9-6-13

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POWER SWEEP

CFB
Wake Forest at BOSTON COLLEGE - BC had won 4 in a row SU/ATS but WF has now won the L/2 SU/ATS. There have been 5 outright upsets the L10Y but only 1 in the L/4. The previous 9 meetings had been decided by 10 or less. BC (+3) trailed 21-7 at the half but WF only had a 187-141 yd edge. BC, down 28-14, was SOD at the WF7 and ended the game at the WF2 running out of time. Both tms are among the most exp’d and improved in the ACC (WF 15 ret st’rs, BC 18) and both are off non-covering wins over FCS tms. BC has the talent edges but WF has a couple of extra days to prep off a Thur Night gm while BC is on a short week off a Sat gm and taking on an attack running more option. The winner here takes a major step towards getting back to a bowl gm after missing one LY.

Ucf at FIU - The HT is 2-0 SU in this series but FIU is 2-0 ATS. 2Y ago, UCF was -6 on the road and had a 300-238 yd edge but were upset 17-10. LY UCF was -17 at home and dominated the 1H obliterating FIU with a 23-0 lead and a 249-26 yd edge. They did not play with the same intensity in the 2H and only ended up winning 33-20 with FIU gaining 280 yds in the 2H. UCF has a couple of extra days to prep off a Thur night win vs Akron in which they dominated 38-7 (-23). The Knights outgained the Zips 476-250 as QB Bortles had a career day w/314 yds becoming the 1st UCF QB to top 300 yds s/’09. FIU HC Turner’s debut did not go well in a 43-10 loss (+21) to MD. The Panthers found themselves down 40-10 at HT and were outgained by an incredible 402-54 yd margin before the Terps eased off the gas in the 2H. UCF has large talent edges across the board (off #50-116, def #69-117, ST #43-90) but will they be peeking ahead to Penn St?

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POWER PLAYS

CFB
WAKE FOREST vs BOSTON COLLEGE
Boston College had won 4 in a row SU and ATS but Wake Forest has now won the L/2 SU and ATS. The previous 9 meetings had been decided by 10 points or less. Both are off FCS wins needing another after failing to reach a bowl last year.
NO PLAY: BOSTON COLLEGE 30 WAKE FOREST 13

UCF vs FIU
UCF dominated Akron last week (38-7, -23) and FIU was dominated by MD (43-10, +21) but the home team is 2-0 SU and FIU is 2-0 ATS.
NO PLAY: UCF 37 FIU 19

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WINNING POINTS

CFB
Wake Forest over Boston College* by 1
Boston College turned away Villanova in Steve Addazio’s maiden voyage, but the
Eagles were underwhelming. Wake Forest has a gnarly defense and a good nucleus
of fifth-year players, but can we trust the Deacons after they played so poorly at
the tail end of last season?
WAKE FOREST 21-20.

Central Florida over Florida Intl* by 27
Because his team is so young, FIU HC Ron Turner is keeping things simple. That
translated into a woeful performance at Maryland. It looks like another stroll in
the park for UCF, but George O’Leary may be quick to yank his starters with Penn
State on deck.
CENTRAL FLORIDA 37-10.

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WINNING POINTS

BASEBALL SELECTIONS

BEGINNING FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 6

L.A. Dodgers at Cincinnati (3) 6th, 7th, 8th
The Reds draw another tough assignment, as they look to at least
hold on to the final NL wild-card slot,while at the same time attempting to overtake the Pirates & Cardinals for the division title. They were hammered by the red-hot Dodgers in LA, dropping 3 of 4 in their earlier meeting (-$200) and we’re not anxious to take on the surging visitor.The Dodgers are 31-15 vs.righties on the road this year
(+$1800) and their pitching looks fantastic (1.73 ERA in the last 10 days).
BEST BET: Dodgers vs. righthanders.

Pittsburgh at St. Louis (3) 6th, 7th, 8th
The Pirates have gotten the best of it in head to head play against St. Louis (10-6, $510) and they have a distinct advantage when they send lefties to the mound (Cards 16-21 vs. southpaws in 2013, averaging just 3.9 runs per game on offense).The Bucs are a solid moneymaker outside of PNC Park (+$780) and they’ve bolstered theiroffense with key deadline trades. Great value on the visitor at Busch Stadium this weekend.
BEST BET: Lefthanders vs. the Cardinals.

