Tweet
DannyB
Nationals ML
Orioles ML
Nationals ML
Orioles ML
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J.R Stevens SMOOTH44
ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)
(955) SAN DIEGO +120/RRL -1.5 +195
(957) MIAMI +155/RRL -1.5 +250
(965) NY-YANKEES +145/RRL -1.5 +205
(968) CHI-WHITE SOX +130/RRL -1.5 +260
*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
“RRL” means “Reverse Runline” or “Alternate RunlineComment
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Stephen Nover
967 DET
973 BALComment
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CHRIS JORDAN
500 Dodgers -130Comment
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Tkwins all 3 units
ny Yankees
milwaukee brewers
Baltimore oriolesComment
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LA Syndicate
Top Plays
Under Rockies
Reds
Over MarinersComment
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Chicago Syndicate
Top Plays
Mets
Diamondbacks
RedsComment
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Joe Gavazzi MLB 3-1 last night, 18-6 post ASB, 14-3 L4 days)
Thursday, July 25th MLB
Baltimore (Gonzalez) (-130) at Kansas City (Guthrie) 8:10 ET
4% Baltimore (Gonzalez) (-130)
This is a 10* free play for you on the Baltimore Orioles, the most resilient team in the American League. Baltimore has suffered consecutive 1 run losses to KC following their late 4-3 defeat Wednesday night. But this Baltimore team is 31-13/loss, the best record in the AL. And despite those 2 tough losses, the Birds are still on positive runs of 8-3 and 5-2. Today they send Gonzalez to the hill who has pitched at least 6 innings of 23 consecutive starts. In fact, in his L8 starts, Gonzalez is 6-1 with a 2.35 ERA. Gonzalez has also been among the best road pitchers in MLB with a 2.83 ERA L2Y. That includes 2.93 ERA this year with a 1.23 WHIP on the road. Those numbers are far dichotomous to the ones offered by Guthrie who after a hot start to the season has lost his way. In his last 7 starts, Guthrie is 2-4 with a .05 ERA including a 9.82 ERA in his last 3 starts from this mound. Baltimore to bounce back in this divergent pitching matchup!
Pittsburgh (Burnett) at Washington (Gonzalez) (-130) 12:35 ET
3% Pittsburgh (Burnett) +120)
Going for a road sweep with the Pirates at another value Underdog price backing the diverse momentum of these two teams. The Pirates 4-2 victory last night was their 4th straight. For Washington, they dropped to 2-11 with their 6th consecutive defeat. In that 6 game span, the Nats have scored just 13 runs with a .057 BA with RISP. In a matchup where each of the starters is in good current form and has a solid history vs. the opposing bats, we again line up with the 60-39 Pirates as meaningful underdog against the 48-53 Nationals. Finally, must note that Pittsburgh has won more road games (28) than Washington has at home (27).
Philadelphia (Kendrick) at St. Louis (Lynn) (-175 -1 ½ runs -125) 7:15 ET
4% St. Louis (Lynn) (-175 -1 ½ runs -125)
Again tonight we follow the momentum of 2 teams headed opposite directions. After a 9-3 run, the Phillies have lost 4 straight games. Following a 3-8 slide, St. Louis has gone 11-3 to maintain their 1 ½ game lead against Pittsburgh with the best record in MLB at 61-37. Neither of these pitchers is in good current form yet the home/road dichotomy persists. For Kendrick, his last 12 starts have seen him go 5-5 with a 5.00 ERA. Kendrick is off an outing in which he allowed 6 runs in 5 2/3 IP to the Mets. Most disturbing has been his work on the road where in his last 4 starts spanning 24 IP, Kendrick has allowed 36 hits and 19 earned runs. In the last 8 starts, Lynn has gone 3-4 with a 6.32 ERA. Yet his work from this mound continues to be most encouraging. For the season, St. Louis has won 8-10 home starts by Lynn in which he has a 2.81 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. In his last 5 home starts spanning 32 IP, Lynn has allowed only 29 hits and 10 earned runs. Run line players take note: 48/61 St. Louis wins including 25/31 home victories have come by 2 or more runs. Consider part of your wager on the run line.
