10-7-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Panthers (-2) on Sunday and likes the Tigers on Monday.

The deficit is 1314 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Tampa Bay Rays -105 over Boston Red Sox
(System Record: 89-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 89-95-2

Football Crusher
New York Jets + Atlanta Falcons OVER 44
(System Record: 22-1, lost last 6 games)
Overall Record: 22-15

Soccer Crusher
Gimnasia LP + Velez Sarsfield UNDER 2 - Argentina (pending)
Arles Avignon + Lens UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in France
(System Record: 464-16, lost last 5 games and 3 pushes)
Overall Record: 464-399-65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday Night Football betting: Jets at Falcons

New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons (-10, 44)

The Atlanta Falcons have made three straight postseason appearances and won a pair of division titles in that span, but they are venturing into must-win territory entering Monday night's home matchup with the New York Jets. The Falcons already trail NFC South front-runner New Orleans by three games and will be out to avoid a third straight defeat for the first time since 2007. The Jets will look to bounce back from a turnover-riddled loss at Tennessee last week.

New York, and rookie quarterback Geno Smith in particular, hardly looked ready for prime time against the Titans and managed only a single touchdown for the third time in four games. Smith, who won the quarterback job when incumbent Mark Sanchez suffered a serious shoulder injury in the preseason, committed four turnovers that Tennessee turned into 28 points. It's something that has to stop now in order for us to progress and to get better as an offense and as a team," Smith conceded.

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: The Falcons opened -9.5 and are now -10. The total is currently 44.
WEATHER: N/A

ABOUT THE JETS (2-2): Smith needs to curb his string of mistakes after throwing eight interceptions and turning over the ball 11 times through four games, tying for the league lead. That task could be arduous if Smith is without starting wide receivers Santonio Holmes (hamstring) and Stephen Hill (concussion), who had each gone over 100 yards in a Week 3 victory over the Buffalo Bills. Holmes had only one reception last week before he was injured and voiced his displeasure about it this week, saying, "I can’t throw it to myself and catch it. Otherwise I would."

ABOUT THE FALCONS (1-3): Atlanta continues to lament its inability to convert in the red zone, but a bigger issue has been a defense that has yet to hold an opponent under 23 points, has produced only seven sacks and is allowing 26 points and a robust 393.3 yards per game. Matt Ryan threw for a career-high 421 yards in last week's 30-23 loss to New England but the offense has been inconsistent without a healthy Roddy White (10 catches) and running back Steven Jackson, who will miss his third straight game with a hamstring injury. Wideout Julio Jones leads the league with 481 receiving yards.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the Falcons last four home games.
* Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in October.
* Under is 4-1 in Jets last five road games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Ryan is 34-6 at home, including wins in 12 of his last 14 games.

2. RB Mike Goodson is expected to make his debut with the Jets after serving a four-game suspension for violating the league's drug policy.

3. Jones is aiming for his fourth consecutive 100-yard game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL betting: Monday Night Football on over trend

The 'over' has been the trend through the first four weeks of Monday Night Football.

After the first five games on Monday night through the first quarter of the regular season (Week 1 had a MNF double header), the over has posted a record of 4-1.

The only matchup not to soar over the total was the Week 2 meeting between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals won 20-10 with the total set at 40.

Granted, we've seen some of the most potent offenses in the league on Monday night to start the season. The Denver Broncos, Philadelphia Eagles, San Diego Chargers and New Orleans Saints have all played on Monday night thus far.

Week 5 brings us the New York Jets (3-1 O/U) at Atlanta Falcons (3-1 O/U). The total is currently 44.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cardinals at Pirates: What bettors need to know

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (+107, 7.5)

Pirates lead series 2-1.

Having already put an end to a 21-year postseason drought, the Pittsburgh Pirates are on the brink of winning their first playoff series in 34 years. The Pirates will look for the clincher when they host the St. Louis Cardinals in Game 4 of the National League Division Series on Monday afternoon. Pittsburgh took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series with a dramatic 5-3 victory in Sunday's Game 3, improving to 8-3 at home this season against the Cardinals.

St. Louis is pinning its hopes on 22-year-old rookie right-hander Michael Wacha to keep its season alive and force a winner-take-all Game 5 in St. Louis on Wednesday. The Pirates will counter with Charlie Morton, who has lost six consecutive decisions to the Cardinals and has not beaten them since April 4, 2011. Carlos Beltran has two homers and six RBIs in the series for St. Louis while Pedro Alvarez has two blasts and four RBIs for Pittsburgh.

