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Ats insiders club
Army +2.5
Ball St. -9.5
Massachusetts +30
Army +2.5
Ball St. -9.5
Massachusetts +30
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Anthony redd
75 dime hawaiiComment
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Trace adams
2000 lock ul monroeComment
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Northcoast totals
3'* under 67 Wyoming
3'* under 50' La tech
3* over 58 north carolina
3* under 57 hawaiiComment
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Brad wilton
50 dime mich stComment
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Bryan rosica
80 Dime Winner
LSUComment
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Jeff benton
50 dime marylandComment
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Al demarco
5 DIME DOUBLE-DIGIT DESTROYER
baylorComment
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Brian Edwards
Maryland
Stanford
Wisconsin over
LSUComment
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Steve budin
100 dime penn stComment
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JMR Consultants
Southern Methodist +28
North Texas +33
Connecticut +21
Florida Gators UNDER 45-
Purdue Boilermakers UNDER 48-Comment
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Gold Medal Club Selections 21/09/2013
CFB:
#315 Tennessee +16
#329 Marshall +10.5
#375 Tulane +17
25* #368 Stanford -6.5
#353 Rice/Houston OVER 65
#325 Ball State/Michigan OVER 57Comment
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Wunderdog Sports
Each pick is rated from 0.5 to 2.5 units (read about units). Risk 1% of your total bankroll per unit and never risk more than a few percent of your bankroll on any pick.
Game: Clemson at N C State (Thursday 9/19 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on N C State +14.5 (-110) at bovada (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
Clemson has eyes on a BCS National Championship appearance, and they cleared their first hurdle in week one when they took down a strong Georgia team 38-35. That game was at home. And, they were out-gained. But, thanks to a +1 turnover advantage, they escaped. The Tigers have two big hurdles left with Florida State and South Carolina, providing they don't get tripped up elsewhere. No one can question the offense, but the defense allowed 411 yards per game a year ago, ranked #76. Georgia put up 545 yards against them at home, so it looks to still be an issue. Now they take to the road laying two touchdowns. NC State is also 2-0, but have yet to be tested. The Wolfpack have been one of the best teams as a home dog the last few seasons, and held their own on the road vs. Clemson a year ago, losing by 14, getting the cover. They beat Clemson here two years ago as a +7.5 dog by 24, and beat Florida State here outright as a +17 point d og. NC State is 7-1 ATS here in their last nine as a home dog, winning five of those straight-up. Not a single team in this role has beaten them by more than 11 points in the time frame. They are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 at home vs. a team with a winning road record, and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after a bye. Take the points and play on NC State.
Game: Marshall at Virginia Tech (Saturday 9/21 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Virginia Tech -7.5 (-110) at BetOnline (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Frank Beamer has certainly had better offenses in his long tenure at Virginia Tech, but his teams have also been more about other parts of the game. They excel on defense and special teams and therefore there are a lot of hidden points in the line that usually go their way. He has himself an impressive defense, one that held Alabama to 206 yards. What was equally impressive was the fact that they held East Carolina, a very good offensive team, to 204 total yards. Over their first three games the Hokies are allowing less than 200 yards per game. Marshall has been impressive offensively, piling up 138 points in three games. But, don't be fooled as they have yet to play even an average defense, and they are not going anywhere in this game. The Herd has met with disaster frequently on the road where they are just 17-35-3 ATS in their last 55 games. The Hokies come in at 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 after scoring less than 20 points in their previous contest. Unde r Beamer, this team is 39-24 ATS as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Take Virginia Tech.
Game: North Carolina at Georgia Tech (Saturday 9/21 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Georgia Tech -6 (-110) at BetOnline (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
When Paul Johnson came over from Navy, everyone scratched their heads, and said the option would not work in a power conference. Well guess what? They were dead wrong. All they have done is pile up 356 yards per game on the ground this season and sophomore QB Vad Lee has led the way. Lee is not only the leading rusher, but he finally gives the Jackets someone that can throw the ball as Tech has almost as many scores through the air (6), as they have on the ground (7). Carolina gave up over 400 yards to Middle Tennessee at home, as well as 26 first downs, and they are going to struggle against this more balanced Tech attack. Tech went for 68 points last year, and piled up nearly 600 yards, and their offense has improved more than the Heels defense has this season. The Heels are just 12-32 ATS in their last 44 after throwing for 280+. Play on Georgia Tech.
