If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
St. Louis (Wainwright) (-115) at Kansas City (Shields) 2:10 ET
5* St. Louis (Wainwright) (-115)
In this contest, we are not about to back off winning money with the Cards hot streak and playing against the Kansas City losing streak. In a game where the YTD pitching numbers for Wainwright and Shields are a virtual mirror image, we need only look at the fact that Wainwright is 6-3 for the season while Shields is 2-5 for the year as a microcosm of the respective success of their teams. After a 7-10 start, the Royals are on negative slides of 4-16 and 1-9 in which they have scored a total of only 26 runs. In addition, KC is 0-8 on this field. St. Louis continues with the best record in baseball at 30-17 including 18-9 away. The Cards are 18-6 recently outscoring the opposition 118-75. St. Louis has owned this series of late with records of 16-7, 5-0 and 11-3 at this series site.
2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1.5 (+115) **EARLY START**
Listed Pitchers: Liriano vs Verlander
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.30 units)
2 UNIT = Atlanta Braves @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (+101)
Listed Pitchers: Hudson vs Buehrle
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.02 units)
NBA May 27 '13 (9:05p)
SAN ANTONIO GM4 vs MEMPHIS GM4
MEMPHIS GM4 -3
20* Spurs/Grizzlies Game 4 No-Brainer on Memphis -3
The Memphis Grizzlies have absolutely no quit in them. This team is not going to give in even though they are down 3-0. Memphis still believes it has a chance to come back and win this series against the odds. It starts with a home victory in Game 4 tonight.
Before their home loss to the Spurs in Game 3, the Grizzlies were undefeated at home in the playoffs. Their fans will come out and support them like they have all season. Memphis is now 37-10 at home this season.
This play falls into a system that is 53-20 (72.6%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
Memphis is 21-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are a perfect 7-0 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. They are bouncing back to win by 9.4 points/game in this spot. Bet the Grizzlies Monday.
2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1.5 (+115) **EARLY START**
Listed Pitchers: Liriano vs Verlander
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.30 units)
The Pirates won their final two vs Milwaukee over the weekend and have now won 6 of their last 7 games to improve to 31-19 on the season (13-10 on the road). They will now head to play some interleague against one of the best American League line ups in the Detroit Tigers, who won 3 of 4 over the weekend vs Minnesota and are 28-20 on the season and a solid 16-8 at home. The Tigers will send their ace to the mound this afternoon. Justin Verlander is 5-4 on the season with a 3.66 ERA, .261 OBA and 1.37 WHIP. He has had some struggles lately, but has faced two very tough lineups in Cleveland and Texas. Returning to home should get Verlander back on track as he is 1-2 with a 2.73 ERA at home this season. In 2012 he was 9-2 with a 1.65 ERA at home. Verlander has 3 starts vs the Pirates and he is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA over those starts, which included 2 complete games. The Tigers will be facing Pirates starter Francisco Liriano who is 3-0 over his first three starts with a 1.00 ERA, .206 OBA and 1.11 WHIP. He hasn't faced an opponent like Detroit yet, with his starts coming against the Mets, Brewers and Cubs. Liriano has posted a 6.18 ERA vs the Tigers in 11 career games. Pittsburgh is just 11-52 in their last 63 interleague road games, while the Tigers are 51-18 in their last 69 interleague home games. The Tigers are 55-17 in Verlander's last 72 home starts, and 21-7 in his last 28 interleague starts. The Tigers are first in the MLB with a team .284 average, while the Pirates are 24th with a team .243 average. Detroit has scored 5+ runs in 6 of their last 7 games and I expect them to keep that up today and give Verlander enough cushion to win by a few runs in a solid start. Take the Tigers on the run line getting a good price.
2 UNIT = Atlanta Braves @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (+101)
Listed Pitchers: Hudson vs Buehrle
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.02 units)
The Braves had won 8 straight before a loss last night on Sunday Night Baseball as they blew a 2-1 lead in the 8th inning. The Braves struck out 14 times and only had 5 hits last night as a struggling Shaun Marcum put up a great outing vs Atlanta. The Braves are now 30-19 on the season but just 15-14 on the road. They head to Toronto for some interleague action against a Jays team that scored 4 runs in the bottom of the ninth yesterday for a walkoff victory. The Jays are 21-29 on the season after a very rough start and 13-15 at home. Toronto's bats have started to come around and if they can get quality pitching they should start to get on a roll. The Blue Jays are 7th in team batting average in May with a .273 team average, and 6th in team OBP in May. The Braves rank 21st in the MLB in team batting average in May and 15th in OBP. Tim Hudson will take the mound for Atlanta and he is 4-3 on the season with a 4.98 ERA, .260 OBA and 1.29 WHIP. After a solid start to the season Hudson's ERA is 6.86 in May with a .299 OBA. Southpaw Mark Buehrle will take the mound for Toronto and he is 1-3 on the season with a high 5.90 ERA, .279 OBA and 1.41 WHIP. While Hudson has started to struggle as of late, Buehrle has started to come around for Toronto. He has posted a 3.60 ERA over his last 3 starts and it was only really one rough inning that kept that ERA from being very low. The Braves are 0-4 in Hudson's last 4 road starts and just 4-9 in their last 13 vs the AL East. The Blue Jays have won 7 of their last 10 home games, and are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games. I'll go with Toronto here at home as underdogs.
Game: San Francisco at Oakland (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland +105 (moneyline)
A tough situational stretch begins for the defending champs. They play 14 of the next 18 on the road, and against excellent competition. San Francisco is just 9-13 on the road and will play against contenders such as Oakland, St. Louis, Pittsburgh, and Atlanta. With starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong (hand) out for the next four-to-six weeks, they are bringing up a No. 5 starter, all of which will put more pressure and innings on the pen. And despite a nice home stand, the Giants are just 4-4 the last eight games. The Giants are 14-31 in their last 45 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter and face righty Dan Straily, who doesn't walk anyone (12 walks and 32 strikeouts in 33 innings), and they've never faced him before. Straily has also allowed fewer hits than innings pitched. The Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 16-5 following a road trip of seven or more days. San Francisco lefty Madison Bumgarner has a 6.00 ERA against Oakland, and the Athletics are 16-6 in their last 22 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. Play the Oakland A's.
4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 St. Louis at Kansas City (2 p.m., Monday, May 27)
Few teams in baseball are struggling to hit more than the Royals right now. They got swept over the weekend and are just 19-27 against the total this year. The Royals have gone 'under' in 8 of 11 games. Two great pitchers are on the mound today and Adam Wainwright has an ERA of just 2.38 and James Shields just 2.47. They are both hot and I think this one will be a pitcher's duel in the first game of this rivalry series.
2-Unit Play. Take #902 Washington (-140) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Monday, May 27)
I like the home team in this rivalry game. The Orioles are struggling against lefties and are just 14-29 when they play a National League team on the road with a lefty starter. Gio Gonzalez has been going good for the Nats. Washington is 32-12 in his last 44 starts and 7-3 in his last 10 home starts. I like Washington to get the job done in Game 1 of this series.
Comment