9-7-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sweetjones55

CFB
Texas -6.5
Cincinnati -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Houston (-3) over TEMPLE
Cincinnati (-7.5) over ILLINOIS
BALL STATE (-7.5) over Army

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Paramo

MLB
Colorado - San Diego - OVER 7 (-110)

CFB
San Jose St. +26.5 (-110)
Arkansas St. +12.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pablosky

Baltimore RL-1.5 (+110)

Baylor -27 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ats insiders club

BYU +7
UTEP -6.5
Ohio -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat Jack Sports

Byu
Kentucky
Greenbay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

South Florida

Western Kentucky

Air Force

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine

UTEP Over
Ball St Over
Tennessee Over
Missouri Under
Georgia Over
Texas Under
LSU Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Tigers -140

100* Miami +3.5

50* North Carolina -18.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Edwards

Florida
W Kentucky
Duke
S Carolina
Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9xSports

(College Football) 12:30PM NORTH CAROLINA-17.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Coleman

4* Indiana
4* UNLV
3* Bowling Green
3* W.kentucky

3* Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers NCAAF
Today's Free Picks for Sep 07, 2013





North Texas @ OHIO
North Texas +4 -106 over OHIO

7:00 PM EST. Ohio was on track to be a BCS buster in 2012 after it won its first seven games with impressive road victories at Penn State and Marshall highlighting the early season run. Coach Frank Solich's squad lost steam down the stretch, but it coasted to a 45-14 win over ULM in the Independence Bowl to arrive at a 9-4 overall record. Including bowl games, the Bobcats have won nine of their last 11 non-conference contests and when you combine that with this unfamiliar foe, it has the ‘Cats overvalued. The Bobcats were a big pooch last week to Louisville and they obliged by getting pounded by 42 points while scoring just seven in a 49-7 defeat. That’s the problem with Ohio. The Bobcats defense got shredded more than once last season and they return just two starters from that group. Ohio’s defense could not get off the field last week and this week figures to be almost as difficult.
North Texas is coming off an easy 40-6 win over a young Idaho group. The Mean Green racked up 591 yards of total offense in a game that was projected to be much closer. North Texas has its best team since the Mean Green went to four straight New Orleans Bowls from 2001 to 2004. This is one of the most experienced squads in the nation, and it has an explosive star in wide receiver/returner Brelan Chancellor. This a rather young Ohio team that is still searching for its defensive identity. The Bobcats will mount some offense this week, but North Texas throws and catches well enough to exploit some of the same deficiencies Louisville exposed. Throw in a margin and this confident visitor has plenty to get the cover. Upset possibility.


Our Pick
#317 North Texas +4 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)



Minnesota @ NEW MEXICO ST
NEW MEXICO ST +15 -106 over Minnesota

8:00 PM EST. The New Mexico State Aggies have little appeal. They have not been to a bowl game since 1960 (Sun Bowl), the longest bowl drought of any team currently in the FBS. In the season opener, the Aggies lost 56-7 to Texas and when you combine that with the Aggies 1-11 record last year and putrid past, you get a team that is getting extra points every single week. That’s not to say that NMSU should be bet every week but at home this week against an overvalued Minnesota squad, you can be damn sure we’re going to bet it. Texas is a powerhouse that could be playing for a National Championship in January and while the Longhorns crushed the Aggies, that game was 14-7 at the half and New Mexico State had a 7-0 lead with just two minutes to go in the first half. That’s something to build off of. The final score was much uglier than the product on the field. New Mexico has a new coach in Doug Martin. He’s an offensive minded coach who has a new starting QB in Andrew McDonald. A former standout at Santa Ana College, McDonald threw for 4,229 yards and 50 TDs in the two seasons prior to his arrival in Las Cruces. The Aggies jumped right into the fire in Week 1 by playing a juggernaut Longhorns squad but take a huge step down in this one and we’re suggesting they’re going to keep it close.
The Golden Gophers are a known program that is coming off a seemingly easy 53-21 victory over UNLV. Trust us when we tell you that the Gophers will not come close to scoring 53 points again this season. That win over UNLV is not only grossly misleading but it has influence on this number. At home against the Rebels last week, the Gophers could not move forward. They had just 320 yards of offense the entire game and had 24 less offensive snaps than the Rebels. Minnesota’s 32 point margin of victory last week makes no sense whatsoever and falls into the category of peculiar to say the least. Minnesota’s passing game is virtually non-existent, which means a heavy dose of running the ball. Even the defense, which was supposed to be the Gophers strong suit, looked out of sorts last week. You can never put too much emphasis on one game but Minnesota is simply not that good and could be in danger of taking the Aggies very lightly here. Even at their best, the Gophers might have trouble covering this number. The most overvalued team in college football is now spotting huge points to a team nobody wants to bet on. That’s an overlay.


