7-12-13

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369673

    #31
    MLB

    Hot pitchers
    -- Villanueva is 0-3, 6.26 in his last five starts.
    -- Hefner is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
    -- Strasburg is 2-0, 2.33 in his last four starts. Eovaldi is 1-0, 2.55 in his first four starts.
    -- Corbin has a 2.68 RA in his last five starts; Arizona is 16-2 in his starts. Gorzelanny has a 2.70 RA in his first two '13 starts.
    -- Gaudin is 2-0, 2.86 in five starts this season.
    -- Kershaw is 2-0, 1.08 in his last three starts.

    -- Pettibone is 2-0, 2.35 in his last four starts.

    -- Tillman is 6-1, 3.61 in his last seven starts. Buehrle is 3-1, 2.68 in his last six.
    -- Kuroda is 1-0, 2.21 in his last three home starts.
    -- Price is 2-0, 0.56 in his last two starts.
    -- Parker is 4-0, 2.58 in his last eight starts. Lackey is 3-1, 2.25 in his last five.
    -- Saunders is 2-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.


    Cold pitchers
    -- Kelly is 0-1, 4.63 in two starts this season.
    -- Morton is 0-1, 7.24 in his last three starts.
    -- Arroyo is 0-2, 11.17 in his last two starts on foreign soil. Medlen has a 5.74 RA in his last five starts.
    -- Nicasio is 0-2, 11.08 in his last three starts.

    -- Danks is 1-4, 5.01 in his last five starts.

    -- Grimm is 2-3, 9.55 in his last seven starts. Fister is 0-1, 7.66 in his last four.
    -- Diamond is 1-4, 8.04 in his last six starts.
    -- Kluber is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three starts.
    -- Williams is 1-2, 6.83 in his last five starts.


    Starting Pitchers/First Inning
    You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
    -- Kelly 0-2; Villanueva 5-9
    -- Hefner 6-17; Morton 1-5
    -- Strasburg 4-17 (0 of last 11); Eovaldi 0-4
    -- Arroyo 2-18; Medlen 7-18 (3 of last 3)
    -- Gorzelanny 0-2; Corbin 3-18 (0 of last 7)
    -- Gaudin 0-5; O'Sullivan 0-0
    -- Nicasio 7-16; Kershaw 2-19

    -- Danks 3-9; Pettibone 3-15

    -- Grimm 6-16; Fister 5-18
    -- Buehrle 4-18 (0 of last 9); Tillman 4-18
    -- Diamond 6-16; Kuroda 6-17
    -- Chen 0-0; Kluber 3-14
    -- Cosart 0-0; Price 3-11
    -- Lackey 6-15; Parker 6-18
    -- Williams 3-10; Saunders 5-18


    Totals
    -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five games at Wrigley Field.
    -- Nine of last ten Met games went over the total.
    -- Last four Washington games stayed under the total.
    -- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under.
    -- Last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
    -- Ten of last fourteen San Francisco games stayed under.
    -- Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.

    -- White Sox' last four games went over the total.

    -- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
    -- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Toronto road games.
    -- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
    -- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City gasmes.
    -- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Bronx games.
    -- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Oakland games.
    -- Five of last six Seattle games went over the total.

    Hot teams
    -- Cardinals won six of their last eight games. Cubs are 8-4 in their last 12.
    -- Mets won their last four games, scoring 23 runs.
    -- Braves won three of their last four games.
    -- Dodgers won eleven of their last thirteen games.

    -- Phillies won six of their last eight games.

    -- Tigers won seven of their last ten games.
    -- Orioles won six of their last eight home games.
    -- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games.
    -- Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 13 games.
    -- Oakland won five of its last seven games. Red Sox won 12 of their last 16.
    -- Angels won three of their last four games.


    Cold teams
    -- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
    -- Miami lost five of its last six games. Nationals lost three of their last four.
    -- Reds lost seven of their last nine road games.
    -- Brewers lost seven of their last nine games. Arizona lost three of last four.
    -- Giants lost 13 of their last 16 games; San Diego lost 12 of last 13.
    -- Colorado lost eight of its last eleven games.

    -- White Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.

    -- Texas lost its last two games, scoring one run each game.
    -- Toronto lost six of its last nine games.
    -- Twins lost eleven of their last twelve games.
    -- Royals lost 12 of their last 21 games, allowing 16 runs in last two. Indians lost six of their last nine games.
    -- Astros lost five of their last six games.
    -- Mariners lost seven of their last nine home games.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369673

      #32
      BIGFELLA
      Spittin-Winners

      MLB 7:05p $3 NY METS +136
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369673

        #33
        Ocal Sports

        Free Play
        (2) Angels -111
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369673

          #34
          KYLE HUNTER

          MLB Jul 12 '13
          7:05p
          New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
          Take: Total 8 un-118
          in 7h
          *3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeremy Hefner has really come into his own over his last few starts. Hefner was on the verge of losing his starting spot in the rotation, but he has solidified his spot with five very good starts in a row. Charlie Morton hasn't been able to prove himself yet this year, but he has a good history at home. Neither of these teams have a strong lineup. This is the type of game that I think both pitchers will have several easy innings. Because the Mets bats have been hot of late, the value is with the under. Take the under.
          MLB Jul 12 '13
          7:05p
          Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies
          Take: Philadelphia Phillies -121
          in 7h
          *4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jonathan Pettibone is solid young starter for the Phillies. He has struggled on the road, but at home he has been terrific. The White Sox are coming off a good series win at Detroit, but this team can't be trusted. John Danks starts for the White Sox and he has an ERA over 6 on the road this year. With Chase Utley back in the lineup and healthy, the Phillies batting order is much tougher than many people realize. If the Phillies win this game, they will get back to .500. The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The White Sox are 0-5 in Danks last 5 road starts. The White Sox are 0-4 in Danks last 4 against a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 6-0 in Pettibone's last 6 home starts with a total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the Phillies.

