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Hondo
Hondo eyes Ray payday
Hondo bounced back from his Sunday double-beating by scoring easily with the Reds, who trimmed the debt to 505 doerrs by proving him prescient with his Lincecum Post-No-Hitter-Letdown Theory.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will seek a contribution from the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona – 20 units on the Rays to show some pop against Jonny Lager.Comment
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DAVE ESSLER
Tuesday MLB Thoughts
Pirates-Washington: Starters essentially a wash, and I'd much rather play Washington against a RHP, so this one depends on bullpens on Monday (for me, at this point). The weather might be conducive for runs to be scored, and I can see this going to 8.5.
Atlanta-New York: There is no doubt in my mind that Carlos Torres is better than Kris Medlen, and there is no doubt that the Braves have a better lineup, hence they are favored. However, if the Mets don't use a ton of bullpen and someone, say McCann, sits tomorrow, I can see taking Dub's Mets here.
San Diego-Milwaukee: Hard to say how this Braun thing effects these guys, not just from a "he's not playing" standpoint, but perhaps the rest of the team feels "cheated" for lack of a better word. I would be more concerned about that for the next week with this team rather than who's playing whom. Ross gets a rare start, meaning we might see the Padres pen sooner rather than later, and ditto for Hand. Tough game to read.
Phillies-Cardinals: Don't look now but the Phillies are in second place in the NL East. Yes, sub .500, but 7 games out and don't tell them they can't catch they Braves. Motivation matters from here on out as teams start to "quit" or call up next years' potential talent. Miller's been giving up flyballs and he is (has been) simply not the dominant pitcher he was early in the season. Pettibone has kept the Phillies in most games, and that ML for the Cardinals is just too much. Looking at the Phillies RL here.
Miami-Colorado: Fernandez is clearly the Fish's best option more often than not, and I have never felt that Chacin was worth all the fuss, at least in Coors. Because Miami CAN hit, there is no chance of laying -150 on Colorado. Miami RL or nothing, but this is one that clearly depends on what happens Monday night.
Rays-Red Sox: I simply can't back Jon Lester coming off the rest/DL whatever. He may well be the Lester of old, but I can't lay that price. Fausto has been reborn in Tampa Bay, and there's no trusting Boston's bullpen with Lester perhaps on a pitch count. Have to lean Rays here, inasmuch as it hurts Kyle.
Yankees-Rangers: Again, simply not laying -160 on a pitcher coming of the DL. Just not an option.That's even more the case with a 100 degree heat and a pitch count. We all know Hughes has been better on the road, and he's beaten the Rangers once this season already. Looking again at the Yankees or the Yankees RL.
Orioles at Royals: Have to wonder here if Chen isn't a little motivated to pitch against one of his former teams. He certainly looked good against the Indians, so I wouldn't rule out taking the Royals here. Lefties CAN take SOME of the pop out of Davis and Markakis, and he's done well against Weiters. Hammel has regressed quite a bit since the good start, so it's (gulp) Royals or nothing.
Oakland-Houston: So Jarred Cosart shuts down the Rays on two hits and is a home dog to the vaunted A's. The kids from League City which is not far from Houston at all. Just how will he handle 50% of the crowd being free tickets he probably had to get. Parker giving up a lot more bombs on the road (as you'd expect) so I wouldn't rule out the Astros here.
Detroit-Chicago: Again, the White Sox and their impending personnel implosion are probably not something I wany my money behind, regardless of how good Santiago CAN be. I have never been a Porcello fan for some reason, but he just beat the White Sox last start, so perhaps Chicago returns the favor. I have not looked at the weather, but somehow think their may be some runs scored.
Twins-Angels: Once again, there is no chance of taking Hanson at any price, let alone -175, coming off the DL. If he was that good he'd still be in Atlanta, so I lean Twins and/or Twins RL here or nothing whatsoever.
Cleveland-Seattle: Ramirez has had his moments, but two weeks ago (his last/only start) he needed 101 pitches and could get out of the 5th inning. But, yes, McAllister another DL casualty returning so there is not too much chance of taking either side, and maybe the roof will be open.
Dodgers-Jays: I will back the Jays against most LHP's at home, but Capuano is pretty tough on left handed hitters, so this one might need more thought, as he's also been actually better away from Chavez Ravine. Redmond can be had, and may not pitch deep, so at this point I am inclined to take the Dodgers.Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
MLB ATLANTA at NY METS
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) off a one run win over a division rival, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts
34-16 since 1997. ( 68.0% 23.5 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets
MLB BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY
BALTIMORE is 20-10 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (3.4)Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
WNBA NEW YORK at INDIANA
Play Against - Road teams (NEW YORK) after 3 or more consecutive unders, poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game
71-34 since 1997. ( 67.6% 33.6 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )
WNBA NEW YORK at INDIANA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (INDIANA) off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss against a division rival
122-79 since 1997. ( 60.7% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )
WNBA NEW YORK at INDIANA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 60.5 and 65.5 points average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )Comment
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Bankroll Sports
3* (MLB) Tampa Bay Rays +145
2* (MLB) Chicago White Sox +120Comment
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Vic Monte Sports
Private Play Game of the Year ANGELSComment
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Cappers Access
Nationals-110
Indians-115
Dodgers-115Comment
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Power Play Wins
Play of the Day
BravesComment
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CHASE DIAMOND
9* MLB Perfect Play
Baltimore vs. Kansas City
Money Line: Kansas City+102Comment
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick
Game: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -135 (moneyline) at Bovada
The Tampa Bay Rays have continued their torrid pace, which has seen them go 18-2 over their last 20 games. Boston still leads the AL East, and have a pitching advantage here in this one. Roberto Hernandez has been the weakest link in the Rays' rotation, and has struggled mightily on the road. Hernandez is just 1-6 on the road with a 5.74 ERA on the season. His body of work over the last three seasons shows him at a woeful 12-28. Boston is 31-18 and hasn't dropped two in a row at home since May 12th - more than two months ago. The Rays have dropped five straight behind Hernandez as a road dog, while Boston is 7-0 behind Lester in his last seven home starts. Play on Boston.Comment
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Teddy Covers
10* Mariners
20* DodgersComment
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Jimmy Boyd
5* (MLB) Colorado Rockies ML -139
4* (MLB) Chicago Cubs ML +165
3* (MLB) Texas Rangers ML -165Comment
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SuperSportsGroup MLB
Pittsburgh v. Washington 7:05pm
PICK: Pirates ML +105 Game
Atlanta v. NY 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game -115
Philadelphia v. St Louis 8:15pm
PICK: Phillies ML +185 Game
Miami v. Colorado 8:40pm
PICK: UNDER 9 Game -105Comment
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9xSports
European soccer Ekranas overComment
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