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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 8/19 Oakland Athletics -184 over the Seattle Mariners (MLB Baseball) (System Record: 121-5, Lost last 3 games) Overall Record: 121-112 Also, listed below is your bonus extra picks for today:
Los Angeles Dodgers -118 over the Miami Marlins (MLB Baseball) Washington Nationals -127 over the Chicago Cubs (MLB Baseball) St. Louis Cardinals -131 over the Milwaukee Brewers (MLB Baseball)
Dave Essler MLB Money Line Mon, 08/19/13 - 10:15 PM
double-dime bet - 924 SFG (+115) vs 923 BOS
Analysis: This is a semi-calculated risk in that I am also fading Boston, who played late and flew to the West Coast. Yes, the Giants are a tired team, too, but Boston hasn't seen Timmy, and in San Francisco Boston loses a DH, which is huge. Posey rested yesterday, so my point is that between these two home dogs, at least one, if not both, should win, generating some profit. I am considering using the Rangers in a parlay of some sorts, perhaps w.the Reds, but Arroyo has had a way of burning me in the past. We'll be patient with that one.
Cleveland @ L.A. ANGELS
Cleveland +134 over L.A. ANGELS
Pitching change for the Indians tonight. McAllister in, Salazar out but we're still playing Cleveland. Jered Weaver has been on our fade list for two years running and for good reason. Unfortunately he was a dog in his last start in New York so we couldn’t fade him. Sure enough, Weaver went out and got bombed for nine runs in five innings and there’s more of that to come. Jered Weaver is all fluke. His skills have deteriorated to the point of no return. Weaver’s fastball velocity has steadily declined into the mid-80s. His groundball rate/fly-ball split over his last three games is an embarrassing 15%/50% with a very disturbing 35% line-drive rate over thrown in over that stretch. That’s only three games but he’s been flashing similar poor skills the entire season and even most of last season when he won 20 games. Every ball hit off Weaver is hit hard. He’s not fooling anyone and when he wins or gets consecutive outs, it’s because of pure luck. Despite what others think or believe, Jered Weaver is the most overvalued starting pitcher in the big leagues and one of the least skilled.
The Angels are just a pathetic bunch that doesn’t seem to care if they win or lose. How can a team with this much talent keep losing games to inferior talent week after week after week. The Halos hit rock bottom this past weekend with a series loss to the lowly Astros. Prior to that, the Angels were destroyed in the Bronx. Over their past six games, L.A’s pitching staff has been torched to the tune of 49 runs allowed. Losing is highly contagious and the Angels have that bug spreading quicker than ever. They’ll now face a pitcher they’ve never seen before in Danny Salazar. Salazar was called up to pitch July 11 against Toronto. He had a breakout 2012, after missing most of '10 and '11 undergoing Tommy John surgery. Upon return, his fastball actually had a bit more velocity and his secondary pitches got much better. Salazar gets good movement down in the zone on his fastball, inducing lots of groundballs and strikeouts. His fastball ranges from 92-96, and can touch 99 mph. Salazar rounds out his arsenal with a power slider and a change-up that has shown much improvement this season. Adding an effective change-up has made Salazar much tougher on left-handed hitters. He started the year at Double-A Akron, putting up stellar skills and a 2.67 ERA. Salazar has 22 K’s and just five walks issued over 18 innings in his three starts since being called up. An elite 0.96 WHIP also makes him appealing. This kid can pitch and has all the tools and talent to be a mainstay in the Indians rotation for a long time. Taking back a tag against the Angels, his appeal is even more attractive.
Our Pick
Cleveland +134 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.68)
N.Y. Mets @ MINNESOTA
N.Y. Mets +115 over MINNESOTA
2:10 PM EST. The combination of the Twins versus a right-handed starter, with rookie Kyle Gibson opposing that righty, is about the worst combination you’ll find on today’s board when spotting a tag. Gibson has some of MLB’s worst skills. In 47 innings over his first nine starts, Gibson has walked 18 batters while striking out a measly 27. A line-drive rate of 28% over his last four starts suggests he may be suffering from fatigue after 93 innings in the minors prior to his call-up. Of Gibson’s nine starts, only two have been of the pure quality variety and he hasn’t thrown a good game for since July 23rd, five starts ago. To make matters even more difficult, the Twins .239 batting-average against right-handed pitching is the worst mark in the AL. Kyle Gibson has no appeal as the chalk and when he is favored he’s almost an automatic fade every time.
Dillon Gee is coming off a six innings, two earned outing against the red-hot Dodgers. He’s been dealing it up lately with a total of eight earned runs allowed over his past six starts. Aside from facing the Dodgers, Gee also two-hit the Braves over seven frames and three-hit the Royals over seven innings as well. Over his last 35 innings, he’s walked just six batters. Before his injury in 2012, he was having a breakout campaign, with a high strikeout rate and outstanding command. His ground-ball tilt adds an extra element of skill and it appears as though Dillon Gee is entering the elite status level. Gee’s 5.25 ERA on the road hide his true skills, which allows us to buy him at a bargain price.
Our Pick
N.Y. Mets +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)
Dave Essler MLB Money Line Mon, 08/19/13 - 10:15 PM
double-dime bet - 924 SFG (+115) vs 923 BOS
Analysis: This is a semi-calculated risk in that I am also fading Boston, who played late and flew to the West Coast. Yes, the Giants are a tired team, too, but Boston hasn't seen Timmy, and in San Francisco Boston loses a DH, which is huge. Posey rested yesterday, so my point is that between these two home dogs, at least one, if not both, should win, generating some profit. I am considering using the Rangers in a parlay of some sorts, perhaps w.the Reds, but Arroyo has had a way of burning me in the past. We'll be patient with that one.
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