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BEN BURNS
Week 3 Personal Favorite!
Hamilton Tiger-Cats -4 -
Stephen Nover CFL Side - Saturday, Jul 13 2013 6:35PM
126 HAM -4.5(-110) vs 125 WIN - double-dime betComment
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CFL doubleheader: Bombers at Ticats, Lions at Eskimos
Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-5, 54.5)
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers’ defense made a statement with 11 sacks in two games against the Montreal Alouettes to start the season. Winnipeg will try to apply the same pressure to quarterback Henry Burris and the host Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Saturday in Guelph, Ont. The Blue Bombers will be the second team to visit Hamilton at its temporary home - the Tiger-Cats lost to the Edmonton Eskimos in heavy rain in Week 2 and are the only team without a win.
Burris, who leads the CFL in passing yards with 595, believes his offence has to get better, but the problem with Hamilton is defense. The Tiger-Cats allowed a league-high 69 points through two games and look especially vulnerable against the run after surrendering 298 total rushing yards. Winnipeg running back Chad Simpson, limited to 90 yards, will look to exploit the same holes Edmonton and the Toronto Argonauts found in Hamilton’s porous secondary.
TV: 6:30 p.m. ET, TSN
ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-1): Defensive tackles Bryant Turner and Zach Anderson and defensive ends Kenny Mainor and Alex Hall combined for nine of the 11 sacks against Montreal, forming the core of Winnipeg’s intimidating defensive line. Veteran quarterback Buck Pierce has struggled to start the season, completing 38-of-65 passes and throwing four interceptions. Pierce’s favorite target has been slot back Cory Watson, who is on pace to surpass his 2011 career-high 793 receiving yards with 143 in two games.
ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (0-2): Burris connected with wide receiver Andy Fantuz for 155 yards and one touchdown in the season opener, but Fantuz missed Week 2 with an injury and was not at practice Tuesday. To help bolster their depleted offense, the Tiger-Cats called up wide receiver Glenn MacKay, who is from nearby Burlington, Ont., and resides in Hamilton. MacKay made 18 receptions for 196 yards with the Tiger-Cats in 2011 but has never scored a touchdown during stints for three different CFL teams.
TRENDS:
* Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Hamilton.
* Blue Bombers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 July games.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Hamilton’s loss to Edmonton drew 12,612 fans at Alumni Stadium, which hosted its first CFL game.
2. Tiger-Cats Rookie RB C.J. Gable, who has scored three touchdowns, was also absent from practice Tuesday.
3. Winnipeg SB Kito Poblah remains week-to-week with an injury suffered in preseason.
BC Lions at Edmonton Eskimos (3.5, 49.5)
After dropping its season opener to the Calgary Stampeders, the BC Lions return to Alberta with a home victory under their belts and a winning record in their sights when they visit the Edmonton Eskimos on Saturday. Led by running back Andrew Harris, who recorded 152 combined yards, BC handled the Toronto Argonauts in Week 2, shutting down Toronto’s run game one week after surrendering 172 rushing yards to Calgary running back Jon Cornish.
Edmonton is returning home where it lost to the Saskatchewan Roughriders 39-18 to open the season. Quarterback Mike Reilly looked much better in Week 2, throwing for two touchdowns and running for another in a road victory over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. Reilly and running back Hugh Charles combined for 173 rushing yards, a trend that will need to continue in order to open up defenses for Reilly’s developing passing game.
TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TSN
ABOUT THE LIONS (1-1): BC’s defense will be without linebacker Adam Bighill for at least two weeks after he suffered an ankle injury against Toronto. Bighill, who led the team with 104 tackles last year, will be replaced by veteran linebacker Anton McKenzie. With slot back Shawn Gore also expected to miss time because of a head injury, quarterback Travis Lulay will lean heavily on slot back Nick Moore (162 receiving yards) and wide receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux (153). Two games into his first CFL season, cornerback Cord Parks leads BC with 10 tackles and one interception.
ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-1): Reilly’s favorite target is veteran slot back Fred Stamps, who has 150 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Stamps has 6,278 receiving yards in his seven-year CFL career - all with Edmonton. Linebacker JC Sherritt, who set a CFL record with 130 tackles last year, has a team-leading 15 tackles and one sack. Aside from Sherritt, the Eskimos’ defense has been questionable as four of their five sacks (and both interceptions) came against a Tiger-Cats team that struggled to control the ball in heavy rain.
TRENDS:
*Over is 4-0 in the Eskimos’ last four home games.
* Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last six Week 3 games.
EXTRA POINTS
1. The Lions have won five of seven games against the Eskimos over the last two seasons.
2. Edmonton OL Cliff Louis was fined an undisclosed amount for a dangerous block on Tiger-Cats DL Eric Norwood in Week 2.
