5-20-13

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BigBankRollers

Seattle/Cleveland - Over 8

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Kevin
MLBPredictions W/writeups

2 UNIT = Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians - UNDER 8 RUNS (-112) *EARLY START*
Listed Pitchers: Iwakuma vs Kazmir
(Note: Im risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)

The Mariners and Indians will play their 4th of this series as Seattle tries to avoid the sweep. The first 3 games has had Cleveland winning 6-3, 5-4 and 6-0. That leaves us with totals of 9, 9 and 6. Yesterday's pitching match up was a good one with Masterson vs Hernandez and we saw a total of 7 and it fell UNDER with 6 runs. Tonight we have two more solid starters in Hisashi Iwakuma and Scott Kazmir. By now if you've been following my picks you know that Iwakuma is one of the most consistent starters in the American League. He is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA, .183 OBA and 0.78 WHIP. He has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs against in 8 of his 9 starts with the other start being 3 ER over 8 innings. Kazmir is 2-2 over his 5 starts with the Indians with a 5.33 ERA, .284 OBA and 1.46 WHIP. He was roughed up a little in two of his starts and pitched well in the other three. At home he is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA, .222 OBA and 0.92 WHIP which includes a start he struckout 10 and walked none against the A's. The Mariners are 2nd last in the American League and 25th overall with just 160 runs this season (3.64 runs per game). The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Mariners last 4 vs lefty starters and 7-3-2 in their last 12 road games vs a team with a winning record. The UNDER is also 5-2-1 in the Indian's last 8 overall and 5-2 in their last 7 home games with a low total between 7 and 8.5. I'm on the UNDER this afternoon.

2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers - RANGERS -1.5 [Run Line] (+161)
Listed Pitchers: Colon vs Lindbolm
(Note: Im risking 2.00 units to win 3.22 units)

The Oakland A's will head to Texas after sweeping the Royals in Oakland over the weekend. Although they won 3 straight they scored just 8 runs over those three games and they've lost 8 of their last 13 games overall. They are 23-22 on the season and 10-12 on the road. Texas took 3 of 4 against a solid Tigers team this weekend and they've now won 5 of their last 6 to improve to an AL best 29-15 on the season and 14-5 at home. These two teams met last week in Oakland with the Rangers winning 2 of 3. Texas is 3rd in the MLB with 94 runs in May compared to the A's who are 29th with just 49 runs. As a team the Rangers are hitting .290 in May (2nd) and the Athletics are hitting just .219 (29th). Oakland will send Bartolo Colon to the mound tonight who is 3-2 with a 4.56 ERA, .272 OBA and 1.10 WHIP over his 8 starts. He faced Texas last week and gave up 3 earned runs over 6 innings of work. He started the year off solid, but over his last 3 games he is 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA. Texas will hand the ball to Josh Lindblom who will make his first Major League start (he has appeared in 101 games as a reliever). So far in Triple-A this year he has 8 appearances (7 starts) and has posted a 4-0 record, 2.08 ERA, .173 OBA and 0.88 WHIP. Last year in relief he was 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA, .232 OBA and 1.35 WHIP with time between Philly and the Dodgers. Note that 9 of the Rangers last 12 wins have been by 2+ runs including their last 4 victories. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 16-5 in their last 21 vs divisional opponents. They are also 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs Oakland. Right now Texas has very hot bats, while the same can't be said for Oakland. Given Colon's recent struggles I think the Rangers can tag him for a handful of runs tonight. I like the run line here getting a nice +161 for Texas to win by 2+.

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Doc's Sports

2-unit Play Take #962 San Francisco Giants (-135) over Washington Nationals (10:15pm ET) It's been a tough year for San Francisco's Ryan Vogelsong. At 1-4 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.84 WHIP he's been one of the worst pitchers in the National League. Manager Bruce Bochy has already hinted that this might be his last chance to save his job in the rotation. Vogelsong has never been a great pitcher, but has always gotten the job done and put up decent numbers over the course of his career. He's 35-years old, so he's obviously past his prime, but I think he can get it together and still be effective for the Giants. His peripheral numbers indicate an ERA in the mid-4's, so he is obviously experiencing some bad luck during this stretch. He's pitching at home today and that's where he's been most comfortable over the last few seasons. He'll face a Nationals lineup that hasn't been able to produce much this season. Washington is 13th in runs scored in the league and they're without Jayson Werth and maybe Bryce Harper today. Washington is just 3-6 in their last nine games and this will be their fourth different city in nine days. They're also going with reliever Zach Duke as their starting pitcher today to replace the injured Ross Detwiler. Duke has an 8.40 ERA in nine relief appearances this season and barely made the Washington roster to begin with. He's only pitched one complete season over the last four years, so he's obviously struggled to keep it together recently. I like Vogelsong to come up with a strong start today and get the win over the Nationals.

Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

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Allen Eastman

4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Arizona at Colorado (8:40 p.m., Monday, May 20)

3-Unit Play. Take #957 Arizona (-105) over Colorado (8:40 p.m., Monday, May 20)

I really like Arizona tonight. This should be a very hard fought series. But I am giving the Diamondbacks the upper hand. Arizona is 13-8 on the road this year and played well in Miami over the weekend. The Diamondbacks have won four of five in this series and they have a big pitching advantage today. Patrick Corbin is 8-0 in his eight starts this year and has just a 1.52 ERA. Arizona has won 11 of his last 12 starts. Jon Garland has a 4.89 ERA for the Rockies and he has looked average. The 'under' has gone 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. And it is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Colorado. The 'under' is 13-5-2 when Arizona plays a team with a winning record and 5-2 in Corbin's last seven starts overall. I am going to continue to back the young lefty here. I think he is going to lead Arizona to a win and keep this one low scoring.

