6-8-13

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Kevin
MLBPredictions w/writeups

2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1 (-133)
Listed Pitchers: Carrasco vs Porcello
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.50 units)

-- The write up from earlier still applies. The Tigers are one of the hottest hitting teams right now and they face Carrasco making an emergency start. He has a lifetime 8.36 ERA vs Detroit, and I don't think it will be a good afternoon for him. Take the Tigers -1 on the alternate run line. If you can't bet Detroit -1 I would take them -1.5 at +105 or better. For those new to this type of bet it means that Detroit has to win by 2 or more for us to cash in the bet, but if they win by just 1 it is a "push" and the bet is cancelled and we get our money back.

2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox - ATHLETICS TO WIN (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Milone vs Danks
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)

Another victory for the A's last night as they beat Chicago 4-3 and have now won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 games to improve to 38-25 on the season and 20-15 on the road. The White Sox struggles continue as they've dropped 10 of their last 11 games and have fallen to last place in the AL Central at 25-34 and 13-13 at home. Two southpaws face off tonight as Tommy Milone takes the mound for Oakland looking to improve on his 6-5 record and 3.91 ERA. Lefty John Danks will make his 4th start for the White Sox and he is 0-2 with a 5.63 ERA. Oakland is 10th in the Majors in team batting average vs lefties at .261, while the White Sox are 21st batting .240 against lefties as a team. Take note that the A's are 20-6 in their last 26 games overall, 8-2 in their last 10 road games, and 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts. The White Sox are 15-36 in their last 51 games as an underdog, 1-10 in their last 11 overall, and 1-4 in Danks' last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record dating back to last season's starts. Oakland has won all 5 meetings between these two teams this year and I don't see that stopping today.

2 UNIT = Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers - PHILLIES TO WIN (+115)
Listed Pitchers: Kendrick vs Grozelanny
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.30 units)

It is tough to come right back on Philadelphia tonight after they blew the lead and the game on our 5 star pick, but we've got to move right along and forget about that. Philadelphia has still won 5 of their last 6 games and have scored 36 runs over that stretch. On the other hand the Brewers have been one of the worst teams in the NL going 9-26 in their last 35 overall. Philadelphia has Kyle Kendrick on the mound who has been great with a 6-3 record and 3.12 ERA. He has allowed more than 2 earned runs against in a start this season just twice, and actually pitches better on the road with a 2-1 record and 2.31 ERA. Milwaukee goes with Tom Gorzelanny making a spot start and so far this year in 24 relief appearances he has been solid with a 1-0 record and 2.01 ERA. He is expected to pitch about 4 innings and then the Brewers will have to go to their bullpen which has had a lot of work lately. Note that the Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss, 7-2 in Kendrick's last 9 starts overall and 8-0 in his last 8 starts with 4 days rest. The Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 home games, and just 1-12 in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Despite the loss last night the Phillies are still 10-4 in their last 14 meetings in Milwaukee. Getting plus money here on Philly I've got to take them again tonight expecting another solid start from Kendrick.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (4:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -120 (moneyline)

Probably the biggest surprise for Tampa Bay this season has been the offense which is producing 5 runs per game. The Rays have seven players with 23 or more RBI, and it has been a team effort. Baltimore is not getting the same level of pitching they did a year ago. Over their last 21 games, they have allowed 10 runs or more in five of them, and 5 or more in 12 of them. Kevin Gausman for the most part has not lived up to the billing as he owns a 7.20 ERA in three starts, and Tampa Bay has been getting it done vs. right-handed pithing at 17-5 over their last 22. The Rays have won the last four vs. the Birds, and are 5-2 at home vs. the O's at home behind Hellickson. Go with the Rays.

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Bob Balfe

Pirates +110

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TMC SportsAdvisors

Redsox -150 G1

Marlins +1.5 -120

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Stephen Nover MLB Money Line Sat, 06/08/13 - 4:10 PM

double-dime bet - 921 BAL (+125) vs 922 TAM
Analysis:
Jeremy Hellickson has lived a charmed life posting an above .500 record despite an ERA of 5.59. He's been even worse lately with a 6.54 ERA during his last seven starts.
The Rays held the powerful Orioles in check on Friday, but I don't see them doing it again with Hellickson. The Orioles rank in the top five in all of the major offensive categories, including first in homers. The Orioles have scored more than three runs in 16 of their last 18 games. Baltimore is 22-5 the past 27 times after scoring two runs or less in its previous game.

Discounting last night's game, the Orioles have averaged six runs a game during their past nine meetings with the Rays. They have won the third most road games in baseball.

The Orioles have prize prospect Kevin Gausman on the mound. This will be his fourth start. He had his best start in his last outing holding the Tigers to one run in six innings while recording 12 of 18 outs on groundballs this past Sunday.

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Scott Landau SAT DAY PLAY:
LAA +151 Game #1 DH

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GREG SHAKER

2* Miami /NY Mets Over 6.5
2* Seattle +118

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Seabass Report for Saturday-all 50's:
Phillies
San Diego
Texas on run line.

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ROOT Pinnacle

PITT PIRATES

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JOE GAVAZZI

MLB
Philadelphia (Kendrick) at Milwaukee (Gorzolanni) (-115)
5* Philadelphia (Kendrick) (+105)
Milwaukee would like us to think that the 5-4 comeback win vs. Philadelphia was a buy sign. That is unlikely since they are 1-8/win during their 9-26 slide which includes a record of 5-15 on this field. In place of Estrada, Milwaukee is trotting out reliever Gorzolanni who has yet to surpass 30 pitches in any of his 24 relief appearances. Philadelphia regressed to .500 with the late game loss leaving them eager to get to the + side of the break even mark and extend a mini streak in which they have gone 5-1 producing 36 runs. Kendrick has been solid with a record of 6-3, a 3-12 ERA, 1.19 WHIP including 2-0 in a pair of recent starts which has allowed 4 runs in 15 IP.

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Z Money Sports

San Francisco Giants +105

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diamond play
under seattle

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Extreme sports picks-andre ramirez
nhl-blackhawks
orioles over 8.5
braves

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5Lines

Total Line for 06/08/2013
(Lost last 2 and cancelled yesterday due to rain games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Washington Nationals : u7.5
Cost: -115

Run Line for 06/08/2013
(Lost last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Texas Rangers : -1.5
Cost: -101

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Kyle Hunter 4* SFG Un 8