7-27-13

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BEN BURNS

10* BEST OF THE BEST!
(First 10* Of Season!)

Hamilton Tiger-Cats+4.5

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INDIAN COWBOY

CFL

7* OVER 56.5 - Saskatchewan vs. Hamilton (Saturday @ 7:35pm)

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Saturday's National League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's National League games:

New York Mets at Washington Nationals (-145, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Dan Haren has lost his previous eight decisions and the Nats have lost his last 11 starts in a row.

Hot batting stat: Mets OF Marlon Byrd is 10-for-18 (.556) in his career versus Haren. That includes a pair of homers, a pair of doubles and a triple.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the high-80s and wind will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 13-3 in Mets SP Dillon Gee's last 16 road starts versus a team with a losing record.


St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves (-123, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Braves starter Julio Teheran has given up the most homers (15) of anyone in the teams' starting rotation.

Hot batting stat: Yadier Molina, the NL's leading hitter at .335, is a career .315 hitter in Atlanta's Turner Field.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s and wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Atlanta.


Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins (+131, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins starter Tom Koehler struckout seven and surrendered just one earned run in his last start against the Colorado Rockies. The Marlins won 3-1.

Cold batting stat: Following Friday's 1-for-4 performance in Pittsburgh's 2-0 loss, Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen has just four hits in his last 25 at-bats.

Weather: The roof could be closed in Miami due to a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Key betting note: The Pirates are 5-1 in SP Charlie Morton's last six starts.


San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks (-128, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Padres SP Andrew Cashner was steady in his left effort in Arizona on May 25. He gave up four ER in six innings but the Pads were victorious by a score of 10-4.

Cold batting stat: The Padres are the only NL West rival which Arizona slugger Paul Goldschmidt has not homered against this season. Prior to Friday, he is hitting .231 (6-for-26) versus San Diego.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-100s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in SP Tyler Skaggs' last seven starts versus the the National League West.


Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies (-122, 10)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers starter Tom Gorzelanny has taken the loss in his last four starts despite not surrendering an earned run in two of those outings.

Hot batting stat: Rockies OF Dexter Fowler is 4-for-11 (.364) with a home run in his career versus Gorzelanny.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the high-70s and wind will blow from right field to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in Gorzelanny's last four starts overall.


Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants (-220, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Giants starter Madison Bumgarner has gone exactly 7 innings in his previous seven starts. He is 5-2 with an ERA of 1.84 in that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Cubs SS Starlin Castro is 8-for-21 (.381) lifetime versus Bumgarner.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants are 16-5 in Bumgarner's last 21 home starts versus a team with a losing record.


Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers (-133, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu has allowed 11 ER in three July starts (17 innings) and has a 5.82 ERA in the month. He is 2-0 despite the lackluster pitching performance.

Cold batting stat: Dodgers 1B Adrian Gonzalez is 4-for-29 (.138) lifetime versus Reds starter Bronson Arroyo.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 7-1 in Ryu's last eight home starts.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com.

** Odds, probable starters, stats, weather forecast as of 10:28 p.m. ET.

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Saturday's American League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's American League games:

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-106, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays starter Chris Archer is 3-0 with an ERA of 0.41 in his last three starts.

Cold batting stat: Rays 2B Ben Zobrist is 3-for-21 (.143) in his career versus Yankees starter Ivan Nova.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with mostly cloudy skies. Winds will blow from right field to left field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 games versus a right-handed starter.


Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays (-205, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Jays starter Josh Johnson gave up five earned runs on seven hits in just two innings of work in his last outing. The Jays lost that game to the Los Angeles Dodgers by a score of 14-5.

Jays batting stat: Following a fantastic 4-for-5 display in Friday's win, Jays OF Colby Rasmus is batting .382 in the month of July.

Weather: With a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, the roof will likely be closed at Toronto's Rogers Center.

Key betting note: The Blue Jays are 0-5 in Johnson's last five starts.


Los Angeles Angels at Oakland A's (-134, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: A's starter Tommy Milone has given up eight ER in 12 innings of work over his two starts versus the Angels this season.

Hot batting stat: The Angels roster hits a collective .330 versus Milone.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 7-3 in Milone's last 10 home starts.


Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners (-137, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners starter Aaron Harang scattered four hits over seven innings of solid work en route to the 2-1 victory over the Cleveland Indians in his last start.

Hot batting stat: Twins OF Ryan Doumit has 11 hits in 34 career at-bats versus Harang. He has belted three homers and three doubles and knocked in four runs against the veteran hurler.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Twins are 6-1 in SP Samuel Deduno's last seven starts versus a team with a losing record.


Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles (-123, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Sox starter Ryan Dempster has given up three ER in 12 2/3 innings of work (2.13 ERA) in two starts versus the Orioles this season.

Cold batting stat: O's SS J.J. Hardy is a career .067 hitter (2-for-30) against Dempster.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with wind blowing out to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1 in Dempster's last five starts overall.


Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (+111, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Indians SP Justin Masterson allowed just one hit over seven innings of work in a 7-1 victory over the Minnesota Twins in his last start.

Hot batting stat: The Rangers roster knock Masterson around to the tune of a collective .347 batting average. Rangers C A.J. Pierzynski is 14-for-33 (.424) versus Masterson.

Weather: There is a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Rangers' SP Yu Darvish's last eight starts overall.


Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-162, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: In his two previous starts versus Kansas City this season, Sox SP Chris Sale has allowed just one ER in 15 innings of work. His ERA is 0.60 in those starts versus the Royals.

Cold batting stat: Sox OF Alex Rios has just one hit in 19 career at-bats (.053) versus Royals starter Wade Davis.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 7-1 in their last eight during Game 2 of a series.


Interleague

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers (-145, Off)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers starter Max Scherzer bounced back from suffering his first loss of the season in fine fashion. The righty gave up two runs on four hits over eight innings as he got back in the win column against the Chicago White Sox in his last outing.

Cold batting stat: .The Phillies were just 4-for-32 in Friday's 2-1 loss to open the series.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games..


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com.

** Odds, probable starters, stats, weather forecast as of 10:38 p.m. ET.

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Roughriders at Ti-Cats: What bettors need to know

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (+3.5, 55.5)

Quarterback Darian Durant and the Saskatchewan Roughriders put on their most dominant performance of the season in a 37-0 victory over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats at home last week. The Roughriders travel to Guelph, Ont., on Saturday looking to keep their perfect start alive in a rematch against Hamilton. Durant, who was named Offensive Player of the Week, threw for 347 yards and four touchdowns, while Saskatchewan’s defense registered five sacks as the Roughriders showed no signs of slowing down.

Hamilton can find some positives from last week, most notably its ability to contain the Roughriders' offense early in the contest. Saskatchewan did not score a point in the first quarter and the Tiger-Cats run defense limited Roughriders running back Kory Sheets to 36 yards in the first half. Quarterback Henry Burris had his worst start of the season, however, and Hamilton’s league-worst running game was held to 16 total rushing yards, something coach Kent Austin will have to address if he wants to avoid another blanking.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (4-0): Sheets rushed for 130 yards last week, bringing his season total to a league-leading 572. Wide receiver Rob Bagg continued his comeback from a devastating injury two seasons ago with two touchdown catches and 125 receiving yards last week to earn Canadian Player of the Week honours. Linebacker Renauld Williams, who was released by Hamilton after last season, was named Defensive Player of the Week and is leading Saskatchewan’s defense with five sacks and one interception, which he returned 19 yards for a touchdown.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (1-3): Despite his poor showing last week, Burris is second in the league with 1,115 passing yards, while also leading Hamilton with 123 rushing yards. Wide receivers Bakari Grant (254 yards) and Greg Ellingson (237) are Burris’ preferred targets. The Tiger-Cats have allowed a league-worst 126 points as only four defensive players have 10 or more tackles and the secondary has yet to intercept a pass, leading Hamilton to release linebacker Markeith Knowlton and defensive back James Patrick and sign linebacker Brandon Isaac, who was recently released by Toronto.

TRENDS:

* Roughriders are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 meetings.
* The over is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in Hamilton.
* The Tiger-Cats are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in the Roughriders' last five games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Roughriders are first in the CFL Power Rankings, while Hamilton is last.

