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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #16
    MLB

    Hot pitchers
    -- Bumgarner is 4-2, 2.00 in his last eight starts. GGonzalez has a 1.64 RA in his last couple starts.
    -- Hamels is 1-1, 1.45 in his last four starts. Dodgers won last five Nolasco starts (3-0, 3.95).
    -- Morton is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
    -- Teheran is 2-1, 2.10 in his last five starts.
    -- Bailey is 2-1, 3.95 in his last four starts. Peralta is 1-1, 1.88 in his last two.
    -- Harvey is 2-2, 2.02 in his last five starts.

    -- Chacin is 8-3, 2.12 in his last twelve starts.

    -- Scherzer is 4-0, 1.82 in his last five starts. Chen is 2-0, 0.93 in six starts this season.
    -- Redmond is 0-0, 2.40 in his last three starts.
    -- Darvish is 3-0, 1.64 in his last three starts. Seattle won last four Ramirez (4-0, 6.04) starts, scoring 23 runs.
    -- Oberholtzer is 2-1, 0.87 in three starts this season.
    -- Red Sox won last six Dempster starts (1-0, 7.36), scoring 42 runs.

    Cold pitchers
    -- Koehler is 1-3, 5.01 in his last four starts.
    -- Miley is 0-2, 3.33 in his last four starts.
    -- Wainwright is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts. Jackson is 1-2, 5.12 in his last five.
    -- Stults is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts.

    -- Feldman is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.

    -- Archer is 0-2, 6.59 in his last three starts.
    -- Santiago is 0-2, 4.97 in his last four starts. Deduno is 0-2, 5.60 in last three.
    -- Kazmir is 1-1, 5.79 in his last three starts. Milone is 1-2, 6.05 in last four.
    -- Vargas is 1-2, 5.48 in his last four starts.
    -- Sabathia is 1-2, 7.76 in his last five starts.

    Starting Pitchers/First Inning
    You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
    -- Bumgarner 3-24; Koehler 5-15 (1 of last 6)
    -- Nolasco 7-24; Hamels 4-25 (1 of last 15)
    -- Miley 7-24 (3 of last 6); Morton 2-11
    -- Gonzalez 6-24 (0 of last 6); Teheran 7-23 (0 of last 9)
    -- Bailey 3-24 (0 of last 6); Peralta 4-25 (0 of last 12)
    -- Wainwright 7-25 (3 of last 5); Jackson 9-24 (3 of last 5)
    -- Harvey 4-24 (1 of last 12); Stults 8-25 (4 of last 8)

    -- Chacin 2-23 (0 of last 18); Feldman 5-22 (0 of last 6)

    -- Chen 1-6; Scherzer 4-24 (0 of last 9)
    -- Redmond 0-6; Archer 4-14
    -- Santiago 4-16; Deduno 4-15 (0 of last 4)
    -- Ramirez 3-5; Darvish 7-22
    -- Oberholtzer 1-3; Vargas 1-15
    -- Kazmir 6-21; Milone 6-22 (0 of last 5)
    -- Sabathia 7-25; Dempster 8-23

    Totals
    -- Four of last five Cub games stayed under the total.
    -- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over total.
    -- Five of last six Philly games stayed under total.
    -- Three of last four San Francisco games went over.
    -- Eight of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under total.
    -- Ten of last twelve Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 11-5-2 in last eighteen Met games.

    -- Under is 5-1-2 in Colorado's last eight road games.

    -- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Kansas City games.
    -- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under the total; six of Dempster's last seven starts went over.
    -- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Tampa Bay games.
    -- Seven of last ten Seattle games went over the total.
    -- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Minnesota games.
    -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Oakland games.
    -- 13 of last 16 Angel games went over the total.

    Hot teams
    -- Arizona won seven of its last ten games.
    -- Dodgers are 42-8 in their last 50 games.
    -- Giants won their last three games, scoring 24 runs.
    -- Atlanta won 18 of its last 21 games. Washington won six of its last eight.
    -- Cincinnati won eight of its last eleven games. Brewers won three of their last four games at Miller Park.

    -- Rockies won six of their last eight games.

    -- Royals won 10 of their last 13 road games.
    -- Bronx Bombers won six of their last nine games.
    -- White Sox are 5-3 in their last eight games.
    -- Rangers won 15 of their last 18 games. Seattle is 5-3 in last eight on road.
    -- Astros won three of their last five games.

    Cold teams
    -- Cubs lost five of last six games. St Louis is 8-15 in last 23, 4-2 in last six.
    -- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
    -- Phillies lost seven of their last eight games, and didn't score in last two.
    -- Miami lost ten of its last thirteen games.
    -- Padres lost nine of their last thirteen games; Mets lost four of last six.

    -- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.

    -- Detroit lost six of its last ten games.
    -- Red Sox lost six of their last nine games.
    -- Tampa Bay seven of its last ten games; Toronto lost six of last ten.
    -- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
    -- Indians lost eight of last twelve games. Oakland is 5-7 in its last twelve.
    -- Angels lost 15 of their last 22 games.

