5-18-13

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #46
    SPORTS WAGERS

    Lucas Martin Matthysse by KO TKO or DQ +110 over Lamont Peterson

    This fight takes place in Atlantic City, at the Boardwalk Hall. The interim WBC light welterweight title is on the line and most experts are having a tough time calling a winner here. We see it differently. Lucas Martin Matthysse is 33-2 with 31 KO’s and both of his losses could have easily been wins. The Argentinian has uncanny power, as his 31 knockouts out of 33 fights can surely attest to. His punches hur even watching them and his boxing ability is underrated, as well. It’s surprising that he is only a 2-1 favorite because he would likely defeat this opponent 9 out of 10 times, suggesting he should be at least an 8-1 favorite.

    Lamont Peterson is in way over his head in here. The man nicknamed “Havoc” was knocked down and lost a wide decision to Timothy Bradley back in Dec. of 2009. He was given a gift win against the now we KNOW” overrated and over-hyped Amir Khan. Victor Ortiz had Peterson down twice in round 3. In his last, Peterson stopped a washed-up Kendall Holt in eight rounds and all we can say about that is “big deal”. Lamont was also recently suspended for substance abuse. Matthysse has his career on the line in this one, and an impressive win here will ensure him some upcoming big-time fights/paydays. This one might not end in the first round, like Lucas’s last fight did, but there is little doubt that he’ll either knock Peterson out cold or it will be a slower/gradual breakdown. Either way, this one isn’t going to make it to the final bell and Peterson is not going to emerge victorious. It’ll be Matthysse who gets the EMPHATIC statement win.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #47
      SPORTS WAGERS

      INDIANA -5 over New York

      The Pacers only received notice a few hours before tip-off in Game 5 that starting point guard George Hill would have to miss the game due to failing the NBA’s concussion policy. The Pacers certainly had no inkling that this would happen and had to insert D.J. Augustin into the starting line-up on such short notice. George Hill’s status is questionable for this one, although he is scheduled to undergo tests this afternoon in the hopes of playing tonight. Even if he is absent, we feel confident that the Pacers can still soundly defeat the Knicks at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

      The Knicks don’t have the greatest point guards to begin with. Even with D.J. Augustin inserted into the starting unit, it is still a wash with the Knicks employing a below-average 3 point-guard rotation of Raymond Felton, Pablo Prigioni, and Jason Kidd. None of the Knicks three points guard would qualify as a top 20 point guard in this league, so having to resort to starting D.J. Augustin in place of George Hill isn’t that much of a nightmare for the Pacers as one would think. This isn’t like the Thunder losing Russell Westbrook. The Pacers still rely mainly on Paul George and Roy Hibbert, with David West proving to be a big factor in this series as well. Hibbert was stymied in Game 5 as he was plagued for most of the game with foul trouble and only ended up playing 31 minutes. With Hibbert off the court for those 17 minutes, the Knicks outscored them by 10 points, which ended up being the difference in the game’s final margin. As long as Hibbert can minimize the foul calls against him here, then the Knicks are in trouble.

      Meanwhile the media has dubbed Game 5 as J.R. Smith’s “breakout” game. We fail to see how he came anywhere close to having a breakout game. J.R. Miss still shot under 40%, which stretches his streak now to eight straight playoff games and he was only 1 of 4 from beyond the arc. Carmelo yet again played me-first basketball as he shot the ball 28 times, and failed to collect a single assist. The Knicks can get away with that in MSG, but when these shots aren’t dropping on the road, they will be hard-pressed to beat the Pacers, whose game-plan involves pounding the ball in the paint with Hibbert and West. Lastly, it has to be mentioned that the Pacers have played inspired basketball all season in front of their home crowd. The Knicks have failed to win a game in the regular season or postseason this year in Indiana. Indiana has also won all five of their home playoff contests by double digits margins. These trends certainly support a play on the Pacers in this one, as they will be energized and ready to close out the Knicks, with or without George Hill. It is time for the Pacers to wear their own funeral black to the stadium to celebrate the demise of the Knicks and we’re on it.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #48
        GoodFella Free Saturday MLB Team Total (12-3 L/15)

        Gotta be brief here, but we cashed yet another MLB Team Total last night on the A's UNDER 3.5 runs & we're now (12-3 L/15) MLB Team Totals. Here is another strong MLB Team Total for Saturday. All the best to everyone on Saturday and this weekend.
        Saturday MLB Team Total

        BALTIMORE ORIOLES OVER 4.5 RUNS
        (@bovada)

        The O's have seen plenty of Hernandez/Fausto & several current O's have had success vs him....Add on the worn out and poor Rays bullpen and coupled with this being a "day game" (ball travels better in said day games) and a decent weather pattern for us too here......Let's cash another MLB Team Total this afternoon.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #49
          Sam Martin: Sam Martin's 25* MLB "KING'S RANSOM" (7-1 RUN)!
          Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians May 18 2013 1:05PM
          Play on: Cleveland Indians
          25* Play on Cleveland. Excellent pitching advantage to the Indians, who come in with momentum after a walk-off three-run home run last night over these Mariners and send Zach McAllister to the hill. McAllister is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his four home starts and owns a perfect 3-0 team start record in his last three outings, allowing just four earned runs over 20 2/3 innings. That includes 7 2/3 shutout innings against Oakland in a tough 1-0 win his last time out at Progressive Field.

