8-31-13

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Ben Burns Blue Marlin

Tenn Vols

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Matt Fargo 10* Ultimate Underdog

Buffalo

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Baseball Crusher
Tampa Bay Rays +115 over Oakland As
(System Record: 72-7, lost last game)
Overall Record: 72-75-2

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Football Crusher
Western Kentucky +4 over Kentucky
(System Record: 6-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 6-5

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Soccer Crusher
Nautico + Paranaense UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 447-15, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 447-387-59

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O'Cal Sports
(5) UNDER LSU
(3) Va Tech

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The Gold Sheet

Key Releases

NORTHERN ILLINOIS by 8 over Iowa (Saturday, August 31)
TOLEDO Plus over Florida (Saturday, August 31)
OHIO Plus over Louisville (Sunday, September 1)

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Kelso
100 northwestern -5.5!

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DOCS SPORTS for Saturday:

All 4 Unit plays
Temple Owls/Notre Dame under 53.5
Toledo Rockets +23.5
Washington State +16
Syracuse +9

and a 6 unit play
Washington -3.5

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Brian Mac's Friday Night Hot Side: Boise State

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Brian Edwards
LSU
UL Monroe
Alabama over
Northwestern

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL -Saturday, August 31

4* Best Bet = La Lafayette
3* = Northwestern
3* = Oklahoma State
2* = Alabama
2* = Washington

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Sportswagers CFB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 31, 2013





Toledo @ FLORIDA
Toledo +23½ -110 over FLORIDA

12:25 PM EST. You have to give the Rockets front office some serious credit for scheduling this game in Week 1. Not many would have the guts to do so for fear of starting 0-1 while the rest of the top MAC teams are playing marshmallows and will almost certainly start 1-0. What we know for sure is that the Rockets will be completely jacked up here and it’s not like they don’t have the talent to keep it close. Toledo is a seasoned lot whose older players have experienced wins over Purdue, Colorado and Cincinnati along with last-second near-misses at Ohio State, Arizona and Syracuse. The Rockets are a solid, well-coached MAC contender with some serious offensive weapons at every position group. Toledo returns nine starters including all the key one’s at the skilled positions at QB, RB and WR. The Rockets won’t feel out of place trying to get inside 24 points against a Florida outfit that last year went 0-for-3 ATS by an average of more than 15 points as an out-of-conference favorite.
The Gators defense is wickedly good. In fact, it just might be the best in the country but we’re not going to need a bevy of points to cover here. Florida managed only a 7-6 ATS record last year even in a breakout campaign that will stand as the high point of the Will Muschamp era. Muschamp employs a run-heavy offense, preferring to use the clock while methodically wearing down their opponents. The Gators managed just 26 points per game last season and we’re not close to being convinced that they have improved. In no way can the Gators be trusted spotting this type of wood and there's no time like the injury-ravaged present to fade this host. Camp injuries have cost the Gators key players all over the lineup. The temperatures in Florida, one-man wrecking crew Loucheiz Purifoy and top-notch play calling from offensive coordinator Brent Pease are the biggest obstacles to a Rockets upset but it could still happen and we expect Toledo to keep this one scary close.


Our Pick
#192 Toledo +23½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)





UAB @ TROY
UAB +3½ -110 over TROY

7:00 PM EST. Second-year coach Garrick McGee has UAB on the rise and soon the Blazers will be a regular bowl entrant out of a watered-down Conference USA. Offense is of no concern regarding the Blazers, as they bring back most of the starters for a team that was in the top 20 nationally in several passing categories including yards in the air per game. The problem with the Blazers was a defense that got shredded weekly. However, McGee has changed things up this season, shifting from a 4-3 scheme to a 3-4. UAB’s defensive line returns all but one starter. A year wiser, UAB’s defense should be much better in McGee’s second year. McGee is a no-nonsense guy with a sharp football mind that will have this group well prepared every week. A seasoned roster will improve upon both UAB's 3-9 record and 5-7 ATS mark from a year ago.
Troy has been an offensive juggernaut the past few seasons and they return QB Corey Robinson to play in his senior year but after Robinson, question marks are aplenty. On offense, the Trojans return just two starters and they both play wide receiver. The offensive line is new and so is RB, Khary Franklin, who carried the ball three times all of last year. On defense, the Trojans return two starters as well and both aren’t impact players. These two opened the season in Birmingham last year and the Trojans won by 10 points. Now the winner of that game is at home spotting what appears to be a cheap price but this isn’t that same experienced and explosive group. Taking back more than a field goal from a fading Troy program is generous enough to get our attention in what has to be considered one of the best value plays on today’s card. We’re calling the upset but will accept the points.

