9-8-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SamsWins

NFL
(461) Kansas City -4 @ (462) Jacksonville 1pm et
The Chiefs have a proven veteran quarterback, a solid offensive line, some nice skill players, and a defense stacked with top draft picks and Pro Bowlers. The Jaguars have Blaine Gabbert. And not only do they have Blaine Gabbert, but they have a Gabbert that has a broken thumb (on his throwing hand) and hasn't played in a couple weeks. Gabbert is terrible when he's 100 percent so how is he expected to perform being less than 100%? I will take the Chiefs skill players over the Jags skill players. And I will lay these points in a game that I see Kansas City winning by double-digits.
5* Kansas City -4 gets the Money.

(465) Miami @ (466) Cleveland-1 1pm et
Miami did not impress me at all this preseason and I an absolutely not on the bandwagon. I felt the Dolphins massively overachieved going 7-9 last season. The Dolphins got rid of their two best offensive players, Reggie Bush and Jake Long, and by getting rid of their best cornerback. I just don't know that Miami is a better team this season. But I am sure that Cleveland is a better team. The Browns are excited to start a season with Norv Turner at the offensive helm as he will try to open up the field a bit more. This in turn should make RB Trent Richardson an even better running back, and someone the Dolphins will struggle to contain. Cleveland finally wins a home opener!
5* Cleveland -1 is the play!

(471) Oakland @ (472) Indianapolis -9.5 1pm et
The Colt's are a much better team than the Oakland Raiders, a team that cannot get out of its own way at the moment. Oakland has decided to start Terrelle Pryor at quarterback and he might be just the guy that they have been looking for but he needs experience . I do not see him being very successful in his first start on the road in the dome. The Raiders are 2-8 in last 10 games on field turf. The Colt's had been last season a cover machine at home and I really do not see the Raiders getting in their way in this game. With no true play makers with the exception of the semi healthy Darren McFadden and no foundation in a quarterback, defense or offensive line I see the Raiders just getting rolled over in Indianapolis this weekend. The Colts have established a better line this year to protect 2nd year Quarterback Andrew Luck.
5* Colt's -9.5 is the pick!

(477) NYGiants @ (478) Dallas -3.5 8:30pm et
The Cowboys are going back to the 4-3 defense that they used to play under Landry and Johnson and Switzer. The Cowboys also have some of the best offensive players in the league. The Giants are banged up. Both of their receivers missed time in the preseason and running back Andre Brown broke his leg. The offensive line has also had some injuries. Dallas lost 4 straight at home to the Giants and I see them finally winning and snap the streak to their division foe. I have been to a few casinos on the strip and locally in Henderson and all have the line at -3.5. I would love the -3 but may not come until game day.
5* Dallas -3.5 or -3 is a safe wager.

(459) Tampa Bay @ (460) NYJets 40.5 1pm et
The New York Jets had its fair share of problems scoring last season with an average of 17.6 points a game, but this situation may have actually gotten worse this offseason and training camp with a complete fiasco of decision-making at the quarterback position. The bottom line is that a player that struggled against the better teams in the Big 12 last season will be leading the Jets’ offense on opening day as Geno Smith is getting the starting nod at quarterback. The total has stayed under in eight of Tampa Bay’s last 10 season openers and in four of New York’s last five games overall. I remember about 6 years ago openers in the NFL, the smart money always was on the under for the defense was stronger than offenses. It took teams a couple of games for QB's to get in rhythm with the offense. It certainly has not been that way now for a number of years now. We saw that last night up in Denver and we all were on the Over in a no brainer. However, the Jets and Tampa will not be a score fest thats for sure. Both will have better defenses on the field to keep the number under 40.5.
5* Under 40.5 is the total play for this weekend!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Detroit Tigers -124 over KC Royals
(System Record: 74-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 74-82-2

Football Crusher
Chicago Bears -145 over Cincinnati Bengals
(System Record: 10-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 10-7

Soccer Crusher
Corinthians + Nautico UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 451-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 451-391-59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence 4 * Opening Week Play of the Year