2. The Tiger-Cats are 0-2 against West Division opponents.

3. Austin, who was quarterback for Saskatchewan when the Roughriders won the Grey Cup in 1989 and coach when they won it in 2007, spent five years coaching in the NCAA before returning to the CFL to lead the Tiger-Cats.

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UFC on Fox 8 betting: Moraga's KOs make him live dog vs. Johnson
By MMAODDSBREAKER

UFC on Fox 8: Demetrious Johnson (-500) vs. John Moraga (+400)

The main event of UFC on FOX 8 is a five-round fight for the UFC flyweight championship between current titleholder Demetrious Johnson and top contender John Moraga.

Johnson (17-2-1) is the UFC flyweight champion, winning the title against Joseph Benavidez at UFC 152. Since then, the 26 year old has defended his belt against John Dodson. This will be his second title defense and it’s a fight where most expect him to cruise.

Johnson is a good wrestler with big takedowns. He’s extremely fast and showed he has evolved his standup game with an excellent Muay Thai clinch against Dodson. The problem with Johnson is that he isn’t a finisher and his fights are often tight decisions that end up in the hands of the judges.

Johnson has been lucky so far, but his wins over Miguel Torres and his draw against Ian McCall were questionable. And if he leaves this fight with Moraga in the hands of the judges, you never know what can happen.

Moraga (13-1) earned his shot at the title with stoppage wins over Chris Cariaso and Ulysses Gomez. The 29 year old is a well-rounded fighter with good wresting, strong power (for a 125er) and submission skills. And, unlike Johnson, he’s a finisher.

Although many are unfamiliar with Moraga, because his previous UFC fights were on Facebook, he’s very deserving of this crack at the belt and has a good chance to get the upset victory. Although everyone is counting him out, Moraga has more ways to win the fight than Johnson and, if he can stop the takedowns and hurt Johnson with strikes, the judges may end up siding with him when it comes time to make their decision.

This is going to be a competitive bout between two high-level and well-rounded flyweights and ultimately it may come down to the judges. These two fighters match up very evenly with one another, although you could give Moraga the power edge and Johnson the speed edge.

Look for a tight matchup with closely-judged rounds that will just depend on how the judges view the bout as both men display complete mixed martial arts attacks. And, at the odds, I’m willing to bet it’s the underdog Moraga that gets the nod.

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Cappers Access

Cardinals +125
A's -130
Indians +125

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Baseball Crusher
Cleveland Indians +109 over Texas
(System Record: 54-6, lost last game)
Overall Record: 54-59-1

Soccer Crusher
Portuguesa RJ + Paranaense OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 431-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 431-370-57

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Gee is 2-0, 2.43 in his last five starts.
-- Koehler is 2-0, 3.13 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-1, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Arroyo is 3-1, 1.61 in his last four starts. Ryu is 0-0, 2.30 in his last four home starts.

-- Detroit is 16-4 when Scherzer starts (2-1, 3.29 last four starts).

-- Keuchel is 0-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
-- Tampa Bay won last six Archer starts (4-0, 1.85). Nova is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Darvish is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Deduno is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts.
-- Feldman is 2-0, 2.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Masterson is 1-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Teheran is 1-1, 4.94 in his last four starts. Kelly is 1-1, 3.71 in three starts this season.
-- Washington lost last 11 Haren starts (0-3, 6.05 in last four).
-- Morton is 1-1, 5.27 in his last five starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 0-3, 4.58 in his last three starts. McHugh allowed four runs in four IP in his only '13 start, at Miami.
-- Skaggs is 1-2, 4.97 in his last five starts. Cashner is 1-2, 8.31 in his last three outings.
-- Rusin has a 5.19 RA in two starts for the Cubs.

-- Valdes is a 35-year old lefty who has a 7.59 RA in 21.1 IP this year; this is his third MLB start (1-1, 4.91 in first two), first this year.

