6-16-13

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U.S. Open action report: Books fearing Mickelson win

We check in with Aron Black, an oddsmaker with Bet365, about the flow of action coming in on the final round of the U.S. Open.

We don't want

Mickelson, Donald, Rose

All three have been very popular with many bettors, and that will continue through this round until somebody either falls off the pace or someone establishes a lead, which looks like it’s going to be quite hard to do given how the course is playing the last two rounds.

These three players have luckily been backed at lower odds for most of the tourney so far than what they were available at pre tourney, but all were steadily backed pre tourney as well.

We want

Schwartzel, Stricker, Mahan, Horschel

Although the above players are not friendless in the betting, they are our best runners going into the final round. It will be a day where we will be hoping one of these guys makes a run, or the named frontrunners fall off.

Its shaping up to be quite a final round, so I expect the action for in-play to be very steady throughout it.

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Accu-score MLB

4 STAR TOTALS 136-106, 56.2% +1940 - (Been hot lately)

BOS 915 vs BAL 916 -- Under 9
DET 919 vs MIN 920 -- Under 8.5
SEA 925 vs OAK 926 -- Under 7
TOR 923 vs TEX 924 -- Under 10

AL GAME O/U STREAK 31-12, 72.1% +1780 - (American League TOTALS Last 7 Days)

BOS 915 vs BAL 916 -- Under 9
NYY 927 vs LAA 928 -- Under 7.5
DET 919 vs MIN 920 -- Under 8.5
SEA 925 vs OAK 926 -- Under 7
TOR 923 vs TEX 924 -- Under 10
CHW 921 vs HOU 922 -- Under 8.5
KC 917 vs TB 918 -- Under 8.5

SV-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 97-84, 53.6% +1735 -

SEA 925 vs OAK 926 -- Value on Oakland Athletics -121
LAD 909 vs PIT 910 -- Value on Pittsburgh Pirates -109
PHI 913 vs COL 914 -- Value on Colorado Rockies -107

4 STAR SIDE VALUE 97-69, 58.4% +733 - (Tread Lightly)

WAS 929 vs CLE 930 -- Value on Cleveland Indians +133
MIL 903 vs CIN 904 -- Value on Cincinnati Reds -200
ARI 911 vs SD 912 -- Value on San Diego Padres +106
PHI 913 vs COL 914 -- Value on Colorado Rockies -107
KC 917 vs TB 918 -- Value on Tampa Bay Rays -154

According to Accu-score the wrong team is favored

905 Chicago Cubs +104 50.6% (Very Slightly)
912 San Diego Padres +104 51.2% (Slightly)

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rbi sports

kc royals

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Bookieshunter

3* Heat ML

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Kyle Hunter

4* A's Under 7

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Doc's Sports

4-unit Play Take #913 Philadelphia Phillies (+100) over Colorado Rockies (4:10pm ET) It wasn't a very pleasant start to the 2013 season for Cole Hamels, but he appears to have things figured out now. Four of his last five outings have been quality starts and his K/BB ratio is a sensational 35-2 over that span. He's has a tough assignment in the Colorado Rockies today, but they'll be without their leader Troy Tulowitzki. The star shortstop was just placed on the disabled list with a rib injury and will be sidelined for about a month. Jhoulys Chacin throws for the Rockies today and he's been mediocre since the end of April. The Phillies are the play in this one.

4-unit Play Take #922 Houston Astros (+120) over Chicago White Sox (2:10pm ET) The Houston Astros go for their third consecutive win over the Chicago White Sox today in Minute Maid Park. The Stros came away with two one-run victories in the first two games of this series and have been playing a lot better baseball since a horrid April. They are actually 15-14 over their last 29 games and you can see the young guys really improving on this squad. Most of them weren't ready for the big leagues in April, but were forced into action without many veterans around. Their confidence is definitely growing and you should continue to see improvement from them throughout the season. Dallas Keuchel gets the ball for Houston this afternoon and he's been really solid of late. In his last three starts, the southpaw has a 1.89 ERA and 1.05 WHIP to go along with a 13-2 K/BB ratio. Chicago counters with a lefty of their own in Hector Santiago. He's been back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation, and that can be difficult for a youngster. I like the way this Astros team is playing and I think they get the victory today.

3-unit Play Take #924 Texas Rangers (-180) over Toronto Blue Jays (3:05pm ET) We generally don't bother with favorites in this price range, but we'll make an exception today. We have one of the most lopsided pitching matchups of the season in this game as Chien-Ming Wang goes up against Derek Holland. The 33-year old Wang has battled injuries and ineffectiveness for the last several years and most thought his career was done coming into the season. He's getting a shot with the Jays due to injuries and he didn't look very good in his last start. His velocity was way down and he surrendered five earned runs while walking three batters and only striking out three against a bad White Sox offense. The Rangers offense is a bit down this season, but there's no reason to believe they can't get at least five against Wang in this one. And if that's the case, they should have no problem getting the win with Holland going. He's pitched at an All-Star level this season by improving every part of his game. He doesn't get as much attention as he should with Yu Darvish stealing lots of headlines, but Holland could definitely be the ace on many other teams. This was should be an easy win, so we'll play the Rangers in Arlington.

Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

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5Lines

Total Line for 06/16/2013
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Washington Nationals : o7.5
Cost: -110

Run Line for 06/16/2013
(Lost last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - St. Louis Cardinals : -1.5
Cost: +105

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LARRY NESS

10* MLB DIVISION GOM = Oakland A's ML

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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB ML - Sunday, Jun 16 2013 4:10PM
ML 913 PHI +100 vs 914 COL double-dime bet

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spartan | NBA Sides - Sunday, Jun 16 2013 8:07PM
709 MIA -1.5 vs 710 SAN double-dime bet

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Joe Gavazzi | MLB ML - Sunday, Jun 16 2013 1:05PM
ML 929 WAS -118 vs 930 CLE triple-dime bet

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Al Demarco

10 Dime Play Nats

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Larry Ness

10* Run-Line Rout is on the Tex Rangers at 3:05 ET.

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

MLB
KANSAS CITY/TAMPA BAY UNDER 8

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The Machine

Det 1st 5 Inn - 10 units

Tex R/L - 10 units



NYY - 10 units