5-15-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NHL Picks 5/15

7. Detroit Red Wings +174

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin's 20* MLB RUNLINE DEMOLITION (11-1)!
New York Mets (r) @ St Louis Cardinals (r)
Play on: St Louis Cardinals (r)

Sam Martin's 20* NBA "VEGAS INFERNO" (13-1 RUN)!
Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat
Play on: Miami Heat

Sam Martin's 25* NBA "CLASH OF THE TITANS" (13-1)!
Memphis Grizzlies @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Play on: Oklahoma City Thunder

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Larry's 8* Las Vegas Insider (71% L9 NBA days)
Memphis Grizzlies @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Play on: Oklahoma City Thunder

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Sports
MLB
Seattle +110
Kansas City/Angels OVER 8.5
Tampa Bay -120
NBA
Memphis/Oklahoma OVER 185

Robert Ferrigo
MLB
Atlanta/Arizona UNDER 8
Mets/San Luis OVER 8
Kansas City/Angels OVER 8.5
Seattle +110
Colorado/Cubs OVER 7.5
Tampa Bay -120Dodgers -140
NBA
Miami/Chicago OVER 181
Miami -14

Allen Eastman
MLB
Pittsburgh -120
NBA
Miami/Chicago OVER 181

Vegas Sports Informer
MLB
Kansas City/Angels OVER 8.5
NBA
Miami/Chicago OVER 181
NHL
New York Rangers +110

Indian Cowboy
MLB
Cincinnati/Miami OVER 8
NBA
Miami/Chicago OVER 181
NHL
Detroit/Chicago OVER 5

Jason Sharpe
MLB
Tampa Bay -120

Strike Point Sports
NBA
Oklahoma -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sebastian Report for Wednesday(Final)
50 UNDER Red Sox
50 Seattle
100 UNDER Heat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim donaghy / refspick

mem/okc under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Moneymaker
Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT LANDAU EVENING MLB:

(Waving the white towel in NBA until Round 3
after getting burned in 3 of 4 including an OT Rape,
with a Round 2 Angle that was 20-5 the last 10 years)

PIT -105
MIA +175
MET +185
WAS +132
SF -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

NBA

Chicago at Miami (-14) 7:00 PM ET TNT

3% Chicago +14

The 93-86 Game #1 win by Chicago on this court lit a fire under the Heat. Since that time, Miami has won by 37, 10 and 23 points. In those games, Chicago has totaled just 78, 94 and 65 points for an average of just 79 PPG. It seems that the more the Bulls try to turn this into a physical, defensive, half-court game, the worse their offense becomes. And they continue to do themselves no favors playing without 3 of their best offensive players in Rose, Deng and Hinrich. But on the verge of clinching the series and having proving their point in the previous 3 games, it looks like this is a mountain for a Miami team to overcome. I believe the Chicago team, who figures to play with great pride after the previous embarrassments, will respond. Big road dogs are outstanding NBA plays if they got blown out in the previous game and are now playing against a .750 or better team. I recommend a small play on the Bulls.



Memphis at OKC (-4) 9:30 PM ET TNT

3% Memphis (+4)

Most of us are holding a play on Memphis for the series at +140 which we made following their 93-91 Game #1 loss on this court. Now we will add to that series play with the generous underdog price. Since that Game #1 loss, Memphis has reeled off 3 consecutive victories over OKC by identical 6 point margins. All those games came down to crunch time in which 2 things were extremely obvious. First was the fact that Memphis, after repeated Playoff failures including last year’s meltdown to LAC, has learned from that experience and feel they deserve to win these close games. Secondly, is the obvious fact that OKC misses Westbrook particularly in the closing minutes where he seemingly had the ability to make all the right plays. Fundamentally, Memphis has a commanding edge on the interior with Gasol and Randolph. And the NBA’s best defense has held the high-scoring Thunder to 93 or less points in regulation of every contest. In so doing, the Grizz have extended their Playoff excellence to 9-0 ATS. And while it is never easy to back an NBA Playoff team on that kind of run, my opinion is that the line value still remains for a Memphis team who simply has too many fundamental advantages with defense and rebounding against the rudderless Thunder.



MLB

Milwaukee (Gallardo) at Pittsburgh ( Rodriquez) (-120) 7:05 PM ET

3% Pittsburgh ( Rodriquez) (-120)

In this game, we are looking to reverse a lot of negative history for Pittsburgh. Milwaukee is 30-9 in this series including 14-4 at this site. But after winning 9 straight games against the Pirates, Pittsburgh has now captured 2 of the last 3 meetings. Consider it to be a changing of the guard between these Division rivals. As one might expect, the starters history favors Milwaukee. In 8 recent starts against Pittsburgh, Gallardo has a 2.05 ERA including 17 2/3 scoreless innings in going 3-0 from this mound. In Rodriquez last 3 starts vs. Milwaukee, he has posted an 8.79 ERA. Just as the series history, those numbers are about to change based on the current form of these teams and pitchers. After last night’s 4-3 Pittsburgh victory, Milwaukee limps in at 2-10 in May being outscored 69-43. For the season, Gallardo has a 4.70 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and a 6.30 ERA in his last 2 starts. Rodriquez has always been among the best home pitchers in baseball. As he takes the mound tonight, he does so with a record of 4-1 and 1.90 ERA in his last 7 trips to this hill. History continues to reverse with the Pirate win tonight.