Game: North Texas at Georgia (Saturday 9/21 12:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Georgia -33 (-105) at 5dimes (risk 1.50 to win 1.43)
Most don't know that prior to 1979, North Texas was a division-1 program. But, then athletic director Hayden Fry left the athletic program with so much debt, they were demoted to div-1AA. It wasn't until 1995 when a bunch of donors bought big blocks of seats, that allowed them to rejoin the division-1 ranks, now known as the FBS. The program joined the Sun Belt Conference, and proceeded to win four straight titles. Darrell Dickey was the coach then, but following a 5-18 run over two years he was fired in 2006. It may now be a regretful decision, as the Mean Green have since gone 17-55 winning just 27% of their games. How do we take advantage? Since the wins are so elusive then the first place to look is what happens to this team after a win. Do they gain confidence? Or are they so thrilled, that they suffer a letdown in their next game? The answer: Following their last 23 wins, North Texas has gone 0-23 straight up and 4-19 ATS. Despite the average line in these games being +9.1, the Mean Green have been out-scored 835-396 or by 19.1 points per game. So, on average they are not just failing to cover, they are doing so by a whooping 10 ppg. While they have allowed better than 36 ppg, they have only reached that total once themselves (37). This Saturday they will try to break free from the streak, but playing between the hedges in Georgia will make that very tough. This will be their first trip into SEC territory with the streak active, so those Bulldogs may be ready to run them off the field. Under Mark Richt, the Dogs are 36-25 ATS off a home win. Georgia big.
Game: Tulane at Syracuse (Saturday 9/21 12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Syracuse -15.5 (-110) at BetPhoenix (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
The end of the Big East creates a new beginning for the Syracuse Orange. In their first season in the ACC, the Cuse will host Tulane. Syracuse suffered heavy key losses on offense this season. but, they have moved the ball well thus far in 2013 vs. a pair of excellent Big-10 schools in Penn State and upstart Northwestern. Tulane had what looked like an upset win vs. Louisiana Tech last week, but ell short. That loss shows just how far the Techsters have fallen from a year ago. They lost almost everyone from a high-octane offense, as they managed only 27 points vs. Lamar. What might be more telling is the fact that Tulane, who won all three of their games the last two seasons vs. FBS schools, lost already this season at home to South Alabama while surrendering 41 points. The Green Wave is just 6-16 ATS following a spread win in their last 22. The Orange have been 5-0-1 ATS in their last six at home, and have an easy one here. Take the Orange.
Game: Houston vs. Rice (Saturday 9/21 3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Rice +3 (-105) at 5dimes (risk 1.00 to win 0.95)
The Houston Cougars have had a pair a big-time college QBs in recent years that put them on the map (Kevin Kolb, Case Keenum), but they have been fighting their way through since Keenum's departure. This season they have opened the season at 2-0, and look to have something going. But, it's hard to get too excited after a big win vs. Southern in their opener, and Temple looked like a pretty decent win until last week when the Owls fell to FBS Fordham at home 30-29. Rice not only held their own vs. Texas A&M, they actually out-gained the Aggies by producing over 500 total yards in the game. The Owls followed with another win over a BCS Conference team in beating Kansas by 9 at home. The Owls have something going, and won their last five a year ago, including a surprise Bowl bid as they cruised past Air Force 33-14. This is a team that hasn't competed for a while, but they have a lot of quality athletes and are experienced and confident right now. Th e Owls are still under the radar and are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. a winning team. They are also a 13-2 ATS under head coach David Bailiff in close games with a line set between -3 and +3. Play this one on the home team and back Rice.
Game: Arkansas at Rutgers (Saturday 9/21 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Game Total UNDER 45 (-110) at Sportsbook.com (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Last week was very telling for Arkansas. They should have destroyed a weak Southern Mississippi team that is winless in 15 straight games. But when Brandon Allen went down with an injury, the Razorbacks threw the ball just six times. Overall they ran the ball 56 times against a defense that is highly suspect and did not do it very well, gaining just 4.6 yards per carry. Allen is out this week, so the Razorbacks' offense that is not that great to begin with is going to be worse. The good news is that their defense has allowed just 38 points in three games and comes in ranked #6 best in the country in the early going. Rutgers had a fluke in their opener that saw them lose 52-51 at Fresno State, but they managed just a total of 66 points vs. Norfolk State and Eastern Michigan combined - a pair of extremely weak defensive teams. Rutgers is always good against the run, and even though Fresno hung a 52 on them, they ran for just 3.5 yards per carry on 23 attempts. The Scarlet Knights are now 21-7 to the UNDER in their last 28 including 7-0 to the UNDER following an ATS loss. The defenses are far superior to the opposing offenses here, so take the UNDER.
Game: Louisiana Monroe at Baylor (Saturday 9/21 4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Baylor -29 (-110) at Bookmaker (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
Before RGIII put the Baylor Bears on the map, they had trouble getting the type of athletes to compete in the rugged Big-12. That has all changed now. Upon his departure, most thought the offense would leave with him but Nick Florence had something to say about that. Last year he led the Bears' offense to more yards and more points per game than RGIII di. That shows the fact that the Bears are now getting better athletes. It is now Bryce Petty's turn and all he has done is throw for an unthinkable 16.3 yards per attempt, as the Bears are running and passing to even greater heights. UL Monroe scored 0 at Oklahoma and just 21 points at Wake Forest. They will be hard pressed to produce enough to even make this remotely close. They had a good team last year and gave Baylor fits at home, but the Bears won't be caught off guard this time, and they have them in their house this time. This one looks like a colossal blowout. The Bears are 20-8 ATS in all games the past three seasons including 13-2 ATS at home and 10-1 ATS at home with a total set at 63 or higher. Under head coach Art Briles, Baylor is 19-8 ATS as a favorite and 11-3 ATS in expected shootouts (games with totals set at 63 or higher). Lay the points with Baylor.