Our Pick
#173 UAB +3½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)





Miami (Ohio) @ MARSHALL
MARSHALL -20½ -104 over Miami (Ohio)

7:00 PM EST. Despite being a three TD favorite, the Thundering Herd may just be the most undervalued squad on today’s board. A decade ago, the Thundering Herd were one of the top non-AQ programs in the country as they produced NFL players like Chad Pennington, Randy Moss and Byron Leftwich while winning several MAC championships. However, since their move to Conference USA, they have struggled, failing to win more than seven games in every season since 2003. This season, the Herd look poised to return to the national scene. It has taken Doc Holliday four years but he's built the most talented roster in Conference USA. The offense has returning QB Rakeem Cato, who threw for 4,201 yards last season, a deep running back corps and a very good wide receiver in Tommy Shuler (1,138 yards last season). The defense, thanks to several BCS-level transfers, looks improved, and the schedule sets up nicely, thanks to the departures of annual C-USA contenders UCF, Houston and SMU to the American Athletic Conference.\
We're skeptical of this recruiting-oriented staff's ability to deliver a league championship but Marshall will post the most wins of its Conference USA era and roll up some serious numbers on bad teams. Again, the key components return from an attack that scored 41 points per game last year and new defensive coordinator Chuck Heater is having a dramatic impact on what has been a poor defense. We've got no optimism whatsoever about a sinking Miami team that even Kentucky will probably beat this year. The Herd offense can name its number and the defense is improved enough to seal the back door should it come down to that.

Our Pick
#180 MARSHALL -20½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)





Western Kentucky vs. Kentucky
Western Kentucky +172 over Kentucky

7:00 PM EST. This game will be played on a neutral field in Nashville, Tennessee. Kentucky lost last year's meeting in overtime on this same field and is in jeopardy of losing the revenge match as well. The Wildcats are a truly rebuilding outfit with a very inexperienced staff. Recruiting has been going well and there's certainly enthusiasm around the program but this year's team is a hapless lot that won't win an SEC game. An entire new coaching staff takes over for the Wildcats and there are plenty of problems that need addressing. Kentucky’s offense was the worst in the DEC a year ago and while that conference is strong, the Wildcats were embarrassed in just about every game, going 0-8 in conference play. Kentucky does not have a proven QB and new coach Mark Stoops isn’t even sure who his starter is but you can expect both Jalen Whitlow and Maxwell Smith to see some snaps under center. Laying points with awful teams is not only bad strategy, it’s not in our playbook and Kentucky is an awful team.
Bobby Petrino takes over at WKU after Willie Taggart departed for greener pastures in South Florida. It’s not easy to like Petrino as a person but his coaching record in eight years with Louisville and Arkansas (75-26, 4-3 in bowl games) can’t be ignored. Like the Wildcats, the Hilltoppers are likewise in transition but unlike the ‘Cats, this WKU squad has an identity and it won't surprise if Petrino is able to ride Antonio Andrews to his fifth straight win over Kentucky. You ever hear of Barry Sanders? Well, Andrews’ 3,161 all-purpose yards last year are the second-most in NCAA history behind only Barry Sanders in 1988. That’s how good this kid is and with the departure of QB Kawaun Jakes, expect Andrews to get even more touches this season. Petrino is known for being one of the most creative offensive coaching minds in the game and you can be sure he has a plan for Andrews and company. Furthermore, the Hilltoppers defense was one of their strengths last season and they figure to be just as good this year. Kentucky does not deserve to be the chalk here but they are because they are certainly more recognizable and they also play in one of the power conferences while the Hilltoppers are a Sun Belt outfit. That counts for something but the ‘Cats are not close to being ready to spot points to a superior opponent. Take the 4½ points if you like but we like the better team taking back significant juice.

Our Pick
#178 Western Kentucky +172 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.44)

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CHRIS JORDAN

300 Notre Dame/Temple under 53

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Ats insiders club

Washington St +15.5
Rice +28.5
Tcu +4.5