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MikeWins
Free Platinum Rated Pick: Louisville Cardinals - 20,5 -
Free Platinum Rated Pick: Louisville Cardinals - 20,5 -
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GoodFella
Sunday Early MLB Team Total
BOSTON RED SOX OVER 5 RUNS (@BOL)Comment
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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo
Pittsburgh PiratesComment
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Where the action is: Sunday's NCAAF action report
The first Sunday of the college football season features just a pair of games on the schedule. We talk to sportsbooks about the action from the first Sunday of NCAAF action.
Ohio Bobcats at Louisville Cardinals - Open: -21, Move: -20.5, Move: -21
Expectations are high for the Cardinals, both for their season, and for Heisman-hopeful quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Since early money came in on the dog, Louisville money has been steadily flooding in.
"We opened Louisville -21 and the first initial money was on the dog so we went to -20.5 about 2 weeks ago," Peter Childs of Sportsbook.ag told Covers. "Since going to 20.5, we’ve seen a ton of Louisville money come in. We eventually went to -21 on Wednesday and just this morning we came off that key number of 21 to 21.5, hoping to get some buy back at +21.5."
Colorado Buffaloes at Colorado State Rams - Open: -2.5, Move: -3
The "Rocky Mountain Showdown" saw early action primarily on the home squad to get the line moving and could move even further closer to kick off as the Rams keep seeing steady money.
"We eventually went to CSU -3 and we’ve seen real good two-way action at that number," says Childs. "But we’re definitely writing more tickets on the favorite so just this morning we hung a -115 on CSU. Nearly 65% of the action is on CSU. If we continue to book money on the favorite, we’ll come off -3 and go to -3.5"Comment
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US Open betting: Serena vs. Sloane highlights Day 7
By JAYPRIMETOWN
Day 7 at the US Open focuses on the women as there are only 16 competitors left in the women's draw. A marquee match on Arthur Ashe highlights Sunday's action.
Sloane Stephens - Serena Williams: The marquee match of the tournament thus far pits the top player in the sport, Serena Williams, against perhaps the next great American player in Sloane Stephens. The Americans met earlier this year at the Australian Open. In a classic match, Williams won the first set, but was setback by an injury and Stephens was able to grab the win in a long three-set match. For Stephens, the win put her in her first grand slam semifinal. This is the first time the two have met since that match in January. Williams should have revenge on her mind and to remind the young American just who the best player in the world is.Stephens is playing some of the best tennis of her career and dominated fellow American Jamie Hampton in the third round. Expect another competitive match between these two players, but this time Williams will be the one who comes out on top.
Marcos Baghdatis - Stanislaw Wawrinka: A solid third round pairing pits veterans Baghdatis and Wawrinka. These two players have had their share of classic matches. Baghdatis lost a close five setter to Andre Agassi in 2006. While Wawrinka had world No. 1 Novak Djokovic on the ropes, before losing 12-10 in the 5th set at this year's Australian Open. Expect an entertaining match between these two players, but Wawrinka is in the better form and should advance to the Round of 16.Comment
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BookBreakers - 9/1
1:05PM Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
New York Yankees -1.5 +160
2:10PM Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros
Houston Astros +135
8:05PM New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
New York Mets +123Comment
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CHRIS JORDAN
300 Pirates
300 Tigers run line
300 Colorado St (buy hook to -2.5)Comment
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Bookieshunter
3* Yankees (MLB)
2* Under 8 Angels/Brewers (MLB)
1* Over 58.5 Ohio/Louisville (NCAAF)
1* Colorado St -3 (NCAAF)
1* Kurt Busch over Kevin Harvick (NASCAR)
1* Kasey Kahne top 5 (NASCAR)Comment
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CHRIS JORDAN
300 Pirates
300 Tigers run line
300 Colorado St (buy hook to -2.5)Comment
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Sportswagers MLB
Today's Free Picks for Sep 01, 2013
St. Louis @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH +103 over St. Louis
The Pirates have been beating up on these Cardinals. Pittsburgh defeated St. Louis four out of five games last month and it took the first two games of this series on Friday and Saturday, while outscoring St. Louis by a combined 12-1 count. Pittsburgh was a significant favorite in the first two games but come in as a pooch today because the pitching matchup appears to favor the visitor. We’re not so sure. Joe Kelly has appeared in 33 games for the Cardinals (12 as a starter) and comes in with a nifty looking 2.91 ERA. On paper, that’s pretty but under the hood, it’s a different tale. "Pedestrian" is the best way to describe Kelly’s skills. His lack of disaster starts looks encouraging but there is a big difference between disaster avoidance and dominance. Kelly has just six quality starts in those 12 games and the fact that he doesn't know how to miss bats, severely limits his upside. In 90 innings, Kelly has walked 34, while striking out just 59 for a horrible BB/K ratio. Over his last five starts covering 35 innings, Kelly walked 16 and struck out 18 for an even worse ratio. Kelly’s success is due to strand rate of 88%, which is on the extreme side of lucky. His xERA over his past five starts is 6.05, which is almost four runs higher than his actual ERA of 2.08 over that stretch. Rarely will you see a pitcher with these shaky skills maintain such a deceitful ERA over an extended run of games. Joe Kelly’s ERA is perhaps the most misleading in the game and we can almost guarantee you some regression in the final month.
