5-21-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NBA | May 21 '13 (9:05p) MEMPHIS GM2 vs SAN ANTONIO GM2

MEMPHIS GM2 +5½-110 at betus

20* Grizzlies/Spurs Game 2 ANNIHILATOR on Memphis +5.5 Almost everything that could go right for San Antonio in Game 1 of this series did. The Spurs shot 52.6% from the field, including 14-of-29 (48.3%) from 3-point range. I look for Memphis to make the proper adjustments, which will certainly help cool off the Spurs as they clearly won't shoot nearly that well again. This has been a resilient Grizzlies' team all year, and I fully expect them to give San Antonio all it can handle in Game 2. Memphis is still a blistering 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall. San Antonio should not be a bigger favorite than it was in Game 1, which is another reason why I believe there is a lot of value in backing the Grizzlies here in Game 2. The public is overreacting from the Spurs' blowout win in Game 1. The Grizzlies are 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Lionel Hollins is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more as the coach of Memphis. Bet the Grizzlies Tuesday. MLB Baseball Premium Picks MLB | May 21 '13 (8:10p) Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers -127 at 5dimes 15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -127 The Los Angeles Dodgers are showing excellent value as a small road favorite over the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. Given the edge they have on the mound, they should be a much heavier favorite in this one. There have been some rumors surrounding the possible firing of manager Don Mattingly. He didn't necessarily call anyone out, but he did say that he needed Clayton Kershaw and Zach Greinke to be dominant, and for Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford to produce more in the meat of their line-up. Los Angeles responded well last night with a 3-1 victory over Milwaukee in Game 1 behind a complete game from Kershaw, and a couple of homers from Kemp and Ethier. Now, I fully expect a dominant outing from Zach Greinke tonight. Greinke has gone 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.780 WHIP through three starts this season. He'll be up against Hiram Burgos, who is 1-2 with a 6.58 ERA and 1.500 WHIP through five starts this year. The Brewers are just 3-15 in May games this season. Greinke is 26-8 (+16.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is 4-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Greinke is 41-14 (+21.0 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take the Dodgers Tuesday. MLB | May 21 '13 (10:10p) St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals -137 at 5dimes 15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on St. Louis Cardinals -137 After losing Game 1 of this series to San Diego 4-2, I look for the St. Louis Cardinals to bounce back with a victory in Game 2 behind ace Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals have a big edge on the mound in this one. Wainwright is 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.005 WHIP through nine starts this season, and 3-2 with a 0.97 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in five career starts against San Diego. Edinson Volquez is 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.582 WHIP in nine starts this year, and 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.477 WHIP in nine career starts against St. Louis. St. Louis has been remarkable at bouncing back from a loss this season. It has only gone on a losing streak twice, and those were two and three games skids. The Cardinals are 13-3 following a loss in 2013, and 20-6 in their last 26 games following a loss since last year. The Cardinals are 5-0 in Wainwright's last 5 starts as a road favorite. St. Louis is 7-1 in its last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 11-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Roll with St. Louis Tuesday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Highrollerplays

Wise Guy Insider Play
Memphis Grizzlies VS. San Antonio Spurs
NBA Memphis Grizzlies +5 (9:05 eastern start time)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Danny B

Baltimore Orioles
OVER Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Grizzlies +5.5

(5 UNITS) Tigers
(5 UNITS) Rays
(5 UNITS) Reds
(4 UNITS) Rockies
(3 UNITS) SD/Stl - OVER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES

MLB - 915 Tampa Bay Rays @ 916 Toronto Blue Jays
(Starting Pitchers: A. Cobb vs R. Ortiz)
These two teams have been showing great offense on their last games and the first game of this series proved exactly that, with the Blue Jays winning that game by 7-5! Alex Cobb has been excellent this season, with great strikeout numbers and with a limited number of walks: 2.89 ERA, 3.58 FIP and 2.90 xFIP! This is important to face a red hot offense like the Blue Jays right now, as Toronto is #12 on the league in K% rate with 20.7%!

