10-4-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Baseball:
50 Pittsburgh
50 Dodgers
50 Red Sox
100 Tampa for the series
50 Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEAM DOC SPORTS

3-unit Play Take #912 Atlanta Braves (-105) over Los Angeles Dodgers (6:05pm EST) Game 2 of the NLDS gets underway this evening in Turner Field. The Dodgers easily took the first game of the series 6-1 behind a strong performance from Clayton Kershaw. We like the Dodgers a lot for this series, but today is a good spot for the Atlanta Braves to bounce back. They'll go up against a tough right-hander in Zack Greinke, but there are some good reasons why he may struggle a bit on the mound today. First off, Greinke is not nearly as good on the road as he is at home. In fact, he has one of the wider home/away splits in baseball over the last few seasons. Secondly, he's not necessarily known as a big game pitcher. He has struggled with stress and anxiety throughout his career and the spotlight will be bright on him in this one. Greinke also pitched poorly in three postseason starts with the Brewers, posting a miserable 6.48 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 16 2/3 innings. The Braves are an all-or-nothing type of team, so if they can put the pressure on Greinke early on, this game could get ugly in a hurry. The Braves need this game badly as they don't want to go back to Los Angeles down 2-0 in the series. I think they get the job done against Greinke today at home where they were 56-25 this season.

The following selection is a World Series future play

1-unit World Series Future Play Take Tampa Bay Rays (+500) to win World Series.
There's just something about this team that you have to love. They don't have the most talented players, don't spend money on high priced free agents and don't get a lot of attention. But they win. And they've now done it long enough that it's no fluke. They have one of the best front offices in baseball and probably the best manager. All of their decisions are well thought and based on sound statistical data, and that has allowed them to compete with a miniscule payroll compared to the rest of the American League. This year they have one of their most well-rounded and best teams overall. They have a strong front of the rotation with David Price, Matt Moore and Alex Cobb. Their lineup is extremely versatile and that has allowed them to finish near the top of the AL offensively on a park-adjusted basis. Maddon also pulls all of the right strings in the bullpen. They also play great fundamental baseball including on defense, on the basepaths and their approach at the plate. It's not going to be an easy road to the World Series, but they've already played three elimination games (including the last day of regular season) and survived all of those. Now they'll go up against the Boston Red Sox, who had the best record in baseball this season. Luckily it's just a five-game series, which gives them a little bit better shot to pull off the upset. If they can get past the Red Sox, things should get easier from there. The Rays have won 10 of 12 games overall and have tons of momentum right now. At this price, the Rays are certainly worth a shot to win the whole thing in 2013.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO

1-Unit Play. Take #913 Tampa Bay (+125) over Boston (3 p.m., Friday, Oct. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #911 L.A. Dodgers (+105) over Atlanta (6 p.m., Friday, Oct. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #916 Oakland (+110) over Detroit (9:30 p.m., Friday, Oct. 4)

Today's Totals

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.0 Tampa Bay at Boston (3 p.m., Friday, Oct. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 6.5 L.A. Dodgers at Atlanta (6 p.m., Friday, Oct. 4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JASON SHARPE

4 Unit Play Take #911 Los Angeles Dodgers -105 over Atlanta (6:07pm est):
You just get the feeling the Los Angeles Dodgers mean business as they marched into Atlanta in game one and hammered the Braves by a 6-1 score in that contest. They hand the ball to maybe their best pitcher down the stretch, Zack Greinke who comes with a 1.58 ERA in his last 12 starts. Greinke has allowed two runs or less in 12 straight starts coming into this one. He's 7-0 on the road with a 1.95 ERA in his last ten away starts with the Dodgers winning nine of those ten games.

The Braves are feeling the pressure of the past post-season failures as Atlanta has dropped seven straight playoff series coming into this one. They go with left-hander Mike Minor today and Minor closed out the season going 0-4 in his last five starts with a 3.94 ERA and Atlanta going 0-5 in the five starts. Spoke in-depth yesterday about the Braves struggles in these games, having lost six of their last seven divisional playoff contests.

Take Los Angeles here.