          Seattle counters with Joe Saunders who has been just plain awful on the road, going 0-4 in four road starts with a very high 12.53 ERA. He's allowed 26 runs - all earned - in 18 2/3 innings of work including 7 runs in 5 IP in his last road start against Toronto. In fact, Seattle has been blown out in all four of his road outings, losing by 8, 7, 7, and 4 runs. Cleveland has won 15 of their last 19 games overall and with this pitching matchup they win easily this afternoon! 25* Play on Cleveland.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #50
            Steve Budin - CEO


            Saturday's Pick


            100 Dime play from the Brooklyn College Boys on Indiana over New York in Eastern Conference second-round action. The Pacers are -4 1/2 at the overwhelming majority of books I've checked in Vegas and offshore as I go live with this play at 12:15 PM Eastern on Friday afternoon.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #51
              ASL Sports Group 5/18

              Rays ML -105
              Mariners ML +140
              Rangers Under 9.5
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #52
                BookieHunter

                Pacers -4 1/2 Triple Dime Bet
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #53
                  Scott Landau Day MLB:

                  NYY -117
                  BAL +106
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #54
                    JACK JONES

                    MLB Baseball Premium Picks

                    MLB | May 18 '13 (7:10p)
                    Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves
                    Los Angeles Dodgers
                    +150
                    at SIA
                    15* NL Mound Mismatch PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Dodgers +150

                    The Los Angeles Dodgers should never be this big of an underdog given the talent they have on their team. They are showing arguably their best value of the season tonight as a big road underdog to the Atlanta Braves.

                    Year in and year out, Chris Capuano is one of the most underrated starters in the league. The left-hander is 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 10 career starts against Atlanta.

                    The Dodgers are 19-4 (+16.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Capuano is a very profitable 21-14 (+15.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. Roll with the Dodgers Saturday.
                    MLB | May 18 '13 (7:15p)
                    Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
                    Milwaukee Brewers
                    +150
                    at SIA
                    15* NL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers +150

                    Great value here with the Milwaukee Brewers as a big road underdog to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals don't have the kind of edge on the mound that this line would indicate.

                    Marco Estrada has been dominant away from hitter-friendly Milwaukee. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 0.949 WHIP through four road starts in 2013.

                    The Brewers are 10-1 in Estrada's last 11 starts vs. National League Central opponents. Milwaukee is 6-1 in Estrada's last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. The Brewers are 4-1 in Estrada's last 5 starts as an underdog. Take the Brewers Saturday.
                    [ back to top ]
                    NBA Basketball Premium Picks

                    -= TOP PLAY =-
                    NBA | May 18 '13 (8:00p)
                    NEW YORK GM6 vs INDIANA GM6
                    INDIANA GM6
                    -5-107
                    at 5dimes
                    20* Knicks/Pacers Game 6 ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -5

                    The Indiana Pacers will close out the New York Knicks in Game 6 in blowout fashion. Indiana hasn't lost at home the entire playoffs, and it's not about to start losing today.

                    This has been one of the best home teams all season, especially in the playoffs. The Pacers are 35-11 SU & 27-19 ATS at home this year, outscoring opponents by 8.6 points/game.

                    New York is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Bet the Pacers Saturday.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #55
                      Sebastian Report for Saturday-all 50 units:
                      Red Sox
                      White Sox
                      Baltimore
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #56
                        Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

                        Game: San Francisco at Colorado (8:10 PM Eastern)
                        Pick: Game Total UNDER 10.5 (-110)

                        After a pair of slugfests to open this series, I expect things to settle down here in Game Three. The Giants starter, Tim Lincecum is getting ever close to the form that made him one of the top pitchers in baseball, as he has struckout at least 6 batters over each of his last five starts, and has a respectable 3.76 career ERA vs. the hard-hitting Rockies' lineup. Tyler Chatwood has held the Giants in check, establishing a 2.93 ERA against them in limited appearances. The UNDER is 17-8-1 in Lincecum's last 26 starts after his team scored 5+ in their previous game. The Rockies are 8-3-1 to the UNDER in their last 12 vs. a winning team. Look for the pitchers to be in charge here, so play the UNDER.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #57
                          Jason Sharpe
                          4 Yankees -115

                          Robert Ferringo
                          1 Seattle +145

                          Doc Sports NHL
                          3 Det/Chic Over 5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #58
                            Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

                            Game: New York at Indiana (8:00 PM Eastern)
                            Pick: Game Total UNDER 179.5 (-110)

                            The deeper this series goes, the harder it has become to score for both teams. Over the last three games, they have averaged just 162.6 points per game. The Knicks are getting nothing from Jason Kidd, as he is 0-17 from the field in his last nine games. The Knicks have averaged just 77 ppg in the two games played here, and Melo has yet to make a field goal in the fourth quarter here, when the Pacers really turn it up defensively. The Knicks are 26-17 UNDER this season when facing a winning team. They are also 26-16 UNDER after a home game. Indiana is a perfect 7-0 this year after back-to-back games in which 175 or fewer points were scored. Take the UNDER.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #59
                              Parlay King

                              MLB
                              A's

                              Parlay
                              Phillies
                              Yankees
                              A's

                              NBA
                              Knicks
                              Knicks ML

                              Parlay
                              Knicks & Over
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #60
                                Executive
                                600-Philly
                                600's 1-0
                                400's 0-2
                                250's- under 50 percent this year
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