    Umpires
    -- StL-Chi-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Cuzzi games.
    -- SF-Mia-- Underdogs won 10 of last 18 Vanover games (last three over).
    -- Az-Pitt-- Eight of last nine Estabrook games stayed under.
    -- LA-Phil-- Five of last seven Hamari games stayed under total.
    -- Cin-Mil-- Visiting team won 10 of last 13 Timmons games.
    -- Wsh-Atl-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Bell games.
    -- NY-SD-- Five of last six Davis games stayed under the total.

    -- Col-Balt-- Favorites are 7-2, over 6-3 in Little games.

    -- NY-Bos-- Six of last eight O'Nora games went over the total.
    -- KC-Det-- Four of last five Davidson games went over the total.
    -- Tor-TB-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Wendelstedt games, with four of last five going over the total.
    -- Chi-Min-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Bucknor games.
    -- Sea-Tex-- 12 of last 15 Hernandez games went over the total.
    -- Hst-LA-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Kellogg games.
    -- Cle-A's-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Dimuro games.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #17
      Today's MLB Picks

      NY Yankees at Boston

      The Yankees look to build on their 4-0 record in C.C. Sabathia's last 4 road starts when the total is set from 9 to 10 1/2. New York is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
      SUNDAY, AUGUST 18
      Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
      Game 951-952: San Francisco at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.488; Miami (Koehler) 13.914
      Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
      Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 7
      Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-165); Under
      Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.568; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.403
      Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
      Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
      Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over
      Game 955-956: Arizona at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.389; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.383
      Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
      Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 7 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over
      Game 957-958: Washington at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 15.663; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.962
      Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
      Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under
      Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.473; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.338
      Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
      Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
      Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over
      Game 961-962: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.801; Cubs (Jackson) 13.406
      Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
      Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); No Run Total
      Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); N/A
      Game 963-964: NY Mets at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 14.478; San Diego (Stults) 15.545
      Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
      Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 6
      Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Over
      Game 965-966: Kansas City at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 16.229; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.698
      Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
      Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 7 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-180); Under
      Game 967-968: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Redmond) 15.059; Tampa Bay (Archer) 13.672
      Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9
      Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 8
      Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Over
      Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 14.083; Minnesota (Deduno) 15.658
      Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 7
      Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 8
      Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under
      Game 971-972: Seattle at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Ramirez) 13.489; Texas (Darvish) 15.759
      Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 7
      Vegas Line: Texas (-280); 8 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Texas (-280); Under
      Game 973-974: Houston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.373; LA Angels (Vargas) 14.210
      Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
      Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8
      Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Over
      Game 975-976: Cleveland at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kazmir) 13.943; Oakland (Milone) 15.541
      Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
      Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Under
      Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.136; Boston (Dempster) 15.067
      Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
      Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115); Over
      Game 979-980: Colorado at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.542; Baltimore (Feldman) 16.291
      Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
      Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 8 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-150); Under
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

        Our Free Plays are 1081-812 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

        Free winner SUN: Rockies w/ Chacin
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          Gamblers Data

          Free Plays Sunday

          Dodgers under 8

          Braves -145
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #20
            Joe Wiz

            Free Play Sunday Cleveland/Oakland Under 9
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #21
              Cappers Access

              Giants -2
              Pirates -135
              A's(RL) -1.5(+140)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #22
                WNBA Basketball Picks

                Washington at Atlanta

                The Mystics look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with a losing SU record. Washington is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7). Here are all of today's picks.
                SUNDAY, AUGUST 18
                Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
                Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta (3:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.948; Atlanta 109.800
                Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 162
                Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 157
                Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Over
                Game 653-654: Connecticut at Chicago (6:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 103.544; Chicago 118.805
                Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 15 1/2; 142
                Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 148
                Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Under
                Game 655-656: New York at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: New York 103.446; Minnesota 124.164
                Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 20 1/2; 150
                Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 14 1/2; 154 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-14 1/2); Under
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #23
                  DAVE ESSLER Sunday MLB Thoughts

                  Giants-Miami: There is no chance of laying -170 w/Bumgarner on the road against anyone. Not that the Giants won't win, but Keohler can be decent, and with the Giants sometimes failing to score runs, I'd have to take the Miami RL or nothing. I suppose I could use SF in a parlay, but...

                  Dodgers-Phillies: I see, once again, the early money thinking that the Phillies are a sharp bet. I learned my lesson betting on them w/Lee and following the lemmings. I won't do it again.

                  D-Backs-Pirates: Arizona and the over were both plays I considered yesterday, but the operative word is considered. Mileys' had good success against the Pirates individually and it's still Charlie Morton, so I'd have to take the D-Backs here.

                  Washington-Atlanta: Well, neither team has a bullpen left, so I do suppose it's whether or not you think Gio can beat Teheran. I would certainly, if you made me, take the more known entity here, and the Nationals. Will clearly wait for a lineup in this one. Harper questionable. Lean over, but the weather is dicey.

