5-24-13

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Hoopsgooroo

[956] Cincinnati Reds -152 vs Chicago Cubs
[970] Tampa Bay Rays -109 vs New York Yankees
[971] Cleveland Indians +100 vs Boston Red Sox
[974] Houston Astros +145 vs Oakland Athletics
[976] Kansas City Royals +104 vs Los Angeles Angels
[957] Pittsburgh Pirates -105 vs Milwaukee Brewers
[961] St. Louis Cardinals -123 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
[978] Seattle Mariners -102 vs Texas Rangers
[964] San Francisco Giants -150 vs Colorado Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA action report: Money pouring in on Indy/Miami over

After an exciting start to the series, the NBA Eastern Conference finals move to Game 2 Friday night. Miami got a late driving layup by LeBron James to win the game 103-102, but failed to cover as the 8.5-point favorite. Lines opened with Miami as a 7-point favorite this time around and we talked to Jay Rood at The Mirage to check in on the betting action.

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat - Open: -7, Move: -7.5

Most books opened the line with Miami as the 7-point fave and has since moved to -7.5. When we talked to Jay, money had started to come in on the Pacers.

"Right now, there is a little lean to the Pacers at about 3:2," Rood told Covers. "The Heat do have their backers, but there is a lot of teaser money on the Pacers."

But it wasn't the action on the moneyline that had Rood talking. It was the action on the total. The total is currently 182 at most books but is 181.5 at the Mirage and money is pouring in on the over.

"The money coming in is exclusively over money," added Rood. "I would say that it's coming in at a rate of 20:1 on the over. Sharp money is also coming in on the over. We're probably going to join the rest of the world at 182 but we're not there yet."

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Joe Gavazzi Friday:

Friday, May 24th

MLB

Atlanta (Medlen) (-165, -1 ½ run EVEN) at NY Mets (Hefner) 7:10 PM ET

4% Atlanta (Medlen) (-165, -1 ½ run EVEN

Baseball has a funny way of evening out. In a streak ending last year, the Braves were unbeatable in Medlen starts providing plenty of support for his excellent pitching. This year, things have evened out. Being supported by only 2.4 RPG, 2nd lowest in baseball, Medlen is 1-5 with a 3.02 ERA. Medlen comes off one of his best performances of the season in which he allowed just 2 hits and no earned runs in 7 IP of a 3-1 Atlanta victory over LAD. It would be no surprise for that excellent work to continue as in 3 starts against NY last year, Medlen was 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA. Surely he will be superior to his mound opponent Hefner. The Mets are 0-8 in Hefner’s starts as he has posted a record of 0-5 with 5.00 ERA. There may be some concern about the fact that despite entering with 6 consecutive wins (all at home) it is noted that Atlanta is 6-13 away of late. But considering that NY enters on an overall 7-19 run, that is easily discounted. Especially considering that on this field, NY is recently 2-11 and 0-6 in which they have been outscored 36-14. Atlanta enters tonight with a record of 13-3 in this series. Run line players take note: 23/28 Atlanta wins have been by 2 or more runs including 11/13 on the road. Consider making part of your wager on the run line.



Pittsburgh (Burnett) (-105) at Milwaukee (Estrada) 8:10 PM ET

4% Pittsburgh (Burnett) (-105)

The back story of this game finds Milwaukee with a record of 54-8 vs. the Pirates in this series at this site. But that is ancient history considering the way these teams are currently playing and the fact that Pittsburgh just won 3/4 from Milwaukee in their previous series. After starting 1-5, Pittsburgh is on runs of 28-13 and 11-2. In those 13 games, the pitching staff has a 2.14 ERA. Compare that to Milwaukee who, in the month of May, has gone 4-16 with a team ERA of 6.77 while being outscored 108-67. Each of these pitchers have 3 victories. That is where the similarities end. Burnett has a 2.57 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 79/23 KBB. Estrada has a 5.44 ERA for the season including 9.31 ERA in 4 home starts.



