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Andre Gomes MLB Money Line Fri, 07/05/13 - 7:05 PM
dime bet - 956 WAS (-109) vs 955 SDP
MLB - 955 San Diego Padres @ 956 Washington Nationals
(Starting Pitchers: A. Cashner vs G. Gonzalez)
Washington had back to back poor offensive games against Milwaukee just to explode yesterday against Donovan Hand with eight runs scored on .234 BA! On the other side, San Diego has lost all its momentum by losing their last six games. The Padres were managing to stay competitive due to an underrated offense, but since the hitting has gone awol, they have been struggling. Over the last six games, the Padres were only able to hit above .200 BA twice, so there are no miracles...
San Diego will face Gio Gonzalez tonight, who is coming from a mega start at NY against the Mets with no runs allowed on seven innings, while having a 7/2 K/BB ratio! This was his sixth consecutive quality start, where he averaged 1.78 ERA, 0.967 WHIP and a 44/14 K/BB ratio over 40.1 innings! Gio struggled with his command early on the season, but he is currently pitching at CY Young level! Just take a look at the difference on K% and BB% on the first three months of the season:
Gonzalez will face the #27 ranked offense over the last 14 days tonight and therefore, I expect him to dominate the Padres tonight.
Andrew Cashner will start for the Padres and he is coming from five consecutive quality starts in June, where he averaged 2.78 ERA, 1.093 WHIP and 20/6 K/BB over 35.2 innings. Cashner has been pitching well, but he has been lacking a good strikeout punch. He faced Washington on May 19 and he pitched well with three runs allowed in 6.2 innings. However, the Nationals' offense was struggling massively at the time (#28 in May with .650 OPS), while they are now #8 in the league over the last seven days! I expect the Nationals to make a bit of damage on Cashner tonight, something that will be enough for them to pick up an easy win in here, as Gio should dominate San Diego with ease tonight on the other hand.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 956 Washington Nationals RL -1 (w/ G. Gonzalez)
The Yankees are starting to catch fire and one thing you don't do is go against them as they are starting to build momentum especially at home. This should be a good game, but my edge goes to Nova on the mound today. Take the Yankees.
Friday's National League betting cheat sheet and tips
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday’s National League games:
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (126, 7.5)
Hot pitcher: Few pitchers can match the string of performances turned in last month by Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano, who went 4-2 despite yielding a total of nine runs in six starts. Perhaps the best of those stellar outings came at the expense of the Cubs at Wrigley Field, when the 29-year-old Venezuelan allowed two hits over seven scoreless innings in a 2-0 victory.
Cold pitcher: Cubs lefty James Russell allowed two runs and blew a save in his last appearance vs. the A’s. He has surrendered four runs in his last two innings pitched.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 8 mph.
Key betting stat: The Pirates have won six straight road games.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (-149, 7)
Hot pitcher: Phillies starter Cliff Lee ranks fifth in the NL in strikeouts (115) and ninth in ERA, and the 34-year-old already has surpassed last season’s win total of six. He finished 3-0 with 52 strikeouts in six June starts - including fanning 10 in a no-decision Saturday at Los Angeles.
Cold pitcher: After defeating the New York Mets on May 5, Atlanta starter Tim Hudson has posted a 0-6 mark in his past 10 starts.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 10 mph.
Key betting stat: The Braves are 0-8 in Hudson’s last eight road starts.
San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals (-148, 7.5)
Hot pitcher: Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez has posted six straight quality starts and is coming off one of his best starts of the season, when he allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings at the New York Mets.
Cold pitcher: Padres righty Tyson Ross has yielded seven runs over his past two appearances.
Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 10 mph.
Key betting stat: San Diego has totaled seven runs during its current six-game losing streak.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers (-117, 9)
Hot pitcher: Mets right-hander Carlos Torres has only allowed one run in 13 2/3 innings of work this season.
Cold pitcher: Mets starter Zack Wheeler followed up a four-run effort versus the Chicago White Sox with a five-run performance against Washington on Sunday. A lack of control has hindered Wheeler, who has surrendered three homers in his last two starts and 10 walks overall.
Weather: Roof will likely be open. Temperatures in the mid-70s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 7 mph.
Key betting stat: Mets are 7-1 in their last eight games following a loss.
Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals (-163, 8.5)
Hot pitcher: Miami starters have allowed three runs or fewer in 16 of the past 17 games. Jacob Turner gets the ball tonight.
Cold pitcher: Cardinals starter Jake Westbrook is 2-2 with a 5.32 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list with right elbow inflammation. He was hit hard Sunday at Oakland, allowing six runs on 10 hits in four innings.
Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 5 mph.
Key betting stat: The Marlins are 5-1 in their last six games as an underdog.
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (-123, 8.5)
Hot pitcher: Rockies starter Jorge De La Rosa has won six of his last seven decisions and has yielded fewer than three runs eight times in his last 11 starts.