TV: 3:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s. Wind will blow out to left field at 15 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-1, 2.78 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Charlie Morton (7-4, 3.26)

Wacha forced his way into the playoff rotation with a stellar final month, not allowing a run in three of five outings in September and coming within one out of a no-hitter in his last start. He allowed only an infield single with out outs in the ninth and struck out a season-high nine to beat Washington on Sept. 24. Wacha also pitched seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball versus the Pirates on Sept. 8.

Morton has never had much success against the Cardinals and that continued this season with an 0-2 record, 7.90 ERA and .397 batting average against in three starts. That included a disastrous outing against Wacha last month in which he allowed five runs in a season-low 1 2/3 innings before leaving with a foot injury. Morton was a much better pitcher at home, logging a 2-2 record and 2.85 ERA in nine starts.

TRENDS:

* Over is 3-0-1 in Morton's last four starts vs. Cardinals.
* Cardinals are 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Cardinals are 0-5 in their last five during Game 4 of a series.
* Pirates are 7-1 in their last eight games as an underdog.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Pittsburgh trade-deadline acquisition Marlon Byrd has five RBIs in four postseason games, including the wild-card win over Cincinnati.

2. CF Jon Jay (8-for-16), C Yadier Molina (8-for-19) and Beltran (6-for-15) are all batting .400 or better versus Morton.

3. Beltran hit his 16th postseason homer Sunday, surpassing Babe Ruth for eighth place on the career list.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL betting: Road faves 4-0 to start the season

The Vancouver Canucks dispatched the Calgary Flames 5-4 in overtime to improve the unblemished record of the road favorite to 4-0 thus far in the NHL season.

The LA Kings won 3-2 after a shootout against the Minnesota Wild as -110 road faves Thursday.

Friday featured two road faves prevail on enemy ice. The Ottawa Senators were -130 in Buffalo and won 1-0 on a last-minute goal by Erik Karlsson.

Finally, the Detroit Red Wings defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 as -112 road faves.

Any $100 bettor would be up $345.62 if they had wagered on each road favorite so far on the ice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Devils at Oilers: What bettors need to know

New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers (-127, 5.5)

The New Jersey Devils take to the road in search of their first victory as they begin a five-game trip against the Edmonton Oilers on Monday. With Ilya Kovalchuk and his hefty contract now a memory, New Jersey fired blanks in its season opener en route to a 3-0 loss to the Penguins in Pittsburgh. Newcomer Damien Brunner impressed in the Devils' first home game by scoring twice, but the club fell 4-3 in a shootout to the New York Islanders on Friday.

Edmonton still is looking for its first point of the campaign after dropping a 5-4 decision to the Winnipeg Jets in its home opener and being routed in Vancouver 6-2 by the Canucks on Saturday. The young trio of Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle and Nail Yakupov has combined for one assist over the first two contests while Boyd Gordon leads the club with two goals. The Oilers could receive a boost as Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is expected to make his season debut following offseason shoulder surgery.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, MSG Plus (New Jersey), RSN West (Edmonton)

ABOUT THE DEVILS (0-1-1): It will be interesting to see how coach Peter DeBoer handles the club's goaltending situation. The newly acquired Cory Schneider got the nod in the season-opening game in Pittsburgh, while future Hall-of-Famer Martin Brodeur started his 19th consecutive home opener Friday. Brodeur is likely to get the call Monday as the Devils visit Schneider's former team in Vancouver the following night.

ABOUT THE OILERS (0-2-0): Nugent-Hopkins is returning sooner than expected, as he was not projected to join the lineup until November. "I'm feeling really good," he told the team's website. "The healing is done and my strength is up where it needs to be." Jason LaBarbera will start Monday instead of Devan Dubnyk, who allowed 10 goals on 59 shots over the first two games of the campaign.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Edmonton.
* Devils are 5-1 in the last six meetings in Edmonton.
* Oilers are 1-7 in their last eight home games.
* Under is 6-1 in Devils last seven vs. Pacific.

OVERTIME:

1. Gordon scored four goals in 48 games with Phoenix last season and had a career high of eight for the Coyotes the previous campaign.