Texas at L.A. Angels (3) 6th, 7th, 8th
It look a while but the Angels seem to be getting hot late in the season (8-1, +$880 in the last 10 days) and might make a tempting spoiler in the AL West. But Texas has dominated LA in their prior meetings (10-2, +$780) and they’ve been deadly in night games on the road (31-17, +$1435).We’ll proceed with a certain amount of caution, but if the visitor is available at a reasonable price we’ll look for the host team to come up short. The Angels have lost a fortune at home in 2013 (-$2340).
BEST BET: Rangers at -115 or less in night games

Tampa Bay at Seattle (3) 6th, 7th, 8th
The Rays are coming off a drubbing courtesy of the Athletics, falling well of the pace in the AL East behind Boston,and now must concern themselves with merely holding onto the final AL wild-card slot (3-7, -$580 in their last 10, averaging just 2.8 runs per game).Their sputtering offense will be seriously tested at Safeco Field, with both
Hisashi Iwakuma (2.87 ERA in 290 starts) and Felix Hernandez (2.83 in 28 starts) slated to make appearances. Good opportunity for the home team to play the spoiler.
BEST BET: Iwakuma/F. Hernandez.

N.Y. Mets at Cleveland (3) 6th, 7th, 8th
The Indians have stumbled in recent days (3-6, -$215 in their last 10, averaging just 2.8 runs per game on offense), but they are sill very much alive in the wildcard picture, due in large part to Tampa’s recent difficulties. The Mets could cause them some difficulties at Progressive Field when Scott Kazmir (4.36 ERA) is on the hill. New
York has turned a fat profit vs. lefthanders outside of CitiField (+$960) and it’s worth noting that they’ve made money in interleague play as well (+$505).
BEST BET: Mets vs. lefthanders.

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PLAYBOOK / MARC LAWRENCE

CFB
Wake Forest over BOSTON COLLEGE by 1
When the Demon Deacons fell behind 7-0 to lowly Presbyterian just four
minutes into last Thursday’s lid-lifter, HC Jim Grobe’s realtor was caught
by the stadium-cam looking downright giddy. But Wake woke up and
pitched a 31-0 shutout the rest of the way to take a little heat off the
embattled Grobe. Boston College exhibited a similar M.O. in its opener,
trailing 14-7 at the half to FCS opponent Villanova but tightening the
defensive screws thereafter for a 24-14 win. Though 2nd-year BC head
coach Steve Addazio is feeling some heat of his own after last season’s
disappointing 2-10 debut, Grobe enters his 13th year in Winston-Salem
under intense pressure to qualify for a bowl berth – especially since Wake
has not posted a winning season since 2008. The Deacs do return players
totaling 146 starts on offense (including QB Tanner Price, his favorite
WR and top two RBs) and 158 on defense but the Eagles counter with
16 returning starters of their own, lead by QB Chase Rettig and all four
of the team’s top linebackers. New BC offensive coordinator Ryan Day
has been praised by Philadelphia Eagles’ HC Chip Kelly as “One of the
brightest minds and best coaches in the country.” However, the bottom
line is that Day represents the squad’s 4th OC in as many years and it
may take a few more weeks for him to mind-meld with his signal-caller.
Boston College has not enjoyed its last three home openers, losing all
three on the scoreboard and against the number, while Grobe can at
least claim a 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS effort in his last four ACC openers. In
what shapes up as an interesting early-season quarterback duel between
Price and Rettig, we’ll lean to the slightly-more-desperate visitors from
Confederate country.