3-Unit Play. Take #955 L.A. Dodgers (-135) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Monday, May 20)

I am going with the Dodgers in this game. They are going with ace Clayton Kershaw and he is what they need to stop their losing streak. Kershaw has a 1.40 ERA on the seson and just a 0.79 ERA in his last three starts. He has been much better than Milwaukee's Yovani Gallardo. The Brewers are back home after a terrible road trip and they have lost eight of 10 games. Milwaukee was beaten down by rival St. Louis and I think that one will stick with them. The Dodgers took two of three from Milwaukee when they played in California earlier this year and I think that they will get another series win here this week. Take Kershaw.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Miami +1.5 runs -110 (runline)

The wins haven't come easy for either team here, and neither have the runs. The Phillies offense, once one of the best in baseball, has aged into becoming sub-par as they have scored three runs or less in 24 games on the season, making them a ripe candidate on the road to fade on the runline. The Phillies have already been shutout six times on the season. The Marlins' pitching has been superb, allowing a single run in each of their last two games, and the Phillies have been brutal behind Hamels, where they are 1-8 in his last nine starts, and 0-6 vs. a team that scored two or less in their last game. The Marlins are 5-0 behind Sanbia when he pitches following his team allowing two or less in their last game. Runs will be at a premium here, play on Miami on the runline.

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Sports Handicapper King

MLB
SAN FRANCISCO

NHL
CHICAGO

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CHRIS JORDAN

200* Brewers +125

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The Philly Godfather

My Moves

• MLB [974] CHI WHITE SOX +135 200: +135

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JACK JONES

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

MLB | May 20 '13 (7:10p) Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves	Minnesota Twins +144 at BetOnline
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Minnesota Twins +144 The Atlanta Braves have no business being this heavily favored over the Minnesota Twins Monday. The Twins actually have the edge on the mound in this one, yet they are a big road underdog here. Kevin Correia has been going under the radar all season. The right-hander has gone 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.230 WHIP through eight starts in 2013. Correia is 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta as well. Julio Teheran had a solid spring training for Atlanta, but he hasn't been able to convert that success into the regular season. Teheran is 2-1 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.476 WHIP in seven starts this year, including 0-0 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.936 WHIP over two home starts. Correia is a very profitable 36-36 (+17.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games, and 2-7 in their last 9 interleague home games. Roll with the Twins Monday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

MLB | May 20 '13 (8:10p) Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers -132 at 5dimes
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -132 The Los Angeles Dodgers should be a much heavier favorite over the Milwaukee Brewers tonight with ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound. They have a huge edge on the rubber over Yovani Gallardo and the Brewers in this one. Kershaw has gone 4-2 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.871 WHIP through nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in his last three. The former Cy Young winning has pitched eight shutout innings in two of his last three starts against Milwaukee. Yovani Gallardo has completely lost it this season. That's probably a big reason why he got a DWI earlier this year. Gallardo has gone 3-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.462 WHIP through nine starts in 2013. He is also 1-3 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in six career starts against Los Angeles. Kershaw is 16-2 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. The Brewers are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Milwaukee is 0-6 in its last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. These three trends combine for a 30-2 system backing Los Angeles. Bet the Dodgers Monday.

MLB | May 20 '13 (8:40p) Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks -109 at BetOnline

15* MLB Mound Mismatch PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -109 Arizona starter Patrick Corbin has been one of the most underrated starters in the league all season. He continues to get overlooked by oddsmakers tonight as only a small favorite over the washed up Jon Garland and the Colorado Rockies. Corbin has gone 6-0 with a 1.52 ERA and 1.069 WHIP over eight starts in 2013, and the Diamondbacks are a perfect 8-0 in those eight contests. The left-hander is also 3-0 with a 0.89 ERA and 1.082 WHIP over his last three starts. Jon Garland is far past his prime. The veteran right-hander is 3-4 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last three. Corbin is 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his last two starts against Arizona, allowing three earned runs over 13 2/3 innings of work. Garland is 3-4 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in nine career starts against Arizona. He allowed four runs, three earned, and 10 base runners over 6 innings in a 2-4 loss at Arizona on April 28th. Corbin is 9-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 11-1 in Corbin's last 12 starts overall. Take Arizona Monday.

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Indian Cowboy

2 Unit Play NHL: #22. Take Detroit Redwings +120 over Chicago (Monday @ 7:35pm est).

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Bob Balfe

SF/Wash Over 8

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Robert Ferringo

5/20

Take Over (5) Chicago at Detroit (7:35 pm, Monday, May 20th) (+105)

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Greg Shaker | MLB ML - Monday, May 20 2013 8:05PM
ML 970 TEX -118 vs 969 OAK double-dime bet

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Ultra Sports Free Play

9-7 +185

Texas -120 List Lindblom vs. Colon

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Danny B

Mets/Reds OVER 7.5