9-10-13

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Hondo

pit (mlb)
oak (mlb)

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NFL line watch: Time to venture on Vikings is now
By ART ARONSON

Each week during the pro football season, Covers Expert Art Aronson looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Minnesota Vikings (+7) at Chicago Bears

If you're a Minnesota fan, you may want to jump on the seven points, which is still currently available at a few books. We can already see this line starting to drop across the board.

Last year the Vikings and Bears split, with each team winning on home turf. The Vikes held a 14-13 lead at half time over the Lions in Week 1, but couldn’t match pace in the second half, succumbing 34-24 in the end. Chicago would earn a 24-21 victory over the visiting Bengals last week, making Marc Trestman a winner in his coaching debut.

Simply put, the Vikings are better than what we saw in Week 1, while we should be cautious in "crowning" the Bears quite yet.

Chicago QB Jay Cutler had just 242 yards behind a line with four new starters. Stupid penalties and turnovers would kill the Bengals, as they all but handed the game to the Bears (kicker Robbie Gould also had to nail a franchise record 58-yard FG).

Chicago made big changes on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason (Brian Urlacher is now in the reporting booth) and as the week goes on and the public remembers this, expect this line to continue to drop.

Spread to wait on

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals (Pick)

If you're a Cardinals backer, you may want to wait a few days before jumping on board. Arizona actually opened as 1-point favorite, but the public has quickly jumped on the "sexier" team and we're now starting to see the line swing dramatically the other way.

The Cardinals would lose a heart-breaking 27-24 game to the Rams in Week 1 as St. Louis would hit the go-ahead FG in the closing seconds. The offense had many questions coming into the season, but overall veteran Carson Palmer looked solid, hitting WR Larry Fitzgerald for two TD strikes. Arizona also got a defensive score.

Can the Lions remain focused after their big opening win over division rival Minnesota? If history is any precedence, then the answer is a resounding no.

Detroit was just 2-6 SU away from home last year, with victories over only the lowly Jaguars and the discombobulated Eagles (3-5 ATS). Last week, it benefited greatly from three INTs and two fumble recoveries. The Lions now face an experienced QB in Palmer, who in the end was 26 of 40 for 327 yards last week.

And remember, when Detroit came to Arizona last season it was destroyed 38-10.

Total to watch

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (45)

Division rivalries are always the most heated and that will definitely be the case between these two powerhouses.

It was only two years ago that the NFC West was considered the laughing stock of the league. After Week 1 this season, the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks are all 1-0.

These teams played twice last year. San Francisco won 13-6 at home on October 18, before Seattle destroyed the 49ers, 42-13, late in the season in front of the home town crowd.

Seattle was punched in the mouth last week, but regained its composure in the later rounds to secure a 12-7 win over the Panthers. The 49ers won a shootout over the visiting Packers 34-28.

This total is already dropping, though, as the public expects an all out defensive battle on the national stage Sunday night. If you're playing the Under, you may want to jump on this one now.

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Bookieshunter

3* Oak

2* Tex
2* U9 Nyy/Bal

1* U7 Col/SF

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TMC Sports Advisors

A's -1.5 runs
Under Yankees
Reds
Braves

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Sports Junkie

MLB: Arizona vs Dodgers (10:10 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Arizona ML +105 (Bovada) vs Dodgers

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 9/10
Texas Rangers -130 over the Pittsburgh Pirates

(System Record: 136-5, Won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 136-119

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Orioles on Monday and likes the Rays on Tuesday.

The deficit is 1273 sirignanos.

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TKWINS

6 Units Hou Astros J Lyles -r V/s SEA MARINERS J SAUNDERS-L un8 (+105)

3 Units Ari D`backs T Cahill -r V/s LA DODGERS E VOLQUEZ -R un8 (-125)

3 Units Col Rockies De La Rosa-l V/s SFO GIANTS VOGELSONG -R un7(-110)

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SB Professor MLB Picks 9/10

906. New York Mets +124
914. San Francisco Giants -110
922. Tampa Bay Rays -145
930. Texas Rangers -124

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Marco D'Angelo MLB Money Line Tue, 09/10/13 - 7:10 PM
dime bet - 922 TAM (-140) vs 921 BOS

PLAY: TAMPA BAY
RATING: SINGLE DIME PLAY

Coming off the big series with the Yankees and having Bucholz making first start in over 3 months puts me on Tampa. Bucholz will be on a strict pitch count and was not impressive in his rehab start. Have to back David Price and the Rays who have been horrible when traveling to the West Coast but are back at home and had yesterday off to regroup. Tampa Bay wins this 5-3.

