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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #46
    No. 1 Alabama meets Va. Tech in Saturday's opener
    By: Brian Graham

    Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
    Kickoff: Saturday, 5:30 p.m. ET
    Line: Alabama -18, Total: 45.5

    No. 1 Alabama begins its quest for a third straight national title on Saturday afternoon when it meets Virginia Tech at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.

    Eventual Heisman winner Mark Ingram led the Crimson Tide to a 34-24 win-and-cover over Virginia Tech in 2009 at the Georgia Dome, outgaining the Hokies 498 to 155 in total yardage. That began a run of three BCS Championships in four years for Alabama, which once again has a championship roster with returning star QB AJ McCarron, 1,000-yard WR Amari Cooper and 1,000-yard RB T.J. Yeldon. Seven starters return from the last year’s dominant defense as well. Off a huge 7-6 letdown season in 2012, the Hokies need QB Logan Thomas to find consistency, and they’ve yet to find a bell-cow in their crowded RB committee. The Tech defense should be excellent with nine returning starters, but star CB Antone Exum is doubtful for the opener as he continues his recovery from a torn ACL suffered in January. Since taking over at Alabama, head coach Nick Saban is 14-4 ATS (79%) in non-home games in the first half of the season, and since 2009, his team is 19-7 ATS (73%) in all non-home games and 12-6 ATS (67%) in non-SEC tilts. On the flip side, Virginia Tech is 8-18 ATS (31%) overall in the past seasons, including 4-10 ATS (29%) in non-home games and 3-6 ATS (33%) outside the ACC.

    Crimson Tide QB AJ McCarron (2,933 pass yds, 30 TD, 3 INT) led the nation in passing efficiency last season and still has WR Amari Cooper (1,000 rec. yds, 11 TD) as his go-to receiver. RB T.J. Yeldon (1,108 rush yds, 12 TD) propels the No. 16 ground game (228 YPG), which lost three starters on the offensive line. For the second straight season, Alabama led the country in both total defense (250 YPG) and rushing defense (80 YPG), while ranking second in scoring defense (10.9 PPG allowed). DE Ed Stinson (3 sacks, 5 QBH) is the lone returning starter on the defensive line, but LB C.J. Mosley (107 tackles, 4 sacks) will dominate the middle again with OLB Adrian Hubbard (7 sacks, 3 FF). CB Deion Belue (40 tackles, 7 PD) and safeties Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (5 INT) and Vinnie Sunseri (54 tackles) are all top-notch defenders.

    The Hokies are coming off their worst campaign in two decades, as the offense ranked 83rd in the nation in both yards (377 YPG) and points (25.1 PPG). Head coach Frank Beamer is hoping new offensive coordinator Scot Loeffler can work miracles with erratic QB Logan Thomas (51% completions, 2,976 pass yds, 18 TD, 16 INT). Both starting offensive tackles and his top three receivers are gone, but the Hokies do get back senior WR D.J. Coles (480 rec. yds in 2011) who missed last year with a knee injury. Top RB J.C. Coleman (492 rush yds, 4.5 YPC) returns, but he gained 50 rushing yards just once in 2012, and is questionable to play on Saturday because of an ankle injury. The excellent Virginia Tech defense (333 YPG, 18th in FBS; 99 TFL, T-9th in FBS) is stacked again though. DE James Gayle (5 sacks) and LB Jack Tyler (119 tackles) headline a fierce front seven, but the secondary may struggle without CB Antone Exum (5 INT).
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #47
      MLB

      Hot pitchers
      -- Lee is 1-1, 2.35 in his last three starts. Rusin is 1-2, 1.50 in his last four.
      -- Haren is 4-0, 2.03 in his last six starts. Wheeler is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four.
      -- Minor is 4-0, 3.03 in his last six starts.
      -- Nicasio is 2-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
      -- Vogelsong is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts. Cahill is 2-0, 2.81 in three outings since coming off the DL.
      -- Cashner has a 2.57 RA and no wins in his last three starts.

      -- Estrada is 2-0, 1.88 in his last four starts.

      -- Sanchez is 4-0, 2.12 in his last seven starts.
      -- Nova is 3-0, 2.62 in his last five starts. Feldman is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three.
      -- Danks is 2-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts. Former White Sox Peavy is 1-1, 1.74 in his last three starts.
      -- Pelfrey is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
      -- Gray is 1-0, 1.20 in his two home starts. Cobb is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts overall.

      Cold pitchers
      -- Turner is 0-4, 4.91 in his last eight starts.
      -- Burnett is 1-2, 5.92 in his last four starts. Lynn is 0-3, 6.12 in his last four.
      -- Former Rockie Reynolds is 0-2, 5.64 in two starts this season.
      -- Capuano is 0-1, 7.58 in his last four starts.

      -- Since July 1, Williams is 0-7, 8.18 in ten starts.

