6-21-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 06/21/2013
(Lost last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - New York Mets : o7.5
Cost: -110

Run Line for 06/21/2013
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers : -1.5
Cost: -101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Run Line Mismatch
300♦ Blowout Winner
4-Run Shellacking
Washington Nationals RL

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bookiemonsters

pod blue jays under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs - ASTROS TO WIN (+164) **EARLY GAME**
Listed Pitchers: Keuchel vs Garza
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.28 units)

The Astros are coming off of two straight series wins vs the White Sox and Brewers (5-2 over that span) which includes a 7-4 victory last night. They are just 28-46 on the season and 13-21 on the road, but will be facing one of the National League's worst teams in the Cubs who are 29-42 and 15-21 at home. Chicago is coming off a 7 game road trip where they managed to win the first two in New York against the Mets, but lost 4 of the last 5 to go 3-4 on the road trip. Over their last 5 games they've scored just 11 runs. Tonight's starter for Houston is Dallas Keuchel who is 4-3 on the year with a 4.23 ERA, .285 OBA and 1.45 WHIP. On the road he is 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA and in June he is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA. Matt Garza will be on the rubber for Chicago and he is 1-1 with a 4.98 ERA over 6 starts. He has had two starts at home going 1-1 with a 8.25 ERA over those starts, and over 3 June starts he is 0-1 with a 8.10 ERA (although he is coming off 7 innings of shutout ball in New York). Take note that the Cubs are hitting just .232 against lefties as a team this season (22nd) and overall in June they are 30th with a team .203 batting average. Also note that the Astros are 5-2 in Keuchel's last 7 starts and 5-2 in his last 7 as an underdog. The Cubs are just 2-7 in their last 9 home games, 6-13 in Garza's last 19 starts overall, and 3-7 in Garza's last 10 vs a team with a losing record. Going against a lefty the Cubs shouldn't be favored by this much. I'll hop on the big afternoon underdog today.

2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - YANKEES TO WIN (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Hernandez vs Phelps
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)

The Rays took the first of this series 8-3 last night which makes them 38-35 on the season and 17-19 on the road. The Yankees are 39-33 on the year and 20-15 at home despite some recent struggles. Tonight's pitching match up favors the Yankees big time in my opinion. The Rays have Roberto Hernandez going who is 4-7 on the year with a 5.02 ERA, .278 OBA and 1.38 WHIP. He is 1-4 on the road this year with 5.82 ERA and .298 OBA. He has three career starts at Yankee Stadium and over those starts his ERA is 7.88. Also note that over his las three starts he is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA. The Yankees roughed up Hernandez in Tampa Bay for 5 earned runs over just 4 innings of work. On the other hand we have David Phelps on the mound for New York who is 4-4 with a 4.08 ERA, .244 OBA and 1.32 WHIP. He is 3-2 with a 4.15 ERA at home this year, which is nothing special but he held a 2.83 ERA at home last season over 16 appearances (7 starts). Over his last 3 starts he is 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA. He faced Hernandez in Tampa Bay and gave up 4 earned runs over 7.2 innings of work, and those runs all came after the Yankees were up 8-0 meaning he was probably trying to throw a lot of strikes. The Yankees won that game 9-4. Tampa Bay is 0-4 in Hernandez' last 4 as a road underdog, and just 2-6 in their last 8 following a win. The Yankees are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 6-1 in Phelps' last 7 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs divisional opponents. Overall the Yankees are 9-3 in his last 12 starts and he always seems to give the Yankees a chance to win. Take New York tonight to bounce back from a loss last night at a good price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

5* (MLB) NY Yankees ML -114

3* (MLB) Chicago Whitesox ML +130
3* (MLB) A's/Mariners OVER 6.5

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INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA

5-Unit play Take #602 San Antonio -5-5 vs. Seattle (8pm)

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MLB Totals

Free Plays

Mets +167

Twins +110

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Friday's American League betting cheat sheet and notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's action in the American League:

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (-121, 9)

Hot pitcher: Twins closer Glen Perkins has converted his last eight save opportunities and has given up one hit in his last eight inning pitched.