To provide relief to an overtaxed bullpen, the Pirates summoned Kris Johnson from Triple-A on August 17. Johnson was originally selected in the supplemental first round of ’06 by the Red Sox before earning his release in the middle of ’11. He then signed with an independent league team for the remainder of that season before inking a minor league contract with Pittsburgh in December ’11. Johnson has served in a variety of roles throughout his career, including a formidable starter this season so he’s no stranger to starting. He has a long, lean frame at 6’4” 195 pounds and he uses his height to his advantage. His fastball sits between 88-93 mph, but he can cut it and keep it low in the zone. He doesn’t allow many fly-balls or HR (just 6 HR’s in 130 innings at Triple-A Indianapolis), but he exhibits a pitch-to-contact philosophy. Johnson throws with a clean, quick arm, which adds movement to his pitches. His curveball is below average while his change-up can be effective at times. If he continues to spot his pitches and throw consistent strikes, he has a chance to stay up here as a valuable swingman that is comfortable in any role. In his first taste of big-league ball, Johnson pitched six innings of relief in that marathon 16-inning game against Arizona. He allowed just five hits in six innings and was very effective. The Pirates have momentum, they have Justin Morneau now (he’ll be in the lineup today) and they’ll play to a full house this afternoon while facing an overvalued pitcher and a Cardinals team that has lost four of six and have scored two runs or less in all four losses. Wrong side favored.
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)
N.Y. Mets @ WASHINGTON
N.Y. Mets +127 over WASHINGTON
Baseball is a strange game and when these two clubs hook up, it gets stranger. In five of the past 10 games that the Mets and Nats have played this season, the winning team has scored 10 runs or more. New York has wins of 11-3, 11-0 and 10-1 over that span while the Nats have victories of 14-1 and 13-2. The Mets figure to have a much better chance of going off on Ross Ohlendorf than the Nats do against Jonathon Niese. On July 26th, Ohlendorf threw a gem against the Mets, throwing 115 pitches and hitting 95 on the radar gun. In his next appearance, however, he couldn't top 85, was hit hard, and then placed on the disabled list. Ohlendorf returned On August 21 and to make a start against the Cubs and was knocked around for six hits (2 bombs) and four runs in 4.1 frames. He followed that up with a five-inning, three-hit, one run performance against the Marlins but that team could make Larry King look good. In Ohlendorf, you're looking at a mostly unsuccessful major league pitcher who had xERAs above 5.00 in both 2011 and 2012. He’s appeared in just 12 games this year, four as a starter. Over his career, Ohlendorf has appeared in 120 games, 77 as a starter and has a career ERA of 4.74 to go along with a career WHIP of 1.44. Not interested in Ohlendorf as the chalk.
We’re very interested in Niese as a pooch. Shoulder woes have held him Niese back in 2013 and subsequently landed him on the DL. That was then but since coming off the DL, Niese is thriving. He’s coming off a complete game, three-hit shutout against the Phillies on Tuesday. He induced 13 ground ball outs Tuesday and even drove in three runs. Niese has made four starts since coming off the DL and he has won his last three, compiling an impressive 1.93 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. In two of those outings he fanned nine hitters. There’s little question that Niese’s shoulder issues are behind him and he’s feeling a whole lot better. Niese has struck out 28 batters over his last 28 innings since coming off the DL, while issuing just six walks. This guy is strongly trending in the right direction and it’s also worth noting that the Nationals are among the worst hitting teams in the majors against southpaws.
Our Pick
N.Y. Mets +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)
Seattle @ HOUSTON
Seattle -1½ +123 over HOUSTON
The Astros have scored two runs or fewer in four straight games. Over their last five games, all losses, Houston has scored eight runs and things don’t figure to get any easier here against Hisashi Iwakuma. Iwakuma has allowed three runs or fewer in eight of his past nine starts, while pitching into the seventh inning in six of those. In 184 innings, Iwakuma has walked just 34 batters while striking out 157. Over his last three starts, Iwakuma has a 56% groundball rate and a miniscule 11% line-drive rate and that’s after facing Texas twice and the A’s once. Iwakuma takes a big step down in class here facing an Astros club that is seeing BB’s and that has won just 14 of their past 56 games.
For whatever reason, the Mariners thrive on Sunday’s. They’ve won seven of their past eight Sunday games and they’ve also won the first three games of this series. The M’s go for the sweep here and there’s nothing suggesting they won’t get it. Brett Oberholtzer has started just five games for the Astros since being called up in early July. Over the past two years at Triple-A, Oklahoma City, Oberholtzer started 18 games and had a BAA of .314 with an ERA over 6.00. He was expected to be a long man out of the bullpen when he was called up but the Astros are in evaluation mode for the short-term and as a result, they are handing the ball to him to see what he can do. Oberholtzer won’t wow you with his pedestrian stuff but he knows how to pitch with his strong, durable frame that eats innings. His ordinary pitches play up due to his clean, easy arm action and ability to repeat his arm speed and delivery. He throws strikes and commands his 89-92 mph fastball with precision but none of that served him well at Triple-AAA and it’s unlikely to serve him well at this level. Oberholtzer has a propensity for keeping the ball up in the zone and the result is a 30%/50% groundball/fly-ball split. He’s also been taken yard three times over his past two starts. The M’s big edge on the mound and at the plate has us leaning heavily towards the sweep.