St. Louis (Lynn) (-115) vs. LA Dodgers (Capuano) 10:10 PM ET

3% St. Louis (Lynn) (-115)

Now that Greinke has returned to the rotation and Capuano has begun to pitch better with a 1.32 ERA in his last 2 starts, I see the Dodgers stabilizing a bit following their 9-19 slide. But Capuano has struggled vs. St. Louis with a record of 1-5 and 6.58 ERA in 10 starts. And the Cards keep rolling up the victories with a record of 30-16 including an MLB best 16-8 away. Credit timely hitting and great pitching. St. Louis enters tonight on a run of 16-5 with a .362 BA with RISP. Using great starting pitching, they have outscored their foes 103-67. Lynn is included in that excellence with a record of 6-1, 3.27 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 57/23 KBB.



Minnesota (Deduno) at Detroit (Sanchez) (-215. -1 ½ runs EVEN)

4% Detroit (Sanchez) (-215, -1 ½ runs EVEN)

Detroit came from way back last night to win 7-6 for their 3rd consecutive victory. That victory dropped the Twins to 0-9 recently in which they were outscored 58-28. Deduno makes his 1st start of the season after being shelved with a groin injury. Last year in 15 starts, Deduno had a 4.44 ERA. In a trio of outings at AAA Rochester, Deduno had a 2.70 ERA. But when he last faced Detroit from this mound, Deduno was lit up with 7 runs in 2 1/3 IP. Detroit counters with Sanchez who has an ERA of 2.77, 1.23 WHIP, 68/14 KBB and in 2 outings vs. the Twins this year has allowed just 3 runs in 11 IP. Run line players take note: 22/26 Detroit wins have been by 2 or more runs including 12/14 home victories. Consider part of your action on the run line.



LA Angels (Vargas) (-115) at Kansas City (Mendoza) 8:10 PM ET

4% LA Angels (Vargas) (-115)

These two teams are clearly headed opposite directions. Following a 17-10 start, Kansas City enters tonight on a 4-13 slide. The Angels stood a miserable 15-27 before winning their last 5 games by combined scores of 42-16. There is a good chance that momentum continues for each with this pitching matchup. Vargas has won his last 5 vs. the Royals with an ERA of 2.18. Following a slow start, in his last 6 starts Vargas is 3-1 with a 2.47 ERA. In his most recent outing, he allowed only 4 hits and no earned runs in 7 IP of a 6-2 win vs. CWS. Mendoza is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA. In 3 starts vs. LAA, Mendoza has a 9.75 ERA.



NBA

Indiana at Miami (-7-) 8:35 PM ET TNT

3% Indiana +7-

No way to excuse the brain cramp of Indiana HC Vogel when he mysteriously sat rim-protector Hibbert in a pair of closing possessions that allowed Lebron to get to the rim and ultimately squeeze out a 103-102 Game #1 OT victory. Yet it was clear to all who watched that game that Indiana played Miami on even terms throughout. And the confidence attained by burgeoning Indiana star Paul George in knocking down a 30 footer to send the game to OT then making 3 consecutive foul shots to give Indiana a late game lead cannot be overestimated. Unfortunately, Indiana now has to win 5 games to win this series. If they are not too shell-shocked from the Game #1 results, they again have the fundamentals with the bigger and stronger team to use their outstanding defense and rebounding to take this to the final buzzer again. Historically, this has proven to be a strong zig-zag proposition for the road team particularly at this price range in Game #2 vs. a greater than .750 foe. We will give the Pacers a shot to prove that Game #1 was no fluke and hope their psyche did not get too badly bruised.



