6-24-13

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (+125)
Listed Pitchers: Rogers vs Hellickson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.50 units)

Tonight we take the hottest team in baseball as underdogs as the Blue Jays look to extend their winning streak to a franchise record 12 straight victories. Toronto has won 11 straight and 14 of their last 16 games overall to get above .500 for the first time all season, and jump past the Rays in the AL East standings. Toronto has scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games including a 13-5 win yesterday over the Orioles. Tampa Bay split a 4 game set with the Yankees winning 3-1 yesterday afternoon. They are just 3-5 in their last 8 games though and have dropped to 5th in the AL East. These two teams have faced 7 times so far this year with Toronto winning 4 of those games. The Jays will send Esmil Rogers to the mound for his 5th start of the year. As a starter he is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA, .200 OBA and 0.95 WHIP. Over his last three starts he has allowed just 4 earned runs while striking out 12 and walking just 3 batters. He pitched 3 innings of work against Tampa Bay back on May 21st allowing 2 hits and 0 earned runs. The Rays will go with Jeremy Hellickson who has had a very up and down season with a 5-3 record, 5.50 ERA, .270 OBA and 1.25 WHIP. In June he is 3-1 but has a high 5.16 ERA, and batters are hitting .316 against him in the month. He has faced Toronto twice getting a no decision in each but the Rays lost both of those games. He has given up 5 earned runs in 13 innings worked against the Jays this year. Note that the Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 as a road underdog, 5-0 in their last 5 road games overall, and 4-0 in Esmil Rogers' 4 starts this year. The Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games, just 4-11 in Hellickson's last 15 starts as a favorite between -110 and -150, and 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs the Jays. This should be a good game tonight but I will go with the Blue Jays who have won 11 straight behind a solid starting pitcher at a generous underdog price.

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spartan | MLB ML - Monday, Jun 24 2013 7:10PM
ML 908 TAM -130 vs 907 TOR double-dime bet

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Ocal Sports

(3) Phillies -110

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SB Professor MLB Picks 6/24

904. San Diego Padres -102
908. Tampa Bay Rays -128

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Teddy Covers

10* Giants

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The Sports Nostradamus

3* Over Rays
2* Over Padres
1* Orioles, Giants

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SB Professor NHL Picks 6/24

Here are the picks for NHL with their current Money Lines:

61. Chicago Blackhawks +112

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Sports-Junkie

6/24/2013
Game: Phillies vs Padres
Pick: Padres ML (Bovada) (+104)

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Joe Gavazzi

Cleveland (Jimenez) at Baltimore (Britton) (-125) 7:05 ET
5* Cleveland (Jimenez) (+115)
Cleveland has been a streaky team. Following an 18-5 run up, they went 5-16 before responding with their current 8-3 run. This strong streak has been keyed by the starters who have a 2.67 ERA in these 11 games. Jimenez has been part of that uptick pitching his best baseball in recent memory. In his last 10 starts, Jimenez is 5-2 with a 3.04 ERA. Jimenez has been at his best on the road this season with a record of 3-1 and 2.77 ERA. Baltimore is now favored at home following a 6 game road trip at Detroit and Toronto. That is a situation we usually like to fade. Over the weekend, Baltimore dropped a trio to Toronto being outscored 24-13. In his 2nd game since AAA call up, Britton allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 5 1/3 IP of a 5-2 win vs. Detroit. But for the season, Britton has a 5.56 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and upside down 3/5 KBB. Stay with the hotter teams and more consistent pitcher as underdog.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TORONTO at TAMPA BAY

Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY)[/B] below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities
57-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.5% 28.3 units )
9-7 this year. ( 56.3% 1.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 95-64 (+39.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.6) , OPPONENT (4.2)

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Monday's MLB betting cheat sheet and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday’s MLB games:

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles (-125, 9.5)

Hot pitcher: Indians starter Ubaldo Jimenez has been a much better pitcher on the road this season, going 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA as opposed to 2-3 with a 6.82 at home.

Cold pitcher: Orioles pitchers surrendered 24 runs while being swept during a three-game weekend set with the Blue Jays.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: The Orioles are 5-0 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days.

