9-6-13

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The Winners Circle

Friday Football Plays

10* Play Wake Forest +3 over Boston College (TOP NCAA PLAY) 8:00 PM EST

Boston College has lost 9 of the last 12 games coming off a home game and they have also lost 10 of the last 13 games when playing in the 1sthalf of the season. Boston College has lost 7 of the last 8 games coming off a non-conference game and they have lost 14 of the last 19 games when playing with six days or less of rest.

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5* Play Florida International +24 over Central Florida (TOP NCAA PLAY) 8:00 PM EST
5* Play Calgary -3.5 over Edmonton (TOP CANADIAN PLAY) 9:00 PM EST

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TKWins

Sport League Competitor Selection Odds Units Game Date / GameTime
VIP FULL ACCESS	NCAA FOOTBALL - MEN	Central Florida V/s FLORIDA INTL	Central Florida	-24-110	6	06 Sep 2013 / 8:05 pm
VIP FULL ACCESS	NCAA FOOTBALL - MEN	Wake Forest V/s BOSTON COLLEGE	Boston College	-3-115	3	06 Sep 2013 / 8:05 pm

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TheSportsCapper

FRIDAY BASEBALL

100* Play Miami -125 over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)

Jose Fernandez has won 13 of the last 17 night games and he has won 3 of the last 4 games when pitching on a Friday. Jose Fernandez has won 5 consecutive games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 7-0 at home this season with an ERA of 1.29.

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50* Play Pittsburgh +120 over St. Louis (BONUS MLB PLAY)
50* Play Toronto -110 over Minnesota (BONUS MLB PLAY)

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The Winners Circle

FRIDAY BASEBALL PLAYS

10* Play Baltimore -160 over Chicago White Sox MLB TOP PLAY

Chicago has lost 49 of the last 73 road games and they have also lost 16 of the last 21 games when playing on a Friday. Chicago has lost 40 of the last 62 games when playing in the month of September and they have lost 67 of the last 114 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.


5* Play Toronto -110 over Minnesota MLB TOP PLAY
5* Play Miami -125 over Washington MLB TOP PLAY

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Tony Stoffo

Boston College

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Bryan Leonard MLB Money Line Fri, 09/06/13 - 8:15 PM
double-dime bet - 909 PIT (-104) vs 910 STL

AJ Burnett and Joe Kelly face off in a huge series in St. Louis. Burnett has actually pitched better than his results show according to his advanced metrics. It's not a big discrepancy, but Burnett has a 3.08 ERA with a 2.84 FIP and a 2.98 xFIP. Part of the reason for that is because Burnett has been incredible at home and just good on the road. We like him in this spot, though, against the Cardinals who lost three out of four in Cincinnati, in a series that included a marathon 16-inning affair. The Pirates, meanwhile, had a day to catch their breath.

Joe Kelly is due for some regression and this could be the prime spot for it. This is a huge start for the Cardinals, with that series loss to Cincinnati hanging over them. It's a big spot for Kelly, who has just 27 Major League starts to his name. The sabermetric stats tell of a pitcher in line for a major drop-off. Taking into account that Kelly has made 21 relief appearances to go with his 11 starts, his ERA of 2.82 is overshadowed by his 4.18 FIP and 4.22 xFIP. His SIERA sits at 4.31. Kelly has an average strikeout rate, so he pitches to contact and relies on some luck. As a starter, Kelly has gotten really lucky, posting just a 2.11 ERA, despite a 36/26 K/BB ratio. His BABIP against as a starter is .265, which is not going to continue.

We expect a solid outing from Burnett and there are a lot of concerns with Kelly and the Cardinals, who have to pick themselves up off the deck and hope that Kelly's rabbit's foot stays lodged somewhere on his body for at least one more start.

PLAY: PITTSBURGH

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Bob Balfe

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -105
(Kelly/Burnett)

The Cardinals have the better pitcher in this matchup although both are excellent this year. Simply put with all being about equal down the stretch I am going to go with the more dominate team with bigger named players at home. This is basically a playoff game. Take the Cardinals.

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Harry Bondi

College Football Free Pick

BOSTON COLLEGE (-3) over Wake Forest
8:00 p.m. ET

Two even squads face off in Chestnut Hill tonight but we will lean to the home team who knows that this is one of the few winnable games on their schedule. BC faces USC & Florida State the next two weeks and are going to get their asses kicked bu those two powerhouse programs so we look for the Eagles to play with a sense of urgency that was missing in their week 1 win over Villanova. Wake beat up on one of the weakest programs in the country last week, Presbetarian, but Wake senior quarterback Tanner Price was only 14 of 25. Price is a 3 year starter who has not improved over his career. Boston college also has a 3 year starting quarterback in Chase Rettig who has struggled in the past but who we think will be much improved this year. Eagles need it and get it versus the Deamon Deacons tonight.

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EAGLE EYE----RANDY ROSE
Your Pick: Cleveland Indians (-157)
Your Pick: Central Florida -24.5 (-110)
Your Pick: Cincinnati Reds (-127)

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Chicago Syndicate

Top Plays

Mets/Indians Over 8
Rays
Yankees/Red Sox Under 9
Marlins
Braves/Phillies Over 7

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LA Syndicate Top Plays

Dodgers
Rockies/Padres Over 7.5
A's/Astros Under 7.5
Rays

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Goodfella

ml 906 Mia (-130) 5dimes vs 905 WAS
Analysis:
"MLB Dominator GOW" 3* on MIAMI MARLINS

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SB Professor MLB Late Picks 9/6

904. Philadelphia Phillies +103
908. Cincinnati Reds -119
914. San Francisco Giants +114
920. Kansas City Royals +101
928. Seattle Mariners +110

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TMC Sports Advisors

Yankees +100

Oakland -1.5 -135

Boston/Yankees Under 9

Marlins Miami -130

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Pick Addict
Wake Forest +2.5 (Kickoff at 8:00pm EST)