On the other side, Ramon Ortiz may have a 2.35 ERA right now, but he is clearly worse than that, as the 4.08 FIP and 6.15 xFIP shows! He got away on his first start at Boston, even though he had 1 strikeout and 5 walks, while on his last start, he managed to allow just 1 run in 7 innings, with Toronto creating a huge lead against San Francisco at the start of the game, something that crushed the Giants' hitters. Still, Ortiz was just able to strikeout 1 batter in that game as well! Now against the Rays' lineup, he will struggle a lot! Tampa Bay is an elite team in drawing walks by being #5 on the league with 9.3%, while having a 11.6% walk rate on their last 14 days! They are hitting .283 BA against RH pitchers on their last 10 games, so I expect them to pound Ortiz today and have a nice road win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ A. Cobb) @ -134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RICH SPORTS

MLB
2* Balt -115
2* Laa -1 -115
1.5* Min +rl -120
1.5* Det -130

NBA
4* Memphis+5.5

NHL
2* La kings +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG CHIEF WINNERS MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Last night these two teams plays another Under. Since the start of last season this match-up has created a 12-5 record to the Under. Tonight shouldn't be any different.

Philly sends Tyler Cloyd to the mound. He will be coming up from AAA to make his second start of the season. His first in Arizona he went 6.1 innings, 2 hits, & 2 runs. Like the DBacks that night, tonight the Marlins will have to contend with the unfamiliarity of Cloyd. On top of that is the inability to score runs that Miami has been dealing with all season. This team has scored more than 3 runs only twice in the last 13 games & only 8 times in 45 games as they are the lowest scoring team in the NL at 2.71 runs per game. Their average is even worse at home where they average less than 2.5. Without Giancarlo Stanton this team really has no offensive firepower. Miami is last in the NL in run, home runs, batting average, OBP, SLG, & OPS. If this game gets over it will take the Phillies doing most if not all of the damage.

Taking on the Phillies tonight will be Miami's young phenom Jose Fernandez who 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA & 1.16 WHIP. He has actually faced the Phillies 2 times already this year. In two games through 13 innings he has given up 3 hits, 0 runs, 1 walk and 17 strikeouts. I think it's safe to say he has their number. His last three starts he has a 2.25 ERA & 1 WHIP. I would expect him to be strong yet again here tonight in the pitcher friendly Marlins Ballpark. The Phillies aren't much better offensivley ranking only a few spots ahead of Miami in every offensive category. On the road they are averaging less than 3 runs a game. They've scored 3 runs in 3 games and tonight will be without the services of Carlos Ruiz & Ryan Howard. A punchless offense without two of their big bats facing a pitcher who has been dominating them.

4* PICK : UNDER 7 (-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
milkee under 8.5
cleveland under 8.5
spurs under 183

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

POD Mets +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Landau TUE:

UNDER 7.5 -110 cub-pit
PHI -104
SF -113
CLE +123
MIN +185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root Pinnacle GOM

dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian 05-21-13

19-12 L/31 Plays +11.69 Units!



46-34-1 L/81 MLB Plays!



68-53-5 +17.50 Units in NBA in 2013!

60-44-1 +30.51 Units and hitting 58% in MLB this year!






5/21/2013
Game: Memphis vs Spurs
Pick: Memphis/Spurs UNDER 181 (-110)

2.2 Units

Pick Write-Up




5/21/2013
Game: Miami vs Phillies
Pick: Miami ML (-105)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.1 Units

Pick Write-Up





5/21/2013
Game: Nationals vs Giants
Pick: Nationals ML (+102)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2 Units

Pick Write-Up





5/21/2013
Game: Reds vs Mets
Pick: Mets ML (+102)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SweetJones55

Spurs Team total Over 93

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Sharp Memphis money shrinks spread

The NBA Western Conference finals flip the page to Game 2 Tuesday night. San Antonio scored a convincing 105-83 win as a 4.5-point home favorite in the series opener, so books have tacked on a couple extra points to the Game 2 spread. We talk to online book CarbonSports.ag about the betting action heading toward tipoff:

Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs – Open: -5, Move: -4.5, Move: -5.5

Some books opened the Spurs as 5-point home favorites and took early action on the Grizzlies, moving the line down half a point. Others released San Antonio -4.5 and climbed to -5.5 before Memphis money showed up.

“We eventually went to -5.5, as the money on the Spurs kept pouring in, but early this morning we booked sharp action at +5.5,” Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, told Covers. “Sharp action justified us going back to Spurs -5 and that's the number we're currently dealing.”

The total for Game 2 opened as high as 183 but has been bet down to as low as 181.5 points at some markets. The Spurs and Grizzlies played over the 181.5-point total in Game 1 but went 1-3 over/under in their four regular season meetings.

According to Stewart, the public has come in strong on the under. Since dropping their number from 182.5 to 182, action on both sides has balanced out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gil Alexander

2-Unit Tampa Bay -137