8-18-13

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CHRIS JORDAN

100 Rangers run line

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Nelly's Baseball - Sunday, Aug. 18
1* #955 Arizona Diamondbacks (Miley) +125 over Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) 12:35 PM CT



BEST Baseball - Sunday, Aug. 18
10* #960 MIL Brewers (Peralta) ML +130 over CIN Reds (Bailey) 1:10 PM CT
10* #961 STL Cardinals (Wainwright) RL -1.5 +100 over CHI Cubs (Jackson) 1:20 PM CT



Bobby Dalton Baseball - Sunday, Aug. 18
15* #953 Los Angeles Dodgers (Nolasco) -125 over Philadelphia Phillies (Hamels) 12:35 PM CT

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Paul Leiner

100* Giants / Colts Over 41

50* Braves -135

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TMC Sports Advisors

Tigers -180

Dodgers/Phillies Under 8

Mets -140

Rays Tampa Bay -150

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Betting Notebook - Colts at Giants
Vegasinsider

Preseason Trends

The ‘over’ went 12-5 in the first two weeks of the preseason but the trend has tempered a little bit this weekend with the ‘over’ going 7-6-1 in the first 14 games.

The theme in Week 2 has been about the home team, who have produced a 12-2 straight up record. and 10-4 against the spread mark. The 49ers’ 15-13 victory over the Chiefs on Friday and the Packers’ 19-7 win at St. Louis on Saturday were the two wins from road teams.

Seven of the 14 games played this week have been decided by five points or less.

Indianapolis at New York Giants

Week 1 Notes

Indianapolis (0-1) - The Colts lost to the Bills 44-20 as 4 ½-point home favorites
New York (1-0) – The Giants beat the Steelers 18-13 as 2 ½-point road underdogs

Expected QB Rotation

Indianapolis – Andrew Luck, Matt Hasselbeck, Chandler Harnish
New York – Eli Manning, David Carr, Ryan Nassib (Rookie-Syracuse)

Week 2 Preseason Records (2010-2012)

Indianapolis (0-3)
New York (2-1)

Coaching Notes (Overall Preseason Record)

Chuck Pagano (2-3)
Pagano is 0-2 in his first two road games in the preseason

Tom Coughlin (19-18 with Giants)
Coughlin has never produced a preseason record better than 2-2 since 2006.

Off the Wire

Indianapolis

After last week’s 24-point loss at home to the Bills, owner Jim Irsay tweeted his feelings on Twitter. He wrote, “Many starters played briefly or were nursing little injuries,but it was a crap performance,my apologies/My commanders got n earful from me!”

QB Andrew Luck only played two series (10 plays) last week and is expected to see 25-30 snaps on Sunday. Veteran Matt Hasselbeck will follow while Northern Illinois product Chandler Harnish will finish off the game.

Former New York Giants running back, Ahmad Bradshaw (foot), will not be in the lineup for Indianapolis on Sunday. Backups Vick Ballard, Donald Brown and Delone Carter are expected to carry the ground game.

TE Coby Fleener (doubtful) is also expected to miss action for the Colts.

The Colts went 2-2 in preseason action last year but where just 5-25 from 2005 to 2011.

New York

Head coach Tom Coughlin plans to give quarterback Eli Manning about 20 plays and follow with backup David Carr and rookie Ryan Nassib. Veteran Curtis Painter, a former Colt, will not play until next week when Carr sits.

Wide receiver Hakeem Nicks, who missed the preseason opener, is expected back on the field and first-round draft pick and tackle Justin Pugh will play after missing the preseason opener with a concussion.

Defensive end Justin Tuck, who missed the Steelers game with a tight back, is expected to play. Safety Antrel Rolle sprained his right ankle in practice and will be replaced by Ryan Mundy.

Handicapping Notes

New York hasn’t won back-to-back preseason games in the last three years
The Giants have seen the ‘under’ go 7-2 in their last nine preseason games
The Colts have seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 under Pagano

Line Analysis

The Giants opened as 2½-point favorites at most Las Vegas betting shops but that number has dropped to 1½ or 1 as of Sunday morning.
The total is hovering between 40 and 41 in Las Vegas and the offshore outfits.

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Roxxy
5-1 the last two days.

