the fifth game of the season and has 51 points in 53 career postseason games. Ottawa did a great job of slowing Pittsburgh’s power play during the regular season, holding them to a single goal on 15 chances with the man advantage.

No. 4 Boston Bruins vs. No. 6 New York Rangers

Season series: Rangers won 2-1 SU, 2-1 over/under

Series prices: Bruins -159, Rangers +115

Why bet the Bruins: Momentum. The Bruins battled back to win one of the more memorable Game 7s in recent history against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Down 4-1 with under 11 minutes to play, the Bruins triumphed in the face of adversity. After clawing their way back to 4-2 and with clock ticking, Patrice Bergeron awoke from his series-long slumber to net the equalizer with 51 seconds to play and then, finally, the overtime winner. Center David Krejci leads all playoff scorers with 13 points and linemates Nathan Horton and Milan Lucic have also been a handful for the opposition.

Why bet the Rangers: Rangers goalie Henrik Lundqvist has been playing up to his moniker of "King Henrik" thus far in the postseason. The Swede blanked the Washington Capitals in Games 6 and 7 to carry the Rangers into the second round. Lundqvist brings a 1.65 GAA and a sparkling .947 save percentage into the matchup with Boston. Center Derick Brassard has been a revelation for the squad, pacing the offense for the Broadway Blue Shirts with nine points in the seven-game series with the Capitals.

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Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Tuesday, May 14 2013 10:05PM
ML 973 TEX (-110) BetOnline vs 974 OAK double-dime bet


Tuesday Free Play
Mariners plus $1.08 at Yankees

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GoodFella | MLB ML - Tuesday, May 14 2013 7:05PM
ML 978 BAL (-133) Justbet vs 977 SDP triple-dime bet

Analysis:
"Inter-League GOM" (3*) o n the BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Tillman & Cashner Must Start


The Padres SP Cashner has been very poor in his 2 ROAD starts this season, at the Cubs and SF Giants. This Orioles offense/lineup is MUCH better/deeper than either of those. He is also a reliever turned SP as he has made just 4 starts in 104 games pitched in his career. Baltimore SP Tillman has been very strong over his L/4 starts. A sparkling 2.02 ERA over those 4 starts and getting his club deep into the game and handing the ball over to one of MLB best bullpens. The O's have won all 4 of his last 4 starts & I expect more of the same here tonight. Tillman to outpitch Cashner and hand the ball over to their very very strong bullpen and I look for a 6-3 type win from these Orioles tonight, and we are all over BALTIMORE tonight.

GOODFELL 2 Dime St Louis ML

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SCOTT LANDAU TUESDAY:

NBA = KNICKS +
Well the down 2-1 in Round 2 System that was 20-5 over ten years is now 1-2 this Postseason thanks to a flaming pile of Shit named the OKC Thunder and 30 seconds of BS at the end of OT that cost us a lot of money in addition to the hour it took to steal it. Let's not forget the refs hovering over the monitor for 7 minutes and still getting the call wrong.
Knicks are the last Play.

MLB = PIT +115 .... COL +105 .... MET +155 .... BOS +125 .... OVER 8 -115 sd-bal

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4_SEASONS NBA Power Play of the Day
KNICKS +6

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Bryan Rosica

25 Dime NY KNICKS

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Seabass Report for Tuesday:
50 Seattle
50 Tampa Bay
50 Cleveland
100 San Jose(SERIES)
100 New York Knicks
200 OVER Golden State

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4_SEASONS MLB Power Play of the Day
ARIZONA -135