5-17-13

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CHASE DIAMOND

8* Diamond Dog

San Diego+1½/-135

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Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Mets
(5 UNITS) Giants
(5 UNITS) Royals
(4 UNITS) Nationals
(3 UNITS) Phillies
(3 UNITS)Sea/Cle - UNDER 8.5

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PAUL LEINER

100* Angels -120

50* Over 7 - Padres/Nationals

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Hoopsgooroo

[919] Tampa Bay Rays +103 vs Baltimore Orioles
[915] Seattle Mariners +147 vs Cleveland Indians
[915] Seattle Mariners UNDER 8.5 -112 vs Cleveland Indians
[917] Toronto Blue Jays +134 vs New York Yankees
[908] Atlanta Braves -134 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
[921] Detroit Tigers +115 vs Texas Rangers
[911] San Francisco Giants -108 vs Colorado Rockies
[926] Oakland Athletics +111 vs Kansas City Royals
[927] Chicago White Sox +105 vs Los Angeles Angels
[914] San Diego Padres +130 vs Washington Nationals

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

"Mr Chalk" had Np on Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Indians -$160/Mariners.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-3 -$435 for the week and 25-14 + $192 for the 2013 Regular Season.


Ben lee won on Thursday with the Knicks -4.5/Pacers and has Np on Friday.

Ben lee is 13-8 +$410 for the NBA Conference Playoffs.


Ben lee pushed on Thursday with the under 5 -$140 Rangers/Bruins.

For Friday Ben lee likes the Penguins-$200/Senators.

Ben lee is 5-2 +$155 for the NHL Playoffs.

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5Lines

Total Line for 05/17/2013
(Lost last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Kansas City Royals : o7.5
Cost: -110

Run Line for 05/17/2013
(Won last 4 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks : -1.5
Cost: +105

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics - ROYALS TO WIN (-108)
Listed Pitchers: Shields vs Parker
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)

The Kansas City Royals took 2 of 3 vs Los Angeles this week to move to 20-17 on the year and 10-9 on the road. The Oakland Athletics dropped 2 of 3 making them just 2-8 over their last 10 games and they now sit 20-22 on the year and 10-10 at home. The Royals will send James Shield to the mound who is 2-3 on the season with a 2.48 ERA, .205 OBA and 0.97 WHIP. He has been consistently good allowing 3 earned runs against or fewer in 7 of 8 starts (with the other start being 4 ER). Over his last 5 starts he has allowed just 8 earned runs against getting through 6 or more innings in each. A's Jarrod Parker on the other hand is 2-5 with a 6.68 ERA, .321 OBA and 1.84 WHIP. Over his last 4 starts he has allowed 16 earned runs against. Pitching at home hasn't helped him at all as he is 1-3 with a 9.61 ERA at home this year and a WHIP just under 2 at 1.98. The Royals are coming off a series where they managed to score 22 runs in 3 games, while the A's have scored 22 runs in their last 7 games and have only scored more than 3 runs 3 times over their last 10 games. The A's are 1-5 in Parker's last 6 starts as an underdog and 1-4 in his last 5 home starts. I'm hoping on Kansas City to beat a struggling A's team behind Shields.


2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles - OVER 8.5 RUNS (-117)
Listed Pitchers: Hellickson vs Hammel
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.71 units)

The Tampa Bay Rays have lost two straight after giving up 3 runs in the 9th last night vs Boston. Before that they had won 6 straight games scoring 38 runs over those 6 games (6.33 runs per game). The Orioles have lost 4 of their last 6 games and they've given up 6+ runs against in 4 of those 6 games. Over their last 10 games they've scored 50 runs (5 per game). Tonight Tampa Bay will send Jeremy Hellickson to the mound who has had his struggles this year. He is 1-2 with a 5.25 ERA, .251 OBA and 1.27 WHIP. Over this last 4 starts he has allowed 18 earned runs against, and his ERA over his past 3 starts is sitting at 7.02. Jason Hammel will take the mound for Baltimore and he is also struggling although he has a 5-1 record. His ERA is sitting at 4.93 with a .278 OBA and 1.47 WHIP. At home his ERA is 5.68 although he has just two home starts this year, and his ERA for his past three starts is 7.20. The team is 7-1 in games he has started, which just shows you how much run support the Orioles are giving him. Take note that these two teams have met 6 times already this year with totals of 16, 8, 9 in Baltimore and 9, 15, and 11 in Tampa Bay. Hellickson gave up 5 earned runs in 6.1 innings pitched vs Baltimore at the start of the season, and Hammels gave up 3 earned runs in 6 innings pitched in Tampa Bay early this year. Also note that the OVER is 9-0-3 in the Rays last 12 road games, 19-5-4 in their last 28 overall, and 9-2-1 in their last 12 games vs a starter with a WHIP over 1.30. The OVER is 5-0 in Hammels last 5 starts overall and 5-1-1 in his last 7 home starts dating back to last season. This season the OVER is 4-0-2 between these two teams, and I'm surprised to see a total at 8.5 for tonight's game. I'm on the OVER.