Cincinnati (Latos) at LA Dodgers (Greinke) (-115) 10:10 ET
5% LA Dodgers (Greinke) (-115)
Despite needing to traverse 3 time zones, our top play of the night again is on these LA Dodgers at an incredible value price. This is a team at last reaching their potential with a steak of 23-5 including 6 consecutive victories. Tonight they send one of the best homers in all of MLB to the mound. In Greinke home starts, the Dodgers are 7-0 over which span Greinke has a 2.17 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. The Dodgers have won the last 6 starts by Greinke who has spun a 0.41 ERA in his L3 starts. In 6 recent starts against Cincinnati, Greinke is 4-0 with a 2.14 ERA. Earlier this season, Latos snapped a 21 game start in which he did not record a loss. But since that time, the Reds have gone 4-5 in Latos starts. Personally, Latos is just 3-3 his last 6 outings. Most disturbing, however, is his work at this site where from this mound Latos has gone 0-5 with a 3.95 ERA.
Tampa Bay (Hellickson) at Boston (Lackey) (-130) 7:10 ET
3% Tampa Bay (Hellickson) (+120)
On Tuesday night, the Rays failed in their effort to capture 1st place from the Bo Sox in the AL East. Now they get another chance and we will play them to succeed. The Rays have been a victual meal ticket for us in going 19-3 of late outscoring foes 104-51 with a team ERA of 2.17. Hellickson has been a part of that surge as in his last 6 starts, Hellickson is 5-0 with a 2.19 ERA. Pitching from this mound has proven to be profitable for Hellickson who in 6 starts at Fenway has gone 3-0 with a 3.68 ERA. The Boston bats have gone a bit cold leading to a recent 3-5 record in which they have averaged just 2.9 RPG with a .225 BA. Lackey has been a pleasant surprise for Boston going 7-7 with a 2.95 ERA. But in his last 4 outings vs. Tampa Bay, Lackey is 0-3 with a 7.78 ERA. Stay with red hot Tampa Bay as underdog.Comment
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THESPORTSCAPPER 5000* GOY CFL Edmonton +5
They stand 3-13 in CFL this season and have lost over 30 net units betting 1 unit/game since the June 24.Comment
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Ben Burns
Washington
Texas
Rockies/Miami OVER 9.5
dbacks
TorontoComment
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Accu-Score MLB
ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 143-83, 63.3% +2441 -
PHI 959 vs STL 960 -- Over 50% on St. Louis Cardinals -170
CHC 961 vs ARI 962 -- Over 50% on Arizona Diamondbacks -170
SD 955 vs MIL 956 -- Over 50% on Milwaukee Brewers -138
LAA 975 vs OAK 976 -- Over 50% on Oakland Athletics -111
NYY 965 vs TEX 966 -- Over 50% on Texas Rangers -154
SV-Home Line is -130 to -149 121-101, 54.5% +1980 -
SD 955 vs MIL 956 -- Value on San Diego Padres +127
PIT 953 vs WAS 954 -- Value on Washington Nationals -133
NL GAME SV 282-253, 52.7% +1939 -
PHI 959 vs STL 960 -- Value on Philadelphia Phillies +156
MIA 957 vs COL 958 -- Value on Colorado Rockies -168
CHC 961 vs ARI 962 -- Value on Chicago Cubs +156
SD 955 vs MIL 956 -- Value on San Diego Padres +127
CIN 963 vs LAD 964 -- Value on Los Angeles Dodgers -128
PIT 953 vs WAS 954 -- Value on Washington Nationals -133
ATL 951 vs NYM 952 -- Value on Atlanta Braves -107
4 STAR TOTALS 182-148, 55.2% +1920 -
PHI 959 vs STL 960 -- Under 8
MIA 957 vs COL 958 -- Under 10
CHC 961 vs ARI 962 -- Under 8.5
DET 967 vs CHW 968 -- Under 8
BAL 973 vs KC 974 -- Under 8.5
LAA 975 vs OAK 976 -- Under 7.5
NYY 965 vs TEX 966 -- Under 8.5Comment
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MLB odds and picks Books can't wait for football
Three selections for Thursday's card
Follow The Linemakers on Twitter
Zack Greinke and the Dodgers are one of our picks for Thursday's MLB slate.
By: The Linemakers More Experts
Published: Jul 25, 2013
LAS VEGAS -- July is one of the most anticipated months on the calendar for everyone around the country, except the Las Vegas bookmaker. While families are enjoying the sun and fun of their vacations, the guys running the sports books can't wait for the month to end. July means baseball only, and when there is a day when several of the top public teams and favorites all come in, the books get hammered, as was the case on Wednesday's card.