Game: Arizona State at Stanford (Saturday 9/21 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Stanford -5.5 (-110) at Bookmaker (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
There simply is not a lot of high-profile games this week, but this one qualifies as the closest thing. Stanford brings in their top 5 ranking to face Arizona State who comes in at #23. One big difference between these teams is that Sun Devils expended a lot of energy and emotion last week, as they won at home by 2 against Wisconsin on a failed 2-point conversion. Stanford had a much easier game vs. Army that finished looking closer than it was as Army scored with :17 seconds to go to turn 34-13, into a 34-20 final. The biggest problem for Arizona State is going to be stopping the explosive running game of the Cardinal. Last week, Wisconsin went for 7.2 yards per carry against them. Arizona State has struggled for a long time on the road especially vs. good teams as they are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cardinal have been a superb cover team at 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53. Since David Shaw took over here, Stanford is an incredible 17-5 ATS following a win. Go with the home team.
Game: Colorado State at Alabama (Saturday 9/21 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Alabama -39 (-105) at 5dimes (risk 1.00 to win 0.95)
Last week Alabama sought and got revenge in their rematch with Texas A&M- the only team that beat the Tide a year ago. I think most expect Alabama to come out as flat as a pancake vs. a soft opponent in Colorado State. I heard a few interviews with players addressing exactly that issue. The response was this week is our first home game of the year, and it will be exciting, and you can't be flat with 100,000 cheering for you. Nick Saban doesn't let down. Under his guidance Alabama is 31-19 ATS after back-to-back wins and 24-12 ATS after gaining 6.25+ yards per paly last game including 10-2 ATS after gaining 7.25+ ypp. Let's put things in perspective here. The last seven times a team came here as a FBS opponent, but was not a BCS Conference opponent, the Tide has won by a total score of 314-24. That is an average score of 45-3. This may be the most offensive Tide team of all, so 60 points is not out of the question here. And none of those team s in the past scored more than 7 points. Colorado State is just 7-17 ATS on the road in their last 24. This is a ton of points, but it's not going to be enough. Take the Tide.
Game: Hawaii at Nevada (Saturday 9/21 8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Hawaii +10 (-115) at Sportsbook.com (risk 1.50 to win 1.30)
It doesn't usually pay to run the score up against a team that you will see again and again. Last year Nevada went to the Big Island and smacked the Warriors silly to the tune of 69-28. That included 35 second half points. So, this Hawaii club is going to be up for revenge here, and whatever their "A" game is it is likely to come out here. They aren't the first team to have to come into a game off an opponent that rolled it up on them in their last meeting, but we can learn something vital from those that proceeded them. Underdogs that saw their opponent score 69 or more points against them in the previous meeting come roaring back, as they are 60-34-1 ATS since 1980. You know what they say about payback....so play on Hawaii.
Game: Idaho at Washington State (Saturday 9/21 10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Washington State -30.5 (-105) at 5dimes (risk 1.50 to win 1.43)
The Idaho Vandals have made a u-turn from the win column. Since the start of the 2011-12 season, they are 2-24 against FBS teams. If your wondering if Washington State can put enough points up in this game to take out a huge number, consider the fact that their last 12 losses have seen Idaho's opponent score 48.1 points per game. All of their three opponents have topped the 40-point mark this season. Washington State has not had a lot of success, so they may be taking a bigger punch at Idaho here than a team normally would as they have taken enough of their own. The Cougars are an improved team that will play hard here as they have new hope with Mike Leach at the helm - a very high quality coach. The Vandals have been beat up even worse outside of their conference (first year as an independent), as they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12. They are also 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games vs. teams like Washington State that complete 62%+ passing. All Cougs here.Comment
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Sports Boss
San Jose St.Comment
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Goodfella
357 Kansas St. 6.0 (-110) SportsInterAction vs 358 Texas
Analysis: ›
2* on KANSAS ST. +6
Pick Made: Sep 20 2013 1:16PM PST
349 Utah St. 7.0 (-110) bodog vs 350 Southern Cal
Analysis: ›
"PAC-12 GOW" 3* on UTAH ST. +7
Pick Made: Sep 20 2013 1:24PM PST
333 North Carolina / 334 Georgia Tech OVER 50.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: ›
(2*) Two Team CFB 7 pt Teaser (-130)
#333/#334 NORTH CAROLINA/GEORGIA TECH OVER 50.5 to #337 SAN JOSE ST. +11.5
325 Ball St. (-122) BetOnline vs 326 E. Michigan
Analysis: ›
(2*) Two Team CFB $$line Parlay
#325 BALL ST. $$line to #368 STANFORD $$line
Note: IF Ball St $line wins for us, we will have the option to come back and go for the "middle" on Arizona St. this evening.Comment
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