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Larry Ness

Legend- LA Angels

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Docs sports

3-unit Play Take #919 Tampa Bay Rays (+105) over Baltimore Orioles (7:05pm ET) After a slow start to the season, the Tampa Bay Rays are finally starting to click. Despite dropping their last two games, they have won six of eight and are hitting the ball very well. They've average 5.9 runs per game over their last 17 contests and will look to keep it going against a struggling pitcher in Jason Hammel today. He has a 5-1 record on the season, but Hammel isn't pitching nearly as well as he did in 2012. His strikeout rate is down to 6.3 per nine innings from 8.6 last year. His walks are also up and he's not keeping the ball down like he has in the past. All of that has translated into a 4.93 ERA, which is a run and a half higher than last season. His career ERA is 4.78, so it's quite possible that last year was the aberration and that the Hammel were seeing this season is representative of the pitcher that he really is. I expect the Rays to jump on his early and for Jeremy Hellickson to pitch well enough to keep a dangerous Orioles lineup at bay. Take Tampa Bay here.

6-unit Play Take #925 Kansas City Royals (-110) over Oakland A's (10:05pm ET) Jarrod Parker hasn't been himself this season for the Oakland A's. He enters today's start at 2-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in eight starts. His biggest problem has been his control, as he's walking 4.9 batters per nine innings and his strikeout rate has declined from last season. He's battled some neck injuries, which obviously is affecting him more than he is leading on. Today he goes up against a Royals team that is swinging the bats pretty well lately. In their last series in Anaheim, the Royals scored 22 runs as they took two of three from the Angels. Kansas City will also have their ace James Shields on the mound today and he probably won't need very much run support. Shields is one of the best in the American League and comes in with a 2.48 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his first season with Kansas City. He's also great at going deep into games as he's averaging over seven innings per start. That makes it much easier for the Royals bullpen, which has some great arms at the backend. Until Parker shows that he's back to his form from last season, he's going to be on the fade list. With Shields going, you couldn't get a much bigger starting pitching edge for the Royals. Take Kansas City today as our 6-unit Game of the Month.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: New York Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago Cubs +120 (moneyline)

Not too much has gone right for the Mets this season, and despite the win yesterday, the Cubs have a better record. The Mets' offense has been brutal for quite some time, as they have produced 4 runs or less in 16 of their last 19 games, including 9 of their last 10. The Cubs' offense has been the most productive over their last five games where they have averaged 5.8 runs per contest. Harvey has come up aces for the Mets, but despite the fact that he has allowed 2 or fewer runs in seven of eight starts, the pen, and lack of offense has kept him out of the win column in each of his last four starts. The Mets are just 1-9 in their last 10 vs. a right-handed starter doesn't bode well for them here. Take the Cubs.

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The Philly Godfather


MLB [921] DET TIGERS +114 100: +114
MLB [901] NY METS -124 100: -124

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GoodFella | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 7:05PM
ML 916 CLE (-153) 5dimes vs 915 SEA double-dime bet

Analysis:

"A.L. GOW" 2* on the CLEVELAND INDIANS

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CHRIS JORDAN

200* Phillies -120

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Sam Martin's 25* DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR (15-5)!

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees May 17 2013 7:05PM Play on: New York Yankees

25* AL East Game of the Year on NY Yankees. This is already the third time these pitchers have faced off against each other, with the Yankees winning 5-3 in Toronto (each pitcher didn't factor into the decision) and then New York won 5-3 in the Bronx (Kuroda earned the win, Buehrle the loss). We're going to back Kuroda and the Yankees to make it three straight in this pitching matchup, and we love going against Buehrle in this spot.

The two team start losses means Buehrle is now 1-9 with a 6.19 ERA against the Yankees in his career, even worse owning a 1-13 team start record in those 14 career meetings. Kuroda is 3-1 (4-1 team start record) against Toronto with a 3.82 ERA. That's some kind of history, and we look for those trends to continue considering Buehrle has allowed 19 runs (18 earned) in 22 2/3 innings of work away from home this season - good for a high 7.15 earned run average (four road starts). Yankees have won six of the seven meetings this year between both teams. Everything points to an easy Yankees victory and we'll back them with our highest 25* rating tonight. 25* AL East Game of the Year on NY Yankees.

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Sam Martin: Sam Martin's 20* NHL PUCKLINE DEMOLITION (15-5)!

Ottawa Senators (p) @ Pittsburgh Penguins (p) May 17 2013 7:35PM Play on: Pittsburgh Penguins (p)

20* Puckline Play on Pittsburgh (-1.5 Goals). Great line value laying the goal and a half with Pittsburgh tonight, as the Penguins not only crushed Ottawa 4-1 to set the tone for this series, but continued their dominance over the Senators with their fourth win in as many chances against them. Penguins have won those four games by a combined eight goals and have held Ottawa to five goals scored in those four meetings. Pittsburgh beat the Islanders 5-0 in the opener last series but were shocked in a 4-3 loss in Game Two. That upset loss will be fresh in Pittsburgh's minds in this game and we don't expect them to be caught off guard again. Senators have done nothing in power play chances against Pittsburgh this year, converting just once in 17 chances. That includes 0-5 last night and if they can't score with a man-advantage we don't think they can stay close on the road. Pittsburgh now 21-7 on their home ice winning by 1.5 goals per game while Ottawa playing with poor history going 5-17 in Game Two's of a playoff series. Penguins on fire offensively scoring 4 or more goals in five straight and they take this one in a blowout. 20* Puckline Play on Pittsburgh (-1.5 Goals).