8-1-13

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River City Sharps

WGC-BRIDGESTONE SELECTIONS

Brandt Snedeker (+128) over Justin Rose

Steve Stricker (-148) over Luke Donald

Ricky Fowler (+156) over Sergio Garcia

Lee Westwood (-121) over Rory McIlroy

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at CLEVELAND

Play Against - Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
296-173 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% 89.8 units )
45-33 this year. ( 57.7% 4.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at CLEVELAND

CLEVELAND is 23-7 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.

The average score was: CLEVELAND (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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Paul Leiner

100* Mariners -110

50* Indians -145

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BOB BALFE

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +115
(Cain/Hamels)

This Phillies team is finished. There is so much internal conflict behind the scenes and when it comes down to it just are not that good and clearly have given up. Hamels never gets any run support and until they prove otherwise why not go against them at this value? Take the Giants.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA INDIANA at CONNECTICUT

Play On - Favorites (INDIANA) after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better against opponent after a game where a team made 15% of their 3 point shots or worse
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% 33.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

WNBA PHOENIX at SEATTLE

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more
221-75 since 1997. ( 74.7% 0.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA INDIANA at CONNECTICUT

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in August or September games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

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Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS)CHW/Cle - UNDER 7
Betting $610 to win $500

(5 UNITS) Phillies
Betting $595 to win $500

(4 UNITS)Sea/Bos - UNDER 8
Betting $400 to win $420

(3 UNITS) Royals
Betting $432 to win $300

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TMC Sports Advisors

Early Bets

Chicago/Cleveland Under 7

Kansas City -150

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cappersports wnba

phoenix-3
Indiana Fever/Connecticut Sun Ov 141

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Alatex Sports

20* Indians

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Chase Diamond

9* San Francisco +110

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Hondo

Hondo’s a day-tripper

Hondo lost with the Nationals yesterday afternoon but turned on the turbos last night, scoring big time with the Astros and Yanks to slash the deficit to 775 grotes. Today, Mr. Aitch will work the day shift with Harvey and the Metamucils in Miami as well as Masterson and the Native Americans — 20 units apiece.

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Teddy Covers

10* Pirates

10* Dodgers under

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Thursday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Thursday's American League games:

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (-140, 6.5)

Pitching stat: Chicago LHP Chris has dropped eight of his last nine decisions, a byproduct of receiving the least run support of any qualified starter in the majors (2.63 runs per start).

Batting stat: Players on Chicago's current roster are hitting just .221 in 289 at-bats against Indians RHP Justin Masterson.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 21 percent chance of rain and winds blowing WNW at 9 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 11-5 in Indians' last 16 overall.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (+136, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Royals RHP James Shields has been the victim of poor run support in his first year with Kansas City, as he has allowed three runs or fewer in six of his seven losses and eight of his 10 no-decisions.

Batting stat: The Royals improved to 10-2 since the All-Star break and 9-3 against Minnesota this season, hitting .295 with 12 home runs versus the Twins.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing WNW at 7 mph.

Key betting stat: Royals are 16-5 in their last 21 games as favorites.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles (-260, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Houston RHP Jordan Lyles, who last won on June 18, is 0-3 while yielding at least four earned runs in five of his last six outings.

Batting stat: Orioles slugger Chris Davis has struck out in a franchise-high 24 consecutive games.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with an 80 percent chance of thundershowers and winds blowing SW at 2 mph.

Key betting stat: Astros are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore.

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox (-109, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Mariners RHP Felix Hernandez is 7-2 with a 3.13 ERA in 13 career starts versus Boston.

Batting stat: Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia homered and drove in three runs in each of the last two games - the first time in his career he has registered back-to-back games with at least three RBIs.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 44 percent chance of showers and winds blowing south at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 7-3-3 in the last 13 meetings in Boston.

Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels (-108)

Pitching stat: Toronto RHP Josh Johnson looks to snap a five-start losing streak.

Batting stat: Los Angeles OF Josh Hamilton is 5-for-11 in his last three games while hitting safely in six of his last seven contests.

Weather: Temperatures low 70s with clear skies and winds blowing SSW 6 mph.

Key betting stat: The Blue Jays have won 12 of 17 contests against AL West representatives this season.