Ucf over FLORIDA INT’L by 25
This potential blowout shifts from a noon Saturday start to Friday evening
because either (1) the previous scheduled kickoff ‘confl icts’ with another
Saturday contest in Miami between the Hurricanes and Gators, or (2)
there are a lot of CBS Sports employees that graduated from UCF and
want to see their Knights behead a competitor in prime time. Regardless,
it looks like all the folks who stifl ed a horselaugh after hearing FIU had
hired Ron Turner to replace Mario Cristobal might be on to something
The Panthers were the epitome of awful last Saturday against Maryland,
trailing the Terps 40-10 at halftime after being outyarded 399-59! Even
so, we’d really like to side with the home pooch here against potentially
disinterested road chalk (UCF steamrolled Akron last week, 38-7), but
new coaches’ record in home debuts – 97-130-2 ATS entering this year
since 1990, including 8-27 ATS when the foe is off a SUATS win – simply
won’t let us. Yes, the win over Akron saw Central Florida’s seniors improve
to 4-0 in Game Ones by a combined tally of 174-28; however, a 1-8 SU
mark in Game Two’s indicates a return to the norm may be in the offi ng
for O’Leary’s crusaders – and frays with Penn State and South Carolina up
next all but confi rms that notion. So does this gem from our powerful
tell-all database: Since 1990, Game Two non-conference road chalk off a
season-opening home win of 30 or more points stands just 11-25-2 ATS
when facing an avenging opponent (Knights beat FIU, 33-20 LY). Even
with the Panthers’ 5-1 ATS mark as home dogs against a foe off a win of
more than 10 points, we can’t pull the trigger with a depthless FIU team
missing its entire OL and RB corps from 2012. Better to watch and wait…

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umpire UNDER streakers

78-28-8 (74%)

UNDER 9 RUNS -105 IN THE BOSTON RED SOX/NEW YORK YANKEES GAME, 7:05 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Joe West 10-2-2 L14

UNDER 8 RUNS -110 IN THE HOUSTON ASTROS/OAKLAND A'S GAME, 10:05 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Phil Cuzzi 12-1 L13

UNDER 7 RUNS -110 IN THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS/SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS GAME, 10:15 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Alan Porter 9-2 L11

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Rusin is 1-2, 2.17 in his last five starts. Lohse is 4-1, 2.93 in his last seven outings.
-- Minor is 4-2, 3.37 in his last seven starts. Lee is 1-0, 2.70 in his last three.
-- Fernandez is 5-1, 1.67 in his last eight starts.
-- Kelly is 7-0, 1.72 in his last nine starts. Burnett is 2-1, 2.53 in his last three.
-- Petit is 2-0, 3.00 in two starts this season.

-- Wheeler is 3-1, 2.51 in his last five starts.

-- Pettitte is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts. Doubront is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts.
-- Feldman is 2-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
-- Shields is 4-0, 1.78 in his last five starts. Sanchez is 5-0, 2.36 in his last eight.
-- Pelfrey is 1-0, 2.41 in his last three starts. Dickey is 2-0, 2.51 in his last two.
-- Griffin is 2-0, 3.75 in his last two starts. Keuchel is 0-1, 1.93 in his last two.
-- Wilson is 6-0, 3.48 in his last ten starts. Cobb is 2-1, 2.55 in his last four.
-- Iwakuma is 2-0, 2.33 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Haren is 0-1, 10.24 in his last couple starts.
-- Leake is 1-2, 7.49 in his last six starts.
-- Capuano is 0-1, 5.81 in his last five starts.
-- Nicasio is 2-3, 6.37 in his last seven starts. Smith is 0-2, 18.42 in three starts this season, last of which was May 22.
-- Corbin is 0-2, 12.19 in his last two starts.

-- Kazmir is 0-3, 7.11 in his last four starts.

-- Danks is 2-2, 4.72 in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 5.13 in his last four starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Lohse 7-28 (0 of last 10); Rusin 3-9
-- Minor 10-27 (4 of last 8); Lee 4-26 (0 of last 5)
-- Haren 5-25 (1 of last 7); Fernandez 5-26 (1 of last 9)
-- Capuano 4-17; Leake 6-27
-- Burnett 5-25 (0 of last 7); Kelly 0-11
-- Nicasio 12-26 (5 of last 7); Smith 1-3
-- Corbin 6-27; Petit 1-2

-- Wheeler 4-14 (0 of last 7); Kazmir 7-24

-- Doubront 5-25 (1 of last 11); Pettitte 10-25 (0 of last 4)
-- Danks 7-19; Feldman 7-25
-- Sanchez 8-24 (3 of last 4); Shields 11-28 (0 of last 4)
-- Dickey 7-29 (1 of last 9); Pelfrey 10-25 (3 of last 5)
-- Keuchel 3-18; Griffin 3-28
-- Garza 2-20; Wilson 5-27 (0 of last 6)
-- Cobb 3-17 (1 of last 10); Iwakuma 6-29 (1 of last 13)

Totals
-- Five of last seven Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Seven of last ten Fernandez starts stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals' last six games.
-- Last six Colorado games went over the total. Four of last five San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games stayed under the total.

