10-8-13

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at Minnesota

The Dream look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and build on their 19-7 ATS record in their last 26 games when playing on 1 days rest. Atlanta is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by only 8. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 8 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 653-654: Atlanta at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.485; Minnesota 122.363 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 159 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 153 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10 1/2); Over

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NHL COLORADO at TORONTO
Play Against - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TORONTO) very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored
50-26 since 1997. ( 65.8% 31.1 units )

NHL COLORADO at TORONTO
Play Against - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TORONTO) top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored
32-13 since 1997. ( 71.1% 23.0 units )

NHL TAMPA BAY at BUFFALO
Play On - Any team against the money line (BUFFALO) excellent defensive team - allowing <=2.4 goals/game on the season, after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games
52-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.3% 29.0 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA ATLANTA at MINNESOTA
Play On - Road underdogs (ATLANTA) off a road loss, on Tuesday nights
37-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.0% 22.7 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -1.3 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) after 5 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
113-61 since 1997. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
13-6 this year. ( 68.4% 6.4 units )

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bookiemonsters
155-109-3 run
31-26-4 run last 61 plays

pod nj devils under 5.5

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TMC Sports Advisors

Tigers Detroit -150

Redsox Boston -1.5

Boston/Tampa Bay Over 7

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TMC Sports Advisors

Tigers Detroit -150

Redsox Boston -1.5

Boston/Tampa Bay Over 7

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Monday with the the Tigers -$150/A's and has Np for Tuesday.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-1 -$150 for the week 106-68 +$450 for the 2013 MLB season.

For Tuesday Ben lee likes the Flyers -$150/Panthers for $50.

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MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 8

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BOSTON (99 - 66) at TAMPA BAY (94 - 73) - 8:35 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 116-118 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PEAVY is 1-8 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 520-597 (+27.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 189-186 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BOSTON is 99-66 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 64-44 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 44-21 (+20.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 34-43 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 14-8 (+7.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
14 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PEAVY is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
HELLICKSON is 4-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.2 units)

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OAKLAND (98 - 67) at DETROIT (94 - 71) - 5:05 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 98-67 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 10-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
OAKLAND is 45-37 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 95-63 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 65-45 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 58-39 (+12.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 44-30 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 21-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
STRAILY is 17-7 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 94-71 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 32-29 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 90-68 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 6-4 (+4.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.7 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. DETROIT since 1997
STRAILY is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FISTER is 5-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.295.
His team's record is 6-7 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.8 units)

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Brandon Lang

20 Dimes - OVER THE TOTAL in the Red Sox/Rays game, specify the pitchers Peavy and Hellickson

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Red Sox at Rays: What bettors need to know

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (+102, 7.5)

Red Sox leads series 2-1.

The Tampa Bay Rays kept their season alive in dramatic fashion and are showing a knack for winning elimination games. The Rays will look to stave off elimination for another day when they host the Boston Red Sox in Game 4 of the American League Division Series on Tuesday. The Red Sox, who own a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series, held a 3-0 edge in Game 3 on Monday before falling 5-4 on Jose Lobaton’s walk-off homer.

Nothing seemed to go right for Tampa Bay in the first two games in Boston, but the Rays finally started to get some breaks in Game 3 and cashed them in on Evan Longoria’s three-run homer and Lobaton’s solo blast. The Red Sox scored 19 runs in the first two games but struggled with runners in scoring position in Game 3. After being beaten by David Ortiz several times in Boston, Tampa Bay decided to be a little more careful with the Red Sox slugger in Game 3, walking him three times.

TV: 8:37 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Jake Peavy (12-5, 4.17 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jeremy Hellickson (12-10, 5.17)

Peavy started out strong in his tenure with Boston but posted a 5.40 ERA in four September starts. The veteran last worked at Colorado on Sept. 25 but pitched in an intersquad game Wednesday as the Red Sox prepared for the playoffs. Peavy allowed three runs in six innings at Tampa Bay on Sept. 12, and is making his first postseason start since 2006, when he was with the San Diego Padres.

Hellickson got the nod for the No. 4 spot over Chris Archer due in part to his relative success against Boston. The 26-year-old went 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA in three starts against the division rivals in 2013 and has faced the Red Sox 13 times in his career. Hellickson made one previous postseason start, allowing three runs on four hits - three solo homers - over four innings against the Texas Rangers in 2011.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in Hellicksons last seven starts vs. Red Sox.
* Red Sox are 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
* Red Sox are 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Tampa Bay.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Ortiz (9-for-24) and Red Sox C Jarrod Saltalamacchia (8-for-25) each have three career home runs against Hellickson.

2. Tampa Bay 1B James Loney is 5-for-6 with a pair of doubles and two RBIs in the last two games.

3. Boston CF Jacoby Ellsbury is 8-for-14 with six runs scored in the series.

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB BOSTON at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts
63-35 since 1997. ( 64.3% 30.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at DETROIT
OAKLAND is 57-33 (+33.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.9) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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Paul Leiner

100* Over 8 - Tigers/A's

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Bankroll Sports

2* Athletics/Tigers Under 8

[golden contender]

GC: MLB

On Tuesday the free MLB Totals System Play is on the Over in the Early A.L.D.S Game between Oakland and Detroit. These two have flown over the total in 10 of the last 11 here in Detroit and Last nights game sets us up with a solid 17-2 totals system pertaining to the game to be played over the total. Home favorites like Detroit with a total of 8 or less that are off a home favored loss at -140 or higher that scored 4 or less runs with 1 or no errors have played over 17 of 19 times vs an opponent off a road dog win like Oakland that scored 5+ runs and had 10+ hit with 0 errors in the win. Detroit has played over the total the last 3 times as a home favorite off a home loss. Oakland has flown over in 6 of the last 7 as a road dog off a road dog win if they scored 5 or more runs. The Pitching has D. Fister for Detroit who has gone over in 3 of his last 4 home starts allowing 15 earned runs in 26 innings. He has also gone over 4 straight times at home vs Oakland allowing 16 earned runs in 23 innings including 7 in 5 innings this year. Straily for Oakland has gone over in 3 of his last 4 road starts while allowing 10 earned runs in just 21 innings. These two squared off here this season and 18 runs were scored. While I don't think we will get that high. I do think we can get over 8 runs here. So that will be the recommendation. Those who want to the 44-3 MLB Totals Play tonight on the Boston at Tampa game. Message me and I will send the play along with the analysis to you. For the afternoon selection we are on the over in the Oakland at Detroit game. GC

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Sean Higgs

4* A's
4* Red Sox