WNBA

Indiana Fever (-3) at San Antonio Silver Spurs 8:00 PM ET

3% San Antonio +3

This is opening night of the 2013 WNBA a season in which we will pull down enormous profit once again. For lowest rates and details on the 4 month season contact 724-715-7186. Last season, Joe was 62-41 ATS in the regular season including 22-9 ATS (71%) on top plays. This season begins for each team with critical injuries to both. Indiana won the WNBA crown last season getting on a late season run keyed by defense and rebounding to upset Connecticut and then Minnesota in the finals. They beat the Links without Katie Douglas, their veteran all around star and best 3 point shooter. She returns this year to join Tamika Catchings, the league’s best all-around player, as a dynamic duo. But 3 key components of last year’s team are on the injured list. Starting PG Erin Phillips (knee) will be out 4 to 6 weeks. Jessica Davenport, starting center, will also miss 6 to 8 weeks with a knee while 3 point marksman Jeannette Pohlen is out until August with an ACL. In short, Indiana will not resemble their Championship team until the 2nd half of the season. The Silver Starts have their own injury issues as they will miss their best player, Sophia Young (16/7) for the season. As well, veteran guard Becky Hammond is sidelined with a broken middle finger on her shooting hand. But very quietly, the Silver Stars have made the Playoffs 6 consecutive years under Dan Hughes who uses 9 to 10 players focusing on defense and a transition game. San Antonio was the ATS darling of the WNBA last year and was 12-5 SU on their strong home court in finishing just 1 game behind Indiana in the regular season. We take the value home dog in a game where too much emphasis in the line has been placed on the injuries of the home team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella | MLB Money LineFri, 05/24/13 - 8:10 PM
triple-dime bet 975 ANA (-120) 5dimes vs 976 KAN Vargas & Mendoza Must Start

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TMC SportsAdvisor

Pacers +7

Indians +100

Tigers -1.5 -120

Angels -120

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ANDRE GOMES

MLB - 965 Baltimore Orioles @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays
(Starting Pitchers: C. Tillman vs S. Nolin)
Toronto will start Sean Nolin tonight, who is earning his first trip to the big leagues by going 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA on three starts for New Hampshire. This is a huge test for him, as he has never pitched above Double-A. He is coming from Double-A into the major leagues to debut against a team that is #2 in the league in hitting against LH pitchers with a .794 OPS! Good luck!
Baltimore will start Chris Tillman, who continues to be in some nice form. He had a few problems against Tampa Bay on his last start, but he hung in there with just three runs allowed in six innings. I believe Tillman will be able to have another positive outing tonight, while Baltimore will expose Nolin's lack of experience at this level to pound him. Therefore, I see a clear pitching edge in here for the Orioles, while both lineups are hitting quite well and at a similar level right now, so I see good value on taking Baltimore tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ C. Tillman)

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DHayes

3* Reds -152
1* Reds -1.5 +145
2* Brewers -105
1* Indians +105

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Sebastian Report for Friday:
50 Angels
50 Detroit on run line
50 Pirates
100 Miami Heat
50 Pitt(hockey) -1 1/2 goals

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Ultra Sports MLB

Baltimore -114 list Tillman vs action

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Erin Rynning

20* TB

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Scott Landau FRI:

CUB +140
MIL +100
SD +132
BOS -1.5 RUNS +180

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
5* Rays -110
5* A's -155
1* Orioles -110
1* Red Sox -110
1* Angels -120
1* Cardinals -120
1* Giants -140
1* Marlins +160

NBA
1* Heat -360

NHL
1* Penguins -240

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Dr. Bob

Heat

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rangers Thursday.

Friday it’s the Heat. The deficit is 504 sirignanos.

[Biggamepicks]

I just joined this forum and I think I posted my FREE MLB selection in the wrong place. In any event, here it is again:
FREE MLB Selection FRIDAY, MAY 24, 2013:

MLB SIDES - FRIDAY, MAY 24, 2013
ATLANTA BRAVES vs NEW YORK METS
Pitchers:
ATLANTA BRAVES: KRIS MEDLEN (R) ERA: 3.02 W/L: 1-5
NEW YORK METS: JEREMY HEFNER (R) ERA: 4.71 W/L: 0-5
The Braves have won six in a row and seven of nine. New York is 3-8 in its last 11 games and just 2-11 at home in its last 13. The Mets have scored three runs or fewer in 12 of their past 16 games.
Right-hander Kris Medlen starts for Atlanta today, looking for his second win of the season. He has a 3.02 ERA for the season.
The Mets' Jeremy Hefner is 0-1 with a 8.53 ERA (six earned runs in 6 1/3 innings) in his career against the Braves, spanning two appearances (one start). His last start against Atlanta was Sept. 8, when he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up five earned runs on eight hits. The Mets are 0-8 in Hefner's starts this season, and 7-14 in his 21 career starts.
RECOMMENDATION: ATLANTA BRAVES (-156)

http://www.sportscapping.com/jeffrey-brandes.html