8-23-13

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Tigers -165

NYY/TBay over 7

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Cappers Access

Seahawks -2
Raiders +3.5
Cubs +120

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bookiemonsters
135-86 run

11-3-1 run last 15 plays

pod phillies game under 7.5

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JOHN RYAN

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

MLB Aug 23 '13 (8:10p)
Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -120

25* graded play on the CWS as they host the Texas Rangers in AL action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the CWS will get this win. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting an 85-37 mark for 70% winners and has made 50 units/unit wagered averaging a +100 play. Play on AL home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Texas is a money burning 6-19 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games facing an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. CWS, despite a losing record, are a money making 49-34 (+21.8 Units) against the money line facing AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last two seasons. Take CWS.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TEXAS at CHI WHITE SOX

Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) off a one run win over a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
110-59 since 1997. ( 65.1% 45.4 units )
5-9 this year. ( 35.7% -4.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at BALTIMORE

OAKLAND is 47-24 (+28.8 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play On - Home teams (WASHINGTON) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% 2.4 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 85 or more points
45-23 since 1997. ( 66.2% 0.0 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% 0.0 units )

WNBA SAN ANTONIO at TULSA

Play Against - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (TULSA) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% 2.9 units )

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BOB BALFE

NFLx
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -2.5

Did you have the Packers last year when these teams played on Monday Night? I know I did. We will never witness another loss like that in the history of the NFL. This is just preseason so the bad blood is not there as much as you would think. To be honest Seattle out played Green Bay in that game and I have real concern with this Packers Offensive Line this year. Aaron Rodgers is a bad offensive line away from looking like Blaine Gabbert. The difference between the best and worst QB's in this league is not as much as you would think. Winning the battle up front is huge in this sport. Seattle is coached to win and play hard no matter it be a preseason game or playoff game. This is a deeper more talented team and I think they win with pure speed tonight. Take Seattle.

10-1 preseason.

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PAUL LEINER

100* Seahawks -2.5

100* Dodgers -125

50* Yankees even

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CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB DIAMOND DOG

Money Line: Chi Cubs+111

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River City Sharps

2 Units Cleveland Indians -162

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GREAT LAKES SPORTS
8* LA Dodgers with Nolasco

Boston at LA Dodgers 10:10PM EST
The LA Dodgers are one of the hottest teams in Major League Baseball going an amazing 17-3 in the month of August so far this year, and the LA Dodgers is a stellar 19-7 when playing their last twenty six games at home. The LA Dodgers is also a perfect 5-0 their last five home games vs Right Hand starting pitching, and they are a rock solid 8-1 when playing their last nine games against the American League East Division. We look for the LA Dodgers to dismantle the Boston Red Sox and grab the home win & cover tonight. TAKE: 8* (930) LA Dodgers with Nolasco

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals - NATIONALS TO WIN (-101)
Listed Pitchers: Gonzalez vs Chen
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)

The Washington Nationals will move onto the Kansas City Royals after winning 3 of 4 vs the Cubs this week (and 3 straight). The Royals were swept by the White Sox at home and have now lost 5 straight games. This will be an all lefty match up with Gio Gonzalez vs Bruce Chen on the mound. Gonzalez is 7-6 on the year with a 3.38 ERA, .227 OBA and 1.25 WHIP. Those are very solid numbers all around, but Gio has struggled at times. Lately though he has been solid - over his last three starts he has posted a 2.00 ERA, .238 OBA and 1.22 WHIP. For the Royals Chen is 5-1 with a 2.20 ERA, .220 OBA and 1.08 WHIP over 26 appearances and 7 starts. As a starter he has been great going 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA over 7 starts. Take note though that his last start lasted just 5.1 innings where he gave up 8 hits and 6 earned runs with just 1 strikeout and a walk. Tonight he will be facing one of the hotter hitting teams in the Majors. The Nationals are 6th in August with a .766 team OPS and 4th with a .345 team OBP. In comparison the Royals are 23rd in OPS in August and 17th in OBP. Take note that the Nats have gone 9-4 in their last 13 overall, and 20-8 in Gonzalez's last 28 road starts. The Royals have lost 5 straight, and are just 2-8 in their last 10 interleague home games. With Gonzalez pitching well and Chen off a rough outing I'll take the hotter team tonight at an underdog price.

