7-6-13

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Goodfella

Single Dime- Blue Jays ( play half if you want to lower juice, between ML and RL)

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Saturday's National League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's National League games:

Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals (-188, 8)

Hot pitcher: Marlins starter Nathan Eovaldi has gotten progressively better in each start since returning from the 60-day disabled list. The 23-year-old scattered four hits over six scoreless frames in a no-decision versus San Diego on June 29.

Cold pitcher: Cards closer Edward Mujica blew his first save of the season versus the Los Angeles Angels Thursday. He gave up two runs on four hits in 2/3 of an inning.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow from right field to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 6-1-1 in Marlins' last eight vs. National League Central foes.

San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals (-199, 8)

Hot pitcher: Nats starter Jordan Zimmerman leads the National League in wins and is sixth in ERA. He has won his last three starts.

Cold pitcher: Padres starter Jason Marquis has absorbed the loss in each of his last two starts and has not helped himself by issuing 12 walks in 10 2/3 innings over that span.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-90s and partly cloudy conditions. Winds will blow out to center field at 12 mph.

Key betting stat: Padres have dropped seven straight games.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (+112, 9)

Hot pitcher: Cubs starter Edwin Jackson tossed seven innings of one-run, four-hit ball in his last start versus Pittsburgh on June 9.

Cold pitcher: Pirates hurler Charlie Morton has made six career starts against the Cubs, logging a 2-3 record with a 5.76 ERA and 1.65 WHIP.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting stat: Cubs are 1-6 in Jackson's last seven home starts.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants (-160, 7)

Hot pitcher: Giants starter Madison Bumgarner has a 1.20 ERA in two starts versus the Dodgers this season.

Cold pitchers: With a 4.39 ERA heading into action Saturday, the Dodgers bullpen sports the third-worst ERA in the bigs.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-60s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 12 mph.

Key betting stat: Dodgers are 0-7 in their last seven road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (+111, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Phillies starter Kyle Kendrick has won seven of eight decisions against Atlanta in his career.

Cold pitcher: Braves starter Tim Hudson, who hasn't won since May 5, yielded four runs on five hits in 5 2/3 innings to take a no-decision versus Arizona in his last trip to the mound.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the low-90s. Wind will blow out to center field at eight mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 8-1-1 in Kendrick's last 10 home starts.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers (-140, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Mets starter Shaun Marcum has posted back-to-back quality starts after going 11 straight appearances without a win.

Cold pitcher: Brewers starter Yovani Gallardo has allowed 13 runs (11 earned) on 17 hits in seven innings over his last two starts, both losses.

Weather: Game should be played outdoors. Temperatures in the low-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: Mets are 1-9 in their last 10 Saturday games.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (-161, 9)

Hot pitcher: Diamondbacks starter Wade Miley is 4-0 in seven games (six starts) with a 2.79 ERA against the Rockies

Cold pitcher: Rockies starter Drew Pomeranz yielded four runs and seven hits - including two home runs - in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-2 loss versus the Giants in his previous outing.

Weather: Could be played indoors due to excessive heat.

Key betting stat: Over is 5-1 in Miley's last six starts overall.

Interleague

Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds (-218, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Reds starter Mat Latos has fanned 31 in 19 1/3 innings during his last three outings.

Cold pitcher: Mariners starter Jeremy Bonderman struggled against the Chicago Cubs in his last outing and gave up six runs (four earned) and six hits in 3 1/3 innings.

Weather: There is a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow from right to left at 12 mph.

Key betting stat: The Reds are 17-5 in Latos' last 22 starts as a home favorite.

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Saturday's American League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's American League games:

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees (-110, 9)

Hot pitcher: Orioles starter Chris Tillman has allowed more than three runs just once in his last eight outings and has already surpassed last year's career-best win total of nine.

Cold pitcher: Yanks starter Andy Pettitte has surrendered at least four runs in as many consecutive starts and five of six since spending a 2 1/2-week stint on the disabled list with an upper-back injury.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 11 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 7-0-1 in Orioles' last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays (-190, 9)

Hot pitcher: Jays knuckler R.A. Dickey is rounding into form after a dreadful start to the season, and looks to build off back-to-back sensational outings against the Tampa Bay Rays and Detroit Tigers.

Cold pitcher: Twins starter Mike Pelfrey is 1-3 with a 6.91 ERA in six road outings this season.

Weather: Dome should be open. Temperatures in the mid-80s and cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting stat: Blue Jays are 7-0 in their last seven games as a home favorite.

Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals (-115, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: A's starter Jarrod Parker has allowed three runs or fewer in 10 consecutive outings to shave more than three runs off his ERA.

Cold pitcher: Royals reliever J.C. Gutierrez allowed three runs versus Oakland last night and has surrendered five runs (three earned) in his last 1 2/3 innings of work.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 16 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 7-0-1 in the last eight meetings.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (+131, 9)

Hot pitcher: Tigers reliever Joaquin Benoit has given up just two earned runs in his previous 13 1/3 innings of work, dating back to May 28.

