9-23-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe

Monday

Raiders +14½ at Broncos (49½): QB Terrelle Pryor has given the Oakland offense a spark, especially in the running game, which is averaging 198 ypg. Dangerous to be laying double digits, especially against a foe that is playing with confidence. RAIDERS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Ball

Monday

Raiders +15 at Broncos: Oakland is 1-1 but opened up against some fairly weak talent. They have a chance to hold up with 15 points. RAIDERS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks September 23, 2013 6:14 AM by GT Staff

Baseball

953 New York Mets +1½ RUNS EVEN: The Mets have won three straight games and catch the Reds off a hot series with the Pirates, they have a big shot at this very inflated line.

958 Chicago Cubs +120: Live dog here as the Pirates are taking the big gag and have lost six of their last 10 games, the last place Cubbies get some satisfaction as their last season comes to an end, spoiler they will be.

960 St. Louis Cardinals -160: The Cards hold a two game advantage over the Reds and the Pirates in the NL Central with just six games left to play and the last three come at home vs. the Cubbies, Cards close it out.

964 Tampa Bay Rays -145: The Rays who have surged in the wild card race look to sweep the O’s who have packed it in with their wild card dreams down the drain.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Football Play of the Day September 23, 2013 6:19 AM by GT Staff

Monday Night Football

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos -15 at 5:40 p.m. PST

The Raiders have a good defense to keep them in the game but their past says they just will find a way not to get the cover as they have gone 1-16 ATS in games vs. a division foe when coming off a SU and ATS win, while the Broncos have gone 9-1 ATS in division games when coming off a double digit non division win.

420 Denver Broncos -15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff White

Denver -14.5
KC -125
Den/Oak over 49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE WIZARD| NFL Side - Monday, Sep 23 2013 8:40PM
10 UNITS RAIDERS +15.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

DENVER BRONCOS -16

Las Vegas has a huge day yesterday. They beat the average gamblers and they beat the sharps. It was an ideal week for them. Tonight we have a huge favorite which the public is still backing. In the past few seasons big favorites have not shown up in games, but I just can’t give the Raiders much hope with a banged up and young offensive line, missing a tight end, Pryor as the main quarterback and receivers who just are not that great. Denver really has it all on offense. They will be without their left tackle for the rest of the year, but tonight against a defense with 9 new starters and one of the past years starters out of this game it will be very difficult to stop the big physical receivers, the running game and then of course the shifty Wes Welker. This is a division game so I really don’t like the spread being this high, but again there is no positive evidence to back Oakland except for the fact of just hoping they don’t lose by X amount of points. Even their best offensive player has been their kicker and he has struggled this year with a new holder in place of Shane Lechler. There is no stopping Payton Manning right now. Even the Denver special teams can put up 6 in a blink of an eye. Take the Broncos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Moore

#419 - #420 4* Oakland - Denver OVER 48.5 (8:40 edt) ESPN

Have to like the over in any game with Denver right now as they have gone over 40 points in both of their starts this season and those starts were against pretty good defenses. Denver has no love lost for Oakland so they will be very happy to pile on the points and the Denver defense has not been the best which will lead to some points for the Raiders. 42 - 27 looks to be the final score making the over the best play here. Thank you and good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

Marlins -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

2* Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 9/23

Oakland Raiders / Denver Broncos UNDER 48.5 (Total Points Scored in Game) (NFL Football)
(System Record: 144-5, Won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 144-124


Also, listed below is your bonus extra picks for today:
Atlanta Braves -122 over the Milwaukee Brewers (MLB Baseball)
New York Mets / Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7.5 (Total Runs Scored in Game) (MLB Baseball)
Toronto Blue Jays / Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 (Total Runs Scored in Game) (MLB Baseball)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that has proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

There’s a mutiny brewing on the Buccaneers’ pirate ship. Players are feuding with the head coach, the franchise is trying to give the No. 1 QB the bum’s rush, and the offense ranks 31st in the NFL averaging 11.3 points a game.

All of that has led to a 0-3 start for Tampa Bay, which takes on the Arizona Cardinals as a 2.5-point home favorite Sunday – one week away from a much-needed bye in Week 5. Bettors should beware the Bucs, who will undoubtedly be looking past Arizona and to a week away from football and the drama of the locker room.