Twelve of the 15 favorites won on Wednesday, the type of ratio that is bad in any sport for a bookmaker. But what separates baseball from the other sports is the parlay-pay chart. Football and basketball use a standard pay chart on lined games, where three-team parlays pay 6-to-1. In baseball, true odds using a .10 cent line in most cases are used to calculate the parlay payouts. This sometimes means a three-teamer pays less than 6-to-1 if betting a lot of big favorites, but a lot more up to 10-to-1 or so if using the run-line on the favored teams.
In addition to the 12 favorites that won on Wednesday, the books also felt the wrath of bettors jumping all over the hot streaks of a couple underdogs. The Pirates, riding a three-game win streak, were +130 against Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals. The Dodgers, on a five-game win streak, were +110 against a Blue Jays squad that had lost six straight.
The Pirates won, 4-2, and the Dodgers won, 8-3, in early evening games, and from there after an already tough afternoon it was all downhill for the books. When the Pirates and Dodgers results came in, there was no way for the books to get out and save the day. They were going to be large losers on the day, but the final two games determined how large those loses would be.
The books got a gift their only one of the day when the Cubs beat the Diamondbacks, 7-6, but they wouldn't be so lucky in the moneyball game that closed the books on the day. The final game posted on any day, whether a win or a loss, often shows the most lopsided win-loss projection numbers because there are several potential scenarios linked to earlier games. The most lopsided scenario Wednesday was the favorite-to-OVER combination in the Reds-Giants game, and of course, it came flying through with the Reds 8-3 win.
It wasn't as bad as a couple days have been for us this month already, but we did get roughed up pretty good, said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne.
There are only 11 more days remaining for the book directors around town to hold their collective breaths until their savior football comes. Pre-season football doesn't necessarily win a lot of money for the books, but it does take bettors attention away from baseball.
We're not talking about professional bettors here. We're talking about the Regular Joe, who everyday plays $20 on four- and five-team parlays. When football comes around with its parlay-pay chart not to mention its very tough-to-predict preseason games there is almost a 35 percent dropoff in baseball action, since baseball bets become smaller and less frequent and bankrolls get divided between the sports.
While we understand the books uneasiness in July, we're more excited about the small parlays cashing in around town. If somebody who plays baseball regularly owes you money, this might be the opportune time to settle up before football starts. Moreover, what every bettor should learn in the month of July is that there is no better value in the sports book, and maybe the entire casino, than playing baseball.
Jays at least good for runs ... for both teams
The Blue Jays have been swept in two series both at home since the All-Star break, which pretty much ends any minimal talk about Toronto making a push for the playoffs. There were high expectations for Toronto coming into the season, with many experts not us picking them to win the AL East, but a seven-game losing streak indicates what this team is made of.
It's almost like the Miami Marlins sent Toronto their curse from last season when the teams made the blockbuster trade involving Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle and Josh Johnson.
What we like about the Blue Jays is that they can mash the ball, and they also have trouble keeping opponents balls out of the alleys and from going over the wall, which makes them a fun OVER team. Despite their losing ways, they have gone OVER the posted total seven of their last nine games. On the year, no AL team has gone OVER more than Toronto (53), and only Philadelphia has more OVERs (54) in baseball.
When the Blue Jays are at home, no one in baseball goes OVER (30) more, and we think that trend continues today against Erik Bedard and the Astros.
Thursday selections:
Blue Jays/Astros OVER 9 (-110)
Dodgers (Greinke) -117 vs. Reds
Royals (Guthrie) +125 vs. Orioles
Second half record: 18-8 (+1,156)Comment
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BookiesHunter
29-7 run!
3* Dodgers
2* OriolesComment
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Tampa Bay Rays keep cashing in for under bettors
The Tampa Bay Rays have appeased 'under' bettors by playing under the total in five straight games and 11 of their last 12.
Any $100 bettor would be up $963.12 if they had wagered the 'under' in the past 12 Tampa Bay games.
The Rays are inching closer up the 'under' standings and own a 47-48-7 o/u record on the season.
The Rays face the Boston Red Sox Thursday evening. The total is currently 8.5.
The two ball clubs have faced one another 15 times thus far in 2013 and the under is 11-4 in those games and 7-0 in the last seven matchups.Comment
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Sports Cash System
free picks:
St. Louis Cardinals -177 over the Philadelphia Phillies (MLB Baseball)
Los Angeles Dodgers -115 over the Cincinnati Reds (MLB Baseball)
Seattle Mariners -185 over the Minnesota Twins (MLB Baseball)Comment
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