Washington Mystics +7
Liberty +14
Connecticut+9.5

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Bankroll Sports

2* Giants/Marlins Under 7

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KYLE HUNTER

MLB	Aug 18 '13 1:35p	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -108		in 2h
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 10 straight games, and they are an amazing 42-8 in their last 50 games overall. While the Dodgers have plenty to play for, the Phillies are ready for this disappointing season to be over. Philadelphia has been playing as bad as anyone in baseball in the past month. Ricky Nolasco is a solid pitcher for the Dodgers, and the Phillies offense has been shut out in two straight games. Cole Hamels has struggled in day games his whole career, especially at home. The Dodgers are 10-0 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a lefty. The Dodgers are 5-0 in Nolasco's last 5 road starts. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games at Philadelphia. In all a 33-0 backs this play. Take the Dodgers.

MLB	Aug 18 '13 1:35p	Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Take: Atlanta Braves -137		in 2h
*3 Star MLB Revenge Special* The Washington Nationals beat the Braves 8-7 in 15 innings last night. The fact that the Braves lost last night, makes me feeling even more strongly about their chances of winning Sunday afternoon. Gio Gonzalez is a very good pitcher, but he has a 5.24 ERA against Atlanta in his career. Julio Teheran has a 3.75 ERA against Washington in his career. He also has a 3.00 ERA at home this year. The Braves bullpen is much better than Washington's, and the Braves saved their bullpen better last night. Look for the Braves to bounce back. Take Atlanta.

MLB	Aug 18 '13 2:10p	Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Take: Total 8 un-105		in 3h
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are the worst 2 teams in the AL Central. Chicago's lineup wasn't very good at the beginning of the season, and it is even worse now without Alex Rios. Hector Santiago has a 2.7 ERA on the road this year. He also has a 2.7 ERA in his career against Minnesota. Sam Deduno has been good at home this year, and I expect him to pitch well against this weak White Sox lineup. The wind should be blowing in from center field which should be helpful for the under. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.

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1unit wagers / Steven Kane

MLB
LA Dodgers(-110)
Anytime you can take a team who has won 19 of 20(on the road) against a team who has dropped 8 of 10, TAKE THEM! Especially for even money, the Dodgers are the hottest team in baseball right now and until they prove to slow down I'm gonna continue to take them when they offer value.

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Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS)KC/Det - UNDER 7
Betting $525 to win $500

(3 UNITS) Reds
Betting $432 to win $300

(3 UNITS) D-Backs
Betting $300 to win $360

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bookiemonsters
132-84 run

8-1-1 run last 10 plays

pod cardinals under 7.5

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Colorado at Baltimore (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore -150 (moneyline) at BetOnline

Colorado is not catching the Dodgers in the division, or anyone else for the Wild Card. This is the third of a 10-game trip, and they are a long way from home in this Interleague contest. The Rockies are 25-54 in their last 79 road games, and 15-36 in their last 51 Interleague games. Colorado is awful on the road, and faces Baltimore righty Scott Feldman. The Rockies are 5-21 in their last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter! Baltimore has a winning record both home and away and is in a pennant race for a division title or a Wild Card. They also have a powerhouse offensive attack, fourth in baseball in runs scored and tops in slugging. Baltimore pounded them yesterday, 8-4, including a seven-run inning early which prompted Colorado to use four relievers. The Rockies are 7-16 in Jhoulys Chacin's last 23 road starts, while the Orioles are 20-8 in home games against a right-handed starter. Play the Orioles.

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Dave Essler MLB RunLine Sun, 08/18/13 - 3:35 PM
double-dime bet - 973 HOU 1.5 (-125) vs 974 ANA

Analysis: Not much to this one. Oberholtzer has been steady, is in a big park, Vargas has been terrible, and the Angels bullpen has an ERA of 9.90 over the last week. And they're (the Angels) 12-20 against left handed starters this season.

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River City Sharps

3 UNITS St. Louis Cardinals -164

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Bob Balfe

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -125
(Nolasco/Hamels)

This Phillies team is a joke. I would never poke fun at a team like Houston for being so bad because their payroll is about 1/10th of the Phillies. The Phillies fire their long time coach and cant score in two games. This team is finished and has no interest in playing the rest of the games this year. Take the Dodgers.