Saints -3 over the Falcons


Perfect System Plays -

Panthers + 3.5 over Seahawks

Eagles +3.5 over Redskins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our NFC South Game of the Month is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Atlanta. After Sean Payton's transgressions in "Bountygate," which led to his suspension last season, it would have been understandable if Tom Benson, the Saints' owner, would have fired him. After all, a majority of owners would have done just that. But Benson didn't, and most likely because he knew he wouldn't find a coach as good. Thus, it was not surprising to see the Saints fall off last season, and finish 7-9 (after going 13-3 in the previous regular season). But even in last year's debacle of a season, New Orleans still found a way to defeat Atlanta in the Superdome, 31-27, as a 1.5-point underdog. And the Falcons were 8-0 at that time! The Falcons finished 13-3, but were a phony team, in my opinion. They barely out-gained their opponents (369 yards to 365 yards), and even though they were the NFC's #1 seed, they were a 3.5-point home underdog to the 49ers in the Conference Championship game. The bottom line is they weren't as good as their record. I look for the Falcons to fall back a bit this season, and for New Orleans to rebound off their losing season, now that Payton will be once again calling the plays. And don't forget, in 2011, the Saints were 9-0 at home in the regular season and playoffs, and won by an average of 22.5 points per game. They even blasted an Atlanta team that year by 29 points, 45-16, at home, and upset the Falcons on the road, as well. For technical support, consider that, since 1980, in Week 1, teams favored at home by 2 or more points are a super 72% ATS if they had a losing record the previous year, and their opponent did not. Lay the points with New Orleans. Good luck, as always..
.Big Al McMordie

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-0, 2.41 in his last six starts.
-- Hamels is 2-0, 1.90 in his last seven starts.
-- Morton is 3-0, 1.69 in his last three starts. Wacha is 1-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 1.71 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 2-0, 3.63 in his last three starts.
-- Bailey is 5-0, 2.59 in his last seven starts. Kershaw is 4-1, 2.34 in his last five starts.

-- Salazar is 0-1, 1.76 in his last three starts.

-- Lester is 3-1, 1.57 in his last four starts.
-- Norris is 1-0, 1.46 in his last couple starts.
-- Chen is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Rogers is 1-0, 2.60 in his last three starts.
-- Vargas is 2-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Moore is 7-0, 2.24 in his last eight starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maholm is 1-1, 4.96 in three starts since coming off the DL.
-- Turner is 0-4, 4.80 in his last nine starts.
-- Baker (elbow) is making first start since 8/8/11; he is 63-48, 4.15 in 159 MLB starts, all with Minnesota.
-- Bettis is 0-3, 7.01 in seven starts this season.
-- Bumgarner is 0-3, 4.58 in his last six starts. Miley is 0-2, 4.85 in his last five.

-- Matsuzaka is 0-3, 10.95 in three starts this season.

-- Kuroda is 0-3, 9.27 in his last four starts.
-- Rienzo is 1-1, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- Fister is 2-2, 4.40 in his last five starts.
-- Albers is 0-2, 7.59 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 0-3, 8.10 in his last four starts. Clemens is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts this season.
-- Tepesch is 1-2, 7.71 in his last six starts, last of which was July 5.
-- Ramirez has a 6.85 RA in his four home starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Strasburg 5-27 (1 of last 9); Turner 5-17 (4 of last 6)
-- Maholm 6-23 (0 of last 4); Hamels 5-29 (1 of last 7)
-- Morton 2-15 (0 of last 7); Wacha 1-5
-- Gallardo 6-27; Baker 0-0
-- Miley 10-28 (4 of last 5); Bumgarner 3-28 (0 of last 8)
-- Bettis 5-7; Kennedy 9-27 (0 of last 6 with SD)
-- Kershaw 3-29 (1 of last 9); Bailey 3-28 (0 of last 10)

-- Matsuzaka 2-3; Salazar 2-6

-- Rienzo 0-7; Norris 10-28
-- Fister 6-28 (1 of last 10); Chen 2-10
-- Rogers 5-16; Albers 2-6
-- Tepesch 3-17 (1 of last 10); Vargas 2-19
-- Clemens 0-2; Colon 6-26
-- Moore 7-22 (1 of last 8); Ramirez 5-9
-- Lester 8-29 (0 of last 5); Kuroda 8-28

Totals
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Over is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Washington games.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals' last eight games.
-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over the total. Six of last seven Padre games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona games stayed under the total.

-- Five of six Salazar starts stayed under the total.

-- Seven of last eight Bronx games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Norris starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Kansas City games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Angel games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Washington eight of its last eleven games on foreign soil. Marlins won four of their last six games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last eight games. Cincinnati won five of last six.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games. Giants are 6-1 in game after their last seven losses.

-- Indians won five of their last six games.

-- Royals won nine of last twelve games.
-- Red Sox won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Baltimore won six of its last seven home games.
-- Blue Jays won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- A's won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost their last three games, scoring eight runs.
-- Cubs are 7-19 in last 26 home games. Brewers lost six of last eight games.
-- Pirates are 11-16 in their last 27 games.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last eleven road games.

-- Mets lost five of their last six games.

-- Bronx lost last three games, allowing 34 runs.
-- White Sox lost their last nine games.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six games.
-- Twins lost their last three games, allowing 23 runs.
-- Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 13 games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Houston lost nine of its last thirteen games.

