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2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (+120)
Listed Pitchers: Johnson vs Lincecum
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.40 units)
The Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants both avoided a sweep on Sunday with a victory, and both enjoyed days off yesterday. The Blue Jays beat San Diego on Sunday 7-4 and are now 24-33 on the season and 10-17 on the road. The Giants beat St Louis 4-2 and are 30-27 on the season and 20-10 at home. These two teams had a two game set in Toronto in May with the Blue Jays winning both games by scores of 10-6 and 11-3. Tonight’s starter for Toronto is Josh Johnson who is coming off a DL stint. Johnson is 0-1 with a 6.86 ERA this year, .329 OBA and 1.88 WHIP over just 4 starts. Johnson had posted sub 4.00 ERA’s in his last 5 seasons and it is only a matter of time before he starts to pitch well. He has been working on a new change up and that should help him. Tim Lincecum is on the mound for San Francisco and is 3-5 on the year with a 5.12 ERA, .259 OBA and 1.48 WHIP over 11 starts. After a pretty good April Lincecum struggled going 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA in May. Over his last three starts he has allowed 6, 4, and 5 earned runs against. Note that the Giants are just 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games, 0-4 in their last 4 vs AL East opponents, and 1-4 in Lincecum’s last 5 starts. At +120 we’ve got value on Toronto tonight and I think they come out with a victory in Game 1 of this two game set.
Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Tuesday, Jun 4 2013 10:15PM
ML 930 SFG (-118) 5Dimes vs 929 TOR triple-dime bet
Tuesday Free Play
A's minus $1.15 at Brewers
Oakland is hot playing its best ball of the season with 15 wins in its last 17 games. The Brewers are just the opposite losing 24 of their last 31. They are 3-13 during their past 16 games at Miller Park and 4-17 versus opponents with a winning record.
The A's have turned around their earlier road problems capturing eight of their last 11 away matchups. Oakland is a much better hitting club away from its spacious Coliseum.
The pitching matchup is A.J. Griffin versus Kyle Lohse. Oakland is 6-1 in Griffin's last seven starts. The A's are 20-7 in Griffin's past 27 starts. The Brewers' offense looks much better on paper than it does on the field with lack of production at second base and at the corner spots when Aramis Ramirez isn't in the lineup, which has been frequently due to his knee problems.
Lohse returned to the rotation against the Twins this past Thursday after missing a start with pain in his elbow and allowed a season-high six runs and a career-high four home runs. Lohse said the problem wasn't pain, but location.
The truth is Lohse isn't nearly as good outside of when he pitched for the Cardinals. Either he still is not right physically or his control is off. Lohse has a career ERA ž of 5.54 versus Oakland and Milwaukee has dropped each of his last six starts.
HOUSTON ASTROS OVER 3.5 RUNS (-125)
First off, we do know that these Astros season to date numbers, are more favorable vs southpaws. However, these Astros have won 6 games in a row, and have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their L/10 games, as well. This club is playing with confidence right now, and they do have a handful of very talented, be it young/lack experience good sticks in their lineup. Minute Maid Park can be an extreme hitters Park, and especially when the roof is open. I am NOT sure of the roof will be open tonight, as it's suppose to be in the high 80's at game time. Either way (open or closed) I do expect these scrappy Astros to plate 4 runs for us tonight. Baltimore sends out extreme fly ball SP Chris Tillman tonight, and he has given up 8 HR's in just 15 2/3 IP over his L/3 starts. We also know that while these O's have a "good bullpen" it's not a shut down backend and has had it's share of problems in the backend of their bullpen. I like these Astros to get to Tillman eventually and I definitely like these Astros to plate 4 runs for us tonight.
3-Unit Play. #912. Take LA Dodgers -135 over the San Diego Padres (Tuesday @ 10:10pm est).
Padres vs. Dodgers 10:10 pm est. Manager Don Mattingly has to feel confident about his starters (3-0) record and (0.95) ERA in his last three outings against San Diego. For the record, southpaw Ted Lilly owns a career (11-4) record with a (2.51) ERA against the Rockies. The Dodgers are also (6-1) in Lillys last (7) starts versus the Padres. Dodgers manager Don Mattingly understands the expectations generated by the collection of All-Star-caliber players. The trouble early on is that they are not playing an All-Star Game. Look for that to change as ther is simplyto much talent with their payroll over $200 million after a series of expensive, high-profile additions starting last July. Clayton Richard gets the start for the Holy Men and he is win-less at (0-5) with an (8.35) ERA as a starter. Manager Harry Ralston Bud Black does an amazing job keeping the Holy Men in the hunt but look for the Dodger Blue to cash a winning ticket for us behind Lilly.
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