2. New Jersey C Jacob Josefson has yet to make his season debut, as he was a healthy scratch for each of the team's first two contests.

3. The Oilers host Montreal on Thursday before embarking on a six-game road trip that begins Saturday in Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Pittsburgh

The Cardinals look to stay alive in the series and take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 0-5 in Charlie Morton's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. St. Louis is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 7 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 925-926: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Garcia) 15.972; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.863 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+130); Over

Game 927-928: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 17.107; Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.673 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 929-930: Boston at Tampa Bay (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.964; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 16.124 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Under

Game 931-932: Oakland at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 14.371; Detroit (Sanchez) 15.904 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 7 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-155); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Pirates-Cardinals
Wacha lost a no-hitter in ninth inning in his last start; he is 2-3, 1.72 in his last five outings. Wacha blanked Pirates on two hits for seven innings on Sept 8.
Morton is 0-0, 1.86 in his last three starts; he allowed seven runs in 7.2 IP in two starts against the Cardinals this season.

Pirates won seven of their last nine games; they are 12-10 vs St Louis this year, but lost five of last seven meetings, allowing 46 runs. Five of their last six games went over the total.

Cardinals won seven of their last nine games overall, but need a win here to keep their season alive; four of their last five games went over the total.

Dodgers-Braves
Garcia (turned 37 Sunday) is 1-1, 1.83 in three starts for the Braves; five of his six big league starts this season stayed under the total. He didn't face LA.
Nolasco was 0-2, 13.85 in his last four outings, allowing 19 runs in 13 IP; he beat Braves July 3 in his last start for Miami, allowing two runs in seven IP.

Dodgers are 3-5 in their last eight games with last three going over the total. LA scored 13 runs last night, 22 in first three games of this series.

Six of last seven Atlanta games went over the total. Braves are 6-0 in the game following their last six losses; they're 6-4 against Dodgers this year, but 3-4 with Puig in lineup. Braves are 7-11 in their last 18 road games.

Rays-Red Sox
Buchholz is 6-1, 2.11 in his last seven starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five road starts. He beat Tampa Bay twice this year, throwing 13 scoreless innings.
Cobb is 4-0, 0.90 in his last four starts, with last three staying under. He gave up three runs in 5.2 IP in his only '13 start vs Boston, on Sept 11.

Tampa Bay is home for first time since Sept. 23- they won seven of last nine at home, but lost first two games of this series, allowing 19 runs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Rays are 7-14 vs Boston this year, 3-6 in the Trop.

Red Sox scored 57 runs in last six games (4-2); their last seven games went over the total. Boston is 2-4 in its last six away games.

Tigers-A's
Parker was 1-2, 9.82 in his last three starts; five of his last six starts went over the total. Parker gave up eight runs in 3.1 IP in an April start vs Detroit, after he was 0-2, 4.97 against them in LY's playoffs.
Sanchez is 4-2, 2.41 in his last six starts, but has a 4.68 RA in his last four at home. He is 1-0, 3.75 in two starts against the A's this season.

Detroit's last eight games stayed under the total- -they scored 17 runs in their last nine games, going scoreless in last 17 innings in this series. Tigers won six of their last eight home games.

Oakland is 5-4 vs Tigers this year, with road team winning six of nine games. A's won 17 of last 23 games, eight of last eleven on road. Nine of their last 13 games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Los Angeles

The Kings look to bounce back from their 5-3 loss at Winnipeg on Friday and build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Los Angeles is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-150). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 7 Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: New Jersey at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.820; Edmonton 10.506 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-130); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+110); Over

Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.107; Los Angeles 12.594 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-150); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-150); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1108-834 (57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Monday Red Sox PK

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

A's/Tigers over 7.5

Kings -147

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

A's +155

Falcons -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 7 2013 8:40PM
NYJ/ATL UNDER 44.0 double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, October 7

Hot teams
--

Cold teams
-- Edmonton lost its first two games, allowing 11 goals. Devils lost their first two games, outscored 7-3.
-- Rangers lost their first game 4-1 in Phoenix. Kings split their first two games.

Series records
-- Devils are 4-2 in last six games vs Edmonton, winning last two meetings in OT.
-- Rangers lost three of last four visits to the Staples Center.

Totals
-- Five of last six New Jersey-Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Rangers' last four games in Staples Center.