Cold pitcher: Skaggs is expected to be recalled from Triple-A Reno to make his fourth start of the season. The 21-year-old lost his most recent outing June 9, surrendering five runs in five innings against San Francisco. Skaggs also yielded five runs at St. Louis five days earlier after scattering three hits over six scoreless innings in a victory over Texas in his season debut May 27.
Weather: Roof could be closed due to extreme temperatures.
Key betting stat: The over is 5-0-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last six overall.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants (-126, 6.5)
Hot pitcher: Giants closer Sergio Romo racked up five saves and was the owner of a sparkling 1.00 ERA in June.
Cold pitcher: Dodgers righty Brandon League has been touched up in each of his last three appearances, surrendering five earned runs in the process.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-50s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 13 mph.
Key betting stat: San Francisco has scored fewer than three runs in 10 of its last 13 games.
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's American League games:
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (-137, 8.5)
Hot pitcher: Indians starting pitcher Justin Masterson tossed his third shutout of the campaign on Sunday at Chicago, limiting the White Sox to six hits with a walk and eight strikeouts. The 28-year-old, who has blanked Chicago twice this year, is a stellar 6-1 with a 2.29 ERA in nine home starts.
Cold pitcher: Tigers starter Rick Porcello is looking to end his personal losing streak, which reached three starts when he allowed three runs over six innings at Tampa Bay on Sunday. That outing was considerably better than his previous two, in which he surrendered a combined 13 runs and 19 hits over 10 1/3 frames.
Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.
Key betting stat: The Indians are 7-0 in Masterson’s last seven home starts.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees (-101, 9)
Hot pitcher: Orioles starter Miguel Gonzalez recorded his fourth win in five starts after allowing three runs and striking out nine over 6 2/3 innings versus Cleveland on June 27. The 29-year-old Mexican pitched well in his last outing against New York, but his sterling seven-inning performance only netted him a no-decision.
Cold pitcher: Yankees righty Preston Claiborne was touched up for two earned runs in three hits in his last relief appearance.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 10 mph.
Key betting stat: The Orioles have taken the last five meetings with the Yankees.
Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays (-172, 9)
Hot pitcher: Blue Jays reliever Steve Delabar hasn’t been tabbed with an earned run since May 26 (14 innings).
Cold pitcher: Twins starter Kevin Correia has just one victory in his last six turns despite allowing three runs or fewer in four of those outings. He's 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in 13 career innings against the Blue Jays.
Weather: Roof should be closed due to thunderstorm risk. If not, winds will blow out to right field at 8 mph.
Key betting stat: The under is 6-0 in Toronto starter Mark Buehrle’s last six starts overall.
Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-194, 8)
Hot pitcher: Rays starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson was 5-1 in June and has yielded only three runs over 19 innings to win his last three outings against Boston, Toronto and Detroit.
Cold pitcher: White Sox starter Dylan Axelrod is winless since May 26 and has been touched up for 18 runs over 20 2/3 innings in his last four starts.
Weather: Dome.
Key betting stat: The over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between the clubs.
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-199, 9.5)
Hot pitcher: Texas closer Joe Nathan has converted 12 consecutive save opportunities and is 28-for-29 on the season.
Cold pitcher: Rangers starter Nick Tepesch last won against Houston on May 12 and has since gone 0-3 in an eight-start span. Tepesch has allowed five or
more runs five times this season, going 0-4 in those starts.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s and clear skies. Winds will blow in from center field at 8 mph.
Key betting stat: The under is 6-1 in the Astros’s last seven road games.
Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals (105, 8.5)
Hot pitcher: Athletics closer Grant Balfour is 21-for-21 in save chances this season and has converted 39 in a row, leaving him one shy of matching Dennis Eckersley's franchise record.
Cold pitcher: The long ball has been a concern for A’s starter Tom Milone, who has allowed at least one in each of his last eight starts and 12 overall during that span.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 11 mph.
Key betting stat: The Athletics are 1-6 in their last seven games as a road favorite.
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels (-132, 8.5)
Hot pitcher: Angels starter C.J. Wilson has earned four straight wins and is coming off a seven-inning effort at Houston in which he allowed an unearned run on three hits and struck out 10. The veteran lefty’s last loss came in the second game of that doubleheader at Boston on June 8, when he yielded four runs (three earned) on eight hits in five innings.
Cold pitcher: Red Sox righty Andrew Bailey has allowed at least one run in five of his last six appearances.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 6 mph.
Key betting stat: The over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the clubs.
INTERLEAGUE
Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds (-194, 8.5)
Hot pitcher: Mariners right-hander Aaron Harang is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in five road starts this season.
Cold pitcher: Reds starter Mike Leake is 5-1 with a 1.31 ERA over his last nine starts. He has allowed five or fewer hits five times during the stretch.
Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow in from right field at 8 mph.
Key betting stat: The under is 8-1-1 in the Reds’ last 10 home games.
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