Arizona Diamondback at Texas Rangers (-192, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Texas RHP Yu Darvish matched a career high with 14 strikeouts versus Arizona on May 27 but allowed four runs on seven hits in 7 2/3 innings to settle for a no-decision.

Batting stat: Texas SS Elvis Andrus is riding a 13-game hitting streak, the longest active run in the majors.

Weather: Temperatures will tip 100 degrees with a 14 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing east at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last eight interleague road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Thursday's National League games:

New York Mets at Miami Marlins (+155, 6.5)

Pitching stat: Marlins starting pitchers have allowed three or fewer earned runs in 34 of the past 39 games.

Batting stat: Mets 2B Daniel Murphy went 0-for-3 Wednesday, only the third time in 22 games he has gone without a hit.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 80s with partly cloudy skies and a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms with winds blowing east at 9 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 45-21-5 in the last 71 meetings in Miami.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-112, 8)

Pitching stat: Cardinals RHP Joe Kelly is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in 14 career innings against the Pirates.

Batting stat: St. Louis has lost a season-worst seven games and has tallied just 10 runs during the skid.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 70s with a 40 percent chance of showers and winds blowing WNW at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Pirates are 23-6 in their last 29 games as a home favorite. Cardinals are 1-7 in their last eight games as an underdog.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies (-111, 7.5)

Pitching stat: The Phillies have scored two or fewer runs in nine of LHP Cole Hamels’ 22 starts.

Batting stat: San Francisco Pablo Sandoval left Wednesday’s game with a bruised right heel and is listed as day-to-day.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with an 86 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing SSW at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 games as a favorite.

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-220, 8)

Pitching stat: Braves RHP Julio Teheran defeated the Rockies in his only start against them, yielding one run and eight hits in seven innings of a 10-2 victory in Colorado on April 23 when it was 30 degrees at game time.

Batting stat: Atlanta 3B Chris Johnson recorded his sixth straight multi-hit game Wednesday to increase his NL-best batting average to .342. Johnson is 16-for-35 during his nine-game hitting streak.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 80s with a 25 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing NW at 7 mph.

Key betting stat: Rockies are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (+137, 8)

Pitching stat: Dodgers RHP Ricky Nolasco is 5-2 with a 2.98 ERA in nine appearances (eight starts) versus the Cubs.

Batting stat: Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo was 6-for-14 in the series versus Milwaukee and tied his career high with his 15th homer.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with a 46 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blow SW at 11 mph.

Key betting stat: Cubs are 6-1 in their last seven during Game 1 of a series.

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Sportswagers

Today's Free Picks for Aug 01, 2013







San Fran @ PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA -1½ +198 over San Francisco

The Giants have dropped five of Main Cain’s last six starts. Cain has made four consecutive starts at home and over that stretch he’s lasted just 15 innings combined and walked 12 batters. Cain was knocked out in the first inning against the Mets and he was knocked out of the third inning by the Dodgers in two of those four starts. Cain does not have a strong profile for a hitter-friendly venue like Citizens Bank Park. His 38%/22%/45% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball split on the year plays at a big risk at this park. Cain isn’t as bad as his numbers suggest but the Giants are a struggling ball club and it would appear that they have a completely different mind-set recently. San Fran has been in a pennant race for several years in a row. This season they are in last place in the NL West, 10 games back of the Dodgers. It’s not that they are 10 games back that makes it too difficult to catch up, it’s that they have to leapfrog over four other clubs that makes it near impossible and it’s simply not going to happen. Those pennant races and championship seasons require high intensity and focus and for the first time in many years, these Giants pitchers are taking a bit of a breather and who could blame them? Matt Cain is among that group.
Cole Hamels is 4-13 with a 4.09 ERA. That’s bordering on ludicrous because outside of a rough April, Hamels has posted ace-like skills since. Over his last five starts, Hamels has walked six batters and struck out 25 over 30 frames. Over his last 10 starts, he has an elite 1.09 WHIP. Hamels has started 22 games this season. If you throw out his first four April starts, 15 of his past 18 have been of the pure quality variety. Hamels has lost five games this season in which he held the opposition to two runs or less. Hamels surface stats are among the most misleading in baseball but underneath he is still an ace. This is a great buy-low opportunity and while we could lay a cheap 10 cents on Hamels, the reward of laying the runs is worth the risk.

Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA -1½ +198 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.96)