5-28-13

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358497

    #31
    Kevin
    MLBPredictions w/writeup

    2 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers - TWINS TO WIN (+111)
    Listed Pitchers: Diamond vs Figaro
    (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.22 units)

    The Twins took yesterday's meeting with Milwaukee 6-3. That moves Minnesota to 20-28 on the season (11-15 on the road) and drops Milwaukee down to 19-30 on the year (12-16 at home). The Brewers are just 7-20 in their last 27 games overall. The Twins will have their southpaw Scott Diamond on the mound for tonight's game. He has had his struggles lately against some of the best lineups in the American League (Baltimore, Boston, and Detroit) which has brought his stats to 3-4 with a 4.96 ERA, .302 OBA and 1.48 WHIP. He is a solid 3-0 on the road with a 2.19 ERA, .227 OBA and 0.97 WHIP though, and that has included some good hitting teams as well (Detroit twice, Boston, and the White Sox). Milwaukee will use a reliever in a spot start here tonight. Alfredo Figaro will get the start and he is 0-0 with a 3.46 ERA through 15 relief appearances. Figaro has been a starter in Japan for the past few years, but before that in 2010 over 23 starts in Triple-A he went 10-6 with a 4.14 ERA. Take note that the Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning % below .400 and they are 5-2 in Diamond's last 7 road starts. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games, 1-6 in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record, and just 1-10 in their last 11 games as a favorite. It also doesn't help Milwaukee that Ryan Bruan may be sitting out again tonight with an injured thumb. Given the pitching match up and the struggles Milwaukee are going through right now I like the underdog price we are getting on Minnesota.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358497

      #32
      Beathespread NBA 5/28:

      Heat -2.5
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358497

        #33
        Hoopsgooroo

        [951] Atlanta Braves +103 vs Toronto Blue Jays
        [961] Cleveland Indians +140 vs Cincinnati Reds
        [960] New York Mets -122 vs New York Yankees
        [961] Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 +101 vs Cincinnati Reds
        [964] Boston Red Sox -125 vs Philadelphia Phillies
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358497

          #34
          MLB PRO PICKS for 5/28

          Tampa Bay (-1.5)
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358497

            #35
            CHRIS JORDAN

            200* Red Sox -130
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358497

              #36
              Stephen Nover *Early* MLB


              atl over
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358497

                #37
                5Lines

                Total Line for 05/28/2013
                (Won last 2 games)
                Today's Winning Team is:
                NBA - Miami Heat : o184.5
                Cost: -110

                Run Line for 05/28/2013
                (Won last game)
                Today's Winning Team is:
                MLB - Houston Astros : +1.5
                Cost: -105
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358497

                  #38
                  Allen Eastman

                  4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 St. Louis at Kansas City (8 p.m., Tuesday, May 27)

                  3-Unit Play. Take #963 Philadelphia (+115) over Boston (8 p.m., Tuesday, May 27)
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358497

                    #39
                    Goodfella

                    3 dime inter league gow oakland -130
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358497

                      #40
                      Larry Ness

                      Legend play Indiana Pacers
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358497

                        #41
                        Scott Delaney
                        50 dimes: Oakland
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358497

                          #42
                          Paul Bovi

                          Pacers
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358497

                            #43
                            J.R Stevens SMOOTH44

                            ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

                            MLB
                            (951) ATLANTA +105/RRL -1.5 +165
                            (954) HOUSTON +165/RRL -1.5 +300

                            REST OF CARD SHORTLY....

                            [I]"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline"
                            *Play side and reverse runline equally
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358497

                              #44
                              JACK JONES

                              MLB Baseball Premium Picks

                              MLB | May 28 '13 (7:05p)
                              Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals
                              Baltimore Orioles
                              +111
                              at 5dimes
                              15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Baltimore Orioles +111

                              The Baltimore Orioles get the nod Tuesday as a road underdog to the Washington Nationals. They will be starting one of the best pitching prospects in baseball tonight, but most of the public doesn't know about Kevin Gausman, which has the Orioles way undervalued tonight.

                              Selected No. 4 overall in the 2012 draft, Gausman (0-1, 7.20 ERA) compiled a 3.11 ERA while striking out 49 and walking five over eight starts spanning 46 1-3 innings with Double-A Bowie this season. Sure, his MLB debut wasn't great as he gave up four runs over 5 innings in a 6-12 loss to the Blue Jays, but he'll have a much better go of it tonight.

