7-29-13

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB COLORADO at ATLANTA

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL)
285-143 since 1997. ( 66.6% 89.5 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% 3.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB TORONTO at OAKLAND

OAKLAND is 45-23 (+27.8 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)

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River City Sharps

2 UNITS Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +105

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Handicapping Kings

PJ

WTA (2PM)
Magdalena Rybarikova -140

ATP (645PM)
Lukas Lacko +115

ATP (815PM)
Tobias Kamke +135

JIMMY

MLB (8PM)
Cubs Chicago Cubs -118

MARC

MLB (610PM)
Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
UNDER 8.5 -115

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Paul Leiner

100* Cubs -125

50* Rays -125

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Sunday with the Rockies -$170/Brewers and has Np for Monday.

"Mr Chalk" is 68-38 +$1201 for the 2013 MLB Season.

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Teddy Covers

10* Padres

20* Marlins

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Joe Gavazzi

MLB
Toronto (Rogers) at Oakland (Griffin) (-165) 10:05 ET
5* Oakland (Griffin) (-165)

Remember when Toronto was reeling off that 11-0 win streak and everyone thought they were going to live up to their preseason potential? Since that time, they have gone just 10-20. And yes, that includes a 3-1 home stand vs. Houston this past weekend whom they outscored 24-15. Not impressed! What does lower our rating a bit on this selection, however, is the consistent work of Toronto’s starter Rogers including the Blue Jays record of 4-1 in road starts by Rogers in which he has a 1.91 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Nonetheless, this 48-56 Toronto team is not the equal of the 62-43 Oakland team. The As stay home with their own momentum having just swept the Angels this weekend winning the last 3 games of the set by a combined score of 19-11. That runs the Oakland home record to 34-15, 23-6 recently and 20-6 home/loss. And that is exactly where Griffin has done his best work. From this mound, the As have won 7/9 Griffin starts where he has a 3.41 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Ride the Oakland momentum at home as your free winner.

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The Sports Capper

MLB Baseball Plays

100* Play Oakland -160 over Toronto (TOP MLB PLAY)

Oakland has won 27 of the last 38 games when playing as a favorite of
-125 to -175 and they have also won 37 of the last 65 games vs. AL
East Division Opponents. Oakland has won 54 of the last 89 games when
the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 32
of the last 48 home games.

100* Play Cleveland -150 over Chicago White Sox (TOP MLB PLAY)

Chicago has lost 23 of the last 35 games vs. division opponents and
they have also lost 45 of the last 76 games vs. right-handed starting
pitchers. Chicago has lost 51 of the last 85 games when the total
posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 41 of the
last 62 night games.

100* Play Cincinnati -150 over San Diego (TOP MLB PLAY)

San Diego has lost 16 of the last 24 games when playing in the month
of July and they have also lost 40 of the last 68 games vs.
right-handed starting pitchers. San Diego has lost 26 of the last 36
games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have lost
61 of the last 98 games after scoring one run or less in their last
game.

50* Play Pittsburgh -140 over St. Louis (Bonus MLB Play)

50* Play Tampa Bay -120 over Boston (Bonus MLB Play)

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SuperSportsGroup MLB

Tampa Bay v. Boston 6:10pm
PICK: UNDER 8 Game -110
PICK: Red Sox ML +110 Game

Chicago v. Cleveland 7:05pm
PICK: OVER 8 Game -115

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Danny b

red sox
rockies
rangers

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Hoopsgooroo

952 Pirates -144
961 White Sox +155
964 Rangers -130
956 Braves -135
957 Brewers +111
965 Jays +147
960 Padres +140

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cashmyticket365

pirates
rangers
marlins over 7

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Sportswagers MLB
Today's Free Picks for Jul 29, 2013





Toronto @ OAKLAND
Toronto +145 over OAKLAND

Aside from an 11-game winning streak back in June, the Blue Jays have underachieved the entire season and for the most part they’ve also been overvalued most of the year. That changes here, as they now offer up some very good value against the over-achieving A’s. Esmil Rogers is pitching well. He’s 0-1 over his past five starts but over that span he has a strong 7/25 – BB/K rate over 30 innings. He also has a 51% groundball rate over that same span. When we take a closer look, we see that Rogers’ last nine starts have come against the Dodgers, Tampa, Cleveland, Detroit, Boston, Tampa again, Colorado and back-to-back against Texas. You would be hard-pressed to find a pitcher in baseball that has had a more difficult slate of games since the beginning of June than Rogers and the Blue Jays.
Oakland rallied from a 5-0 deficit yesterday to beat the Angels for the third straight time after losing the opener. That was a huge series that pretty much put away the Angels for good in the AL West. The A’s could have a bit of a letdown here after playing their in-state rivals. Regardless if that comes to pass or not, Oakland is far too risky spotting a price like this because their offense is one the weakest in the league. We’re not big supporters of A.J. Griffin either. Griffin has a 3.84 ERA and 1.12 WHIP after 134 IP and he’s accomplished that with a very average skill set. Griffin has an uninspiring 33%/18%/48% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball split. With an average fastball velocity of 89.3 mph, it would seem that Griffin succeeds using means other than velocity. An analysis of his pitch selection confirms this assertion. Griffin is throwing his curve, slider or change 40% of the time, meaning he’s keeping hitters guessing but only 11 of his 21 starts have been of the pure quality variety. Griffin has a 4.80 ERA over his past five starts and has been tagged for four runs or more in half of his past eight starts. Griffin is very capable of throwing a gem, especially at this pitcher’s park but we get the better offense and better starter with a pretty sweet tag on our side. It’s also worth noting that the Jays embark on a 10-game trip beginning here and they figure to be extra motivated in an attempt to set the tone in this crucial first game.

Our Pick
Toronto +145 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.90)

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Quality Sports Picks

MLB
Cleveland Indians -160
10 Unit

Tampa Bay Rays -120
5 Unit

Angels @ Rangers
Under 8
5 Unit

St. Louis Cardinals +135
5 Unit

Colorado Rockies +125
(1st 5 innings only)
5 Unit

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John Ryan

25* St Louis