Cold pitcher: Indians starter Scott Kazmir gave up five earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings in his last outing. The Tribe have lost four of his last five starts.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and sunny skies. Winds will from right field to left field at four mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Cleveland.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-116, 9)

Hot pitcher: After a rough May where he blew four saves, Rays closer Fernando Rodney has converted all three of his save chances in June.

Cold pitcher: Yankees reliever Joba Chamberlain has given up three home runs in his last 4 2/3 innings pitched.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s. Winds blowing from right field to left field at nine mph.

Key betting stat: The Yankees are 0-4 in their last four games with umpire Greg Gibson behind home plate.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-123, 9)

Hot pitcher: Jays reliever Brett Cecil has not allowed a run since May 10. In that time, his ERA has dropped from 2.79 to 1.46.

Cold pitcher: Orioles starter Jason Hammel has an ERA of 6.32 in his last three starts. The Orioles have lost all three.

Weather: Retractable roof

Key betting stat: The Blue Jays have won eight straight games.

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-138, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Red Sox reliever Koji Uehara has surrendered just three hits in nine innings of work in the month of June.

Cold pitcher: Red Sox starter Jon Lester has lost his last four decisions.

Weather: Mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the low-80s. Wind will blow in from center field at nine mph.

Key betting stat: The Tigers are 9-2 in Fister's last 11 starts as a home favorite.

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals (-139, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: White Sox reliever Jesse Crain set the club record with his 28th consecutive appearance without allowing a run Thursday.

Cold pitcher: White Sox closer Addison Reed has an ERA of 7.00 and one blown save in June.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low-90s. Wind will blow out to left field at 16 mph.

Key betting stat: The White Sox are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.



Oakland A's at Seattle Mariners (-106, 6.5)

Hot pitcher: A's starter Bartolo Colon has won six straight starts and has an ERA of 1.04 in that stretch.

Cold pitcher: Mariners reliever Carter Capps has given up eight earned runs in his last three appearances.

Weather: Retractable roof

Key betting stat: The A's are 10-1 in Colon's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Interleague

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Angels (-156, 7.5)

Hot pitcher: Pirates reliever Mark Melancon leads the majors in holds with 22 holds.

Cold pitcher: Angels starter Jered Weaver has an ERA of 6.94 and is 0-2 in his last two starts.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the low-70s. Winds blowing out to right field at six mph.

Key betting stat: The Pirates are 8-31 in their last 39 vs. American League West.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's National League betting cheat sheet and notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's action in the National League:

Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals (-190, 7)

Hot pitcher: Rockies lefty specialist Rex Brothers has 30 straight scoreless outings (27 2/3 IP) since April 10 at San Francisco. His 0.29 ERA is the lowest in the bigs among relievers with at least 20 appearances.

Cold pitcher: Despite an excellent 2.50 ERA, the Nats are just 5-8 in Strasburg's starts this year.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the high-70s. Wind will blow from right to left at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-167, 7.5)

Hot pitcher: Cole Hamels has pitched well after a horrific start to the season. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 2.70 in his last three starts.

Cold pitcher: Mets closer Bobby Parnell has two losses and a blown save in his last seven appearances.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and winds blowing out to left field at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The Mets are 1-11 in Jeremy Hefner's last 12 starts as an underdog.

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers (+119, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Braves closer Craig Kimbrel has converted his last 10 save opportunities. Since May 7, his last blown save, his ERA has dropped from 3.38 to 1.65.

Cold pitcher: The Brewers are 0-3 in Wily Peralta's last three starts and 1-8 in his last nine outings.

Weather: Retractable roof.

Key betting stat: The under is 6-1 in Braves starter Julio Teheran's last seven starts overall.

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks (+112, 8)

Hot pitcher: Reds starter Johnny Cueto is unbeaten in 10 starts going back to last year and has held opponents to one run or less in five of his seven outings this year.

Cold pitcher: Diamondbacks starter Wade Miley is 1-5 with a 6.47 ERA in his last seven starts.

Weather: Retractable roof.

Key betting stat: The Reds are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (+139, 6.5)

Hot pitcher: Dodgers reliever Kenley Jansen is third in the NL in holds and has an ERA of 1.08 in June.