NY Mets (Marcum) at St. Louis (Miller) (-210) and (-1 ½ runs -110) 8:15 PM ET

5% St. Louis (Miller) (-210) and (-1 ½ runs -110)

Not about to jump off our meal ticket with St. Louis especially with this pitching matchup which looks just so obvious that it could back fire on us. But the numbers speak for themselves. NY enters on a 4-13 slide losing their last 5 games in which they have totaled 14 runs. For the year, they have a .227 BA with a bullpen that has a 102 index, the lowest in MLB. The Mets hurried Marcum back from the DL. That has proven to be a mistake. Marcum is 0-3 with an 8.59 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. Recently against St. Louis, Marcum is 0-3 with a 6.88 ERA. With last night’s 10-4 victory over the Mets, St. Louis is now 11-3 at this series site. The recent run for St. Louis, with the best record in baseball at 25-13, is 11-2. In that time, they have outscored the opposition 65-37. Miller has been a pleasant surprise. For the season, Miller has a 1.58 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 51/11 KBB. Miller comes off a 3-0 shutout of Colorado in which he allowed just 1 hit with 13 Ks. Run line players take note: 10/11 St. Louis home wins have come by 2 or more runs. My recommendation is that 60% of your play be on the run line which will return 80% of your top risk investment.



Washington (Detweiler) at LA Dodgers (Greinke) (-140) 10:10 PM ET

3% Washington (Detweiler) (+130)

It is no coincidence that after starting the season 6-3 that the Dodgers have gone 10-19 without Greinke in the rotation. Despite last night’s victory over Washington, LAD remains on a 3-9 slide. That victory pushed the Dodgers dominance of Washington at this site to 18-4. Enter Greinke who returns 4 weeks ahead of schedule following his trip to the DL with a broken collar bone (on field fight). After 2 starts in the season, Greinke had a 1.59 ERA, 0.71 WHIP and 10/1 KBB. Vs. Washington, Greinke is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA. At 16-22, the Dodgers are hurrying Greinke into the rotation. Although he claims he is ready, numbers from his rehab start indicate otherwise as he allowed 3 runs in 4 1/3 IP. An LA bullpen with 121 index cannot be counted on to finish the game when Greinke departs after limited innings. Washington counters with Detweiler who has a solid 2.53 ERA and 23/8 KBB. Detweiler is off a quality start in a 7-3 win vs. the Cubs in which he allowed 2 runs in 6 2/3 IP.



Texas (Ogando) (-110) at Oakland (Strailly) 3:35 PM ET

4% Texas (Ogando) (-110)

Rangers got a small measure of revenge with a 6-5 extra inning win last night. I figure Ogando still has much to prove. He was part of the pitching meltdown when he allowed 4 runs in 1/3 IP in the 8th inning of Oakland’s final day victory against Texas which gave Oakland the Division title. Look for Ogando and the Texas bullpen, with 170 index, to pitch a solid game. Following the 12-4 beginning against weak competition, Oakland enters on an 8-17 slide. Strailly has not been the answer. Strailly has a 7.06 ERA and comes off a 6-3 loss to Seattle in which he allowed 6 runs and 4 walks in 5 IP. In 4 appearances at the O.co, Strailly has an 8.84 ERA and has allowed a whopping 10 home runs. That is bad news against the big bats of Texas.



San Diego (Marquis) at Baltimore (Garcia) (-150) 12:35 PM ET

3% Baltimore (Garcia) (-150)

I reduce this rating a bit based on the solid season and good current form of Marquis. For the YTD, Marquis has a 3.48 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Marquis has won his last 3 starts in which he has allowed on 5 runs in 20 2/3 IP. Yet he has struggled in the past against Baltimore with a 10.80 ERA in 3 appearances. Baltimore blew one last night with a late 3-2 loss to San Diego. But the streak still remains 16-9 and 6-3 for the Birds. More importantly, we can rely on the most resilient team in MLB. Baltimore is 12-3/loss. Today’s Baltimore starter, Garcia, should also have plenty of incentive after being released by San Diego in the Spring. Shortly thereafter, Baltimore claimed Garcia who has a 4.26 ERA for the season but highly encouraging 0.79 WHIP. He will be primed to pitch one of his better games against San Diego. That is enough evidence to get our day started on the winning note with a small play on home standing Baltimore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Powerplaywins

POD OKC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather locks

BULLS

THUNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Bookie Plays

BULLS OVER 181

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian

BetThisPick

10-3 L/13 plays

4* Thunder -5
3* Angels/Royals UNDER 9
2* Cubs ML -132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New England Sports Syndicate


5/15/2013 7:05 PM EST (MLB) NEW YORK YANKEES VS. SEATTLE
SPREAD PICK: NEW YORK (-123) - RISK 1 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler | MLB RunLine - Wednesday, May 15 2013 7:10PM
906 Mia 1.5 -105 vs 905 CIN double-dime bet