8-11-13

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Scott Landau Sunday:
CUB +170 / COL +125 / PHI +200 / LAA +172 / BOS -112 / NYY +155 / TBAY +175

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago White Sox -133 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog with a weak offense, 21st in runs scored and 22nd in slugging. This is the end of a seven-game trip for Minnesota, which included a double header on Friday. Starter Kevin Correia (7-8, 4.84 ERA) is no stopper, and has been throwing terrible with an 0-2 record and a 13.03 ERA his last three starts. The 32-year-old Minnesota starter has now completed just two or fewer innings in a start twice in his last three outings, and the Twins are 1-7 in Correia's last eight starts. Chicago has home field where they play their best ball, and have won three of the last five (all at home). Starter Jose Quintana (6-3, 3.51 ERA) is very good, and has a 2.89 ERA his last three starts. The White Sox are 15-4 in Quintana's last 19 starts following a quality start in his last appearance, so grab home field. Play the White Sox.

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9x Sports

Bonkman's Play of the Day: (MLB) 1:05PM DETROIT TIGERS-1.5 (-110)

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Joe Gavazzi

3% colts

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Gill Alexander

** Boston Red Sox (Lackey) -114 over KANSAS CITY ROYALS (Shields ): 2 Stars
11:10 AM Pacific Rotation: 919
Play at -125 or better.

** Chicago Cubs (Jackson) +172 over ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (Kelly): 2 Stars
11:15 AM Pacific Rotation: 905
The Cubs have taken the first two in this series already, but it's this starting pitching matchup which provides them with the greatest advantage in this series thus far. As mentioned on my latest pod, CHC is already one of the best 5 inning clubs in baseball. Where they've suffered offensively has been in RiSP situations (.224 on the season), masking better offensive component stats but also making them a tough play. Exhibiting some success in that area yesterday, the Cubs were able to win a ballgame in a way that most other clubs do with much more ease. This price is out of whack given Jackson's numbers across the board and his penchant for throwing the occasional gem. It absolutely triggers a play today.
Play at +155 or better.

** New York Mets (Niese) +136 over ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (Spruill): 2 Stars
01:10 PM Pacific Rotation: 909
Play at +120 or better.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi Baseball


Sunday, August 11th

MLB

3% Baltimore (Norris) (+105)

Baltimore has been one of the most resilient teams in MLB standing 35-16/loss. The defending Champs have no shot at the Playoff as a result of their recent 24-42 slide. Although Cain has pitched better since the All Star Break, for the season he is 7-7 with a 4.47 ERA. That includes a 5.26 ERA on this field. Norris has been reborn since being traded from lowly Houston to Playoff contending Baltimore. In a pair of starts for the Birds, Norris is 2-0 allowing just 3 runs in 12 IP. Wrong team favored, this is your Dog of the Day!



San Diego (Kennedy) at Cincinnati (Leake) (-180) 1:10 ET

4% Cincinnati (Leake) (-180)

Cincinnati beat the Reds 3-1 on this field last night. That sets up a situation that finds the Reds to be a best in MLB 17-2 home/loss. Now that the two best offensive players for San Diego, Quentin and Cabrara, are not in the lineup, expect the San Diego year-long offensive woes to continue. Leake is having the best season of his career at 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA. Look for him to bounce back from a busted start vs. St. Louis as prior to that outing, Leake was 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA his previous 4 starts. Kennedy profited from spacious Petco Park in his first start for the Padres in which he allowed just 2 runs in 5 2/3 IP with a 6-3 NYY win. But now pitching in a hitter park, expect him to revert to his YTD form that has seen him go 4-8 with a 5.14 ERA including 5.26 ERA on the road.



Chicago Cubs (Jackson) at St. Louis (Kelly) (-185, -1 ½ runs +110) 2:15 ET

4% St. Louis (Kelly) (-185, -1 ½ runs +110)

The Cards enter today on a 4-13 slide including 4 consecutive losses in which they have averaged 1.9 runs with a .204 BA. They just blew a 2 run 8th inning lead to lose consecutive games of this weekend set to the Cubs. Expect a bounce back from a St. Louis team who is 32-17/loss and 48-23 vs. losing teams. Jackson is 7-12 with a 4.96 ERA for the season, and a poor history at this site of 0-3 with an 8.00 ERA and comes off a 9-8 loss to the Phillies in which he allowed 7 runs on 10 hits in 5 IP. Since entering the rotation, Kelly is 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA in 5 starts including 0.78 ERA his last 4 starts. Run line players take note: 53/66 St. Louis wins, including 27/33 on this field, have come by 2 or more runs. Consider part of your wager on the run line.



Tampa Bay (Hellickson) at LA Dodgers (Kershaw) (-180, -1 ½ runs +125) 8:10 ET ESPN

5% LA Dodgers (Kershaw) (-180, -1 ½ runs +125)

It seems like just yesterday that we were backing the Rays on a daily basis in their 24-5 run. Today they enter on a 4-7 slide including 4 consecutive losses. They have not scored a run in 13 innings. For the Dodgers, they continue their surge at 36-8 and 19-3. The mound opponents are a total mismatch. Hellickson has a 10-5 record but a 4.77 ERA due to the #3 run support in MLB at 6.5 runs/game. But that rubberband has snapped as in his last 2 starts, Hellickson is 0-2 allowing 9 runs in 9 IP. In Interleague play, Hellickson is 1-5 with a 6.89 ERA. Far prefer Kershaw, the best pitcher in MLB, with a 1.91 ERA and 1.88 OBA. That includes a 1.59 ERA and 0.88 WHIP from this mound. In his last 8 starts, Kershaw has allowed just 11 runs in 61 IP with a 53/5 KBB. Run line players take note: 27/36 Dodger wins in their current streak have come by 2 or more runs. Consider making the run line a part of your wager.

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INTPICKS

Today's Selections

Sunday, August 11, 2013

MLB

1 Unit Official Selections

1:05 PM ET

LA Angels @ Cleveland

Take Cleveland Run Line -1.5 (+115)

4:05 PM ET

Baltimore @ San Francisco

Take Baltimore Money Line +100

*Parlay Alert: Cleveland Run Line & Baltimore ML (Pays +363)

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Saturday with the Mariners -$160/Brewers.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Cardinals -$170/Cubs.

"Mr Chalk" is 3-5 -$520 for the week 75-43 +$1011 for the 2013 MLB 2013 season.

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Betting Line Moves

Toronto -110

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Sports Unlimited

st louis -1.5 rl

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Kelso 100 Detroit

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Fezzik's Focus

NFLx
Bills/Indy
2 team parlay: Indy-4 & OVER 36.5

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Scott Rickenbach 8* Over Easy

Tigers/Yankees Over

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John Ryan 25* RL Titan

LA Dodgers -1.5

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Sam Martin 20* NFL

Indy