Letdown spot

What better way to celebrate snapping a seven-game losing skid to your bitter rivals than a trip to Hawaii. The Fresno State Bulldogs, coming off a thrilling 41-40 victory over Boise State last Friday, are heading to paradise in Week 5, taking on the Warriors as 20-point suggested road favorites.

Playing in Hawaii is hard enough for visiting teams, with guys more concerned with soaking up the tropical surroundings than getting the job done on the field. Fresno State has been able to avoid that in the past, but never after a win as big as last week. A letdown looms on the islands.

Schedule spot

The MLB schedule makers have all but gift wrapped an American League Wild Card spot for the Cleveland Indians. All the Tribe has to do it tie the bow on a successful turnaround season. Cleveland, which is a half game back on Tampa Bay and gripping to one of the AL’s two wild card tickets heading into Monday, is coming off a four-game sweep of the hapless Houston Astros.

The Indians close the year with two home games versus the Chicago White Sox and a four-game road trip to play the Minnesota Twins. Both of those AL Central rivals have checked out on the season and are a combined 8-24 against the Tribe this year. Chicago is a mere 2-15 versus Cleveland, allowing an ERA north of 6.00 in those contests. A motivated Indians club is primed to finish 2013 strong and roll into the postseason.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Sharps vs. Public on Monday Night Football

Oddsmakers are piling on the points for Week 3’s Monday night finale between the Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos. We talk to sportsbooks about the action on Monday Night Football and where the line could end up come kickoff:

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos – Open: -16.5, Move: -14, Move: -15

Some markets opened this spread as high as Denver -16.5, with a seemingly lopsided battle between AFC West rivals. According to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, they opened -14.5 and took nothing but Broncos money driving the spread to -16 before sharps bought back the Raiders.

“Just yesterday afternoon we booked sharp money at +16, but instead of moving the number we adjusted the juice making the Broncos -16 (-105)/Raiders +16 (-115),” Stewart told Covers. “Only a five cent move off that wise action, but with us still submerged with money on the favorite we went back to 16 (flat) late last night. This is a game where the squares are definitely against the sharps, with the public pounding the favorite and the wiseguys taking advantage of what they deem an inflated line.”

With books scoring a big win over bettors Sunday, not much money from the weekend is hanging around Monday in the form of parlays and teasers. That has also halted plenty of people for rolling over on the Monday nighter, according to Russ Candler, head of trading for UWin.com.

“The Monday night game normally has some residue from the Sunday games with multiples running into it – and in all fairness Denver should have been the last-leg banker for the majority of our business,” Candler told Covers. “The fact is that we pulled our punters’ pants down this weekend and gave their bums a bit of a slapping and there’s not much ‘running on money’ still alive.”

As for Monday’s total, books opened the number at 49.5 and have taken that down to 48.5. However, as with most MNF games, the recent action has been on the Over as kickoff draws closer. According to Stewart, 90 percent of total action is on the Over.

“We also have a decent amount of parlay liability on both the favorite and the over, so it’s safe to say we're going into this game big fans of the Raiders and their defense,” he says. “We desperately need them to find a way to keep Peyton Manning and his high octane offense in check.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

MLB

Cardinals -150

Cincinnati -1.5 -120

Tampa Bay -130

Chicago Cubs +1.5 -140

NFL

Broncos -14.5

Raiders/Broncos Over 49.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

OAKLAND (419) AT DENVER (420)
Latest Line: Broncos -14.5; Total: 49

The Broncos look to extend their series win streak to four (SU and ATS) when they face the Raiders on Monday night. Denver has won the past three meetings by a combined score of 101 to 43, and Broncos QB Peyton Manning has beaten Oakland five straight times, throwing for 260 YPG, 11 TD and 6 INT during this stretch. The Raiders will try to keep Manning off the field with an elite ground game chewing up 198.5 yards per game so far, led by RB Darren McFadden (177 rush yds) and QB Terrelle Pryor (162 rush yds). But Manning has been outstanding in 2013, throwing for 769 yards (9.0 YPA), 9 TD and 0 INT.
FORECASTER: Broncos 34, Raiders 16