3 Unit Play Take #909 Pittsburgh +116 over St. Louis (1:00pm est):
I have said it time and time again but when the Pittsburgh Pirates have their backs against the wall they usually respond in a big way their next game. The Pirates don't want to go down 0-2 and so today's game is a big one for a team playing with still a lot of confidence despite their game one defeat to St. Louis. Rookie Gerrit Cole is an undervalued hurler for the Pirates who posted a 1.38 ERA and went 4-0 in his last four starts of the season. Even more impressive is the 34 hitters he struck out in 26 innings of work. He's been rock solid on the road with a 4-2 mark and a 2.38 ERA. Keep in mind this isn't just any rookie here as Cole was the top pick in 2011 MLB draft.

St. Louis counters with Lance Lynn in this contest. Lynn really struggled against the Pirates this season with 5.60 ERA in five starts. His 1.31 WHIP and nearly 4.00 ERA makes him a below average starter for a team pitching supposed number two guy here in this big game.

Nice value on the Pirates here. Take Pittsburgh. My football weekend kicks off tomorrow and features ten games over the next two days. I am excited about all of them but especially so with my top CFB selection. This five unit play features a team I am more and more excited about after witnessing the results of a game played last evening. I am 4-1 this year so far in my biggest CFB plays of the week and a very a strong 15-7 the last two season's combined.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

4-Unit Play. Take #914 Boston (-135) over Tampa Bay (3:05 p.m., Friday, October 4)
This should be a great matchup of two lefties who have both been on their games as of late. Jon Lester will be tossing for the Red Sox and he is 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA in his last 8 starts. He has been great at home losing just once on the season going 7-1 with a 3.09 ERA and has been even better in day games going 6-1 with a 2.84 ERA. The Rays will counter with Matt Moore who is 9-1 in his last 13 starts and has been tough on the road all year posting a 10-1 record with a 2.74 ERA. He has a good record in day games going 4-1 but hasn't been as sharp as evidenced by a 4.18 ERA. I like Boston to load up on right handed hitters in their line up to put some runs up. Tampa Bay has won three straight elimination games but they have had a difficult flight plan playing in Toronto on Sunday, Arlington on Monday, Cleveland on Wednesday, and now Boston today. Boston is much better than all these teams and I think the Sox take game 1 today. Boston won 12 out of the 19 times they faced each other this year and Boston is 11-2 in Lesters last 13 starts as a home favorite. The Rays are 1-4 in this last 5 Divisional Playoff games and I think all the travel this week is going to catch up with them.

2-Unit Play. Take #912 Atlanta (-105) over Los Angeles (6:05 p.m., Friday, October 4)
Atlanta is hoping Mike Minor will be on his game against the Dodgers like he was when he faced them twice this season. Minor was1-0 in two starts against L.A. with a 2.25 ERA yielding a .205 average while striking out 15 guys in 12 innings. The Dodgers haven't fared very well against left-handers all year posting a 26-27 record against south paws. Los Angeles will counter with Zack Greinke who has posted a 1.58 ERA in his 12 starts since July 30th and has not allowed more than two runs in any of those starts. However, he doesn't have a great track record in the playoffs as he is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA in three postseason starts, and his ERA on the road this year is over a run higher than at home. Atlanta's left-handed sticks Jason Heyward, Brian McCann, and Freddie Freeman will be key for the Braves success tonight and they need to hit better with runners in scoring position because they were just 1-8 last night. The Braves are 8-0 in Minor's last 8 starts versus the National League West and the Braves are 11-1 in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record and I think they will even the series before they head out to Los Angeles for Game 3.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

2unit under byu

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 10/4

Atlanta Braves -101 over the Los Angeles Dodgers

(System Record: 149-5, Lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 149-130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 dodgers
10 Utah st
10 Nevada
5 parley both football games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

MLB
Bosox -140

NHL
Winnipeg -117
Carolina +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS lock club

3 units Byu +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

All Sports Capper

Daytime MLB:

20* Boston Red Sox -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

30 DIME Utah St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Total - Friday, Oct 4 2013 8:00PM

BYU/Utah St. UNDER 58 double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan College Football winner...

All times listed within my copy are Pacific time


My 600♦ Winner for your Friday night card is going to be on the UNDER in the Beehive State battle between BYU and Utah State. And as I release this game at 5 a.m., I see the line in Las Vegas and Offshore - collectively across the board - is UNDER 57' points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti:

MLB: Tigers

NCAAF: Utah State