Our Pick
#370 NEW MEXICO ST +15 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)



Arizona @ UNLV
UNLV +10½ -102 over Arizona

10:30 PM EST. One of last week’s most misleading scores was UNLV’s 51-23 defeat at Minnesota. UNLV held the edge over the Gophers in time of possession, first downs and total net yards but a series of bizarre plays, some turnovers and some calls that went against them did the Rebels in. That loss and score last week has them grossly undervalued here in a game they can win outright. The Rebels have a good balance of offense and defense and are very capable of pulling off this upset. This is the best UNLV squad since 2000 but not many are aware of just how competitive they are going to be. We'll be backing Bobby Hauck's fourth UNLV team with more enthusiasm later in the season against its peers, but a double-digit price at home is worth a look for a team with wide road performance splits.
Rich Rodriguez and defensive lieutenant Jeff Casteel need another year or three before Arizona will really challenge in the Pac-12. The Wildcats ran only 47 plays last week versus Northern Arizona, not because of offensive inefficiency but because the defense couldn't get off the field as the underdog played ball-control. Ka'Deem Carey's return helps, but UNLV will present a much stiffer challenge in both trenches and is capable of running downhill on Arizona. Minnesota put three non-offensive touchdowns on the Rebels last week and didn't break them until the last one. UNLV held up well man for man, though, and has the personnel and the mental toughness this year to make a game of it at home with a middling Pac-12 squad like the Wildcats. If you bet parlays, throw the Rebels in one of them on the money line. We’re calling the upset here but will gladly accept the generous spot.


Our Pick
UNLV +10½ -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)



Florida @ MIAMI
MIAMI +133 over Florida

12:00 PM EST. The Gators are ranked 12th in the country and when you wager on ranked versus unranked, you’re almost always going to pay a premium to do so and that’s something we can’t endorse. Besides, we’re not close to being convinced that the Gators are the 12th best team in the land. They defeated the Toledo Rockets last week 24-6 but pretty it was not. The Gators defense provided the offense with great field position all game long and it was painful to watch the offense do little with it. The Gators are not sporting good team health and continuity right now and Miami will get more from the personnel surrounding its quarterback.
We'll caution against over-investment this year in a Miami team that isn’t the most creative bunch, but the Hurricanes are good enough for us to continue fading an overvalued Florida outfit this week. Florida’s defense is most likely better than the ‘Canes but that’s not enough to warrant spotting road points. The ‘Canes have the program's best mix of talent, experience and opportunity of the Al Golden era. This is a focused Miami group that has had all of its post-season sanctions removed. They have their eye on more than a good season and this week's visit from the Gators is low-hanging fruit as far as statement games go. Miami outright.


Our Pick
#306 MIAMI +133 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.66)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso
100 unit Texas El Paso
100 unit Ball State
50 unit Oregon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HM Sports Handicapping

8 units Oregon -23.5
8 units Cincinatti -7.5
7 units WKY +13
7 units Miami Ohio +17
7 units Utah State -9.5
5 units Memphis +4
5 units Navy +13
5 units K State -10.5
4 units Temple +3