Our Pick
Seattle -1½ +123 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.46)Comment
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Sportswagers CFL
Today's Free Picks for Sep 01, 2013
Edmonton @ CALGARY
Edmonton +8 -106 over CALGARY
This game goes on Monday but we’re posting it today just in case the number drops. What’s incredible is that the Eskimos have the same record as Winnipeg but the Eskies are the best 1-7 team in a long, long time. Edmonton is extremely undervalued here because of said record and an outright win would not surprise us one bit. Edmonton has lost its last four games by 3, 3, 1 and 5 points respectively and held a second half lead in all of them. QB Mike Reilly is on the verge of becoming a true stud in this league and we’re all witnessing his outstanding progress before our very eyes. Edmonton’s offense is averaging over 400 yards per game, which is better than Calgary’s and just behind Saskatchewan for the league’s best mark. This visitor is not dead yet and all it’s going to take is one win to get them on a serious roll because this 1-7 team is perhaps as good as any team in the CFL.
Calgary comes into this one fresh off a 35-14 win in Toronto in a game they dominated. The Stamps are now 6-2 and they have yet to face the Eskimos this season and that means they have not seen Mike Reilly. The Stamps could be in for a big surprise, as they also come into this one with a bevy of key injuries. Those injuries were well-documented heading into their match with Toronto and the Stamps came out with a chip on their shoulder and destroyed the Argos. Calgary’s stock was down last week and that impressive result has their stock soaring this week. That sets up this fantastic buy low, sell high opportunity and we’re not about to miss it. It’s worth repeating that Edmonton is grossly undervalued in this game and if you were leaning Calgary, we strongly urge you to reconsider, as we’re calling for the upset and it’s not on a hunch either. Edmonton is as talented as any team in the CFL but has not had a single bounce go its way. That could all change here and at the very least, the Eskies should stay well within this range.
Our Pick
Edmonton +8 -106 (Risking 3.18 units - To Win: 3.00)
Winnipeg @ SASKATCHEWAN
SASKATCHEWAN -14½ -108 over Winnipeg
How can you take the Blue Bombers here? This guest is a train wreck right now with a 1-7 record and no established QB. The Bombers will go with Justin Goltz here, again, because Max Hall and Buck Pierce are both injured and Coach Tim Burke said that Goltz has “taken the most reps this week”. Burke also said, "I'm hoping by game time Max Halls’ hand will be 100 per cent in case we need him”. That’s not exactly a ringing endorsement for Goltz. Instead of building the kids confidence, Burke is tearing it down by suggesting that Goltz is starting only because he’s the only man standing. The Bombers continue to turn the ball over at an alarming rate and they also take more undisciplined and foolish penalties than any team in the CFL. The Bombers brought in a new offensive coordinator last week against Hamilton and the team couldn’t move five yards against a weak defense. From top to bottom, from offense to defense to special teams, the Bombers looked more confused out there than a moth on the Las Vegas strip. This predictable offense will now play in the most hostile environment in the CFL with nothing going for them.
The only way the Riders don’t cover here is if they show up in body only in much the same way they did against Montreal in Week 8, when, as a 12-point choice, Saskatchewan needed a last minute miracle to win outright. That scare should be fresh on their minds, as it happened just two weeks ago and the Riders coaches will drive that near setback into their minds. Saskatchewan played a strong game last week in Edmonton and they appear to be back on track after a couple of less than stellar performances. 14½-points is a steep price to pay but this is Labour Day weekend in the CFL, where teams always get jacked up to play in front of their home crowd. Last year, on Labour Day weekend, Winnipeg came in here and was trashed 52-0 by a Rider team that was inferior to this year’s edition. There will be no revenge this year.
Our Pick
SASKATCHEWAN -14½ -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)Comment
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DHayes2
Louisville -21Comment
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Hondo
Hondo feeling regal
Hondo’s two-dog night brought no joy to his world as the Twins and Pods failed to deliver last night, leaving him with an inflated debt of 1,485 howsers.
Today, Mr. Aitch suggests all lonely hearts band together and get behind the one and only Jimmy Shields — 20 units on the Royals to rough up Happ and the hapless Jays.Comment
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Mike Neri Sports - Late Service
BASEBALL
966 Detroit w/Verlander -160 1:05 EST
Risk 1 Unit to make .62 UnitsComment
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Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Sun, 09/01/13 - 4:10 PM
double-dime bet - 956 COL (+117) vs 955 CIN
MTi's FORECAST: COLORADO 8 Cincinnati 4Comment
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