Cold pitcher: Indians starter Carlos Carrasco has surrendered at least six runs in three of his first five outings, including a 5 2/3-inning effort against the Chicago White Sox on June 28 in which he escaped with a no-decision despite yielding six runs and 10 hits.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting stat: Tigers are 0-5 in Sanchez's last five road starts.

Houston Astors at Texas Rangers (-305, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Rangers starter Yu Darvish is 3-0 with a 1.90 ERA over his three career outings against the Astros.

Cold pitcher: Astros starter Dallas Keuchel lost to the Tampa Bay Rays in his last start when he gave up five runs and eight hits in 4 2/3 innings.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s and sunny skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 11 mph.

Key betting stat: Rangers are 1-4 in Darvish's last five starts.

Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-134, 7)

Hot pitcher: White Sox starter Chris Sale has 114 strikeouts and 24 walks over 106 1/3 innings, and opponents are only batting .202 against him.

Cold pitcher: Sox closer Addison Reed had an awful June in which he gave up 11 earned runs in 13 innings en route to three blown saves.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting stat: White Sox are 0-6 in their last six road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels (-109, 9)

Hot pitcher: Sox starter Ryan Dempster has surrendered three or fewer runs in his last seven starts.

Cold pitcher: Halos starter Jerome Williams recorded only five outs and threw 55 pitches in a loss to St. Louis on Wednesday, leaving him fresh enough to start again on two days’ rest.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 6-0 in Red Sox's last six overall.

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Gill Alexander 3* LA Dodgers

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John Ryan 25* Baltimore

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Sports Handicapper King

Edmonton

Freeloader on Giants

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SB Professor MMA Picks

Anderson Silva (-220) over Chris Weidman.

Mark Munoz (-110) over Tim Boetsch

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Bryan Rosica

100 DIME WINNER # 8 IN A ROW!
TABLE LIMITS!
OVERALL WINNER # 10 OF 11
Detroit Tigers ML

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Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Pirates
Betting $575 to win $500

(5 UNITS) Tigers
Betting $675 to win $500

(4 UNITS) Blue Jays -1.5
Betting $460 to win $400

(4 UNITS) SD/Wsh - UNDER 7.5
Betting $400 to win $440

(3 UNITS) CHW/TB - UNDER 7
Betting $300 to win $309

(3 UNITS) Cardinals -1.5
Betting $300 to win $375

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Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Sat, 07/06/13 - 2:10 PM

double-dime bet - 919 OAK (+105) vs 920 KAN

The Athletics took a 6-0 lead into the bottom of the ninth before the Royals scored three runs to make the final 6-3. The Royals have not demonstrated much fight in this spot. Kansas City is 57-101 at HOME when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is not the last game of a series. They are 2-6 in this spot their last eight and all eight games are from this season. This won percentage of 36.1% is BY FAR the worst in the league. The Twins are second worst at 45.0%.

Also, the Royals are 23-37 at home when their line is within 20 cents of pickem vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series. So, when they are at home vs a team that just beat them at least once, they are 14 games under 500 when the line is close to pick. Terrible.

Fitting in beautifully here is the fact that the Athletics are a best-in-league 30-10 when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is not the last game of a series. The Giants are second-best at 27-12.

This one tightens up to 14-1 if it is the second game of a series vs an AL foe, as can be seen with this SDQL text:

team=Athletics and po:BL=0 and p:W and SG=2 and C and date>=20120701

We have the momentum, the better starter and the better team and we're the dog.

MTi's FORECAST: Oakland 5 KANSAS CITY 3

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RICH SPORTS

MLB

3.5* 920 KC UNDER 9 -130

2* 912 Phi 1st 5 +105

2* 914 Az RL-1 -118

1.5* 924 TB -130

1* 930 Cin - RL-1

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Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Braves

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Baltimore at New York Yankees (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York Yankees -110 (moneyline)

Last season was magical for the Baltimore Orioles. It seemed that they were winning just about every extra innngs game they played, and Joe Johnson was closing the door for 51 saves with just three blown and going 2-1 as well. This season he is struggling, and served up a walk-off single last night for his sixth blown save - most in MLB this year, and he is also 2-7. The Yankees' offense is coming to life behind Almonte, Cano, Gardner, and Ichiro, and the Bombers have taken five straight. Andy Pettitte is 99-48 in his last 147 starts as a home favorite, and Yanks are also 40-14 in Pettitte's last 54 starts after they allowed 2 or fewer runs in their previous game. Pettitte has been the king of the hill vs. the O's, as the Yanks are 9-1 in his last 10 starts against them. Take the Yankees.