                  Reds-Brewers: Hard not to think this game goes over, but I always think that way when Bailey pitches because he's a very good hitter. And of course Peralta can be horrible. Not sure I can back him, however. Reds in a bit of a funk, and just like we faded them yesterday because of them beating up on the weak sisters, I might have to take the Brewers RL again.

                  Cubs-Cardinals: Wainright's been almost hittable lately, and threw 122 pitches last game. I never trust Jackson and the Cubs offense (thanks for nothing yesterday) so I could probably make a case for the Cubs RL here. Cardinals just brutalized Jackson, and typically the pitcher does make the adjustments, or I would lean over, again.

                  Padres-Mets: I really want to take that over, but it's six for a reason. Mets pen used most of the game last night, and actually San Diego used much of theirs (they usually do when Volquez pitches) and that's why I lean over. All it will take is for one of these starters to have a bad inning and the floodgates may open.

                  Royals-Tigers: Welp, the Royals hung on for us last night to cover the RL, and if the TWINS had done the same thing that would have been eight straight RL winners. Probably would have to go to the well again here. I won't lay -180, and with Chen's season long 1.04 WHIP I lean a little to the under, but haven't checked weather.

                  Rays-Jays: I watched Archers' last start and had thought I'd fade him next outing. This is the second time the Jays will have seen him, too, and Tampa Bay hasn't seen Redmond. My issue here is that Redmond isn't used to pitching deep, but Toronto's bullpen is about the only thing that HAS gone well for them this season.

                  White Sox-Twins: Still annoyed that De Aza was down 0-2 with two outs and went yard, but, that can't effect "the next one". Deduno has been a play on, but got hit pretty hard the last two times out, while Santiago shut down the Tigers, which means the obvious lean is to the White Sox. But, betting on shitty teams that are done is probably a thing of the past for this season.

                  Seattle-Texas: Seriously, I would take a +260 team just for the hell of it.

                  Houston-Angels: Oberholtzer has been fantastic, but he has started giving up some fly ball outs, and the teams now have a better book on him. Just because the Angels hit yesterday doesn't mean they will again today, and because Vargas was already battered by Houston this season, he could be again. Lean over to some extent simply because both bullpens were used late late night, but this IS an under venue. Still tough to pass up the Houston RL, though.

                  Yankees-Boston: Ah, the ESPN game that everyone will want to bet on. Boston rarely has trouble w/Sabathia or ever did even when he WAS good. Can't trust Dempster, period. I do think that 9.5 is an awful lot of runs, however. Rarely is it the home team and over in prime time games, so for that reason I'd simply take the Yankees and the under.

                  Rockies-Orioles: Not sure I grasp why that total is under the key number of nine, and didn't yesterday, either. Chacin has been very solid on the road (aren't most Rockies' pitchers?) and the Orioles haven't seen him. A little surprised that Colorado hasn't seen more of Feldman from his stint in the NL, but that could well be a reason for the total here. Clearly some value to the Rockies RL here, if in fact it is staying under. If both teams have their "A" lineup in, I'd lean over, but the weather is a bit dicey there, too.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #24
                    Baseball Crusher
                    Los Angeles Dodgers -113 over Philadelphia Phillies
                    (System Record: 67-7, lost last game)
                    Overall Record: 67-68-1
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #25
                      Football Crusher
                      Indianapolis Colts +1.5 over NY Giants
                      (System Record: 1-0, lost last 2 games)
                      Overall Record: 1-2
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #26
                        Soccer Crusher
                        Ponta Preta SP + Goias UNDER 2.5

                        This match is happening in Brazil
                        (System Record: 442-15, won last game)
                        Overall Record: 442-379-59
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #27
                          StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                          MLB NY METS at SAN DIEGO

                          Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs
                          41-24 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% 27.0 units )
                          4-5 this year. ( 44.4% -0.3 units )

                          StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

                          MLB LA DODGERS at PHILADELPHIA

                          LA DODGERS are 9-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

                          The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.4) , OPPONENT (1.2)


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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #28
                            StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                            WNBA CONNECTICUT at CHICAGO

                            Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, vs. division opponents
                            92-47 since 1997. ( 66.2% 40.3 units )
                            15-6 this year. ( 71.4% 8.4 units )

                            WNBA CONNECTICUT at CHICAGO

                            Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) good rebounding team - giving up <=9 off. rebounds/game on the season, in August or September games
                            84-17 since 1997. ( 83.2% 0.0 units )
                            2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.0 units )

                            WNBA CONNECTICUT at CHICAGO

                            Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days
                            240-146 since 1997. ( 62.2% 79.4 units )
                            3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #29
                              CHASE DIAMOND

                              9* MLB DIAMOND DOMINATOR

                              NY Mets vs. San Diego
                              Point Spread:San Diego +1½-140
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #30
                                Kelso

                                25 MLB giants

                                10 nfl giants
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