TAKE TAMPA BAY

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ANDRE GOMES

Two Plays for today's International Soccer Games!!

Soccer World Cup Qualifying - Czech Republic @ Italy
Italy could qualify for the World Cup tonight if they win this match. They will also play their first match at the new Juventus Stadium in Turin. Italy will be trying to be the first European team to qualify for the 2014 World Cup and they will debut the new Juventus stadium, so the environment for tonight's game will be huge. Italy will see Mario Balotelli coming back to the lineup tonight, after being suspended for the team's last match against Bulgaria.

The Italian squad will face a Czech Republic team that is in complete decline on this stage of the qualifying round, especially after a shocking home loss against Armenia last Friday. Prior to that, they had tied 1-1 against Hungary in a friendly game and they had also tied at home against Italy, in a game where Mario Balotelli was sent off at the 70th minute. The difference of level between these two teams is huge right now and with Italy having such a great spot helping them as well, I'll be taking the Italian squad in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Italy ML @ -143 / 1.70

Soccer International Friendly - Brazil vs Portugal (Played in the United States)

DOUBLE DIME PLAY
There is a huge difference of quality between these two teams, even though the FIFA Rankings currently show that Portugal is #7 and Brazil is #9. Tonight's game should be an easy one for Brazil, considering Portugal's terrible spot. Brazil is coming from a friendly home game last weekend, where they dominated Australia by 6-0, with six substitutions throughout the match. On the other side, Portugal had a brutal official game for the World Cup qualifying at Northern Ireland, where on a match played under terrible weather (lots of rain), Portugal was losing the match at one point and they were also down to 10 men vs 11 men for 20 minutes. To make things worse for them, Portugal had to travel to the US, while Brazil had a shorter trip and won't be affected by the timezone changes.

Portugal's superstar Cristiano Ronaldo won't play tonight and this is a huge blow for the Portuguese team. Portugal is used to be a squad with some top class players like Cristiano Ronaldo, Pepe, Nani, Joao Moutinho and Fabio Coentrao plus a mixture of players that are far from being elite contributors. The problem is that not only Ronaldo is out for tonight, as Joao Moutinho, Nani and Fabio Coentrao are completely out of shape for several reasons. Portugal's head coach Paulo Bento will have to make some changes in the lineup in comparison to the team that started against Northern Ireland, but Portugal lacks the depth to be competitive against a top team like Brazil in such conditions.

As Brazil will host the World Cup, they are already qualified and so, they are playing several Friendly games to prepare for the competition. Therefore, motivation lacks in the Brazilian squad at times. They even lost against Switzerland in August, but that won't certainly happen tonight against a natural rival like Portugal. Brazil's head coach Luiz Felipe Scolari is a former coach of Portugal and so, the Brazilian players will be fired up tonight.

Brazil is likely to start the following lineup tonight: Julio César; Maicon, Thiago Silva, David Luiz and Maxwell; Luis Gustavo, Paulinho and Ramires; Oscar, Neymar and Jô. This is basically Brazil's A team and therefore, with them being focused against a Portuguese team missing their best player and with other important players being out of form, I expect Brazil to easily beat Portugal tonight, who will be on a complete letdown spot tonight, after a very tough and important win last Friday at Northern Ireland. I'm taking Brazil tonight on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Brazil (-0.75) @ -126 / 1.79

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Kelso
25 atl

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Goodfella

917 KAN / 918 CLE OVER 8.5 bodog
Analysis:
"MLB Total of the Week" 2* on ROYALS/INDIANS OVER 8.5
Action

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SEAN MICHAELS

50 dime Red Sox

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CHRIS JORDAN

100 Giants