9-23-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Tuesday's American League games:

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins (+105, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies right-hander Roy Halladay defeated the Marlins last week, limiting them to a run on four hits over six innings of a 6-4 triumph.

Hot batting stat: Marlins OF Giancarlo Stanton is 7-for-23 with a pair of homers lifetime versus Halladay.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms, so the roof at Marlins park may be closed. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 24-5-1 in Halladay's last 30 road starts.


Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Braves lefty Mike Minor has a 2.60 ERA and has limited Milwaukee to a .186 batting average in three starts against the Brewers.

Cold batting stat: Atlanta 2B Dan Uggla has just one hit in 11 career at-bats versus Milwaukee starter Marco Estrada.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Brewers are 8-2 in Estrada's previous 10 starts on five days' rest.


New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds (-240, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Johnny Cueto was strong in his return from a lengthy DL stint, tossing five shutout innings in a 6-1 win over Houston.

Hot batting stat: Cincinnati OF Ryan Ludwick is a career .389 hitter with three home runs and nine RBIs in 36 at-bats against Mets starter Aaron Harang.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0-1 in Cueto's last six Monday starts.


Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (+115, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija is 3-3 with a 4.98 ERA and 10 home runs allowed in 12 starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen has zero home runs, zero RBIs and nine strikeouts in 22 career at-bats versus Samardzija.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Chicago is 1-7 in its last eight home games against teams with winning road records.


Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (-165, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Tanner Roark has won all three of his starts as a rookie, allowing just two runs over 19 innings in that span.

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals righty Adam Wainwright is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 22 strikeouts over his past three starts.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under clear skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in the Cardinals' last eight encounters with the National League East.


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (-115, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Brandon McCarthy is 3-1 with a 2.50 ERA and one walk over his previous five starts.

Cold batting stat: Arizona 1B Paul Goldschmidt has just three hits in 15 career at-bats versus Padres left-hander Eric Stults.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in San Diego's last eight home games against teams with losing road records.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 5:33 p.m. ET Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Browns (+6) on Sunday and likes the Rays on Monday.

The deficit is 1473 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | NFL Side - Monday, Sep 23 2013 8:40PM
420 DEN -14.5(-110) SportsInterAction vs 419 OAK triple-dime bet

Analysis:Forget about all that nonsense about taking more than two touchdowns with a division rival. That's old school NFL.

New school NFL is all about passing. The Broncos are the best at it and the Raiders are one of the worst.

Peyton Manning has been unstoppable this season thanks to an upgraded receiving corps. He's thrown nine touchdown passes in two games. Manning's touchdown-to-interception ratio is up to 46-to-13 in 18 regular-season games with Denver.

The Raiders' defense is no match for Manning especially after losing safety Tyvon Branch to an ankle injury last week.

Oakland played hard in getting a cover against Indianapolis in Week 1 and then took care of the worst team in the NFL by far, Jacksonville, last Sunday at home. But now the Raiders are stepping light years up. Denver very well could be the best team in the NFL right now,

Oakland quarterback Terrelle Pryor can't throw down field. He's just dangerous with his feet. Denver won't be fooled by him. The Broncos aren't going to let Pryor run. The Raiders are not build for shootouts, or for coming from behind. So they're going to be in big trouble once they start surrendering touchdowns to Denver's high-powered offensive machine.


Don't look for a Denver letdown either following its impressive road win against the Giants last week. The Broncos hate the Raiders and this is on the Monday night stage.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

MLB
Pirates
Orioles
White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate Top Plays

NFL - Broncos -14 (-125)

MLB
Cardinals/Nationals Under 7
Padres -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Halladay is 1-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
-- Cueto is 3-2, 3.33 in his last five starts.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Morton is 0-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Roark is 3-0, 0.95 in his last three starts. Wainwright is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.

-- Archer is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Richards is 3-0, 2.45 in his last four starts. Milone is 2-0, 3.46 in his last four outings.
-- Ventura allowed one run in 5.2 IP in his major league debut.
-- Quintana is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts. Happ is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Eovaldi is 0-4, 6.75 in his last six starts.
-- Harang is 0-2, 7.56 in his last three starts.
-- Minor is 0-2, 4.85 in his last four starts.
-- Samardzija is 0-1, 7.11 in his last four starts.
-- Stults is 1-3, 6.05 in his last six starts.