                              Despite a lackluster line, Gausman, who hit as high as 99 mph on the stadium gun, received high praise from Blue Jays manager John Gibbons. "He had some good composure. It looked like he belonged out there," Gibbons said. "For a debut, I thought he did a heck of a job. It looks like he'll have a bright future - he's got a great arm."

                              Washington will be giving the ball to 25-year-old Nate Karns, who replaces the injured Ross Detwiler in the rotation. Karns went 4-2 with a 4.60 ERA over nine starts this year for Double-A Harrisburg, and he's nowhere near the prospect that Gausman is.

                              The Orioles are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record. In fact, the Orioles are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the Orioles Tuesday.
                              MLB | May 28 '13 (7:10p)
                              Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds
                              Cleveland Indians
                              +138
                              at BMaker
                              15* MLB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Cleveland Indians +138

                              The Cleveland Indians should not be this big of an underdog to the Cincinnati Reds tonight, let alone an underdog at all. I'll take advantage of this line mistake and back the Indians to bounce back with a Game 2 victory after falling in Game 1, and losing four straight overall coming in.

                              Cleveland's last win came with Zach McAllister on the mound in a 12-3 triumph at Boston on May 23rd. McAllister is one of the most underrated starters in the league this year, going 4-3 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.214 WHIP through nine starts in 2013.

                              Mat Latos (3.17 ERA) is having a solid season for Cincinnati with slightly worse numbers than McAllister. However, he has struggled of late, posting a 5.14 ERA over his last three starts despite facing light-hitting lineups in the Mets, Marlins and Brewers. Latos has also posted a 7.36 ERA in two career starts against the Indians.

                              Cleveland is 12-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line with a rested bullpen that threw <= 2 innings in each of the last 2 games over the last 2 seasons. The Indians are 5-0 in McAllister's last 5 starts overall. Cleveland is 4-0 in McAllister's last 4 starts as an underdog. Roll with the Indians Tuesday.
                              MLB | May 28 '13 (7:10p)
                              Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox
                              Philadelphia Phillies
                              +113
                              at BetOnline
                              15* MLB Tuesday Mound Mismatch on Philadelphia Phillies +113

                              The Philadelphia Phillies have a huge edge on the mound tonight over the Boston Red Sox. They should not be an underdog as a result, and I'll gladly back them at this excellent price with one of the best starters in the game on the mound.

                              Cliff Lee continues to pitch at a Cy Young-caliber level for the Phillies. The left-hander has gone 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.018 WHIP through 10 starts this season, 4-1 with a 1.60 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in six road starts, and 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in his last three starts.

                              Ryan Dempster has proven to be a bad addition to Boston's rotation. The veteran right-hander has gone 2-5 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.401 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 10.66 ERA and 2.447 WHIP in his last three.

                              Lee sports a 3.81 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Red Sox. Dempster has posted a 5.52 ERA and 1.624 WHIP in 17 career starts against Philadelphia.

                              The Phillies are 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are 5-0 in Lee's last 5 starts as an underdog. Philadelphia is 18-4 in Lee's last 22 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Phillies Tuesday.
                              [ back to top ]
                              NBA Basketball Premium Picks

                              -= TOP PLAY =-
                              NBA | May 28 '13 (8:30p)
                              MIAMI GM4 vs INDIANA GM4
                              INDIANA GM4
                              +3-110
                              at SIA
                              25* NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers +3

                              The Indiana Pacers represent my strongest release for the entire 2013 NBA playoffs in Game 4 tonight. They should not be an underdog at home, and I fully expect them to beat the Miami Heat outright to even this series.

                              Indiana clearly relaxed a little after taking Game 2 from Miami and earning home-court advantage. Meanwhile, Miami came out in Game 3 wanted to get back its home court. I look for these teams to reverse roles mentally tonight, with the Pacers fighting to get to 2-2, while the Heat realizing that they can lose Game 4 and still have home-court advantage the rest of the way.

                              The Pacers have been one of the best home teams in the league this season. They are 36-12 at home this year, including 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the playoffs. Their Game 3 loss to the Heat was their first home setback of the postseason.

                              Indiana is 24-13 ATS following a loss this season, including 13-5 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more. The Pacers are 13-4 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Bet the Pacers in Game 4 Tuesday.
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358497

                                #45
                                Ats lock club
                                3 units- kings/ sharks under 4.5
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