          MLB Jul 12 '13
          7:05p
          Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
          Take: Total 9½ ov+100
          in 7h
          *3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Grimm started the year well for the Rangers, but things have really fallen apart for him of late. Grimm never pitched very well in the minors so I'm not surprised he is struggling in the majors. Detroit isn't the type of team you want to face when you are struggling. Look for the Tigers to put up a big number here. On the other side Doug Fister has allowed 6 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Rangers offense is pretty strong as well. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The over is 8-1 in the Tigers last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the over.

          MLB Jul 12 '13
          10:05p
          Boston Red Sox vs Oakland A's
          Take: Total 7½ un+112
          in 10h
          *3 Star MLB Total Value* John Lackey has been pitching extremely well of late. Lackey is arguably throwing the ball better than he has at any time in his career. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of this last 7 starts. Boston has struggled badly in Oakland for several years. The Red Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games in Oakland. Boston's offense is very good, but I have a feeling Parker and the strong Athletics bullpen will slow them down. This one has pitchers' dual written all over it. Take the under.

          MLB Jul 12 '13
          10:10p
          Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
          Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -1½-109
          in 10h
          *3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher in all of baseball right now in my opinion. Kershaw has an ERA of less than 1.9 on the year so far in 2013. The Rockies are starting to get healthy, but as they showed last night, guys like Dexter Fowler and Troy Tulowitzki are both rusty. Juan Nicasio allowed 12 hits in less than 3 innings of work in his last outing. Nicasio must now face a red hot Dodgers lineup. This is a major mismatch all around with the Dodgers have a much better pitcher and a much better lineup. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 home starts against the Rockies. Take the Dodgers -1.5.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369673

            #35
            KYLE HUNTER

            4* Philadelphia Phillies -121

            New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
            3* Total 8 under -118

            Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
            3* Total 9½ over +100

            Boston Red Sox vs Oakland A's
            3* Total 7½ under +112

            3* Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ -109
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369673

              #36
              Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

              Game: Chicago at Connecticut (7:00 PM Eastern)
              Pick: Connecticut +4 (-105) at 5Dimes

              The Connecticut Sun has perhaps been the most disappointing team in the WNBA this season. They simply have too much talent to be 3-8 on the season. They now realize that time is running out, so this becomes a huge game for them. They do have a great PG in Kara Lawson and a strong inside presence in Tina Charles, which gives them favorable matchup against Sylvia Fowles, and rookie sensation Elena Delle Donne. They will also be out to redeem an 11-point loss to Chicago early in the season. Play Connecticut.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369673

                #37
                Goodfella

                3* TEX/DET over
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369673

                  #38
                  Power Play Wins

                  Play of the Day

                  Phillies
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369673

                    #39
                    BIG AL's FRIDAY MLB ROADKILL WINNER

                    Phillies
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369673

                      #40
                      INDIAN COWBOY

                      WNBA

                      3-Unit play Take #601 Chicago Sky -4.5 vs. Connecticut (7:05pm)
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369673

                        #41
                        Bob Balfe

                        MLB
                        NEW YORK METS +125
                        (Hefner/Morton)

                        The bad news for the Pirates is it looks like the 2nd half meltdown is taking place. This is a team that just does not have the overall talent to compete for a whole season in their division. I really like this team, but they need to get a few more big name guys if they want to be the last men standing in their division. Don't look now, but the Mets are hitting the ball and trying to make some noise in a division that is about to really heat up in the 2nd half. Take the Mets.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369673

                          #42
                          Scott Spreitzer's MLB TRIPLE DIME BLOCKBUSTER!

                          Phillies
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369673

                            #43
                            Greg Shaker MLB Money Line Fri, 07/12/13 - 7:05 PM
                            dime bet - 903 NYM (+136) vs 904 PIT

                            Analysis: Pirates are way Over-Valued here as they have been for the last couple of weeks. How can Morton be this high of a favorite?. Hefner doing solid work and the Mets are winning games. New York actually has a much better road mark than at home so the road does not scare them. We are buying low here on a line that is just wacky..
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369673

                              #44
                              Todays Best Bets

                              (5 UNITS) Yankees -1.5
                              Betting $500 to win $525

                              (5 UNITS) Red Sox
                              Betting $530 to win $500

                              (4 UNITS) CHW/Phi - UNDER 8.5
                              Betting $460 to win $400

                              (4 UNITS) Dodgers -1.5
                              Betting $440 to win $400

                              (3 UNITS) Pirates
                              Betting $423 to win $300
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369673

                                #45
                                Handicapping Kings

                                JEFF (SY GUY)

                                BASEBALL

                                2X- WASHINGTON/MIAMI - UNDER 7 -115 (7PM)

                                1X- TORONTO/BALTIMORE - UNDER 9.5 -125 (7PM)

                                1X- ARIZONA-160 MILWAUKEE (940PM)
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