-- WChen is 0-1, 7.36 in his last five starts.
-- Holland is 0-3, 9.31 in his last four starts. Lyles is 1-2, 7.06 in his last four.
-- Verlander is 1-4, 4.45 in his last seven starts. Pelfrey is 0-3, 10.80 in his last three starts.
-- Maurer is 0-1, 7.88 in his last couple starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Halladay 7-12 (6 of last 7); Eovaldi 5-16 (3 of last 6)
-- Harang 9-24; Cueto 5-10 (3 of last 4)
-- Estrada 4-19 (1 of last 7); Minor 11-30 (5 of last 11)
-- Morton 2-18; Samardzija 7-31 (0 of last 6)
-- Roark 1-3; Wainwright 10-31 (3 of last 5)
-- McCarthy 7-20; Stults 9-31 (0 of last 5)

-- Chen 5-21; Archer 8-21 (6 of last 9)
-- Lyles 8-24 (3 of last 5); Holland 6-31 (3 of last 5)
-- Verlander 9-32 (0 of last 4); Pelfrey 11-28 (4 of last 8)
-- Milone 8-25; Richards 6-15 (5 of last 5)
-- Ventura 0-1; Maurer 4-12 (1 of last 5)
-- Happ 4-16; Quintana 11-31

Totals
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Philly games.
-- Six of last eight Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Cardinal games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona games went over the total; under is 8-1-1 in last ten San Diego games.


-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Tampa Bay games; seven of last nine Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Oakland games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games went over the total.


Hot teams
-- Mets/Reds both won six of their last eight games.
-- Washington won 13 of its last 15 games. Cardinals won four of their last six.
-- Padres won six of their last nine games.

-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Tigers won six of their last eight games.
-- Royals won four of their last six games.
-- AL West champ A's won ten of their last twelve games. Angels won nine of their last twelve games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost last three games, allowing 19 runs. Marlins lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Brewers lost three of their last four games. Braves are 3-4 in their last seven.
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven games. Cubs lost nine of their last 12.
-- Arizona is 6-9 in its last fifteen road games.

-- Orioles are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.
-- Astros lost their last nine games, outscored 47-14. Rangers lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Twins lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Mariners lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- White Sox lost ten of their last thirteen games. Blue Jays lost eight of their last twelve games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins +105 over Philadelphia Phillies
(System Record: 81-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 81-90-2

Football Crusher
Oakland Raiders + Denver Broncos OVER 48.5
(System Record: 19-0, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 19-9

Soccer Crusher
Velez Sarsfield + Atletico Rafaela OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 460-15, won last 5 games and a push)
Overall Record: 460-394-61

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Philadelphia at Miami

The Phillies look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 2-12 in its last 14 games as a home underdog. Philadelphia is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 23 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.641; Miami (Eovaldi) 14.216 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harang) 15.719; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.682 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-250); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+220); Under

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.495; Atlanta (Minor) 14.396 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 16.089; Cubs (Samardzija) 14.408 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); N/A

Game 959-960: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 14.508; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.185 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-165); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 15.454; San Diego (Stults) 14.480 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Over

Game 963-964: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (3:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.385; Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.393 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+130); Over

Game 965-966: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 13.688; Texas (Holland) 15.622 Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-270); 8 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-270); Under

Game 967-968: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 13.887; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 14.675 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 17.404; LA Angels (Richards) 16.048 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 16.500; Seattle (Maurer) 15.170 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Over

Game 973-974: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 15.547; White Sox (Quintana) 14.212 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Phoenix at Los Angeles

The Sparks look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 home games against the Mercury. Los Angeles is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 23 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 667-668: Washington at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.810; Atlanta 108.384 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 149 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 144 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Over

Game 669-670: Phoenix at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 110.163; Los Angeles 120.327 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10; 155 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 160 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-7 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1100-828 (57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Mon: White Sox -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Tampa Bay Rays -150

KC Royals -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Broncos -16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Monday Kansas City/Seattle Over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Browns (+6) Sunday.

Monday it's the Rays.The deficit is 1473 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at CHICAGO CUBS

Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (PITTSBURGH) with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
68-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 57.1% 37.2 units )
16-17 this year. ( 48.5% 3.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY METS at CINCINNATI

NY METS are 29-23 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

The average score was: NY METS (4.6) , OPPONENT (4.0)