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OC Dooley:“1 UNIT” INJURY INTANGIBLE TOTAL (Brewers at Cardinals UNDER 8 in an 8:15 eastern start-------Estrada versus Lynn): Late word that due to personal issues St. Louis All-Star catcher Yadier Molina is NOT in tonight’s starting lineup. That is big news since one of the National League leaders in batting average will not be facing Milwaukee’s Marco Estrada. To put this absence in proper perspective Molina is 12-for-21 at the plate recent when up against Estrada who has had great success on the road (7-0) this season when cast as an underdog. Another key to this selection surrounds the MANAGER of St. Louis who has claimed that tonight’s starting pitcher is NOT suffering from fatigue and still has a solid array of pitches. It has been more than one solid month since Lance Lynn’s last victory for the Cardinals and in that six-start span his ERA (6.88) has been deplorable. But according to his manager there were POSITIVE signs in the most recent mound assignment which means that Lynn is not being yanked from the rotation. In the past two years when facing an opponent with a losing record in front of the HOME fans Lynn has gone an amazing “7-0” UNDER the total
Marlins/Braves under 6.5(-125) 12.5u to win 10u (Fernandez/Minor)
Fernandez and that high 90's fastball which has him at an era less than 2 at home this year in 90+ip (Whip also less than 1). I get that vs Minor and his solid left arm vs the Marlins bats whom are batting .231 as a team vs lefties this year. Marlins last 6 games vs left handed starting pitching has seen them score an average of 3 runs per game. That's great information considering Jose Fernandez has held his opponents to 2 runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts. Also the under is 10-4 in Jose Fernandez's last 14 starts. Fernandez's last 6 starts have seen an average of just 5.16rpg scored combined. So this game total may be super low but my confidence of it staying under is still pretty high...
Astros(+138) 10u to win 13.8u (Peacock/Maurer)
There is some potential here with Brad Peacock IMO as his last 2 road starts seen just 2er's in 13.1 innings with 14k's & only 12 hits & walks combined. Meanwhile this will be Brandon Maurer's 1st start since 5/28 as the Mariners demoted him to the bullpen after some very shaky pitching. Maurer's last 3 relief appearances seen him pitch 7.1 innings while allowing 8er's on 14 hits as KC, Tex & LAA beat him up pretty good. The Mariners have been placed as the solid favorite in this game and I couldn't disagree anymore. Hence my wager on the lowly Astros here...
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