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays (-125, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Toronto starter Esmil Rogers has put together back-to-back strong outings against Texas and Colorado. He has allowed four runs (three earned) and nine hits in 13 2/3 innings during the stretch while walking only two.

Cold pitcher: Rays reliever Joel Peralta has given up six earned runs over his last five appearances (3 1/3 IP).

Weather: Dome

Key betting stat: The Blue Jays are 8-0 in their last eight games as an underdog.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-111, 6.5)

Hot pitcher: Giants starter Madison Bumgarner has won three straight starts and has gone at least seven innings while yielding three or fewer hits in each of the last two.

Cold pitcher: Dodgers reliever Ronald Belisario has a miserable month of June. The righty has an 11.37 ERA and two blown saves in eight appearances.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-60s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: The Giants are 0-8 in their last eight road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres (102, 6.5)

Hot pitcher: Phillies starting pitcher Cliff Lee has posted a 1.97 ERA during a stretch of nine starts without a loss and hasn’t walked a batter in four of the outings.

Cold pitcher: Padres closer Huston Street has allowed 10 homers in just 26 1/3 innings, matching his career-worst total from 2011. He gave up two blasts in 39 frames last season.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-60s and cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: The Phillies are 8-1 in Lee’s last nine starts.

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MLB underdogs a hot bet the last four days

Major League Baseball underdogs are a very profitable 32-25 over the last four days.

There are only four games on the MLB schedule for bettors to choose from Monday. The Cleveland Indians (+119), Toronto Blue Jays (+118), San Francisco Giants (+101) and San Diego Padres (+102) are the dogs on the board.

The Blue Jays are an incredible 8-0 in their last eight games as an underdog and the Friars are 6-0 in their last six games as a home pup.

MLB dogs are 485-632 (43%) this season according to our League Trends page.

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Are favored Bruins in big trouble if Bergeron doesn't play?

Heading into Game 6 of the Stanley Cup finals tonight Chicago Blackhawks captain Jonathan Toews faces an upper-body injury while Boston Bruins center Patrice Bergeron faces only what the B's will call a 'body' injury.

Toews skated this morning and is probable while Bergeron remains questionable.

So how should bettors handicap this?

"Yesterday we did see a five-cent move (from Boston -125 to -120) with word that Toews was upgraded to probable and Bergeron downgraded to doubtful," says Covers Expert and avid hockey bettor Sean Murphy.

Both players are huge for their teams, but Murphy says if Bergeron doesn't play it hurts the Bruins more.

"You can argue that (Bergeron's) their best all-around player and there's no question he's one of the best face-off men in hockey. Already without Gregory Campbell, losing another two-way forward would hurt.

"Toews is playing well right now, so his absence would be felt, but not to the same extent as Bergeron in my opinion."

Boston's Brad Marchand pointed out that Bergeron's absence might be felt more on the defensive side, even though the shifty center ranks second in playoff scoring with nine goals and two game winners. Interestingly, the total opened at 4.5 and was still there at most books by mid-day Monday.

"He does everything right, basically," Bergeron's linemate said. "He's such a great face-off guy and it really gives us the opportunity to start with the puck a lot. He's very tough to play against defensively, and he's been doing a very good job at playing against their top guys."

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Joe Gavazzi

Cleveland (Jimenez) at Baltimore (Britton) (-125) 7:05 ET
5* Cleveland (Jimenez) (+115)
Cleveland has been a streaky team. Following an 18-5 run up, they went 5-16 before responding with their current 8-3 run. This strong streak has been keyed by the starters who have a 2.67 ERA in these 11 games. Jimenez has been part of that uptick pitching his best baseball in recent memory. In his last 10 starts, Jimenez is 5-2 with a 3.04 ERA. Jimenez has been at his best on the road this season with a record of 3-1 and 2.77 ERA. Baltimore is now favored at home following a 6 game road trip at Detroit and Toronto. That is a situation we usually like to fade. Over the weekend, Baltimore dropped a trio to Toronto being outscored 24-13. In his 2nd game since AAA call up, Britton allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 5 1/3 IP of a 5-2 win vs. Detroit. But for the season, Britton has a 5.56 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and upside down 3/5 KBB. Stay with the hotter teams and more consistent pitcher as underdog.

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Sports Handicapper King

Boston Bruins

No freeloader