3. BC is second in the CFL power rankings following Week 2; Edmonton is seventh.Comment
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CFL
Week 3
Winnipeg (1-1) @ Hamilton (0-2)-- Blue Bombers won six of last seven series games, as seven of last ten series games stayed under total; Winnipeg was 3-4 in last seven visits to Hamilton. Winnipeg split its first two games this year despite turning ball over nine times (-5); they've got 11 sacks in two games (+3)TiCats allowed 69 points in losing first two games, giving up 149 ypg on ground; they've been outscored 28-10 in second half of their games. Underdogs covered six of last eight series games; dogs are 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight series games played in Hamilton. TiCats are playing in college stadium this season while their new stadium is being built.
BC Lions (1-1) @ Edmonton (1-1)-- Lions won six of last seven games against Eskimos, winning five of last six visits here (won 19-18 here LY); under is 7-4 in last eleven series games. Underdogs covered six of last eight series games played here. Both teams are off to 1-1 start; Lions were down 31-6 at half in only road game, at Calgary. Eskimos won on rainy field on road vs TiCats last week, running ball for 177 yards, after losing at home to Roughriders week before; they've turned ball over five times (-2) in two games. Home underdogs are 0-2 so far this season; five of eight games went over.Comment
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Today's CFL Picks
SATURDAY, JULY 13
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (7/10)Game 125-126: Winnipeg at Hamilton (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.860; Hamilton 113.386
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 5 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-3 1/2); OverGame 127-128: BC at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 117.660; Edmonton 109.521
Dunkel Line: BC by 8; 46
Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-3 1/2); UnderComment
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MLB betting: Scouting the toughest second-half schedules
The All-Star break provides baseball bettors with a chance to reflect on the first half of the season and make adjustments moving forward.
Here are three teams that face the toughest road in the unofficial second half.
Tampa Bay Rays +5.36 units
No team is hotter than the Rays over the past two weeks. Tampa Bay has won 12 of its last 13 games heading into a three-game set with the lowly Houston Astros but it will be tough sledding after the All-Star Break. The Rays will have played a league-high 53 home games by the break, leaving only 28 more contests at The Trop in the second half. Tampa Bay is 21-22 away from home (19-19-5 over/under) and kicks off the back stretch with a 10-game road trip following the All-Star festivities.
New York Yankees +3.31 units
The Yankees have been ravaged by injuries all season long, but sit eight games over .500 heading into their final set of the first half with the Minnesota Twins. The health of captain Derek Jeter remains a concern but Michael Pineda and Alex Rodriguez are on the mend and nearing returns to the lineup. New York plays 37 of its final 67 games away from Yankee Stadium, but that may not be such a bad thing. The Yankees are one of the few teams that boast a winning road record (23-21).
Los Angeles Dodgers -7.68 units
The Dodgers were one of the biggest disappointments in the bigs out of the gate, but Puig-mania has uplifted the squad to wins in 10 of its last 12 games. L.A. is just 1.5 games back of Arizona for the NL West lead heading into action Friday but only has a 22-25 record against divisional opponents. The Dodgers will only play 31 of their final 68 games at home and have a few tough interleague series’ remaining against strong AL East opponents (Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, Rays).Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Yankees Friday and likes the Yankees again Saturday.
The deficit is 910 sirignanos.Comment
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bettingPROfit
POD Minnesota Twins +1Comment
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MLB
Hot pitchers
-- Garza is 4-0, 1.22 in his last five starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 3.33 in his last four starts.
-- Burnett is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Fernandez is 3-2, 1.94 in his last seven starts.
-- Lohse is 4-0, 2.49 in his last seven starts.
-- Lannan is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts. Pettibone is 2-0, 2.35 in his last four starts.
-- Redmond allowed two runs in five IP in winning his only '13 start.
-- Kazmir is 1-0, 2.73 in his last four starts.
-- Scherzer is 6-0, 3.04 in his last seven starts; Tigers are 15-3 in his starts. Holland is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two outings.
-- Griffin is 2-0, 3.96 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 0.87 in his last three starts. FHernandez is 1-0, 3.27 in his last four starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Minor is 0-2, 5.04 in his last five starts. Bailey is 1-3, 4.28 in his last five starts- the win was a no-hitter.
-- Lynn is 1-2, 4.79 in his last three starts.
-- Chatwood is 1-2, 3.80 in his last four starts.
-- Torres is making first MLB start since '10 (1-4, 7.39 in six starts for White Sox in '09-'10); he's allowed one earned run 17.2 IP for Mets this year, after going 6-3, 3.89 in 17 AAA starts.
-- Haren is 0-6, 6.66 in his last eight starts.
-- Volquez is 1-2, 4.70 in his last four starts. Lincecum is 0-4, 5.09 in his last six starts.
-- Delgado is 1-3, 4.13 in his last four starts.
-- Danks is 1-4, 5.01 in his last five starts.
-- Hughes is 1-4, 3.99 in his last five starts. Deduno is 1-3, 4.68 in his last four.