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NASCAR Tackles Daytona on Saturday Night
by Brian Graham

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Coke Zero 400 powered by Coca-Cola

Saturday, July 6 – 7:30 p.m. EDT
Daytona International Speedway – Daytona Beach, FL

The NASCAR drivers will head south to Daytona Beach, FL on Saturday night for the Coke Zero 400 powered by Coca-Cola. Daytona International Speedway, completed in 1959, is a 2.5-mile, tri-oval track with huge bankings (31° turns, 18° tri-oval banking). The frontstrech measures 3,800 feet with the backstretch coming in at 3,000 feet. Tony Stewart is the defending champion of the Coke Zero 400, while Jimmie Johnson won the last race at this track, the Daytona 500 in February. This is one of two tracks that are restrictor plate races.

Odds to Win Race

Driver Odds
Matt Kenseth 8-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10-to-1
Kevin Harvick 12-to-1
Kyle Busch 12-to-1
Jimmie Johnson 12-to-1
Clint Bowyer 15-to-1
Kasey Kahne 15-to-1
Jeff Gordon 15-to-1
Tony Stewart 15-to-1
Brad Keselowski 18-to-1
Denny Hamlin 18-to-1
Carl Edwards 18-to-1
Martin Truex Jr. 18-to-1
Kurt Busch 18-to-1
Greg Biffle 20-to-1
Joey Logano 25-to-1
Jamie McMurray 25-to-1
Jeff Burton 30-to-1
Paul Menard 30-to-1
Ryan Newman 30-to-1
Juan Montoya 30-to-1
Danica Patrick 30-to-1
Michael Waltrip 30-to-1
Marcos Ambrose 40-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 40-to-1
Aric Almirola 50-to-1
Trevor Bayne 50-to-1
David Gilliland 75-to-1
David Ragan 75-to-1
A.J. Allmendinger 75-to-1
Bobby Labonte 100-to-1
Dave Blaney 200-to-1
Travis Kvapil 200-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver) 30-to-1
Drivers to Watch

Denny Hamlin (18/1) - Hamlin is beyond due to win at this track, leading at least four laps in nine of his past 12 Daytona starts, but failing to finish better than third. And after finishing in the top-8 in three of four races shortly after returning from a back injury, Hamlin has been slumping. In his past three starts, the No. 11 car has placed 30th, 23rd and 35th last week in Kentucky as the result of a crash. At 18-to-1 odds, Hamlin presents the best value on the board and is our pick to finally earn his first win at this superspeedway.

Tony Stewart (15/1) - Stewart broke out of a major Daytona drought -- five straight finishes outside top-10 -- last July with his victory, marking his fourth career win at this track, which have all occurred in the summer race. That victory came from the 42nd starting position, marking the worst such start for any eventual champion, and marked his eighth top-5 and 13th top-10 in his profitable Daytona career. And even though he's underperformed in the past two weeks at Sonoma (28th place) and Kentucky (20th place), these tracks are nothing like this 2.5-mile beast coming up on Saturday night. With odds more favorable this time around than last July (12-to-1), Stewart represents a great payoff for a moderate wager.

Jimmie Johnson (12/1) - Despite the slew of bad luck Johnson has encountered at Daytona with five DNF results (four crashes and a rear axle issue) in his past 13 starts, he's still managed two victories, seven top-5's and nearly $8.5M in career earnings at this track. That includes his win at the Daytona 500 to start the season, and he nearly won at the other superspeedway, Talladega, finishing fifth after leading for 16 laps. Johnson has been in first place in the Sprint Cup Points Standings for 12 straight weeks now, thanks to three wins, seven top-5's and a sparkling 9.4 average finish this season. Johnson once again represents the best chalk in this field, with the added bonus of getting double-digit odds.

Joey Logano (25/1) - He’s the best darkhorse candidate for Saturday’s race, with finishes of 3rd and 4th in the past two Coke Zero 400 races. Logano also placed 9th in the 2012 Daytona 500, and has a pair of top-5's in his young career at the other NASCAR superspeedway in Talladega. He had a good chance to post another strong finish at Talladega a few weeks ago before his fourth-place start was ruined by engine failure. The 23-year-old has also been excellent in each of his past six starts this season with an average finish of 7.7. His 11th-place showing at Sonoma's road course is the worst finish he's had during this stretch, with last week's fourth-place finish being the best. At 25-to-1, Logano is worthy of a small wager.

Dave Blaney (200/1) - Admittedly there aren't many longshots in such a wide-open race, but Blaney sure has some seriously favorable odds at 200-to-1. While he's yet to win a NASCAR race in 447 tries, earning just two poles and four top-5's in this monster span, the 50-year-old Blaney has had mild success at Daytona. In the 11 Daytona races he's actually finished since 2004, he's placed 17th or better in five of those, including two of the past three. He led at least one lap in two of those races, and also led in two other races he eventually crashed in, both which occurred since 2008. As long as you treat Blaney like a lottery ticket that you don't expect to win, go ahead and place a one-unit wager on him during this holiday weekend.

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Seabass Report for Saturday all 100's:
Tampa Bay
Baltimore
Pittsburgh