-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under total.

-- Five of last six Bronx games went over the total.
-- Four of last five White Sox games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Kansas City games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games stayed under total; last three Minnesota games went over.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last five Angel games.
-- Eight of last eleven Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won eight of their last ten games.
-- Nationals/Marlins both won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games. Cincinnati won three of last four.
-- Pirates won four of their last six games.
-- San Diego won five of its last seven home games.
-- Arizona won its last two games, allowing five runs.

-- Indians won three of their last four games.

-- Royals won eight of their last ten games.
-- Red Sox won nine of their last eleven games. Bronx won five of last seven.
-- Baltimore won four of its last five home games.
-- Blue Jays won seven of their last ten games. Twins won three of last four.
-- Angels won nine of their last twelve games.
-- A's won nine of their last twelve games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs are 6-18 in last 24 home games. Brewers lost five of their last six games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- St Louis lost five of its last seven games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Giants lost 11 of their last 17 games.

-- Mets lost three of their last four games.

-- Mariners lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox lost their last five games.
-- Detroit lost three of its last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost nine of its last eleven games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last six games.
-- Houston lost seven of its last eleven games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

141-94 run

17-11-1 run last 29 plays

pod astros game under 8

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Baseball Crusher
Texas Rangers -106 over LA Angels
(System Record: 74-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 74-79-2

Football Crusher
FIU +24.5 over Central FL
(System Record: 9-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 9-6

Soccer Crusher
Chapecoense + Boa UNDER 3
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 450-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 450-390-59

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Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at Cincinnati

The Reds look to build on their 6-1 record in Mike Leake's last 7 home starts with the total set at 9 to 10 1/2 runs. Cincinnati is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 6 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 13.876; Cubs (Rusin) 14.779 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.244; Philadelphia (Lee) 13.602 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Over

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 15.295; Cincinnati (Leake) 16.878 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at Miami (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Haren) 15.930; Miami (Fernandez) 15.092 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 5 Vegas Line: Miami (-145); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Under

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 14.498; St. Louis (Kelly) 15.848 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Over

Game 911-912: Colorado at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 14.202; San Diego (Smith) 15.123 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); Under

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 14.223; San Francisco (Petit) 15.385 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Over

Game 915-916: Boston at NY Yankees (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 17.009; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.565 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.822; Baltimore (Feldman) 16.446 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-170); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.622; Kansas City (Shields) 16.469 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Under

Game 921-922: Toronto at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.174; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 16.040 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Under

Game 923-924: Houston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.248; Oakland (Griffin) 15.889 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-260); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-260); Over

Game 925-926: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Garza) 15.335; LA Angels (Wilson) 16.493 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Under

Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Seattle (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.828; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.652 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

Game 929-930: NY Mets at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.539; Cleveland (Kazmir) 16.901 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Under

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DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 2 Scores/Predictions

Friday, September 6, 2013

Atlantic Coast Conference
Wake Forest at BOSTON COLLEGE, 8:00 pm ET BOSTON COLLEGE 23.8, Wake Forest 13.7

FBS Non-Conference
Ucf at FIU, 8:00 pm ET Ucf 34.3, FIU 17.5

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WNBA Basketball Picks

San Antonio at Phoenix

The Silver Stars look to bounce back from their 80-67 loss to Los Angeles and build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU defeat. San Antonio is the pick (+12) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+12). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 6 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: Washington at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.750; Connecticut 105.297 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 151 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3); Over

Game 603-604: Atlanta at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 108.712; New York 107.278 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 144 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 151 Dunkel Pick: New York (+3); Under

Game 605-606: Los Angeles at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 114.871; Tulsa 107.086 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8; 155 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6; 159 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-6); Under

Game 607-608: Indiana at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 109.032; Chicago 121.154 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 12; 152 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 145 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Over

Game 609-610: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 110.466; Phoenix 114.982 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 160 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 12; 154 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+12); Over

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1091-821(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner FRI Rockies -115

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Dodgers +115

Rockies -115

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Friday Tampa Bay -115