-- RHernandez is 0-4, 5.06 in his last four starts. Keuchel is 0-2, 5.74 in his last three.
-- Guthrie is 1-3, 5.28 in his last five starts.
-- Hammel is 0-3, 5.09 in his last seven starts.
-- Lester is 2-3, 7.08 in his last six starts.
Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Bailey 3-18; Minor 6-18
-- Lynn 4-18; Garza 0-10
-- Chatwood 3-11; Greinke 4-13
-- Torres 0-0; Burnett 3-15
-- Haren 3-16; Fernandez 4-17
-- Lincecum 8-18; Volquez 5-19
-- Lohse 7-18; Delgado 2-5
-- Santiago 2-11; Danks 3-9; Lannan 3-8; Pettibone 3-15
-- Deduno 2-9; Hughes 5-17
-- Redmond 0-1; Hammel 5-18
-- Keuchel 1-11; RHernandez 6-16
-- Guthrie 5-18; Kazmir 4-15
-- Holland 2-17; Scherzer 4-18
-- Lester 6-19; Griffin 1-18
-- Weaver 2-10; FHernandez 3-18
Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six games at Wrigley Field.
-- Nine of last eleven Met games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Last six Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Francisco games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- White Sox' last four games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Toronto road games.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Bronx games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Oakland games.
-- Six of last seven Seattle games went over the total.
Hot teams
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games. Cubs are 8-5 in their last 13.
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Arizona won seven of its last ten games.
-- Dodgers won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Orioles won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games.
-- Indians won three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Red Sox won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten road games.
Cold teams
-- Pirates lost four of their last six games.
-- Miami lost five of its last seven games. Nationals lost four of their last five.
-- Reds lost seven of their last ten road games. Braves lost three of their last four home games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Giants lost 13 of their last 17 games; San Diego lost 13 of last 14.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last twelve games.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Texas lost its last three games, scoring four runs.
-- Toronto lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Twins lost 12 of their last 13 games.
-- Royals lost 13 of their last 22 games, allowing 19 runs in last three.
-- Astros lost five of their last seven games.
-- Oakland lost its last two games, scored six runs in last four.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last ten home games.
Umpires
-- Cin-Atl-- Last four West games stayed under the total.
-- StL-Chi-- Underdogs are 6-6 (+$105) in last twelve Bell games.
-- Col-LA-- Last four Joyce games went over the total.
-- NY-Pitt-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Gorman games.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Eight of last ten Wendelstedt games stayed under.
-- SF-SD-- Last five Wegner games went over the total.
-- Mil-Az-- Nine of last eleven Guccione went over the total.
-- Min-NY-- Four of last five Carapazza games stayed under.
-- Tor-Balt-- Seven of last eight Hernandez games went over.
-- Hst-TB-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Cooper games.
-- KC-Clev-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Iassogna games.
-- Tex-Det-- Five of last six Barry games stayed under total.
-- Bos-A's-- All three Hamari games went over the total.
-- LA-Sea-- Favorites won six of last seven Hudson games.Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 1061-795 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !
Free winner Sat: Seattle PKComment
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Gamblers Data
Free Play Saturday
Angels -110Comment
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Joe Wiz
Free Play Saturday Milwaukee/Arizona Over 8Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
Toronto at Baltimore
The Blue Jays look to take advantage of a Baltimore team that is 0-4 in Jason Hammel's last 4 starts as a favorite. Toronto is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, JULY 13
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 951-952: Cincinnati at Atlanta (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.569; Atlanta (Minor) 16.935
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); OverGame 953-954: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.824; Cubs (Garza) 15.728
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); N/AGame 955-956: NY Mets at Pittsburgh (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Torres) 15.519; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 17.006
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-180); UnderGame 957-958: Washington at Miami (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Haren) 16.047; Miami (Fernandez) 15.173
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); OverGame 959-960: Colorado at LA Dodgers (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 13.955; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.093
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-165); UnderGame 961-962: San Francisco at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 13.858; San Diego (Volquez) 12.244
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); OverGame 963-964: Milwaukee at Arizona (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 13.802; Arizona (Delgado) 15.282
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); UnderGame 965-966: Minnesota at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 15.860; NY Yankees (Hughes) 14.761
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); OverGame 967-968: Toronto at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Redmond) 15.503; Baltimore (Hammel) 14.378
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); OverGame 969-970: Houston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.365; Tampa Bay (Hernandez) 15.699
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-240); UnderGame 971-972: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.567; Cleveland (Kazmir) 14.607
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); OverGame 973-974: Texas at Detroit (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 14.209; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.871
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); UnderGame 975-976: Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.424; Oakland (Griffin) 15.394
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); UnderGame 977-978: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.801; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.782
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); OverGame 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 15.639; Philadelphia (Lannan) 14.622
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 981-982: Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.139; Philadelphia (Pettibone) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AComment
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Bookiemonsters
114-69 run
22-12 run last 33 plays
pod bluejays game under 9.5Comment
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