      -- Guthrie is 1-3, 5.63 in his last four starts. Dickey is 1-1, 4.13 in his last four.
      -- Kazmir is 0-2, 7.07 in his last three starts.
      -- Saunders is 0-3, 10.38 in his last four starts. Keuchel is 1-1, 5.33 in his last four starts.
      -- Garza is 2-2, 5.77 in his last five starts.

      Starting Pitchers/First Inning
      You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
      -- Lee 4-25; Rusin 3-8
      -- Wheeler 4-13 (0 of last 6); Haren 5-24 (1 of last 6)
      -- Lynn 7-27; Burnett 5-24 (0 of last 6)
      -- Turner 4-16; Minor 9-26
      -- Reynolds 1-2; Nicasio 11-25 (4 of last 6)
      -- Vogelsong 6-13; Cahill 4-19 (0 of last 7)
      -- Cashner 8-22; Capuano 5-17

      -- Williams 5-19 (0 of last 5); Estrada 4-16

      -- Guthrie 7-27 (1 of last 7); Dickey 7-28 (1 of last 8)
      -- Feldman 6-24 (1 of last 8); Nova 5-14 (1 of last 6)
      -- Kazmir 7-23 (3 of last 5); Sanchez 7-23
      -- Danks 6-18 (1 of last 6); Peavy 2-18 (0 of 5 with Boston)
      -- Saunders 9-27; Keuchel 2-17
      -- Pelfrey 9-24; Garza 1-19
      -- Cobb 3-16 (1 of last 9); Gray 2-4

      Totals
      -- Four of last six Cub games stayed under the total.
      -- Three of last four St Louis road games went over the total.
      -- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.
      -- Eight of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
      -- Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Colorado games.
      -- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco games.
      -- Four of last six San Diego games stayed under.

      -- Eight of last ten Angel games stayed under the total. Eight of Milwaukee's last eleven games went over.

      -- Eight of last nine Cleveland games stayed under total.
      -- 13 of last 18 Toronto games stayed under the total.
      -- Seven of last ten Bronx games stayed under the total.
      -- Nine of last eleven White Sox games stayed under total.
      -- Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under total.
      -- Five of last six Houston games stayed under the total.
      -- Nine of last ten Oakland games went over the total.

      Hot teams
      -- Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
      -- Cardinals won six of their last nine games.
      -- Nationals won eight of their last ten games.
      -- Braves won their last five games, allowing six runs.
      -- Rockies won five of their last seven games.
      -- Giants won four of their last six games. Arizona won five of its last seven home games.
      -- Dodgers won seven of their last ten games.

      -- Angels won six of their last seven games.

      -- Royals won five of their last six games. Toronto won four of last five.
      -- Detroit won its last two games, scoring 14 runs.
      -- White Sox won eight of last 11 games. Red Sox won five of last six.
      -- Rangers won three of their last four games.
      -- A's won five of their last seven games.

      Cold teams
      -- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
      -- Pirates lost four of their last six games.
      -- Mets lost six of their last nine games, but won last two.
      -- Marlins lost nine of their last ten games.
      -- Reds lost five of their last seven games.
      -- San Diego lost six of its last eight road games.

      -- Milwaukee lost four of its last five home games.

      -- Indians lost last four games, outscored 15-5.
      -- Bronx lost four of last seven games. Orioles lost six of last seven on road.
      -- Twins lost five of their last six games.
      -- Mariners lost six of their last eight games. Houston lost five of last six..
      -- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.

      Umpires
      -- Phil-Chi-- Favorites won eight of last ten Reynolds games.
      -- NY-Wsh-- Underdogs won six of last ten Carlson games.
      -- StL-Pitt-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Dimuro games.
      -- Mia-Atl-- Six of last seven Timmons games went over the total.
      -- Cin-Col-- 13 of last 17 Johnson games stayed under the total.
      -- SF-Az-- Nine of last thirteen Tichenor games went over the total.
      -- SD-LA-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Layne games.

      -- LAA-Mil-- Underdogs won six of last eight Hickox games; over is 7-3-1 in his last eleven games behind the plate.

      -- KC-Tor-- Eight of twelve Little games went over the total.
      -- Balt-NY-- Six of last eight Fairchild games went over the total.
      -- Cle-Det-- Five of last six Carapazza games went over the total.
      -- Chi-Bos-- Last eight Nauert games stayed under the total.
      -- Sea-Hst-- Underdogs won last five Dreckman games.
      -- Min-Tex-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Bell games.
      -- TB-A's-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Gonzalez games.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #48
        DHayes2

        Rice +28.5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #49
          Today's MLB Picks