2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants - PIRATES TO WIN (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Morton vs Bumgarner
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.68 units)

These two teams met last night for the first game of this four game set. The Pirates took that game 10-5 as underdogs as they out hit the Giants 13-8. The Pirates are now 75-52 (33-30 on the road), while the Giants are just 56-71 (31-34 at home). Pittsburgh has taken 3 of these two teams 4 meetings this season. Charlie Morton will take the mound for Pittsburgh and he is 4-3 on the season with a 3.67 ERA over his 12 starts. His road record is better than at home (3-1 on the road) despite a slightly higher ERA at 3.89. He did face the Giants earlier this year going 5 innings allowing 7 hits and 2 earned runs (4 total runs) with 5 strikeouts and 1 walk. The Giants will counter with lefty Madison Bumgarner who is 11-7 on the year with a 2.82 ERA, .199 OBA and 1.02 WHIP. His numbers are stellar at home where he is 4-3 with a 2.40 ERA, but over his last three he is 0-1 with a 3.94 ERA. Those past three starts haven't been bad, but they haven't been great either and he will be facing a Pittsburgh team that has been hitting the ball well and finding ways to win. The Pirates are 13th in the Majors with a .726 OPS in August, while the Giants are 27th at .665. I also like the fact that the Pirates are 8th in the Majors in team batting avg vs lefties at .260 and 5th in OPS at .740. Pittsburgh is 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog, and 11-4 in their last 15 games as a road underdog. The Giants are just 7-20 in their last 27 home games, 1-4 in their last 5 games overall, and 1-5 in Bumgarner's last 6 starts. These teams are going in opposite directions and getting the Pirates at this underdog price is generous in my opinion. I'll take Pittsburgh as a very live dog.

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PowerPlayWins

Todays Play:

Colorado Rockies

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Friday's Interleague Action

August 23, 2013


Tigers at Mets - 7:10 PM EST

Probables: D. Fister (10-6, 3.63 ERA) vs. D. Matsuzaka (NR)

Previous series recap: Detroit dropped two of three to struggling Minnesota, including Thursday's 7-6 defeat as $2.60 home favorites. The Tigers still control the AL Central, while wrapping up their eight-game homestand at 4-4. The Mets split a pair of games with the Braves, while losing the finale in extra innings on Wednesday, 4-1. New York owns a 4-6 record the last 10 games, as the Mets continue a nine-game homestand.

Pitching notes: The Tigers have won six of Doug Fister's last seven starts, with the lone loss coming as a road favorite against the White Sox on August 12. Detroit is 2-1 in Fister's three interleague starts, but the defeat came at Pittsburgh in 12 innings, in spite of the right-hander striking out 12 batters in seven innings. The 'over' is 4-1 in Fister's past five road outings, as the Tigers have allowed at least five runs in four of those contests.

The return of Daisuke Matsuzaka is finally here as the former Red Sox hurler makes his first start since last October. Dice-K spent time in the Indians' minor league system before getting released and ultimately landing with the Mets, as the righty gave up 25 earned runs in his final five starts as a member of the Red Sox to wrap up 2012.

Nationals at Royals - 8:10 PM EST

Probables: G. Gonzalez (7-6, 3.38 ERA) vs. B. Chen (5-1, 2.20 ERA)

Previous series recap: Washington grabbed three of four from Chicago, while holding off the Cubs on Thursday, 5-4 in 13 innings. The Cubs scored three runs in the ninth inning to force extra innings, but the Nationals came through in the 13th to win three consecutive road games for the first time this season. Kansas City's playoff hopes are fading by the day after the Royals were swept at home by the White Sox, capped off by a 12-inning defeat last night as $1.70 favorites.

Pitching notes: The Nationals have lost to the Braves five times when Gio Gonzalez took the mound, but the team is 14-6 when the southpaw faces anybody other than the Braves. However, the Nats are 0-4 in Gonzalez's four interleague starts, including road defeats at Detroit and Cleveland. The 'under' is 5-2 in Gonzalez's past seven starts overall, while the Nats are 1-4 in his last five outings as a road underdog.

Bruce Chen finally suffered a poor start in his last outing at Detroit, allowing six earned runs, two more runs than he allowed in the previous five starts combined. The Royals' southpaw is 6-1 to the 'under' in seven starts, including 'unders' in all three home starts. Chen faces a Washington lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching, hitting just .223 this season.

Red Sox at Dodgers - 10:10 PM EST

Probables: J. Lackey (8-10, 3.22 ERA) vs. R. Nolasco (9-9, 3.60 ERA)

Previous series recap: Boston has alternated wins and losses in each of his last six games, while beating San Francisco in two of three contests. The Sox haven't won consecutive road games in their last four tries, while the 'under' is 6-1-1 in the past eight road contests. The Dodgers continue to stay hot after winning three of four games at Miami, improving to 9-0-1 in the last 10 series since the All-Star break.

Pitching notes: John Lackey shut down the Yankees in his last trip to the mound, scattering six hits and allowing one earned run in 6.2 innings of a 6-1 home victory. The Sox are 11-1 to the 'under' in Lackey's last 12 starts, including a run of seven straight 'unders' on the highway. However, Boston owns a 1-5 mark in Lackey's past six starts away from Fenway Park.

Ricky Nolasco has turned into a nice complimentary piece to this Dodgers' rotation, as Los Angeles has won six of his eight starts since getting acquired from Miami. Nolasco is making only his third home start in this stretch, splitting his first two outings at Dodger Stadium with a loss to the Rockies and a win over the Mets. The right-hander lost twice to the Red Sox last season, allowing 12 earned runs in just 9.1 innings or work.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Astros over

10* Pirates