Cold pitcher: Padres starter Clayton Richard has surrendered at least four earned runs in each of his previous six starts.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. Wind will blow out to center field at four mph.

Key betting stat: The Padres are 4-17 in their last 21 games with Tim McClelland behind home plate.

Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants (-158, 7)

Hot pitcher: Marlins reliever Dan Jennings has an ERA of 1.00 in his last eight appearances.

Cold pitcher: Giants starter Tim Lincecum is 1-5 in his last six outings.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. Winds will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 10-2-1 in umpire Tim Timmons' last 13 games behind home plate. Total is seven Friday.

Interleague

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs (-173, 9)

Hot pitcher: Cubs starter Matt Garza threw seven innings of three-hit ball last time out against the New York Mets, but he didn't get the win because closer Carlos Marmol failed to hold a 3-0 lead in the ninth.

Cold pitcher: Cubs relief pitcher Shawn Camp has two blown saves in his last seven appearances.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the high-80s and wind will blow from right field to left field at eight mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings at Wrigley Field in Chicago.

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-104, 8)

Hot pitcher: Cardinals closer Edward Mujica has yet to record a blown save this season.

Cold pitcher: Rangers starter Derek Holland has give up four earned runs in back-to-back starts.

Weather: A 30 percent chance ot thunderstorms with temperatures in the low-90s. Wind will blow out to left field at eight mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 interleague home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee had Np on Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$135/Red Sox.

"Mr Chalk" is 43-25 +$790 for the 2013 MLB Season.


Last post for the 2013 NBA Season and Congratulations to the 2013 NBA Champion Miami Heat.

Ben lee finished 20-16 +$235 for the 2013 NBA Playoffs.


Ben lee has Np for Friday.

Ben lee is 3-1 +$200 for the 2013 NHL Stanley Cup Finals and 19-6 +$1110 for the 2013 NHL Playoffs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AL West: A whacky division of polar over/under records

The American League West has been a tough division for MLB totals bettors to wrangle this year.

It boasts the top two over plays in the majors, with the Los Angeles Angels (42-30-1 over/under) and Oakland Athletics (40-34-1 over/under) consistently topping totals, and is also home to the best under bet in the bigs, the Texas Rangers, who have been kind to under bettors with a 26-43-4 over/under mark.

How about when these over teams collide with the low-scoring Rangers?

Los Angeles and Texas have played each other six times this season, combing for an over/under mark of 5-1. The A’s and Rangers, who are currently wrapping a four-game set in Arlington, have produced a break-even 4-4-1 over/under count in their first nine head-to-head contests this season.

In fact, Texas is leaning more to the over against divisional foes, posting a 15-14-3 over/under record against AL West opponents. Oakland is 22-12-1 over/under versus clubs for the AL West and L.A. is 20-12 over/under during divisional play.

Stats as of June 21, 2013.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland -105 (moneyline)

The Seattle Mariners looked to be on cruise control last night, opening a 7-0 lead against the struggling Angels with Felix Hernandez on the mound. Everything fell apart, and they ended up on the short side of a 10-9 loss, which came on the heels of another heartbreaking 1-0 loss in their previous game. This is a young team that has to have the steam taken out of them, and must come back against a very good Oakland team that has posted a winning road record and stands 11 games over .500. The A's seldom play down to losing teams, in fact they have done just the opposite - they have thrived against them at 42-12 in their last 54. Colon has been a big part of that at 10-1 in his last 11 vs. a losing club. Play on Oakland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Washington at Phoenix (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Phoenix -8.5 (-110)

By record alone, Phoenix does not look to be a much improved team over a year ago at 3-4, but the schedule has something to say about that. They have a healthy Diana Turasi who is doing her thing, and sits atop the scoring leader board at 23.7points per game. They also have an enforcer inside with Brittney Griner who has made her presence felt, leading the league in blocked shots with 2.75 per contest. Washington is also an improved team at 4-2 on the season, but has yet to have a tough game on the road. The Mystics have been a dreadful 11-30-1 ATS in their last 42 on a pair of days rest, and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 encounters with the West. Lay the points and play this one on Phoenix.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Astros

10* Tigers

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LA Syndicate
Friday Top Plays
Reds/Diamondbacks Under 8
Giants
Mariners