Umpires
-- Mil-Chi-- Home team won eight of last ten Foster games.
-- LA-Cin-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Wolf games.
-- Atl-Phil-- Six of last seven Bellino games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Underdogs won last four Cederstrom games; 11 of his last 16 games went over the total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Gonzalez games.
-- Col-SD-- Visiting team won five of last six Tichenor games.
-- Az-SF-- Six of last eight Kulpa games stayed under, with underdogs 4-0 in his last four games behind the plate.

-- NY-Cle-- Underdogs won six of last eight Emmel games; over is 3-1-1 in his last five games.

-- Bos-NY-- Road teams are 13-8 in last 21 Fletcher games.
-- Hst-A's-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Wendelstedt games.
-- Chi-Balt-- Home side won five of last six Reynolds games.
-- Det-KC-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine TBarrett games.
-- Tor-Min-- Five of last seven Reyburn games went over total.
-- Tex-LA-- Underdogs won six of last eight Culbreth games; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven games.
-- TB-Sea-- Under is 13-5-1 in last nineteen Schrieber games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate

MLB Top Plays

NL Game of the Year - Dodgers

Pirates/Cardinals Over 8
Brewers
Tigers
Twins
Mets/Indians Over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate

Top MLB Plays

Dodgers
Rangers/Angels Over 9
Rays
Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Bears -3
Packers +4.5
Cowboys -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1091-823(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sun UNDER 41 Mia/ Browns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Dodgers -140

Bengals +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at Cincinnati

The Reds look to build on their 6-1 record in Homer Bailey's last 7 starts when the total is set at 7 to 8 1/2 runs. Cincinnati is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 8 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Washington at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 16.274; Miami (Turner) 14.748 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Under

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.630; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.543 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Over

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 14.633; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.212 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.723; St. Louis (Wacha) 14.523 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Over

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.867; Cubs (Baker) 14.588 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-130); N/A

Game 911-912: Arizona at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.644; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.764 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Bettis) 15.722; San Diego (Kennedy) 14.603 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Rienzo) 15.536; Baltimore (Norris) 16.832 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-200); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-200); Under

Game 917-918: Detroit at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 16.875; Kansas City (Chen) 15.716 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over

Game 919-920: Toronto at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 15.827; Minnesota (Albers) 14.397 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 921-922: Texas at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 14.855; LA Angels (Vargas) 16.372 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Under

Game 923-924: Houston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Clemens) 15.616; Oakland (Colon) 14.521 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-280); 8 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+240); Over

Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 14.178; Seattle (Ramirez) 15.302 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over

Game 927-928: Boston at NY Yankees (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.514; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.660 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-110); Under

Game 929-930: NY Mets at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 14.478; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.362 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-240); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-240); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Sports Wire 5 * Dallas Cowboys

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gary Meyers
Upset Special

Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg
Tb
no
car
sf

nyg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi's Bulletin

NFL BEST BETS

ARIZONA (+5) over St. Louis 4:25 P.M. EST
The Cardinals were the surprise of the early season in 2012, sprinting out to a 4-0 record, including a shocking win at New England. But things went bad in a hurry as the Cards dropped 11 of their final 12 games, missing the playoffs for a third-consecutive year and costing Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt his job. With expectations low in 2013, Arizona will be improved this season and it starts with a defense that ranked in the Top-10 of the NFL last year. The offense was dismal, but the front office upgraded the offensive line and after using a horrid combination of four players at QB last year, Carson Palmer is entrenched as this year’s starter. New Head Coach Bruce Arians comes over from the Colts and is deadset on utilizing All-World WR Larry Fitzgerald like he used Reggie Wayne in Indianapolis. With a much-improved offense and an underrated defense, we’ll gladly grab the points here against a St. Louis team that improved to 7-8-1 last year after a two-win season in 2012, but four of those wins were by six points or less. The Rams have only been a favorite six times since December of 2010 and they are 0-6 ATS in those games.
Take the points. 23-17

CAROLINA (+3) over Seattle
The Seahawks and their fans have been saying “Super Bowl or Bust” all preseason. Those are lofty expectations for a franchise that’s missed the playoffs three out of the last five years. Add in the fact that they have a huge Sunday Night ESPN home opener vs. San Francisco on deck and you can see why this is a perfect spot to be on the Panthers, who went 6-1 in their final seven games last year.
Upset! 27-20

UNDER 46.5 POINTS - Vikings at Lions
In our NFL Regular Season Over/UnderWin Total Best Bet Report, we went UNDER 7.5 WINS on the Vikings. The offense is a onetrick pony and even though the pony (Adrian Peterson) is a thoroughbred, the Purple aren’t going to score many points and will be an “UNDER” team all season. Let’s jump on that trend in Week 1 before the oddsmaker catches up.
UNDER