          St. Louis at Pittsburgh

          The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's 5-0 loss and build on their 10-2 record in Lance Lynn's last 12 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. St. Louis is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
          SATURDAY, AUGUST 31
          Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
          Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 14.931; Cubs (Rusin) 13.636
          Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
          Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); No Run Total
          Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); N/A
          Game 903-904: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.585; Washington (Haren) 14.665
          Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
          Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 7 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); Over
          Game 905-906: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.181; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.000
          Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
          Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 7 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Over
          Game 907-908: Miami at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.189; Atlanta (Minor) 16.081
          Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 6
          Vegas Line: Atlanta (-230); 7
          Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-230); Under
          Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Reynolds) 15.181; Colorado (Nicasio) 16.294
          Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
          Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 10
          Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Under
          Game 911-912: San Francisco at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.710; Arizona (Cahill) 16.453
          Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
          Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140); Over
          Game 913-914: San Diego at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.072; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 14.143
          Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
          Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 7 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140); Under
          Game 915-916: Kansas City at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.298; Toronto (Dickey) 15.734
          Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9
          Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 8 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-130); Over
          Game 917-918: Baltimore at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Feldman) 16.051; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.134
          Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
          Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9
          Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Under
          Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kazmir) 14.618; Detroit (Sanchez) 15.932
          Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
          Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 8 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Over
          Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 16.284; Boston (Peavy) 17.946
          Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
          Vegas Line: Boston (-210); 8 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Boston (-210); Over
          Game 923-924: Seattle at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Saunders) 14.563; Houston (Keuchel) 13.439
          Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
          Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 9
          Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under
          Game 925-926: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pelfrey) 15.791; Texas (Garza) 14.870
          Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
          Vegas Line: Texas (-240); 9
          Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+200); Over
          Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.816; Oakland (Gray) 16.482
          Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
          Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
          Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under
          Game 929-930: LA Angels at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 16.179; Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.739
          Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
          Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+130); Over
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #50
            WNBA Basketball Picks

            Atlanta at Chicago

            The Sky look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. Chicago is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
            SATURDAY, AUGUST 31
            Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
            Game 601-602: Los Angeles at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 117.541; San Antonio 107.760
            Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10; 151
            Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8 1/2; 155
            Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-8 1/2); Under
            Game 603-604: Seattle at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 113.177; Minnesota 116.838
            Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 152
            Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 12; 147 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+12); Over
            Game 605-606: Atlanta at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.781; Chicago 120.084
            Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 159
            Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 152
            Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Over
            Game 607-608: Connecticut at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 105.038; Phoenix 115.242
            Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10; 152
            Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 157 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+11 1/2); Under
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369690

              #51
              Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

              Our Free Plays are 1089-817 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

              Free winner 7 in a row SAT Early gm Ohio St -34
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369690

                #52
                Gamblers Data

                Free Play Saturday

                Tampa Bay +110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #53
                  Cappers Access

                  Cincinnati U -10.5
                  Virginia +1
                  Georgia -2.5
                  TCU +6
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369690

                    #54
                    StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                    MLB SEATTLE at HOUSTON

                    Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA >=5.00), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing
                    40-17 since 1997. ( 70.2% 23.8 units )
                    1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

                    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

                    MLB BALTIMORE at NY YANKEES

                    BALTIMORE is 63-43 (+31.4 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

                    The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.2)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369690

                      #55
                      StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                      WNBA LOS ANGELES at SAN ANTONIO

                      Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
                      196-118 since 1997. ( 62.4% 66.2 units )
                      21-12 this year. ( 63.6% 7.8 units )

                      WNBA ATLANTA at CHICAGO

                      Play On - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) off a road win by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) after 15 or more games
                      21-4 since 1997. ( 84.0% 0.0 units )

                      WNBA SEATTLE at MINNESOTA

                      Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
                      89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
                      12-9 this year. ( 57.1% 2.1 units )
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369690

                        #56
                        PAUL LEINER

                        100* Yankees -130

                        100* UL Monroe +21.5

                        50* Southern Miss -9
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #57
                          ANDRE GOMES

                          English Premier League

                          Hull City @ Manchester City
                          After Manchester City's loss at Cardiff last Sunday, we know what every small team will try to do against them: park the bus! The big difference is that Cardiff defended really well, but Manchester City also looked surprised with that. The good news about this loss is that Man City will be fired up to bounce back today. Hull City has already faced a top team on the road on Round 1, when they lost by 2-0 at Chelsea, which could have been like 4-0 or 5-0 at half time! Chelsea relaxed during the second half because they would be facing Aston Villa in middle of the following week and they didn't try to crush Hull. However, considering Man City's loss last week, that won't happen tonight. They will likely score first today and they'll keep trying to score more goals.

                          Hull City is coming from a home win against Norwich, where they played almost a hour with 10 men, as their striker Yannick Sagbo was sent-off. After that, Hull defended the result after scoring their goal via penalty kick, ending the game with just 39% ball possession and just 7 shots, while Norwich had 13. Of course Norwich's offense lacks the level of Man City's offense and Hull will struggle a lot more today. I expect Manchester City to enter today's game fired up, scoring early and then keep pressuring Hull for a blowout win today. Therefore, I'll be taking Man City today.

                          Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Manchester City (-2) @ +109 / 2.09
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #58
                            Guaranteed Sports Picks

                            Oklahoma St -12
                            Texas A&M -27
                            Alabama -20
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #59
                              Sam Martin 9* Underdog Demolition

                              NY METS
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369690

                                #60
                                Mitch Wilson

                                Dog Of The Day: TCU +4
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