-- Toronto lost last five Johnson starts (0-3, 7.67).
-- Milone is 2-2, 6.27 in his last six starts. Richards is 1-2, 5.54 in four starts, last of which was April 30.
-- Harang is 2-2, 5.00 in his last six starts.
-- Dempster is 0-0, 7.17 in his last four starts.
-- Sale is 1-7, 3.80 in his last nine starts; Davis is 0-4, 12.06 in his last four.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Kelly 0-3; Teheran 7-19
-- Gee 4-20; Haren 4-18
-- Morton 1-7; Koehler 4-11
-- Gorzelanny 1-4; McHugh 1-1
-- Cashner 6-16; Skaggs 2-6
-- Rusin 1-2; Bumgarner 3-20
-- Arroyo 2-20; Ryu 6-19

-- Valdes 0-0; Scherzer 4-20

-- Keuchel 1-13; Johnson 2-13
-- Archer 2-10; Nova 4-8
-- Richards 0-4; Milone 6-20 (1 of last 11)
-- Deduno 4-11 (3 of last 3); Harang 6-16
-- Dempster 7-19; Feldman 5-19
-- Darvish 5-18 (0 of last 8); Masterson 3-21
-- Davis 7-18 (5 of last 8); Sale 6-19

Totals
-- Seven of last eleven Washington games stayed under total.
-- Last ten Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six St Louis games stayed under total.
-- 13 of last 16 Colorado games stayed under total.
-- Under is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Diamondback games.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Cincinnati games.
-- Four of last six Cub games stayed under the total.

-- Ten of last fourteen Philly games stayed under the total.

-- Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Texas games.
-- 11 of last 13 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Kansas City games.
-- 11 of last 14 Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Mets won six of their last nine road games.
-- Pirates won 11 of their last 17 road games. Miami won four of its last five games overall.
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight games.
-- Dodgers won 13 of their last 16 games. Reds won eight of their last twelve.
-- Cubs are 10-7 in their last seventeen games.

-- Tigers won five of their last six games.

-- Rays won 20 of their last 23 games.
-- Indians won their last two games, scoring 21 runs.
-- Orioles won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Royals won their last four games, allowing seven runs.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games; Mariners won nine of last eleven.
-- A's won ten of their last fourteen home games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost 11 of their last 20 games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games; Colorado is 1-8 in game following its last nine wins.
-- Padres lost 13 of their last 17 on road. Arizona is 4-5 in its last nine overall.
-- Giants lost five of their last six games.
-- Phillies are 3-9 in their last twelve road games.

-- Red Sox are 6-9 in their last fifteen games.
-- Bronx is 5-10 in its last fifeen games.
-- Rangers lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost 14 of their last 16 games. Blue Jays lost nine of their last 12, but did win last two.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Angels are 18-36 in games not started by Weaver-Wilson-Vargas.

Umpires
-- StL-Atl-- Last eight Darling games stayed under the total.
-- NY-Wsh-- Favorites won ten of last thirteen Barksdale games.
-- Pitt-Mia-- Last four Dreckman games went over the total.
-- Mil-Col-- Favorites won four of last five Demuth games.
-- SD-Az-- Eight of last eleven Scott games stayed under total.
-- Chi-SF-- Four of last five Davis games stayed under total.
-- Cin-LA-- Nine of last thirteen TBarrett games stayed under.

-- Phil-Det-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Schrieber games.

-- Hst-Tor-- Favorites won last three Hamari games.
-- TB-NY-- Underdogs won 16 of last 25 Reynolds games.
-- LA-A's-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Hallion games.
-- Min-Sea-- There are no trends yet for young umpire Wolcott
-- Bos-Balt-- Road team won eight of last eleven Timmons games.
-- Tex-Clev-- Six of last seven Wegner games went over the total.
-- KC-Chi-- Visiting team won last five Gonzalez games.

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bookiemonsters
119-76 run

27-19 run last 46 plays

pod astros under 9.5

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Blue Jays on Friday and likes the Blue Jays on Saturday.

The deficit is 1370 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1070-800 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Seattle -140

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Rays -110

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Hondo

Hondo: Let’s go Metamucils

Hondo dealt himself a bad hand last night with the Cards, who folded in Atlanta to cause the deficit to expand to 735 millers.

Today, Mr. Aitch expects Gee to hit his spots against the Nats — 20 units on the Metamucils. Tonight, he figures Arroyo will get in the flow against the Dodgers — 20 units on the Reds.