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Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Saturday, Jun 22 2013 10:05PM ML 930 ANA (-125) Hilton vs 929 PIT double-dime bet
Analysis: The Pirates won the first game of this series behind Gerrit Cole. The rookie is something speci šal with a 100 mph fastball. I don't see lefty Francisco Liriano having that same kind of road success for Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are not a great road team and Liriano, who pitched seven years for Minnesota before coming to Pittsburgh this season, does not have a good history versus the Angels. Liriano is 1-4 against the Angels with a 6.69 ERA in eight appearances, including sevens starts. The Angels have won six of the last seven times they've faced a southpaw in interleague action.
The Angels have won six of their last nine. Their offensive actually is better off without slumping Josh Hamilton in it especially with Albert Pujols getting untracked. Pujols is hitting .338 with five homers and 15 RBIs in his past 16 games.
Right-hander Jerome Williams is getting the starting call for the Angels. He's been a solid 4-2 with a 3.48 ERA in seven starts this season. He's been at his best at Angel Stadium recently going 1-1 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts. The Pirates have a sad interleague history versus righties going 10-44.
Stephen Nover | MLB ML 913 BAL (-115) Hilton vs 914 TOR double-dime bet
Analysis: Toronto has won nine in a row. But I agree with the oddsmaker that Baltimore should be favored in this matchup.
The Orioles are 8-4 in their last 12 games, have a hot Chris Davis and the better pitcher going.
Davis has knocked out seven homers and driven in 17 runs during his last nine games. He š has shown no signs of letting up. Miguel Gonzalez is solid and a proven commodity on the road.
Toronto has resurrected Chien-Ming Wang. He pitched well in his second start with Toronto this past Sunday in Texas tossing seven scoreless innings. That was Wang's first victory in more than a year.
But I'm not buying into a Wang resurgence. This is Wang's first home start and I see problems for him being a groundball pitcher pitching on turf. Wang's career ERA on turf is 5.48 in 17 starts.
Gonzalez, who is pitching on one extra day rest after returning from paternity leave, was8-4 on the road last year with a 2.94 RA. His road ERA this season is 3.31. He has a career WHIP of 1.13 against Toronto. Baltimore is 5-1 in Gonzalez's last six starts.
4-Unit Play. Take #922 Detroit (-1.5, +105) over Boston (7 p.m., Saturday, June 22)
Boston won 10-6 yesterday and I think that Detroit is going to rally back. The Tigers are a great home team and they don't want to give away this series to a team like Boston. The Tigers are going with Max Scherzer today and he has been on fire. He has won 11 of 14 starts this year and in his last three starts he is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Scherzer has gone 38-14 in his last 52 starts as a home favorite and this one is a mismatch. The Red Sox are going with rookie Allen Webster. He has made just two starts in his career and after a decent start against Kansas City in April he was roughed up by the Twins in May, giving up eight runs in just two innings of work. The Tigers will take Webster to the wood shed in his first career MLB road start. Take the Tigers.
2-Unit Play. Take #906 San Francisco (-140) over Miami (4 p.m., Saturday, June 22)
The Giants have dropped the first two games of this series. They blew a 3-1 lead last night with a bad bullpen performance and the Giants are slipping in the NL West standings. They can't lose another game to this bad Miami team. The Giants are going with Barry Zito and I think he can get it turned back around after a down few outings. He has won six of eight starts against the Marlins and Miami is struggling against lefties. The Giants are 21-7 in Zito's last 28 starts and 20-8 in his last 28 home starts.
With the Boston Bruins and the Chicago Blackhawks deadlocked at two games apiece, tonight's Game 5 is destined to be a heated affair. We talk with Chris Bennett, an oddsmaker at The LVH, about the money coming in on tonight's NHL playoff action.
The line for Game 5 opened with the 'Hawks as -145 favorites and hasn't moved much from that general vicinity. Boston money moved the line down to -142 temporarily but now most of the money coming in is on Chicago.
"The majority of the money we're seeing now is on the Blackhawks," Bennett told Covers. "We took a little money at -142 and moved the line back to -145 and right now, I'd say we're seeing about five-to-one action on the Blackhawks."
Chicago will be happy to be back at home where it has posted a playoff record of 10-2. The two clubs split the first two games of the series in the Windy City.
The two clubs hammered the total in Game 4 as they combined for 11 goals in Chicago's 6-5 overtime victory. The total for tonight's game opened at five but bettors seem to believe in a low-scoring.
"Money we're seeing is coming in on the under. At the moment, nobody is even touching the over," says Bennett.
The teams have split the over/under in the first four games of the series. The under is 6-1 in Blackhawks' last seven when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game.
Chicago is 7-9-5 O/U in the playoffs and the Bruins are 9-9-2 O/U in their quest for the Cup.
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